Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2017

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 167, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 15, 2017Stafford County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2017, 5:58 PM CDT for Stafford County, Kansas. It was in force for 31 min. 2 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2017, 5:58 PM CDT (22:58 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2017, 6:29 PM CDT
In force: 31 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.25 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

County Stafford County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Jun 15, 6:05 PM CDT	HAIL 1.25	4 E Seward, KS
Jun 15, 6:15 PM CDT	HAIL 1	5 Ne Hudson, KS

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 2 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 7 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 15, 1:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 111 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3017 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -157 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1284 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 248 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

635 
WUUS53 KDDC 152258
SVRDDC
KSC185-160000-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0167.170615T2258Z-170616T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
558 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

The National Weather Service in Dodge City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Eastern Stafford County in south central Kansas...

* Until 700 PM CDT

* At 557 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located near Seward, or 12
  miles south of Great Bend, moving southeast at 25 mph.

  HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

  SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

  IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
           tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
           roofs, and outbuildings. 

* Locations impacted include...
  Saint John, Stafford, Hudson, Seward, Neola, Zenith, Little Salt
  Marsh at Quivira Refuge and Big Salt Marsh at Quivira Refuge.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3802 9882 3826 9888 3826 9847 3783 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 2257Z 305DEG 23KT 3818 9875 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

1 follow-up statement

794 
WWUS53 KDDC 152329
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
629 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSC185-152339-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0167.000000T0000Z-170616T0000Z/
Stafford KS-
629 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN STAFFORD COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
        
The storm which prompted the warning has moved out of the area.
Therefore the warning has been cancelled.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
south central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3802 9882 3826 9888 3826 9847 3783 9847
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 305DEG 23KT 3806 9853 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 1:42 PM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 1:42 PM CDT, 4 hours 16 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
142 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Winds will be mostly zonal over Kansas through tomorrow with an
upper level ridge over northern Mexico and an upper level low
sliding eastward across central Canada. Towards the surface, an
area of low pressure is currently sitting somewhere across west
central Kansas with a cold front extending southward into portions
of western Kansas and a warm front extending eastward into
portions of central Kansas. Storms are progged to first form along
the warm front this afternoon with more development possible along
the cold front as it slowly treks eastward today. The atmosphere
will be very unstable this afternoon with ample CAPE and SHEAR.
That means that any storms that do form will be capable of
becoming severe with large hail and damaging winds being the main
concern. Any storms that do develop are expected to move out of
the CWA by midnight with decreasing cloudiness thereafter. The
frontal boundary mentioned earlier will retrograde back to the
east tomorrow and bifurcate the CWA tomorrow. There will be a
slight chance of storms along northern Kansas and I-70 corridor
late in the afternoon. Otherwise expect clear to partly cloudy
skies. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to range from around
60 degrees along the KS/CO border to upper 60s across south
central Kansas. Highs tomorrow look to soar into the upper 90s
with a few places possibly reaching the 100 degree mark.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

The CWA looks to remain generally dry through the long term period
as an upper level ridge builds across the southwestern United
States. One exception to this will be Saturday as an upper level
shortwave slides through the Northern Plains and in turn push a
cold front through the area. A few thunderstorms may form across
northern Kansas and northern portions of the CWA. Otherwise, only
an increase in cloud cover will be present. Another exception will
be next Wednesday as models suggest another disturbance moving
through the area. As for temperatures, highs will reach into the
upper 90s to around 100 degrees Saturday then down into the 80s
Sunday behind the aforementioned front. Western Kansas then
rebounds into the 90s for the remainder of the long term period.
Lows will generally be in the 60s to low 70s with the exception of
Sunday night when lows will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

VFR conditions will prevail today with mostly clear skies with the
exception of around the HYS terminal. A few storms may form around
the HYS terminal this afternoon then slide southeastward into
south central Kansas. Otherwise expect an increase in mid level
clouds around the HYS terminal. A cold front will be draped across
western Kansas this afternoon with a warm front extending westward
through central Kansas. Winds will generally be from the south
ahead of these frontal boundaries with more of an easterly
component north of the warm front and west to northwesterly
component behind the cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  97  66  98  69 /  10  10  10  10
GCK  97  64 101  65 /   0   0  10   0
EHA  97  62 100  65 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  97  65 101  67 /  10  10   0   0
HYS  95  66  97  68 /  50  10  20  10
P28  98  69  97  72 /  40  60  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 4:31 AM CDT, 13 hours 27 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017 /331 AM MDT Thu Jun 15 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

A weak surface trough will be the focus for a few severe
thunderstorm to develop as early as mid afternoon, generally
along the K-96 corridor, and expanding east/southeast in the
evening.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Significant risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

The favored area for thunderstorm chances on Friday is through
the I-70 corridor (Wakeeney/Hays/LaCrosse areas). A cold front
will move into the area late Saturday.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  No hazards.

* Monday
  No hazards.

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:47 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
447 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0446 PM     HAIL             OTIS                    38.54N 99.05W
06/15/2017  E1.00 INCH       RUSH               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 4:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
455 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0451 PM     HAIL             1 N SHAFFER             38.47N 99.05W
06/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       RUSH               KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MAINLY QUARTERS WITH THE LARGEST BEING GOLF
            BALL.

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:06 PM CDT, 52 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
506 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0458 PM     HAIL             6 NW BROWNELL           38.70N 99.82W
06/15/2017  E1.25 INCH       NESS               KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:31 PM CDT, 27 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
531 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0528 PM     HAIL             7 NE LARNED             38.25N 99.00W
06/15/2017  M1.75 INCH       PAWNEE             KS   STORM CHASER

&&

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:40 PM CDT, 18 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
540 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     HAIL             RANSOM                  38.64N 99.94W
06/15/2017  E0.88 INCH       NESS               KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:44 PM CDT, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
544 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0544 PM     HAIL             3 SSW RANSOM            38.60N 99.96W
06/15/2017  E1.00 INCH       NESS               KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 1:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ellis, Trego	63 min
Jun 15, 1:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	55 min
Jun 15, 1:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	16 min
Jun 15, 1:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	20 min
Jun 15, 2:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	48 min
Jun 15, 2:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis	17 min
Jun 15, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	44 min
Jun 15, 3:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	43 min
Jun 15, 3:05 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Ellis	4 hr
Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	62 min
Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	47 min
Jun 15, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	57 min
Jun 15, 3:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	49 min
Jun 15, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Pawnee, Rush	47 min
Jun 15, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Rush	47 min
Jun 15, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	45 min
Jun 15, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Rush	55 min
Jun 15, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Rush, Stafford	62 min
Jun 15, 5:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Rush	62 min
Jun 15, 6:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Comanche	52 min
Jun 15, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	39 min
Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray	57 min
Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Stafford	57 min
Jun 15, 6:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	17 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2017 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.