Severe Thunderstorm Warning 161, NWS Dodge City, KS

789 
WWUS53 KDDC 152115
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
415 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSC051-145-165-152130-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0161.000000T0000Z-170615T2130Z/
Pawnee KS-Rush KS-Ellis KS-
415 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN PAWNEE...RUSH AND SOUTHERN ELLIS COUNTIES...

At 415 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near Loretta,
or 9 miles northeast of La Crosse, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect wind damage to 
         roofs, siding, and trees. 

Locations impacted include...
Hays, La Crosse, Victoria, Otis, Bison, Schoenchen, McCracken, Rush
Center, Liebenthal, Timken, Walker, Alexander, Ash Valley, Nekoma,
Munjor, Antonino, Loretta, Pfeifer, Toulon and Shaffer.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3888 9904 3827 9903 3826 9901 3826 9958
      3870 9958 3870 9960 3887 9959
TIME...MOT...LOC 2115Z 321DEG 21KT 3863 9917 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

RBURG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
142 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Winds will be mostly zonal over Kansas through tomorrow with an
upper level ridge over northern Mexico and an upper level low
sliding eastward across central Canada. Towards the surface, an
area of low pressure is currently sitting somewhere across west
central Kansas with a cold front extending southward into portions
of western Kansas and a warm front extending eastward into
portions of central Kansas. Storms are progged to first form along
the warm front this afternoon with more development possible along
the cold front as it slowly treks eastward today. The atmosphere
will be very unstable this afternoon with ample CAPE and SHEAR.
That means that any storms that do form will be capable of
becoming severe with large hail and damaging winds being the main
concern. Any storms that do develop are expected to move out of
the CWA by midnight with decreasing cloudiness thereafter. The
frontal boundary mentioned earlier will retrograde back to the
east tomorrow and bifurcate the CWA tomorrow. There will be a
slight chance of storms along northern Kansas and I-70 corridor
late in the afternoon. Otherwise expect clear to partly cloudy
skies. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to range from around
60 degrees along the KS/CO border to upper 60s across south
central Kansas. Highs tomorrow look to soar into the upper 90s
with a few places possibly reaching the 100 degree mark.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

The CWA looks to remain generally dry through the long term period
as an upper level ridge builds across the southwestern United
States. One exception to this will be Saturday as an upper level
shortwave slides through the Northern Plains and in turn push a
cold front through the area. A few thunderstorms may form across
northern Kansas and northern portions of the CWA. Otherwise, only
an increase in cloud cover will be present. Another exception will
be next Wednesday as models suggest another disturbance moving
through the area. As for temperatures, highs will reach into the
upper 90s to around 100 degrees Saturday then down into the 80s
Sunday behind the aforementioned front. Western Kansas then
rebounds into the 90s for the remainder of the long term period.
Lows will generally be in the 60s to low 70s with the exception of
Sunday night when lows will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

VFR conditions will prevail today with mostly clear skies with the
exception of around the HYS terminal. A few storms may form around
the HYS terminal this afternoon then slide southeastward into
south central Kansas. Otherwise expect an increase in mid level
clouds around the HYS terminal. A cold front will be draped across
western Kansas this afternoon with a warm front extending westward
through central Kansas. Winds will generally be from the south
ahead of these frontal boundaries with more of an easterly
component north of the warm front and west to northwesterly
component behind the cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  97  66  98  69 /  10  10  10  10
GCK  97  64 101  65 /   0   0  10   0
EHA  97  62 100  65 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  97  65 101  67 /  10  10   0   0
HYS  95  66  97  68 /  50  10  20  10
P28  98  69  97  72 /  40  60  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017 /331 AM MDT Thu Jun 15 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

A weak surface trough will be the focus for a few severe
thunderstorm to develop as early as mid afternoon, generally
along the K-96 corridor, and expanding east/southeast in the
evening.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Significant risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

The favored area for thunderstorm chances on Friday is through
the I-70 corridor (Wakeeney/Hays/LaCrosse areas). A cold front
will move into the area late Saturday.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  No hazards.

* Monday
  No hazards.

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
312 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W TOULON              38.85N 99.27W
06/15/2017  M61 MPH          ELLIS              KS   ASOS

&&

GT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
313 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSZ043-152115-
Scott KS-
313 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT COUNTY UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

At 313 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northwest of Modoc, or 11 miles east of Leoti, moving southeast
at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Modoc.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3855 10093 3835 10102 3839 10113 3861 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 296DEG 11KT 3851 10115

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
320 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0315 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 WSW HAYS              38.85N 99.37W
06/15/2017  E75 MPH          ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
323 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 SW HAYS               38.85N 99.34W
06/15/2017  M77 MPH          ELLIS              KS   MESONET

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
334 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0332 PM     HAIL             1 ESE SCHOENCHEN        38.71N 99.32W
06/15/2017  E1.25 INCH       ELLIS              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

GT

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
341 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSZ043-152130-
Scott KS-
341 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SCOTT COUNTY UNTIL 430
PM CDT...

At 340 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 6
miles west of Shallow Water, or 8 miles southwest of Scott City,
moving southeast at 20 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Shallow Water.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3842 10111 3849 10101 3841 10074 3827 10084
      3827 10105
TIME...MOT...LOC 2040Z 312DEG 16KT 3840 10102