Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2017

Special Weather Statement, NWS Dodge City, KS

June 15, 2017Scott County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 15, 2017, 3:13 PM CDT for Scott County, Kansas. It was in force for 62 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2017, 3:13 PM CDT (20:13 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2017, 4:15 PM CDT
In force: 62 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS

County Scott County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 8.2 hours before the alert went out and 127 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 3017 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -157 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1284 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 119 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 248 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 15, 1:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 1:42 PM CDT, 1 hour 31 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
142 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Winds will be mostly zonal over Kansas through tomorrow with an
upper level ridge over northern Mexico and an upper level low
sliding eastward across central Canada. Towards the surface, an
area of low pressure is currently sitting somewhere across west
central Kansas with a cold front extending southward into portions
of western Kansas and a warm front extending eastward into
portions of central Kansas. Storms are progged to first form along
the warm front this afternoon with more development possible along
the cold front as it slowly treks eastward today. The atmosphere
will be very unstable this afternoon with ample CAPE and SHEAR.
That means that any storms that do form will be capable of
becoming severe with large hail and damaging winds being the main
concern. Any storms that do develop are expected to move out of
the CWA by midnight with decreasing cloudiness thereafter. The
frontal boundary mentioned earlier will retrograde back to the
east tomorrow and bifurcate the CWA tomorrow. There will be a
slight chance of storms along northern Kansas and I-70 corridor
late in the afternoon. Otherwise expect clear to partly cloudy
skies. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to range from around
60 degrees along the KS/CO border to upper 60s across south
central Kansas. Highs tomorrow look to soar into the upper 90s
with a few places possibly reaching the 100 degree mark.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

The CWA looks to remain generally dry through the long term period
as an upper level ridge builds across the southwestern United
States. One exception to this will be Saturday as an upper level
shortwave slides through the Northern Plains and in turn push a
cold front through the area. A few thunderstorms may form across
northern Kansas and northern portions of the CWA. Otherwise, only
an increase in cloud cover will be present. Another exception will
be next Wednesday as models suggest another disturbance moving
through the area. As for temperatures, highs will reach into the
upper 90s to around 100 degrees Saturday then down into the 80s
Sunday behind the aforementioned front. Western Kansas then
rebounds into the 90s for the remainder of the long term period.
Lows will generally be in the 60s to low 70s with the exception of
Sunday night when lows will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

VFR conditions will prevail today with mostly clear skies with the
exception of around the HYS terminal. A few storms may form around
the HYS terminal this afternoon then slide southeastward into
south central Kansas. Otherwise expect an increase in mid level
clouds around the HYS terminal. A cold front will be draped across
western Kansas this afternoon with a warm front extending westward
through central Kansas. Winds will generally be from the south
ahead of these frontal boundaries with more of an easterly
component north of the warm front and west to northwesterly
component behind the cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  97  66  98  69 /  10  10  10  10
GCK  97  64 101  65 /   0   0  10   0
EHA  97  62 100  65 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  97  65 101  67 /  10  10   0   0
HYS  95  66  97  68 /  50  10  20  10
P28  98  69  97  72 /  40  60  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 4:31 AM CDT, 10 hours 42 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017 /331 AM MDT Thu Jun 15 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

A weak surface trough will be the focus for a few severe
thunderstorm to develop as early as mid afternoon, generally
along the K-96 corridor, and expanding east/southeast in the
evening.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Significant risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

The favored area for thunderstorm chances on Friday is through
the I-70 corridor (Wakeeney/Hays/LaCrosse areas). A cold front
will move into the area late Saturday.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  No hazards.

* Monday
  No hazards.

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 2:34 PM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
234 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 PM     HAIL             2 N HAYS                38.91N 99.33W
06/15/2017  E1.00 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, Jun 15, 2:58 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
258 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0254 PM     HAIL             TREGO CENTER            38.89N 99.89W
06/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       TREGO              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

Local storm report, Jun 15, 3:09 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
309 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0307 PM     HAIL             ANTONINO                38.78N 99.39W
06/15/2017  E1.50 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

Local storm report, Jun 15, 3:10 PM CDT, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
310 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0308 PM     HAIL             5 N CEDAR BLUFF         38.88N 99.73W
06/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

&&

GT

Local storm report, Jun 15, 3:12 PM CDT, 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
312 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W TOULON              38.85N 99.27W
06/15/2017  M61 MPH          ELLIS              KS   ASOS

&&

GT

Special weather statement, Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
313 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSZ043-152115-
Scott KS-
313 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN SCOTT COUNTY UNTIL
415 PM CDT...

At 313 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 4
miles northwest of Modoc, or 11 miles east of Leoti, moving southeast
at 10 mph.

Half inch hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Modoc.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3855 10093 3835 10102 3839 10113 3861 10113
TIME...MOT...LOC 2013Z 296DEG 11KT 3851 10115

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 1:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Ellis, Trego	63 min
Jun 15, 1:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	55 min
Jun 15, 1:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	16 min
Jun 15, 1:58 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	20 min
Jun 15, 2:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	48 min
Jun 15, 2:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Ellis	17 min
Jun 15, 2:46 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Trego	44 min
Jun 15, 3:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Rush	43 min
Jun 15, 3:05 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Ellis	4 hr
Jun 15, 3:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis	47 min
Jun 15, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	57 min
Jun 15, 3:41 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	49 min
Jun 15, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ellis, Pawnee, Rush	47 min
Jun 15, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Rush	47 min
Jun 15, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Trego	45 min
Jun 15, 4:50 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Rush	55 min
Jun 15, 5:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Rush, Stafford	62 min
Jun 15, 5:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ness, Rush	62 min
Jun 15, 5:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Stafford	31 min
Jun 15, 6:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Barber, Comanche	52 min
Jun 15, 6:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness, Pawnee, Rush	39 min
Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Gray	57 min
Jun 15, 6:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Pawnee, Stafford	57 min
Jun 15, 6:48 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Ford, Gray, Hodgeman	17 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2017 Every special weather statement in 2017

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.