Severe Thunderstorm Warning 158, NWS Dodge City, KS

261 
WWUS53 KDDC 152017
SVSDDC

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
317 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSC051-165-152045-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0158.000000T0000Z-170615T2045Z/
Rush KS-Ellis KS-
317 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM CDT
FOR NORTHERN RUSH AND SOUTHERN ELLIS COUNTIES...

At 317 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm was located very near
Schoenchen, or 11 miles north of La Crosse, moving southeast at 20
mph.

HAZARD...70 mph wind gusts and half dollar size hail. 

SOURCE...Radar indicated. 

IMPACT...Hail damage to vehicles is expected. Expect considerable 
         tree damage. Wind damage is also likely to mobile homes, 
         roofs, and outbuildings. 

Locations impacted include...
Otis, Schoenchen, Liebenthal, Antonino, Loretta and Pfeifer. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3872 9904 3870 9904 3870 9903 3867 9903
      3852 9904 3858 9954 3882 9954
TIME...MOT...LOC 2017Z 328DEG 15KT 3870 9932 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

RBURG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
142 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

...Updated short and long term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

Winds will be mostly zonal over Kansas through tomorrow with an
upper level ridge over northern Mexico and an upper level low
sliding eastward across central Canada. Towards the surface, an
area of low pressure is currently sitting somewhere across west
central Kansas with a cold front extending southward into portions
of western Kansas and a warm front extending eastward into
portions of central Kansas. Storms are progged to first form along
the warm front this afternoon with more development possible along
the cold front as it slowly treks eastward today. The atmosphere
will be very unstable this afternoon with ample CAPE and SHEAR.
That means that any storms that do form will be capable of
becoming severe with large hail and damaging winds being the main
concern. Any storms that do develop are expected to move out of
the CWA by midnight with decreasing cloudiness thereafter. The
frontal boundary mentioned earlier will retrograde back to the
east tomorrow and bifurcate the CWA tomorrow. There will be a
slight chance of storms along northern Kansas and I-70 corridor
late in the afternoon. Otherwise expect clear to partly cloudy
skies. As for temperatures, lows tonight look to range from around
60 degrees along the KS/CO border to upper 60s across south
central Kansas. Highs tomorrow look to soar into the upper 90s
with a few places possibly reaching the 100 degree mark.

.LONG TERM...(Friday night through Thursday)
Issued at 135 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

The CWA looks to remain generally dry through the long term period
as an upper level ridge builds across the southwestern United
States. One exception to this will be Saturday as an upper level
shortwave slides through the Northern Plains and in turn push a
cold front through the area. A few thunderstorms may form across
northern Kansas and northern portions of the CWA. Otherwise, only
an increase in cloud cover will be present. Another exception will
be next Wednesday as models suggest another disturbance moving
through the area. As for temperatures, highs will reach into the
upper 90s to around 100 degrees Saturday then down into the 80s
Sunday behind the aforementioned front. Western Kansas then
rebounds into the 90s for the remainder of the long term period.
Lows will generally be in the 60s to low 70s with the exception of
Sunday night when lows will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1223 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

VFR conditions will prevail today with mostly clear skies with the
exception of around the HYS terminal. A few storms may form around
the HYS terminal this afternoon then slide southeastward into
south central Kansas. Otherwise expect an increase in mid level
clouds around the HYS terminal. A cold front will be draped across
western Kansas this afternoon with a warm front extending westward
through central Kansas. Winds will generally be from the south
ahead of these frontal boundaries with more of an easterly
component north of the warm front and west to northwesterly
component behind the cold front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  97  66  98  69 /  10  10  10  10
GCK  97  64 101  65 /   0   0  10   0
EHA  97  62 100  65 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  97  65 101  67 /  10  10   0   0
HYS  95  66  97  68 /  50  10  20  10
P28  98  69  97  72 /  40  60  10  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Hovorka_42

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-160945-
Trego-Ellis-Scott-Lane-Ness-Rush-Hamilton-Kearny-Finney-Hodgeman-
Pawnee-Stafford-Stanton-Grant-Haskell-Gray-Ford-Edwards-Kiowa-
Pratt-Morton-Stevens-Seward-Meade-Clark-Comanche-Barber-
431 AM CDT Thu Jun 15 2017 /331 AM MDT Thu Jun 15 2017/

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central...south
central...southwest and west central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Day 1 Discussion
----------------

A weak surface trough will be the focus for a few severe
thunderstorm to develop as early as mid afternoon, generally
along the K-96 corridor, and expanding east/southeast in the
evening.

Day 1 Hazards
-------------
* Tornado: Limited risk
* Hail: Significant risk
* Thunderstorm wind damage: Elevated risk
* Flooding: Limited risk
* Lightning: Limited risk
* Excessive heat: Limited risk

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Days 2-7 Discussion
-------------------

The favored area for thunderstorm chances on Friday is through
the I-70 corridor (Wakeeney/Hays/LaCrosse areas). A cold front
will move into the area late Saturday.

Days 2-7 Hazards
----------------
* Friday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Saturday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Severe thunderstorm: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Elevated risk

* Sunday
  No hazards.

* Monday
  No hazards.

* Tuesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

* Wednesday
  - Lightning: Limited risk
  - Excessive heat: Limited risk

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed

&&

For more details visit our webpage http://weather.gov/ddc/ehwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
127 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

KSZ030-031-151930-
Trego KS-Ellis KS-
127 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL TREGO AND ELLIS COUNTIES
UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

At 127 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm very
near Riga, or 12 miles southeast of Wakeeney, moving east at 25 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Hays, Wakeeney, Ellis, Victoria, Catherine, Ogallah, Walker, Munjor,
Emmeram, Voda, Yocemento, Toulon, Trego Center, Riga, Turkville and
Hays Regional Airport.

A severe thunderstorm watch remains in effect until 700 PM CDT for
central and west central Kansas.

LAT...LON 3877 9904 3885 10015 3902 10015 3913 9955
      3913 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 1827Z 267DEG 24KT 3895 9968

RBURG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
202 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HAIL             2 SW RIGA               38.93N 99.69W
06/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       TREGO              KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
212 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0209 PM     HAIL             RIGA                    38.95N 99.65W
06/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       TREGO              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
214 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 PM     HAIL             1 NE YOCEMENTO          38.92N 99.41W
06/15/2017  E2.50 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
234 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0233 PM     HAIL             2 N HAYS                38.91N 99.33W
06/15/2017  E1.00 INCH       ELLIS              KS   PUBLIC

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
258 PM CDT THU JUN 15 2017

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0254 PM     HAIL             TREGO CENTER            38.89N 99.89W
06/15/2017  E1.75 INCH       TREGO              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&