Alert archive / Maryland / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 28
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Feb 24, 2016, 3:20 PM EST for 5 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 24, 2016, 3:20 PM EST (20:20 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 24, 2016, 11:43 PM EST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 65 counties
Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Anne Arundel County, MD, Baltimore County, MD, Calvert County, MD, Caroline County, MD, Carroll County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Charles County, MD, City of Baltimore, MD, Frederick County, MD, Harford County, MD, Howard County, MD, Kent County, MD, Montgomery County, MD, Prince George's County, MD, Queen Anne's County, MD, Saint Mary's County, MD, Talbot County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Morris County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Sussex County, NJ, Warren County, NJ, Adams County, PA, Berks County, PA, Bucks County, PA, Carbon County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Lancaster County, PA, Lehigh County, PA, Monroe County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Northampton County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, York County, PA, Arlington County, VA, City of Alexandria, VA, City of Fairfax, VA, City of Falls Church, VA, City of Fredericksburg, VA, City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Culpeper County, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Fauquier County, VA, King George County, VA, Loudoun County, VA, Orange County, VA, Prince William County, VA, Spotsylvania County, VA, Stafford County, VA
The radar
The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 10%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 5%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 80%
Warnings issued inside it
39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 4:10 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert | 17 min |
| Feb 24, 4:34 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Albemarle, Culpeper, Madison, Orange, Spotsylvania | 41 min |
| Feb 24, 4:50 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Fauquier, Orange, Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg | 25 min |
| Feb 24, 4:51 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Carroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery, Washington | 39 min |
| Feb 24, 4:58 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg | 47 min |
| Feb 24, 5:01 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Clarke, Fauquier, Frederick, Loudoun, Warren | 3 hr |
| Feb 24, 5:13 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Culpeper, Prince William, Spotsylvania, Stafford, City of Fredericksburg | 36 min |
| Feb 24, 5:20 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Sussex | 25 min |
| Feb 24, 5:22 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Spotsylvania, City of Fredericksburg | 4 hr |
| Feb 24, 5:29 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Montgomery, Prince George's | 46 min |
| Feb 24, 5:36 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Adams, York | 39 min |
| Feb 24, 5:45 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, Sussex | 30 min |
| Feb 24, 5:46 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Carroll, Frederick, Harford, Howard, Montgomery and 1 more | 59 min |
| Feb 24, 5:59 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Calvert, Charles, Howard, Montgomery and 2 more | 61 min |
| Feb 24, 6:05 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent | 40 min |
| Feb 24, 6:10 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Cumberland, Dauphin, Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 80 min |
| Feb 24, 6:18 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Charles, Saint Mary's | 42 min |
| Feb 24, 6:27 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester | 48 min |
| Feb 24, 6:39 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Baltimore, Harford, City of Baltimore | 36 min |
| Feb 24, 6:42 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Saint Mary's | 63 min |
| Feb 24, 6:46 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | LWX | Fairfax, City of Alexandria | 119 min |
| Feb 24, 6:53 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Anne Arundel, Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 52 min |
| Feb 24, 7:06 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Calvert, Saint Mary's | 27 min |
| Feb 24, 7:10 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Somerset | 3 hr |
| Feb 24, 7:12 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Cecil | 33 min |
| Feb 24, 7:21 PM EST | Tornado Warning | CTP | Lancaster | 24 min |
| Feb 24, 7:30 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | CTP | Lancaster, Lebanon, York | 45 min |
| Feb 24, 7:39 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LWX | Calvert, Saint Mary's | 51 min |
| Feb 24, 7:39 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Berks, Chester | 36 min |
| Feb 24, 7:43 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Saint Mary's | 22 min |
| Feb 24, 8:20 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Saint Mary's | 14 min |
| Feb 24, 8:47 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 43 min |
| Feb 24, 8:51 PM EST | Tornado Warning | LWX | Saint Mary's | 10 min |
| Feb 24, 9:40 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Camden, Gloucester | 35 min |
| Feb 24, 9:55 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Warren | 4 hr |
| Feb 24, 10:05 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Kent, New Castle | 4 hr |
| Feb 24, 10:32 PM EST | Flash Flood Warning | PHI | Burlington, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Morris, Somerset and 1 more | 4 hr |
| Feb 24, 11:03 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Hunterdon, Mercer, Middlesex, Monmouth, Morris and 1 more | 42 min |
| Feb 24, 11:25 PM EST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | PHI | Burlington, Monmouth, Ocean | 15 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Phillips Aaf/Abe, MD (KAPG), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 26 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 382 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 55 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 495 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 559 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
419 WWUS20 KWNS 242017 SEL8 SPC WW 242017 DCZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-VAZ000-CWZ000-250400- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 28 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 320 PM EST WED FEB 24 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DELAWARE CENTRAL AND EASTERN MARYLAND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA NORTHERN VIRGINIA COASTAL WATERS * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 320 PM UNTIL 1100 PM EST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY SUMMARY...A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL QUICKLY PROGRESS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARDS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF PHILADELPHIA PENNSYLVANIA TO 35 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF PATUXENT RIVER MARYLAND. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 26...WW 27... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21045. ...GRAMS
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 3:06 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent, New Castle, Sussex | 54 min |
| Feb 24, 4:46 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Kent | 89 min |
| Feb 24, 1:18 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Calvert, Charles, Prince George's, Saint Mary's | 117 min |
| Feb 24, 1:46 PM EST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Dorchester, Somerset, Wicomico, Worcester | 9 hr |
| Feb 24, 6:40 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Charles, Saint Mary's | 2 hr |
| Feb 24, 6:46 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bergen, Essex, Hudson, Hunterdon, Middlesex, Morris and 5 more | 119 min |
| Feb 24, 8:14 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Scott, Washington, Wise and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Feb 24, 10:46 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Halifax, Henry, Patrick, Pittsylvania, City of Danville, City of Martinsville | 119 min |
| Feb 24, 11:16 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | City of Suffolk | 89 min |
| Feb 24, 2:55 PM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mecklenburg, City of Danville | 95 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Maryland, 2016Tornado Watches in New Jersey, 2016Tornado Watches in Virginia, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.