Alert archive / North Carolina / Mesoscale Discussions in 2016

Mesoscale Discussion 141

February 24, 201642 counties in North Carolina; 15 counties in South Carolina; 6 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 24, 2016, 10:46 AM EST for 42 counties in North Carolina; 15 counties in South Carolina; 6 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 119 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 24, 2016, 10:46 AM EST (15:46 UTC)
Expired
Feb 24, 2016, 12:45 PM EST
In force
119 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 63 counties

Alamance County, NC, Alexander County, NC, Anson County, NC, Burke County, NC, Cabarrus County, NC, Caldwell County, NC, Caswell County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Davie County, NC, Durham County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Iredell County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, Mecklenburg County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Rockingham County, NC, Rowan County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Stokes County, NC, Surry County, NC, Union County, NC, Wake County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Yadkin County, NC, Cherokee County, SC, Chester County, SC, Chesterfield County, SC, Darlington County, SC, Fairfield County, SC, Kershaw County, SC, Lancaster County, SC, Laurens County, SC, Lee County, SC, Marlboro County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Richland County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC, York County, SC, City of Danville, VA, City of Martinsville, VA, Halifax County, VA, Henry County, VA, Patrick County, VA, Pittsylvania County, VA

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 163 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 98 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-02-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-02-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 703 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-286 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
406 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
703 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
750 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 24, 8:14 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAvery, Buncombe, Cherokee, Clay, Graham, Haywood and 10 more2 hr
Feb 24, 11:16 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 28 more89 min
Feb 24, 11:16 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAlamance, Alexander, Anson, Bladen, Brunswick, Cabarrus and 52 more8 hr
Feb 24, 1:18 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Caswell, Durham, Franklin, Granville, Guilford and 9 more117 min
Feb 24, 1:46 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Camden, Carteret, Chowan, Currituck and 10 more9 hr
Feb 24, 2:55 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlamance, Anson, Bladen, Brunswick, Caswell, Chatham and 28 more95 min
Feb 24, 4:46 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Camden, Chatham, Chowan and 35 more89 min
Feb 24, 6:40 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Camden, Carteret, Chowan and 32 more2 hr
Feb 24, 6:50 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBeaufort, Bertie, Bladen, Brunswick, Camden, Carteret and 36 more4 hr
Feb 24, 3:58 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCAllendale6 hr
Feb 24, 6:48 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllendale, Beaufort, Colleton, Hampton, Jasper87 min
Feb 24, 3:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArlington, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, King George, Loudoun and 10 more54 min
Feb 24, 3:20 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCArlington, Culpeper, Fairfax, Fauquier, King George, Loudoun and 10 more8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2016Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2016Every mesoscale discussion in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.