Severe Thunderstorm Watch 71

Issued

Mar 31, 2016, 3:59 PM CDT (20:59 UTC)

Expired

Mar 31, 2016, 9:08 PM CDT

In force

5 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

1.5 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 46 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

20%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

2%

Ten or more severe wind reports

40%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

10%

Ten or more severe hail reports

30%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

10%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

60%

• Mesoscale Discussion 308Mar 31, 2:14 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 310Mar 31, 3:48 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 314Mar 31, 5:49 PM CDT
• Mesoscale Discussion 315Mar 31, 6:52 PM CDT

664 
WWUS20 KWNS 312057
SEL1  
SPC WW 312057
KYZ000-TNZ000-010300-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 71
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
400 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  MIDDLE TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 400 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS IN WESTERN TENNESSEE AND SOUTH
CENTRAL KENTUCKY WILL LIKELY PERSIST AND MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH THIS
EVENING.  AN ISOLATED TORNADO COULD OCCUR IN SOUTHWEST MIDDLE
TENNESSEE...BUT THE MAIN RISKS SHOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE
HAIL.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 125 MILES NORTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 85 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF NASHVILLE
TENNESSEE.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 68...WW 69...WW 70...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...THOMPSON

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Tennessee, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.