Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 70
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 31, 2016, 2:35 PM CDT for Lee County, Phillips County, Arkansas; 66 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 31, 2016, 2:35 PM CDT (19:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2016, 9:44 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 68 counties
Lee County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Adams County, MS, Alcorn County, MS, Attala County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS
The radar
The Columbus AFB radar (KGWX), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
61 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jefferson Davis, Lawrence, Simpson | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 3:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Simpson, Smith | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 3:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 55 min |
| Mar 31, 3:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, Lee, Phillips, St. Francis | 51 min |
| Mar 31, 3:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Warren | 67 min |
| Mar 31, 4:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Newton, Scott, Smith | 59 min |
| Mar 31, 4:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Attala | 38 min |
| Mar 31, 4:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Tishomingo | 39 min |
| Mar 31, 4:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 53 min |
| Mar 31, 4:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee, St. Francis | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 4:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Lee | 42 min |
| Mar 31, 4:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Sharkey, Warren, Yazoo | 70 min |
| Mar 31, 4:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Neshoba, Newton | 31 min |
| Mar 31, 4:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Phillips | 41 min |
| Mar 31, 4:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington | 31 min |
| Mar 31, 4:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison | 49 min |
| Mar 31, 5:04 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 5:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Choctaw, Clay, Oktibbeha, Webster | 69 min |
| Mar 31, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | DeSoto, Marshall | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Claiborne, Warren | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Rankin, Scott | 44 min |
| Mar 31, 5:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Madison, Scott | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 5:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, DeSoto, Marshall | 39 min |
| Mar 31, 5:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Hinds, Madison, Rankin, Yazoo | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Copiah, Hinds | 56 min |
| Mar 31, 5:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott | 56 min |
| Mar 31, 5:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Leflore | 40 min |
| Mar 31, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 5:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Monroe | 50 min |
| Mar 31, 6:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Bolivar, Leflore, Sunflower, Washington | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall | 35 min |
| Mar 31, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc | 61 min |
| Mar 31, 6:17 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lowndes | 28 min |
| Mar 31, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw | 41 min |
| Mar 31, 6:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba | 66 min |
| Mar 31, 6:30 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Leake, Scott | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Calhoun, Chickasaw, Lafayette, Pontotoc, Yalobusha | 44 min |
| Mar 31, 6:33 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Copiah, Hinds, Rankin, Simpson | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper | 55 min |
| Mar 31, 6:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Sunflower | 23 min |
| Mar 31, 6:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Coahoma, Panola, Quitman, Tallahatchie | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Rankin, Simpson | 50 min |
| Mar 31, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Tippah | 24 min |
| Mar 31, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Monroe | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 6:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Lee, Pontotoc | 38 min |
| Mar 31, 6:57 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Neshoba, Newton | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 7:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Simpson, Smith | 42 min |
| Mar 31, 7:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Smith | 35 min |
| Mar 31, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Pontotoc | 32 min |
| Mar 31, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 7:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Itawamba | 22 min |
| Mar 31, 7:28 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 7:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Scott, Smith | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Kemper, Lauderdale | 25 min |
| Mar 31, 7:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, Prentiss, Tippah, Union | 55 min |
| Mar 31, 7:43 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Jasper, Newton | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jasper, Smith | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 8:03 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Chickasaw, Itawamba, Lee, Monroe, Pontotoc | 6 hr |
| Mar 31, 8:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Prentiss, Tippah, Union | 6 hr |
| Mar 31, 8:29 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | JAN | Clarke, Lauderdale | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 9:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Issaquena, Warren | 39 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 866 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -18 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 556 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 49 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 107 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 125 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.5
- Supercell composite
- 2.8
The text
As transmitted.
957
WWUS20 KWNS 311933
SEL0
SPC WW 311933
ARZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-010300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 70
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
230 PM CDT THU MAR 31 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
EXTREME EAST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI
SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 230 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES AND A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS CENTRAL AND NORTHERN
MISSISSIPPI THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENING...AND ALSO CONTINUE ACROSS
SOUTHWEST TENNESSEE. THE MAIN TORNADO RISK WILL BE FOCUSED CLOSER
TO NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING...THOUGH AN ISOLATED TORNADO
OR TWO WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH STORMS FARTHER SOUTH AND WEST.
OTHERWISE...SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL WITH LARGE HAIL ARE
EXPECTED...AND THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR GROWTH INTO
THUNDERSTORM CLUSTERS WITH A DAMAGING WIND RISK LATER THIS EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 45 MILES NORTH OF OXFORD
MISSISSIPPI TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF JACKSON MISSISSIPPI. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 68...WW 69...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Benton | 4 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton | 53 min |
| Mar 30, 8:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more | 96 min |
| Mar 30, 10:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Union | 6 hr |
| Mar 30, 11:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot, Desha | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 10:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Dallas and 14 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 10:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 9 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 31, 1:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 7 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross | 91 min |
| Mar 31, 3:04 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena, Tangipahoa, Washington, West Feliciana | 86 min |
| Mar 31, 3:20 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Livingston, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena, Saint Tammany and 4 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 5:22 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caldwell, Catahoula, East Carroll, Franklin, Grant, Jackson and 9 more | 53 min |
| Mar 31, 7:47 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Covington, Forrest, Greene, Jefferson Davis, Jones, Lamar and 3 more | 58 min |
| Mar 31, 8:43 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | George, Greene, Perry, Stone | 5 hr |
| Mar 31, 4:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll and 55 more | 58 min |
| Mar 31, 5:58 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Wayne | 7 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:52 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay and 29 more | 53 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2016Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.