Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 64
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 30, 2016, 7:44 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 4 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 30, 2016, 7:44 PM CDT (00:44 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2016, 12:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 4 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 23 counties
Benton County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Ottawa County, OK
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 10%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 7:51 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata | 24 min |
| Mar 30, 8:08 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Mayes, Rogers | 52 min |
| Mar 30, 8:13 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Craig | 12 min |
| Mar 30, 8:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata | 34 min |
| Mar 30, 8:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 46 min |
| Mar 30, 8:56 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Delaware, Mayes | 34 min |
| Mar 30, 9:04 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 26 min |
| Mar 30, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee, Crawford | 39 min |
| Mar 30, 9:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Nowata | 34 min |
| Mar 30, 9:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Barton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence | 53 min |
| Mar 30, 9:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Craig, Ottawa | 33 min |
| Mar 30, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Ottawa | 25 min |
| Mar 30, 10:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cherokee | 46 min |
| Mar 30, 10:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Cedar, Polk | 22 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 839 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 319 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 350 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
095 WWUS20 KWNS 310040 SEL4 SPC WW 310040 ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-310500- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 64 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 740 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA * EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT FROM 740 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A COUPLE SUPERCELLS WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO...EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEAST ACROSS WATCH AREA THROUGH LATER TONIGHT. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH OF JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GROVE OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE TORNADOES. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 60...WW 62...WW 63... AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035. ...CORFIDI
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 8:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton | 53 min |
| Mar 30, 8:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more | 96 min |
| Mar 30, 10:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Union | 6 hr |
| Mar 30, 11:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot, Desha | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 10:26 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Dallas and 14 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 10:58 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 9 more | 5 hr |
| Mar 31, 1:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 7 more | 8 hr |
| Mar 31, 2:14 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crittenden, Cross | 91 min |
| Mar 31, 2:35 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Lee, Phillips | 7 hr |
| Mar 30, 10:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallas, Greene, Laclede, Lawrence, Newton, Polk and 1 more | 57 min |
| Mar 31, 12:36 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Saint Louis, City of Saint Louis | 84 min |
| Mar 31, 5:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Mississippi, Scott | 96 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.