Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 64

March 30, 20164 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Mar 30, 2016, 7:44 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 30, 2016, 7:44 PM CDT (00:44 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2016, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 23 counties

Benton County, AR, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Barry County, MO, Barton County, MO, Camden County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, McDonald County, MO, Newton County, MO, Polk County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Craig County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Mayes County, OK, Ottawa County, OK

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 112 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

14 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 7:51 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig, Nowata24 min
Mar 30, 8:08 PM CDTTornado Warning Tornado observedTSAMayes, Rogers52 min
Mar 30, 8:13 PM CDTTornado WarningTSACraig12 min
Mar 30, 8:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata34 min
Mar 30, 8:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee46 min
Mar 30, 8:56 PM CDTTornado WarningTSADelaware, Mayes34 min
Mar 30, 9:04 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFCherokee26 min
Mar 30, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee, Crawford39 min
Mar 30, 9:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Nowata34 min
Mar 30, 9:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence53 min
Mar 30, 9:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACraig, Ottawa33 min
Mar 30, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAOttawa25 min
Mar 30, 10:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCherokee46 min
Mar 30, 10:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Polk22 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 0.7 hours before the alert went out and 87 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2016-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 00:00Z on 2016-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 319 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
839 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
319 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
350 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

095 
WWUS20 KWNS 310040
SEL4  
SPC WW 310040
ARZ000-KSZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-310500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 64
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
740 PM CDT WED MAR 30 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  FAR NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
  FAR SOUTHEAST KANSAS
  FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI
  FAR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY NIGHT FROM 740 PM UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SCATTERED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING A COUPLE SUPERCELLS
WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND...AND POSSIBLY
A TORNADO OR TWO...EXPECTED TO MOVE GENERALLY NORTHEAST ACROSS WATCH
AREA THROUGH LATER TONIGHT.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45
STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES NORTH OF
JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 35 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF GROVE OKLAHOMA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 58...WW 60...WW 62...WW
63...

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 30, 8:37 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton53 min
Mar 30, 8:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Lincoln and 1 more96 min
Mar 30, 10:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Bradley, Chicot, Desha, Drew, Union6 hr
Mar 30, 11:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Desha60 min
Mar 31, 10:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Cleveland, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Dallas and 14 more3 hr
Mar 31, 10:58 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Crittenden, Cross, Greene, Jackson and 9 more5 hr
Mar 31, 1:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot2 hr
Mar 31, 2:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 7 more8 hr
Mar 31, 2:14 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrittenden, Cross91 min
Mar 31, 2:35 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCLee, Phillips7 hr
Mar 30, 10:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDallas, Greene, Laclede, Lawrence, Newton, Polk and 1 more57 min
Mar 31, 12:36 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCSaint Louis, City of Saint Louis84 min
Mar 31, 5:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMississippi, Scott96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Missouri, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.