Alert archive / New Mexico / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 475
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 15, 2016, 12:42 PM MDT for 10 counties in New Mexico. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 15, 2016, 12:42 PM MDT (18:42 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 15, 2016, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
Counties Chaves County, NM, Curry County, NM, De Baca County, NM, Eddy County, NM, Guadalupe County, NM, Lea County, NM, Lincoln County, NM, Quay County, NM, Roosevelt County, NM, Torrance County, NM
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 130 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 10%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
23 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 12:45 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Lincoln | 33 min |
| Sep 15, 12:52 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 53 min |
| Sep 15, 1:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Lincoln | 43 min |
| Sep 15, 1:44 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 46 min |
| Sep 15, 1:52 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Lincoln | 23 min |
| Sep 15, 2:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves, Lincoln | 45 min |
| Sep 15, 2:04 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 26 min |
| Sep 15, 2:29 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 46 min |
| Sep 15, 2:37 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 38 min |
| Sep 15, 2:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Guadalupe | 49 min |
| Sep 15, 3:02 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 58 min |
| Sep 15, 4:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 60 min |
| Sep 15, 4:08 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Eddy | 37 min |
| Sep 15, 4:13 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 47 min |
| Sep 15, 4:49 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 41 min |
| Sep 15, 4:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 62 min |
| Sep 15, 5:09 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 33 min |
| Sep 15, 5:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 15 min |
| Sep 15, 5:48 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 27 min |
| Sep 15, 6:00 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 60 min |
| Sep 15, 6:36 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 39 min |
| Sep 15, 6:53 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Eddy | 54 min |
| Sep 15, 7:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ABQ | Chaves | 18 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Albuquerq/Krtlnd, NM (KABQ), launched 12:00Z, 6.7 hours before the alert went out and 248 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2107 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -53 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 1 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 1:02 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Curry, Harding, Quay, Roosevelt, Union | 58 min |
| Sep 15, 12:03 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | De Baca, Guadalupe, Lincoln, Torrance | 57 min |
| Sep 15, 3:58 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chaves, Curry, De Baca, Doña Ana, Eddy, Lea and 5 more | 92 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in New Mexico, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.