Severe Thunderstorm Warning 184, NWS Albuquerque, NM

928 
WWUS55 KABQ 160056
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
656 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMC005-160115-
/O.CON.KABQ.SV.W.0184.000000T0000Z-160916T0115Z/
CHAVES-
656 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 715 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY...

AT 656 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 19 MILES EAST OF
DUNKEN...OR 26 MILES WEST OF ARTESIA...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF
SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3275 10509 3284 10506 3287 10484 3267 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 0056Z 273DEG 13KT 3279 10486 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

34

988 
WWUS55 KABQ 160107
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
707 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMC005-160117-
/O.EXP.KABQ.SV.W.0184.000000T0000Z-160916T0115Z/
CHAVES-
707 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY
WILL EXPIRE AT 715 PM MDT...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL...
GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3275 10509 3284 10506 3287 10484 3267 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 273DEG 13KT 3279 10486 

$$

34

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
539 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF CYCLE
VFR conditions prevail and are forecast to persist with a couple
of exceptions. MVFR conditions can be expected in/near storms this
evening and again Friday afternoon, with short-lived IFR
conditions possible. Terminals most likely to be impacted by
storms this evening are KROW, KTCC, KAEG and KABQ, and generally
ranking in that order in terms of forecaster confidence. MVFR cigs
may redevelop at KTCC overnight and possibly KROW.

11

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...330 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016...
.SYNOPSIS...
Overall active weather pattern into next week, with a couple of
down days. Main focus the next couple of days will be over the
east, then a shift to western areas are expected next week. In
between will be a lull in the activity Sunday into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Southwest flow aloft and southerly winds at the surface will
provide plenty of moisture for another active evening of showers
and storms for central and eastern areas. Already has been crazy
with over a dozen severe thunderstorm warnings and three tornado
warnings and counting.

Friday will be another active day from the central mountain chain
east to the TX border. Strong to severe storms cannot be ruled
out. The back door cold front is still on track for Friday into
Friday night. this added moisture will help fuel more storms for
the eastern half of our CWA on Saturday.

Sunday should be much less active, then we start to ramp up again
late Monday across the west. A closed low will develop this
weekend off the coast of Baja, CA. This storm will sit offshore
for a couple of days before moving inland early next week. This
will enhance thunderstorm prospects Monday in the southwest, all
of western NM Tuesday, and all areas Wednesday and Thursday. This
could be a very active time if the European is right, combining
the remains of a tropical system with the other closed low. CHJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms each afternoon
and early evening through the end of the week east of the
continental divide, and especially along and east of the central
mountain chain. An upper level low pressure system will cross the
northern and central Rockies, then another upper level low pressure
system will develop west of NM, both causing better moisture to
persist over these areas. From the continental divide westward drier
air will be in place with minimum humidities near or below 15% and
Haines indices generally in the 5 to 6 range.

Saturday night the upper low west of NM will retrograde
southwestward off the Baja Peninsula coast, while an upper level
trough crosses the central Rockies steering drier air over NM from
the west and northwest. Thunderstorms will be unlikely on Sunday,
and widespread Haines of 5 is expected as temperatures warm a few to
several degrees above normal.

The first half of the coming work week will bring increasing
moisture and thunderstorm chances as the Baja low gradually tracks
northeastward into the SW U.S. and an upper high wobbles around
Texas. Temperatures will also begin to cool and Haines indices
will trend downward as the better moisture arrives toward mid
week. 44

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

52

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
609 AM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ501>540-161200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
609 AM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE THE MAIN THREAT BUT
CANT RULE OUT A TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SEVERE STORMS.

50

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
527 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ526-539-160000-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
527 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL
600 PM MDT...

AT 527 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
SAN PATRICIO...OR 22 MILES EAST OF RUIDOSO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15
MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LINCOLN...SAN PATRICIO...ARABELA...HONDO...LINCOLN STATE MONUMENT AND
TINNIE.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3334 10535 3350 10543 3365 10515 3340 10503
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 247DEG 12KT 3345 10531

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
559 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ536-538-160030-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-
559 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WEST CENTRAL ROOSEVELT AND NORTH
CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM MDT...

AT 559 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 15
MILES NORTH OF ELKINS...OR 39 MILES SOUTH OF FORT SUMNER...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ELIDA.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3381 10412 3399 10417 3413 10368 3386 10361
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 257DEG 30KT 3392 10406

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
603 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ526-539-160030-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
603 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM MDT...

AT 603 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
SAN PATRICIO...OR 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF RUIDOSO...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SAN PATRICIO...ARABELA...HONDO AND TINNIE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

ACCUMULATIONS OF SMALL HAIL ON ROADS CAN CREATE VERY SLICK AND
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3336 10533 3354 10539 3366 10506 3340 10491
TIME...MOT...LOC 0003Z 255DEG 15KT 3348 10528

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
604 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ540-160030-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
604 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM MDT...

AT 604 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
DUNKEN...OR 32 MILES EAST OF TIMBERON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DUNKEN.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3269 10521 3286 10527 3298 10495 3272 10486
TIME...MOT...LOC 0004Z 255DEG 15KT 3280 10516

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
624 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ507-519-160100-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-WEST CENTRAL
HIGHLANDS-
624 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL BERNALILLO AND
SOUTH CENTRAL SANDOVAL COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM MDT...

AT 624 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES NORTHWEST OF VENTANA RANCH...OR 15 MILES WEST OF RIO RANCHO...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM. HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO LIKELY.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NORTHERN ALBUQUERQUE...RIO RANCHO...CORRALES...
LOS RANCHOS DE ALBUQUERQUE...PARADISE HILLS...VENTANA RANCH...
CABEZON...RIO RANCHO CITY CENTER...VISTA HILLS AND MARIPOSA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 25 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 233 AND 234.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3518 10701 3533 10703 3547 10665 3518 10657
TIME...MOT...LOC 0024Z 258DEG 20KT 3527 10693

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
630 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ540-160100-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
630 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL
700 PM MDT...

AT 629 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11
MILES EAST OF DUNKEN...OR 34 MILES WEST OF ARTESIA...MOVING EAST AT
15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES
COUNTY.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3272 10515 3290 10511 3291 10484 3266 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 0029Z 273DEG 13KT 3280 10500

34