Severe Thunderstorm Warning 183, NWS Albuquerque, NM

806 
WWUS55 KABQ 152334
SVSABQ

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
534 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMC005-152344-
/O.CAN.KABQ.SV.W.0183.000000T0000Z-160916T0000Z/
CHAVES-
534 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CENTRAL CHAVES COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSE AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3299 10478 3314 10490 3351 10449 3321 10417
TIME...MOT...LOC 2328Z 236DEG 26KT 3317 10465 

$$

34

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
330 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Overall active weather pattern into next week, with a couple of
down days. Main focus the next couple of days will be over the
east, then a shift to western areas are expected next week. In
between will be a lull in the activity Sunday into Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Southwest flow aloft and southerly winds at the surface will
provide plenty of moisture for another active evening of showers
and storms for central and eastern areas. Already has been crazy
with over a dozen severe thunderstorm warnings and three tornado
warnings and counting.

Tuesday will be another active day from the central mountain chain
east to the TX border. Strong to severe storms cannot be ruled
out. The back door cold front is still on track for Friday into
Friday night. this added moisture will help fuel more storms for
the eastern half of our CWA on Saturday.

Sunday should be much less active, then we start to ramp up again
late Monday across the west. A closed low will develop this
weekend off the coast of Baja, CA. This storm will sit offshore
for a couple of days before moving inland early next week. This
will enhance thunderstorm prospects Monday in the southwest, all
of western NM Tuesday, and all areas Wednesday and Thursday. This
could be a very active time if the European is right, combining
the remains of a tropical system with the other closed low. CHJ

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
There will be a chance of showers and thunderstorms each afternoon
and early evening through the end of the week east of the
continental divide, and especially along and east of the central
mountain chain. An upper level low pressure system will cross the
northern and central Rockies, then another upper level low pressure
system will develop west of NM, both causing better moisture to
persist over these areas. From the continental divide westward drier
air will be in place with minimum humidities near or below 15% and
Haines indices generally in the 5 to 6 range.

Saturday night the upper low west of NM will retrograde
southwestward off the Baja Peninsula coast, while an upper level
trough crosses the central Rockies steering drier air over NM from
the west and northwest. Thunderstorms will be unlikely on Sunday,
and widespread Haines of 5 is expected as temperatures warm a few to
several degrees above normal.

The first half of the coming work week will bring increasing
moisture and thunderstorm chances as the Baja low gradually tracks
northeastward into the SW U.S. and an upper high wobbles around
Texas. Temperatures will also begin to cool and Haines indices
will trend downward as the better moisture arrives toward mid
week. 44

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF CYCLE
SCT to ISOLD storms are expected N of I-40 today, with SCT to
NMRS convection S of the interstate. Most of the activity will be
found E of the CONTDVD, and especially E of the central MT chain.
Some storms may turn severe across the plains. S and SE low level
winds may keep low level humidities moist enough for a return of
late night/early morning patchy MVFR and IFR conditions mainly
along and E of the Pecos River from the Caprock southward.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  42  80  46  81 /   5   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  36  76  38  77 /   5  10  10  20
Cuba............................  43  73  45  73 /  10  20  20  20
Gallup..........................  37  78  38  79 /   5   5   0   0
El Morro........................  39  74  38  76 /   5   5   5   5
Grants..........................  41  78  41  79 /   5  10   5   5
Quemado.........................  44  77  43  79 /   5   5   0   5
Glenwood........................  52  81  53  84 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  37  68  37  70 /  10  20  10  20
Los Alamos......................  48  72  49  74 /  20  30  30  20
Pecos...........................  47  71  47  73 /  30  40  40  30
Cerro/Questa....................  44  70  44  71 /  10  30  20  20
Red River.......................  38  60  38  61 /  20  40  40  30
Angel Fire......................  34  65  35  67 /  20  40  50  40
Taos............................  40  72  43  73 /  10  30  20  20
Mora............................  44  67  44  69 /  30  50  50  40
Espanola........................  49  77  51  79 /  20  20  20  10
Santa Fe........................  48  73  49  74 /  20  30  30  20
Santa Fe Airport................  48  77  49  78 /  20  20  20  20
Albuquerque Foothills...........  53  78  54  80 /  30  20  20  10
Albuquerque Heights.............  56  80  56  82 /  20  20  10  10
Albuquerque Valley..............  54  82  55  84 /  20  20  10   5
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  54  81  54  83 /  20  20  10  10
Los Lunas.......................  53  82  53  85 /  20  20  10   5
Rio Rancho......................  53  81  53  83 /  20  20  10  10
Socorro.........................  56  84  56  86 /  20  10  10   5
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  48  74  50  76 /  30  30  30  20
Tijeras.........................  50  77  51  79 /  30  30  30  20
Moriarty/Estancia...............  48  75  48  77 /  30  30  30  20
Clines Corners..................  48  72  48  75 /  40  40  40  30
Gran Quivira....................  51  75  51  78 /  30  30  20  20
Carrizozo.......................  56  80  55  82 /  30  20  10  20
Ruidoso.........................  52  73  51  75 /  40  40  20  30
Capulin.........................  47  73  46  74 /  20  30  40  30
Raton...........................  48  75  45  76 /  10  40  50  30
Springer........................  48  75  47  77 /  20  40  50  30
Las Vegas.......................  46  71  47  73 /  30  40  50  40
Clayton.........................  53  77  53  78 /  20  20  40  30
Roy.............................  50  74  50  75 /  30  30  50  30
Conchas.........................  58  80  57  81 /  50  30  50  30
Santa Rosa......................  56  79  56  81 /  60  50  50  40
Tucumcari.......................  59  82  58  84 /  50  40  50  30
Clovis..........................  58  80  58  81 /  60  60  60  40
Portales........................  59  80  59  81 /  60  60  60  40
Fort Sumner.....................  59  81  59  82 /  60  60  50  40
Roswell.........................  62  86  61  86 /  60  60  30  40
Picacho.........................  56  79  56  80 /  50  50  30  30
Elk.............................  54  76  53  76 /  50  40  20  30

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

40

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
609 AM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ501>540-161200-
NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-
NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-
WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS-
SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS-
WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTOS ABOVE 9500 FEET-
EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-
LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-
MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA-
LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY-
SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA-
FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY-
HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY-
CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
609 AM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
NEW MEXICO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS AND SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. LARGE HAIL AND STRONG WIND GUSTS ARE THE MAIN THREAT BUT
CANT RULE OUT A TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE EASTERN
PLAINS ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR SEVERE STORMS.

50

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
323 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0300 PM     HAIL             16 NE DUNKEN            32.97N 105.00W
09/15/2016  M1.75 INCH       CHAVES             NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WITH A FEW FUNNEL CLOUDS.

&&

EVENT NUMBER ABQ1601395

RJH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
330 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ539-152200-
EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-
330 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY UNTIL
400 PM MDT...

AT 330 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 22
MILES SOUTHWEST OF RAMON...OR 23 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORONA...MOVING
EAST AT 35 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF NORTHEASTERN
LINCOLN COUNTY.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3397 10534 3415 10536 3423 10495 3396 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 258DEG 30KT 3407 10524

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
340 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ540-152200-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
340 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR  UNTIL 400 PM MDT...

AT 339 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 20
MILES EAST OF DUNKEN...OR 26 MILES WEST OF ARTESIA...MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE
WITH THIS STORM. LARGER HAIL IS EXPECTED IN EDDY COUNTY ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWEST CHAVES
COUNTY.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3284 10490 3294 10490 3295 10484 3284 10484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2139Z 258DEG 30KT 3288 10485

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
403 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ540-152230-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
403 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM MDT...

AT 402 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF DUNKEN...OR 24 MILES EAST OF TIMBERON...MOVING
EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DUNKEN.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3270 10535 3281 10535 3291 10515 3266 10504
      3261 10532
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 249DEG 12KT 3273 10528

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
418 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ540-152245-
SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY-
418 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES COUNTY UNTIL
445 PM MDT...

AT 418 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
PINON...OR 21 MILES EAST OF TIMBERON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN CHAVES
COUNTY.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR YOUR PREFERRED
MEDIA OUTLETS AND NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3273 10535 3281 10530 3264 10505 3252 10521
      3252 10535
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 218DEG 13KT 3257 10533

34

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM
453 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

NMZ523-533-152330-
CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-GUADALUPE COUNTY-
453 PM MDT THU SEP 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GUADALUPE AND EAST
CENTRAL TORRANCE COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM MDT...

AT 453 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
VAUGHN...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

PENNY SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VAUGHN AND DURAN.

THIS INCLUDES HIGHWAY 285 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 190 AND 204.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...TAKE SHELTER IN A
STURDY BUILDING.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
CENTRAL AND EAST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO.

LAT...LON 3446 10542 3462 10540 3467 10492 3440 10492
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 270DEG 20KT 3454 10524

34