Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 388

July 15, 20167 counties in Colorado; 22 counties in Kansas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 15, 2016, 1:12 PM MDT for 7 counties in Colorado; 22 counties in Kansas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 15, 2016, 1:12 PM MDT (19:12 UTC)
Expired
Jul 15, 2016, 8:00 PM MDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 29 counties

Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Cheyenne County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Yuma County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Clark County, KS, Finney County, KS, Ford County, KS, Grant County, KS, Gray County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Hamilton County, KS, Haskell County, KS, Hodgeman County, KS, Kearny County, KS, Lane County, KS, Logan County, KS, Meade County, KS, Morton County, KS, Scott County, KS, Seward County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Stanton County, KS, Stevens County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Wichita County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:14 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

39 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 15, 1:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDKit Carson30 min
Jul 15, 1:38 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne52 min
Jul 15, 1:43 PM MDTTornado WarningGLDCheyenne17 min
Jul 15, 1:47 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne43 min
Jul 15, 2:10 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedGLDCheyenne35 min
Jul 15, 2:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne46 min
Jul 15, 2:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa39 min
Jul 15, 2:26 PM MDTTornado Warning Tornado observedPUBKiowa34 min
Jul 15, 2:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca24 min
Jul 15, 3:00 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers30 min
Jul 15, 3:01 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton44 min
Jul 15, 3:03 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers27 min
Jul 15, 3:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley40 min
Jul 15, 3:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCLane, Scott32 min
Jul 15, 3:18 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCHamilton27 min
Jul 15, 3:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBBaca32 min
Jul 15, 3:29 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBKiowa, Prowers31 min
Jul 15, 3:30 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Lane, Scott48 min
Jul 15, 3:33 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHodgeman, Ness57 min
Jul 15, 3:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCGrant, Stanton43 min
Jul 15, 3:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Scott44 min
Jul 15, 3:41 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCHamilton34 min
Jul 15, 3:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDGreeley49 min
Jul 15, 3:44 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton, Kearny46 min
Jul 15, 4:04 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCHamilton26 min
Jul 15, 4:10 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCGrant, Haskell50 min
Jul 15, 4:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Gray60 min
Jul 15, 4:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFord, Hodgeman65 min
Jul 15, 4:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCHamilton25 min
Jul 15, 4:34 PM MDTTornado WarningDDCGray41 min
Jul 15, 4:36 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFinney, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward54 min
Jul 15, 4:45 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCFord, Hodgeman60 min
Jul 15, 4:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Meade54 min
Jul 15, 4:57 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningDDCHamilton3 hr
Jul 15, 5:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward44 min
Jul 15, 5:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Ford53 min
Jul 15, 5:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Meade, Seward54 min
Jul 15, 6:16 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Kiowa, Meade44 min
Jul 15, 6:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDDCClark, Ford28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDEN), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 23 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2016-07-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
23 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-351 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
3003 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
136 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 7:19 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrowley, El Paso, Huerfano, Las Animas, Otero, Pueblo26 min
Jul 15, 12:44 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Kiowa, Kit Carson, Prowers91 min
Jul 15, 4:16 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCProwers119 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kansas, 2016Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Colorado, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.