Severe Thunderstorm Warning 236, NWS Dodge City, KS

639 
WWUS53 KDDC 152309
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
609 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC025-055-057-069-081-119-152345-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0236.000000T0000Z-160715T2345Z/
FINNEY KS-GRAY KS-FORD KS-CLARK KS-MEADE KS-HASKELL KS-
609 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN FINNEY...SOUTHERN GRAY...SOUTHWESTERN FORD...
NORTHWESTERN CLARK...NORTHERN MEADE AND NORTHEASTERN HASKELL
COUNTIES...

AT 608 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 4 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF MONTEZUMA...MOVING SOUTH AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS OF 70 MPH. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTEZUMA...FOWLER...COPELAND...ENSIGN AND THE HAGGARD ELEV. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 10058 3776 10070 3780 10025 3738 10007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 346DEG 35KT 3753 10040 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

001 
WWUS53 KDDC 152328
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
628 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC025-055-057-069-081-119-152345-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0236.000000T0000Z-160715T2345Z/
FINNEY KS-GRAY KS-FORD KS-CLARK KS-MEADE KS-HASKELL KS-
628 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN FINNEY...SOUTHERN GRAY...SOUTHWESTERN FORD...
NORTHWESTERN CLARK...NORTHERN MEADE AND NORTHEASTERN HASKELL
COUNTIES...

AT 627 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF
MEADE...MOVING SOUTH AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

WINDS TO NEAR 70 MPH ARE LIKELY. SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE HAS BEEN
REPORTED IN MONTEZUMA.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTEZUMA...FOWLER...COPELAND...ENSIGN AND THE HAGGARD ELEV. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 10058 3776 10070 3780 10025 3738 10007
TIME...MOT...LOC 2327Z 347DEG 38KT 3733 10034 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
229 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...Updated Short Term and Long Term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Potentially significant severe weather event is about to unfold
across far western Kansas. At 19Z, we were tracking an old outflow
boundary extending from just south of GLD to just south of
LaCrosse. This boundary was starting to stall out with late
afternoon insolation setting in. This boundary, in addition to a
triple point area just south of GLD, will be the focus for
thunderstorm development. In fact, storms were already underway at
the triple point southwest of GLD. Additional storms were starting
to form in the well-mixed hot airmass in Baca Co. We fully expect
a severe MCS, potentially signficant, to roll southeast through
much of southwest KS through the evening. There may be a couple of
80-mph wind gust/damage reports in this setup along with
(initially early) golfball hail reports. The very damaging wind
threat is of moist concern, however. The MCS will likely clear
southwest KS in the 04-07z time frame, but not before resulting in
some widespread 0.50 to 1.00 inch rainfall amounts. The forward-
propagating tendency of the MCS would most likely prevent
excessive rainfall in this event.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Not much emphasis on the Long Term given quieter weather regime
through much of this period and all the focus on the more
important near term severe weather threat. Looking at the long
term global models, they all still agree on a 600 decameter 500mb
high settling in through much of the week which will result in
persistent daytime highs around 100 each day and lows generally in
the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

A severe MCS is forecast to move southeast across southwest KS
this evening, which will most likely impact GCK and DDC terminals.
HYS will probably be glanced by the MCS, but will include VCTS for
a few hours there, too. Very strong winds may occur at both GCK
and DDC terminals with the thunderstorms this evenings, perhaps
briefly in excess of 45 or 50 knots. The thunderstorm activity
will likely clear the region in the 03-06z time frame with VFR
resuming and a gradual shift in wind to the east and southeast by
Saturday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  94  73 100 /  70  10  10  10
GCK  66  95  72 100 /  70  10  10  10
EHA  65  98  72 101 /  60  10  10  10
LBL  66  98  73 102 /  70  10  10  10
HYS  66  91  73  99 /  40  10  10  10
P28  68  94  74 100 /  70  20  10  10

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Umscheid
LONG TERM...Umscheid
AVIATION...Umscheid

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-161645-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 /1032 AM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING, WITH POTENTIALLY WIDELY SCATTERED SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GREATER THAN GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL
AND VERY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY FIRST DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
NORTHEAST COLORADO AND FAR NORTHWEST KANSAS, THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST
AS THEY MATURE AND GROW INTO A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DURING
THE EVENING HOURS.THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL INCLUDE
AREAS BETWEEN THE COLORADO BORDER AND HIGHWAY 283 FROM A SCOTT
CITY LATITUDE IN THE NORTH DOWN TO THE OKLAHOMA BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORMS SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING OVER MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS,
PARTICULARLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 283 CORRIDOR TO THE
COLORADO BORDER.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

UMSCHEID

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
507 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          5 E COOLIDGE            38.04N 101.92W
07/15/2016                   HAMILTON           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
510 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          5 WNW SYRACUSE          38.00N 101.84W
07/15/2016                   HAMILTON           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE TORNADO WAS REPORT NEAR COUNTY ROAD L
            AND HIGHWAY 50.

&&

RB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
522 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             9 W JETMORE             38.08N 100.06W
07/15/2016  M1.25 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
524 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          4 W SYRACUSE            37.98N 101.82W
07/15/2016                   HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

            CHASER REPORTED CONE TORNADO THAT LASTED 20 MINS.

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
537 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HAIL             7 E COOLIDGE            38.04N 101.88W
07/15/2016  M1.25 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
543 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW PIERCEVILLE        37.93N 100.72W
07/15/2016  M74 MPH          FINNEY             KS   ASOS

            THIS REPORT IS AT THE GARDEN CITY AIRPORT.

&&

LEE