Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 233, NWS Dodge City, KS

July 15, 2016Hamilton County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2016, 4:29 PM MDT for Hamilton County, Kansas. It was in force for 25 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 15, 2016, 4:29 PM MDT (22:29 UTC)
Expired: Jul 15, 2016, 4:54 PM MDT
In force: 25 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 2.0 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

County Hamilton County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 160 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 15, 1:12 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 166 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 568 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -275 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1322 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

428 
WUUS53 KDDC 152229
SVRDDC
KSC075-152315-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0233.160715T2229Z-160715T2315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
429 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CENTRAL HAMILTON COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 515 PM MDT

* AT 428 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED VERY NEAR
  SYRACUSE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

  HAZARD...TWO INCH HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
           CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
           MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SYRACUSE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3789 10190 3806 10185 3805 10158 3777 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 2228Z 285DEG 12KT 3796 10177 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...2.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

2 follow-up statements

717 
WWUS53 KDDC 152244
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
444 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC075-152315-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
HAMILTON KS-
444 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY...

AT 444 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF SYRACUSE...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SYRACUSE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3785 10180 3806 10172 3805 10158 3777 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 285DEG 12KT 3795 10170 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

TURNER

896 
WWUS53 KDDC 152254
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
454 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC075-152303-
/O.CAN.KDDC.SV.W.0233.000000T0000Z-160715T2315Z/
HAMILTON KS-
454 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN HAMILTON COUNTY
IS CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED AND
MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED AREA. 

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM MDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3785 10180 3806 10172 3805 10158 3777 10165
TIME...MOT...LOC 2253Z 285DEG 12KT 3794 10166 

$$

TURNER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 1:29 PM MDT, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 1:29 PM MDT, 3 hours before

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
229 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...Updated Short Term and Long Term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Potentially significant severe weather event is about to unfold
across far western Kansas. At 19Z, we were tracking an old outflow
boundary extending from just south of GLD to just south of
LaCrosse. This boundary was starting to stall out with late
afternoon insolation setting in. This boundary, in addition to a
triple point area just south of GLD, will be the focus for
thunderstorm development. In fact, storms were already underway at
the triple point southwest of GLD. Additional storms were starting
to form in the well-mixed hot airmass in Baca Co. We fully expect
a severe MCS, potentially signficant, to roll southeast through
much of southwest KS through the evening. There may be a couple of
80-mph wind gust/damage reports in this setup along with
(initially early) golfball hail reports. The very damaging wind
threat is of moist concern, however. The MCS will likely clear
southwest KS in the 04-07z time frame, but not before resulting in
some widespread 0.50 to 1.00 inch rainfall amounts. The forward-
propagating tendency of the MCS would most likely prevent
excessive rainfall in this event.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Not much emphasis on the Long Term given quieter weather regime
through much of this period and all the focus on the more
important near term severe weather threat. Looking at the long
term global models, they all still agree on a 600 decameter 500mb
high settling in through much of the week which will result in
persistent daytime highs around 100 each day and lows generally in
the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

A severe MCS is forecast to move southeast across southwest KS
this evening, which will most likely impact GCK and DDC terminals.
HYS will probably be glanced by the MCS, but will include VCTS for
a few hours there, too. Very strong winds may occur at both GCK
and DDC terminals with the thunderstorms this evenings, perhaps
briefly in excess of 45 or 50 knots. The thunderstorm activity
will likely clear the region in the 03-06z time frame with VFR
resuming and a gradual shift in wind to the east and southeast by
Saturday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  94  73 100 /  70  10  10  10
GCK  66  95  72 100 /  70  10  10  10
EHA  65  98  72 101 /  60  10  10  10
LBL  66  98  73 102 /  70  10  10  10
HYS  66  91  73  99 /  40  10  10  10
P28  68  94  74 100 /  70  20  10  10

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Umscheid
LONG TERM...Umscheid
AVIATION...Umscheid

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 10:32 AM MDT, 5 hours 57 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-161645-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 /1032 AM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING, WITH POTENTIALLY WIDELY SCATTERED SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GREATER THAN GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL
AND VERY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY FIRST DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
NORTHEAST COLORADO AND FAR NORTHWEST KANSAS, THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST
AS THEY MATURE AND GROW INTO A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DURING
THE EVENING HOURS.THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL INCLUDE
AREAS BETWEEN THE COLORADO BORDER AND HIGHWAY 283 FROM A SCOTT
CITY LATITUDE IN THE NORTH DOWN TO THE OKLAHOMA BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORMS SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING OVER MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS,
PARTICULARLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 283 CORRIDOR TO THE
COLORADO BORDER.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

UMSCHEID

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:01 PM MDT, 28 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
501 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0456 PM     HAIL             4 E JETMORE             38.09N 99.82W
07/15/2016  E1.00 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            .

&&

LEE

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:05 PM MDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
505 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             4 E JETMORE             38.08N 99.82W
07/15/2016  M1.25 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOME STONES LARGER

&&

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:07 PM MDT, 22 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
507 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          5 E COOLIDGE            38.04N 101.92W
07/15/2016                   HAMILTON           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:10 PM MDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
510 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          5 WNW SYRACUSE          38.00N 101.84W
07/15/2016                   HAMILTON           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE TORNADO WAS REPORT NEAR COUNTY ROAD L
            AND HIGHWAY 50.

&&

RB

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:22 PM MDT, 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
522 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             9 W JETMORE             38.08N 100.06W
07/15/2016  M1.25 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

Local storm report, Jul 15, 4:24 PM MDT, 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
524 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          4 W SYRACUSE            37.98N 101.82W
07/15/2016                   HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

            CHASER REPORTED CONE TORNADO THAT LASTED 20 MINS.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 15, 2:46 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Morton	59 min
Jul 15, 3:01 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton	44 min
Jul 15, 3:04 PM MDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	56 min
Jul 15, 3:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	32 min
Jul 15, 3:18 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hamilton	27 min
Jul 15, 3:30 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	48 min
Jul 15, 3:33 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness	57 min
Jul 15, 3:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Stanton	43 min
Jul 15, 3:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Scott	44 min
Jul 15, 3:41 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hamilton	34 min
Jul 15, 3:44 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	46 min
Jul 15, 4:04 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hamilton	26 min
Jul 15, 4:10 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Haskell	50 min
Jul 15, 4:15 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray	60 min
Jul 15, 4:25 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	65 min
Jul 15, 4:34 PM MDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Gray	41 min
Jul 15, 4:36 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	54 min
Jul 15, 4:45 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	60 min
Jul 15, 4:51 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Meade	54 min
Jul 15, 4:57 PM MDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Hamilton	3 hr
Jul 15, 5:16 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	44 min
Jul 15, 5:37 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford	53 min
Jul 15, 5:51 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade, Seward	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.