Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 238, NWS Dodge City, KS

July 15, 2016Clark County, Ford County, Kansas

NWS Dodge City, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 15, 2016, 6:37 PM CDT for Clark County, Ford County, Kansas. It was in force for 53 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 15, 2016, 6:37 PM CDT (23:37 UTC)
Expired: Jul 15, 2016, 7:30 PM CDT
In force: 53 min
Issued by: NWS Dodge City, KS
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.88 in
Wind: 70.0 mph

Counties Clark County, KS, Ford County, KS

The radar

The Dodge City radar (KDDC), 38 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 2 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 15, 2:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 568 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -275 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1322 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -65 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: -38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

585 
WUUS53 KDDC 152337
SVRDDC
KSC025-057-160030-
/O.NEW.KDDC.SV.W.0238.160715T2337Z-160716T0030Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
637 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN DODGE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTH CENTRAL FORD COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...
  NORTHERN CLARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS...

* UNTIL 730 PM CDT

* AT 635 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED NEAR
  BLOOM...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH. 

  HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

  IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO 
           MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MINNEOLA...BLOOM...CLARK STATE LAKE AND KINGSDOWN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 9987 3746 10011 3747 10011 3747 10012
      3751 10016 3764 9985 3735 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 2335Z 326DEG 41KT 3749 9996 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

2 follow-up statements

387 
WWUS53 KDDC 160001
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
701 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC025-057-160030-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-160716T0030Z/
FORD KS-CLARK KS-
701 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FORD AND NORTHERN CLARK COUNTIES...

AT 701 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF CLARK STATE LAKE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND NICKEL SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. DAMAGE IS LIKELY TO MOBILE 
         HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MINNEOLA...BLOOM...CLARK STATE LAKE AND KINGSDOWN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 9986 3746 10010 3747 10010 3747 10011
      3751 10015 3764 9985 3735 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 319DEG 14KT 3737 9984 

HAIL...0.88IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

738 
WWUS53 KDDC 160011
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
711 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC025-057-160030-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0238.000000T0000Z-160716T0030Z/
FORD KS-CLARK KS-
711 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM CDT
FOR SOUTH CENTRAL FORD AND NORTHERN CLARK COUNTIES...

AT 711 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CLARK STATE
LAKE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS IS A VERY DANGEROUS STORM.

HAZARD...80 MPH WIND GUSTS AND PENNY SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE HEAVILY DAMAGED. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO ROOFS...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. 
         EXTENSIVE TREE DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES ARE LIKELY. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MINNEOLA...BLOOM...CLARK STATE LAKE AND KINGSDOWN. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3721 9986 3746 10010 3747 10010 3747 10011
      3751 10015 3764 9985 3735 9957
TIME...MOT...LOC 0011Z 319DEG 21KT 3737 9982 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...80MPH
 
$$

TURNER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Dodge City, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 2:29 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 15, 2:29 PM CDT, 4 hours 8 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
229 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...Updated Short Term and Long Term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Potentially significant severe weather event is about to unfold
across far western Kansas. At 19Z, we were tracking an old outflow
boundary extending from just south of GLD to just south of
LaCrosse. This boundary was starting to stall out with late
afternoon insolation setting in. This boundary, in addition to a
triple point area just south of GLD, will be the focus for
thunderstorm development. In fact, storms were already underway at
the triple point southwest of GLD. Additional storms were starting
to form in the well-mixed hot airmass in Baca Co. We fully expect
a severe MCS, potentially signficant, to roll southeast through
much of southwest KS through the evening. There may be a couple of
80-mph wind gust/damage reports in this setup along with
(initially early) golfball hail reports. The very damaging wind
threat is of moist concern, however. The MCS will likely clear
southwest KS in the 04-07z time frame, but not before resulting in
some widespread 0.50 to 1.00 inch rainfall amounts. The forward-
propagating tendency of the MCS would most likely prevent
excessive rainfall in this event.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Not much emphasis on the Long Term given quieter weather regime
through much of this period and all the focus on the more
important near term severe weather threat. Looking at the long
term global models, they all still agree on a 600 decameter 500mb
high settling in through much of the week which will result in
persistent daytime highs around 100 each day and lows generally in
the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

A severe MCS is forecast to move southeast across southwest KS
this evening, which will most likely impact GCK and DDC terminals.
HYS will probably be glanced by the MCS, but will include VCTS for
a few hours there, too. Very strong winds may occur at both GCK
and DDC terminals with the thunderstorms this evenings, perhaps
briefly in excess of 45 or 50 knots. The thunderstorm activity
will likely clear the region in the 03-06z time frame with VFR
resuming and a gradual shift in wind to the east and southeast by
Saturday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  94  73 100 /  70  10  10  10
GCK  66  95  72 100 /  70  10  10  10
EHA  65  98  72 101 /  60  10  10  10
LBL  66  98  73 102 /  70  10  10  10
HYS  66  91  73  99 /  40  10  10  10
P28  68  94  74 100 /  70  20  10  10

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Umscheid
LONG TERM...Umscheid
AVIATION...Umscheid

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 15, 11:32 AM CDT, 7 hours 5 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-161645-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 /1032 AM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING, WITH POTENTIALLY WIDELY SCATTERED SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GREATER THAN GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL
AND VERY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY FIRST DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
NORTHEAST COLORADO AND FAR NORTHWEST KANSAS, THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST
AS THEY MATURE AND GROW INTO A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DURING
THE EVENING HOURS.THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL INCLUDE
AREAS BETWEEN THE COLORADO BORDER AND HIGHWAY 283 FROM A SCOTT
CITY LATITUDE IN THE NORTH DOWN TO THE OKLAHOMA BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORMS SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING OVER MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS,
PARTICULARLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 283 CORRIDOR TO THE
COLORADO BORDER.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

UMSCHEID

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:22 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
522 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0521 PM     HAIL             9 W JETMORE             38.08N 100.06W
07/15/2016  M1.25 INCH       HODGEMAN           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:24 PM CDT, 1 hour 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
524 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TORNADO          4 W SYRACUSE            37.98N 101.82W
07/15/2016                   HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

            CHASER REPORTED CONE TORNADO THAT LASTED 20 MINS.

&&

Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:37 PM CDT, 1 hour before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
537 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0534 PM     HAIL             7 E COOLIDGE            38.04N 101.88W
07/15/2016  M1.25 INCH       HAMILTON           KS   STORM CHASER

&&

Local storm report, Jul 15, 5:43 PM CDT, 54 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
543 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0527 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 NW PIERCEVILLE        37.93N 100.72W
07/15/2016  M74 MPH          FINNEY             KS   ASOS

            THIS REPORT IS AT THE GARDEN CITY AIRPORT.

&&

LEE

Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:18 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
618 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 NW DODGE CITY         37.78N 100.04W
07/15/2016  E85 MPH          FORD               KS   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LOST WINDOW TOO

&&

Local storm report, Jul 15, 6:22 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
622 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0620 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 NW DODGE CITY         37.78N 100.04W
07/15/2016                   FORD               KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED A SEMI WAS BLOWN
            OVER ON HIGHWAY 50.

&&

RB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Dodge City, KS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 15, 3:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Morton	59 min
Jul 15, 4:01 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton	44 min
Jul 15, 4:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	DDC	Scott	56 min
Jul 15, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Lane, Scott	32 min
Jul 15, 4:18 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hamilton	27 min
Jul 15, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Lane, Scott	48 min
Jul 15, 4:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hodgeman, Ness	57 min
Jul 15, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Stanton	43 min
Jul 15, 4:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Scott	44 min
Jul 15, 4:41 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hamilton	34 min
Jul 15, 4:44 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton, Kearny	46 min
Jul 15, 5:04 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Hamilton	26 min
Jul 15, 5:10 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Grant, Haskell	50 min
Jul 15, 5:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray	60 min
Jul 15, 5:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	65 min
Jul 15, 5:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Hamilton	25 min
Jul 15, 5:34 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	DDC	Gray	41 min
Jul 15, 5:36 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Finney, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	54 min
Jul 15, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Ford, Hodgeman	60 min
Jul 15, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Finney, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Meade	54 min
Jul 15, 5:57 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	DDC	Hamilton	3 hr
Jul 15, 6:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Ford, Gray, Haskell, Meade, Seward	44 min
Jul 15, 6:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	DDC	Clark, Meade, Seward	54 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2016 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.