Severe Thunderstorm Warning 223, NWS Dodge City, KS

204 
WWUS53 KDDC 152113
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
313 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC075-152145-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0223.000000T0000Z-160715T2145Z/
HAMILTON KS-
313 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR NORTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY...

AT 312 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 11 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF HORACE...OR 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF TRIBUNE...MOVING SOUTH AT 20
MPH. ANOTHER SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF
COOLIDGE MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. 

HAZARD...70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE 
         TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES...
         ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COOLIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10204 3826 10174 3811 10165 3803 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 338DEG 19KT 3834 10191 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

717 
WWUS53 KDDC 152130
SVSDDC

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
330 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSC075-152145-
/O.CON.KDDC.SV.W.0223.000000T0000Z-160715T2145Z/
HAMILTON KS-
330 PM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 345 PM MDT
FOR NORTHERN HAMILTON COUNTY...

AT 330 PM MDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 16 MILES SOUTH OF
HORACE...OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF TRIBUNE...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

HAZARD...GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL 
         DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS...AND VEHICLES. EXPECT 
         CONSIDERABLE TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO 
         MOBILE HOMES...ROOFS...AND OUTBUILDINGS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
COOLIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3826 10204 3826 10174 3811 10165 3803 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2130Z 338DEG 19KT 3825 10186 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.75IN
WIND...70MPH
 
$$

TURNER

Area Forecast Discussion...CORRECTED
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
229 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...Updated Short Term and Long Term sections...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Potentially significant severe weather event is about to unfold
across far western Kansas. At 19Z, we were tracking an old outflow
boundary extending from just south of GLD to just south of
LaCrosse. This boundary was starting to stall out with late
afternoon insolation setting in. This boundary, in addition to a
triple point area just south of GLD, will be the focus for
thunderstorm development. In fact, storms were already underway at
the triple point southwest of GLD. Additional storms were starting
to form in the well-mixed hot airmass in Baca Co. We fully expect
a severe MCS, potentially signficant, to roll southeast through
much of southwest KS through the evening. There may be a couple of
80-mph wind gust/damage reports in this setup along with
(initially early) golfball hail reports. The very damaging wind
threat is of moist concern, however. The MCS will likely clear
southwest KS in the 04-07z time frame, but not before resulting in
some widespread 0.50 to 1.00 inch rainfall amounts. The forward-
propagating tendency of the MCS would most likely prevent
excessive rainfall in this event.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Friday)
Issued at 216 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

Not much emphasis on the Long Term given quieter weather regime
through much of this period and all the focus on the more
important near term severe weather threat. Looking at the long
term global models, they all still agree on a 600 decameter 500mb
high settling in through much of the week which will result in
persistent daytime highs around 100 each day and lows generally in
the lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 1230 PM CDT Fri Jul 15 2016

A severe MCS is forecast to move southeast across southwest KS
this evening, which will most likely impact GCK and DDC terminals.
HYS will probably be glanced by the MCS, but will include VCTS for
a few hours there, too. Very strong winds may occur at both GCK
and DDC terminals with the thunderstorms this evenings, perhaps
briefly in excess of 45 or 50 knots. The thunderstorm activity
will likely clear the region in the 03-06z time frame with VFR
resuming and a gradual shift in wind to the east and southeast by
Saturday morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  66  94  73 100 /  70  10  10  10
GCK  66  95  72 100 /  70  10  10  10
EHA  65  98  72 101 /  60  10  10  10
LBL  66  98  73 102 /  70  10  10  10
HYS  66  91  73  99 /  40  10  10  10
P28  68  94  74 100 /  70  20  10  10

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Umscheid
LONG TERM...Umscheid
AVIATION...Umscheid

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSZ030-031-043>046-061>066-074>081-084>090-161645-
TREGO-ELLIS-SCOTT-LANE-NESS-RUSH-HAMILTON-KEARNY-FINNEY-HODGEMAN-
PAWNEE-STAFFORD-STANTON-GRANT-HASKELL-GRAY-FORD-EDWARDS-KIOWA-
PRATT-MORTON-STEVENS-SEWARD-MEADE-CLARK-COMANCHE-BARBER-
1132 AM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016 /1032 AM MDT FRI JUL 15 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...SOUTH
CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING, WITH POTENTIALLY WIDELY SCATTERED SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GREATER THAN GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL
AND VERY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 80 MPH. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
LIKELY FIRST DEVELOP DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS
NORTHEAST COLORADO AND FAR NORTHWEST KANSAS, THEN MOVE SOUTHEAST
AS THEY MATURE AND GROW INTO A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX DURING
THE EVENING HOURS.THE GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL INCLUDE
AREAS BETWEEN THE COLORADO BORDER AND HIGHWAY 283 FROM A SCOTT
CITY LATITUDE IN THE NORTH DOWN TO THE OKLAHOMA BORDER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORMS SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE THIS EVENING OVER MUCH OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS,
PARTICULARLY ALONG AND WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 283 CORRIDOR TO THE
COLORADO BORDER.

&&

FOR MORE INFORMATION VISIT OUR WEBPAGE AT HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/DDC

UMSCHEID

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS
346 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

KSZ084-152145-
MORTON KS-
346 PM CDT FRI JUL 15 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORTON COUNTY UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 346 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10
MILES SOUTHEAST OF STONINGTON...OR 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELKHART...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RICHFIELD AND WILBURTON.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHWESTERN KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3736 10204 3738 10171 3700 10166 3706 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 2046Z 245DEG 10KT 3717 10209

UMSCHEID