Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 239

June 9, 201632 counties in Montana

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 9, 2016, 1:01 PM MDT for 32 counties in Montana. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 9, 2016, 1:01 PM MDT (19:01 UTC)
Expired
Jun 9, 2016, 10:00 PM MDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 32 counties

Blaine County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Hill County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, McCone County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 1:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus53 min
Jun 9, 1:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXHill48 min
Jun 9, 1:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin47 min
Jun 9, 1:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus38 min
Jun 9, 2:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBlaine, Hill37 min
Jun 9, 2:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXChouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin42 min
Jun 9, 2:19 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWSheridan24 min
Jun 9, 2:24 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Judith Basin, Meagher66 min
Jun 9, 2:28 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Cascade, Judith Basin, Meagher39 min
Jun 9, 2:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus29 min
Jun 9, 2:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXBroadwater, Cascade, Lewis and Clark, Meagher56 min
Jun 9, 2:51 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus54 min
Jun 9, 2:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus33 min
Jun 9, 3:06 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Petroleum54 min
Jun 9, 3:18 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin57 min
Jun 9, 3:21 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXCascade, Chouteau, Judith Basin, Meagher54 min
Jun 9, 3:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus16 min
Jun 9, 3:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Petroleum62 min
Jun 9, 4:12 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTFXFergus, Judith Basin13 min
Jun 9, 4:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield65 min
Jun 9, 5:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWPhillips, Valley42 min
Jun 9, 5:31 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZGolden Valley, Musselshell59 min
Jun 9, 5:32 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Petroleum43 min
Jun 9, 5:54 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Prairie36 min
Jun 9, 5:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell65 min
Jun 9, 5:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie63 min
Jun 9, 6:15 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, Petroleum60 min
Jun 9, 6:22 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone38 min
Jun 9, 6:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZMusselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone63 min
Jun 9, 6:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWRoosevelt, Sheridan18 min
Jun 9, 6:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCuster, Powder River47 min
Jun 9, 6:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie, Wibaux62 min
Jun 9, 7:14 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield31 min
Jun 9, 7:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud28 min
Jun 9, 7:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, Wibaux39 min
Jun 9, 8:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZCuster, Fallon58 min
Jun 9, 8:41 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie, Wibaux49 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2016-06-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 73 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Glasgow Intl Airport, MT at 12:00Z on 2016-06-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 1 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
73 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-354 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2243 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
1 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

214 
WWUS20 KWNS 091859
SEL9  
SPC WW 091859
MTZ000-100400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM MDT THU JUN 9 2016

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA

* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM MDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
    POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN
MONTANA WILL EVOLVE INTO SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS...POSING A
THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
AS THEY SPREAD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF SIDNEY MONTANA TO 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOZEMAN
MONTANA.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.

&&

AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...DIAL

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 9, 11:44 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBroadwater, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, McCone and 4 more3 hr
Jun 9, 1:48 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFergus, Garfield, Judith Basin, McCone, Petroleum57 min
Jun 9, 2:51 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlaine, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fergus, Gallatin and 19 more84 min
Jun 9, 4:06 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Powder River84 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.