Alert archive / Montana / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2016
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 239
The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 9, 2016, 1:01 PM MDT for 32 counties in Montana. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 9, 2016, 1:01 PM MDT (19:01 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 9, 2016, 10:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 32 counties
Blaine County, MT, Broadwater County, MT, Cascade County, MT, Chouteau County, MT, Custer County, MT, Daniels County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Fergus County, MT, Gallatin County, MT, Garfield County, MT, Golden Valley County, MT, Hill County, MT, Judith Basin County, MT, McCone County, MT, Meagher County, MT, Musselshell County, MT, Park County, MT, Petroleum County, MT, Phillips County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Sheridan County, MT, Stillwater County, MT, Sweet Grass County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Valley County, MT, Wheatland County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Yellowstone County, MT
The radar
The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 20%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 2%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
37 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 1:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 53 min |
| Jun 9, 1:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Hill | 48 min |
| Jun 9, 1:43 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin | 47 min |
| Jun 9, 1:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 38 min |
| Jun 9, 2:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Blaine, Hill | 37 min |
| Jun 9, 2:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin | 42 min |
| Jun 9, 2:19 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Sheridan | 24 min |
| Jun 9, 2:24 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Judith Basin, Meagher | 66 min |
| Jun 9, 2:28 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Broadwater, Cascade, Judith Basin, Meagher | 39 min |
| Jun 9, 2:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 29 min |
| Jun 9, 2:34 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Broadwater, Cascade, Lewis and Clark, Meagher | 56 min |
| Jun 9, 2:51 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 54 min |
| Jun 9, 2:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 33 min |
| Jun 9, 3:06 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Petroleum | 54 min |
| Jun 9, 3:18 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Chouteau, Fergus, Judith Basin | 57 min |
| Jun 9, 3:21 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Cascade, Chouteau, Judith Basin, Meagher | 54 min |
| Jun 9, 3:42 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus | 16 min |
| Jun 9, 3:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Petroleum | 62 min |
| Jun 9, 4:12 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TFX | Fergus, Judith Basin | 13 min |
| Jun 9, 4:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield | 65 min |
| Jun 9, 5:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Phillips, Valley | 42 min |
| Jun 9, 5:31 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Golden Valley, Musselshell | 59 min |
| Jun 9, 5:32 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Petroleum | 43 min |
| Jun 9, 5:54 PM MDT | Tornado Warning | GGW | Garfield, McCone, Prairie | 36 min |
| Jun 9, 5:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell | 65 min |
| Jun 9, 5:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Garfield, McCone, Prairie | 63 min |
| Jun 9, 6:15 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield, Petroleum | 60 min |
| Jun 9, 6:22 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone | 38 min |
| Jun 9, 6:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Musselshell, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone | 63 min |
| Jun 9, 6:57 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Roosevelt, Sheridan | 18 min |
| Jun 9, 6:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Powder River | 47 min |
| Jun 9, 6:58 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Prairie, Wibaux | 62 min |
| Jun 9, 7:14 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Garfield | 31 min |
| Jun 9, 7:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Rosebud | 28 min |
| Jun 9, 7:55 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, Wibaux | 39 min |
| Jun 9, 8:17 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BYZ | Custer, Fallon | 58 min |
| Jun 9, 8:41 PM MDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GGW | Dawson, McCone, Prairie, Wibaux | 49 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Glasgow Intl Airport, MT (KGGW), launched 12:00Z, 7.0 hours before the alert went out and 82 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 73 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -354 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2243 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 1 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 23 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
214
WWUS20 KWNS 091859
SEL9
SPC WW 091859
MTZ000-100400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 239
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
100 PM MDT THU JUN 9 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA
* EFFECTIVE THIS THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 100 PM UNTIL
1000 PM MDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER
POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...STORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WESTERN
MONTANA WILL EVOLVE INTO SUPERCELLS AND BOWING SEGMENTS...POSING A
THREAT FOR VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND AND A COUPLE OF TORNADOES
AS THEY SPREAD THROUGH CENTRAL AND EASTERN MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTH
NORTHEAST OF SIDNEY MONTANA TO 35 MILES NORTHWEST OF BOZEMAN
MONTANA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.
&&
AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...DIALSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 11:44 AM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Broadwater, Fergus, Garfield, Golden Valley, Judith Basin, McCone and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Jun 9, 1:48 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Fergus, Garfield, Judith Basin, McCone, Petroleum | 57 min |
| Jun 9, 2:51 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Custer, Daniels, Dawson, Fergus, Gallatin and 19 more | 84 min |
| Jun 9, 4:06 PM MDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Powder River | 84 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Montana, 2016Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.