Special Weather Statement, NWS Atlanta, GA

Area Forecast Discussion...Updated Aviation
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
145 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 301 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016/

.SHORT TERM /Today through Thursday/...
Early this morning some isolated shower/storm development has been
ongoing from weak boundary interactions across the area mainly south
of I-20 corridor. Areas that receive precip would have a better
chance for patchy fog near sunrise.

Compared to previous days...should see a shift to more active
coverage of diurnally driven convection with orographic enhancement
as low level fetch should begin to have south component drawing in
more Gulf moisture. Short range ensemble solution has median MLCAPE
values in 1250-1500 J/kg range for today with slightly higher for
Thursday and Nam thermal profiles continue to have decent mid-level
lapse rates. While no large scale forcing mechanisms look to
influence the area in the fcst period...if daytime heating and any
low level convergence allow for convective initiation...then
subsequent outflow driven development should keep things fairly
scattered rather than isolated as of late. Cannot rule out a few
stronger storms with small hail and strong downburst winds given the
environment. Overall have continued general chance pops today and
slightly higher chance pops Thursday - not enough forcing focus to
include likely.

Temps should still be above norms though not quite as warm as the
last couple days since cloud coverage and precip potential should be
greater with aforementioned moisture return.

Baker

&&

.LONG TERM /Thursday Night through Tuesday/...
Models in good agreement through the long term. Moist unstable
environment will hold over the CWA through the weekend...although
chances of showers and tstorms will increase each day...mainly in
the afternoon and evening hours. As an upper low and associated
cold front moves into the eastern U.S. Saturday night and
Sunday...a more organized pattern for showers and thunderstorms
will develop ahead of the front...mainly on Sunday. Shear
increases Sunday afternoon across north GA and a few storms could
be strong. Drier air will spread across the CWA Sunday night and
Monday bringing cooler temps and lower humidities for early next
week.

17

&&

.AVIATION...
18Z Update...
VFR conditions expected to prevail through the taf period with brief
periods of bkn mid level cut each afternoon... especially in and
around afternoon convection. Continue to expect scattered afternoon
and evening showers and thunderstorms... with a tempo/prob30 TSRA
during the period 18-22z warranted each day. Current ESE winds
around 5-7kts should settle out more SSE this afternoon... then back
slightly more east tonight. Winds mix down more SSE by 15z Thu...
then veer over to SSW by 18z Thu. Speeds around 7kts or less on Thu.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Medium on wind direction. High on all other elements.

39

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          90  68  91  69 /  30  30  30  30
Atlanta         89  71  89  70 /  30  30  40  30
Blairsville     84  64  83  64 /  40  30  40  40
Cartersville    91  68  89  67 /  30  30  40  30
Columbus        93  71  93  71 /  30  20  30  30
Gainesville     88  68  87  68 /  40  30  40  30
Macon           93  68  93  69 /  30  20  30  30
Rome            91  67  90  67 /  30  20  40  40
Peachtree City  90  66  91  66 /  30  20  40  30
Vidalia         93  71  93  72 /  30  20  30  30

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baker/39
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...39

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1115 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-021100-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-
CRAWFORD-CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DEKALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-
FANNIN-FAYETTE-FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-
GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-
JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-
MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-
MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-
PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-
SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-TELFAIR-TOOMBS-
TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-WARREN-
WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1115 AM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY IS LIMITED AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED...A FEW STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THE MAIN THREAT FROM
ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL AND STRONG...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THUNDERSTORM CHANCES GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK AND THIS WEEKEND AS MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASE ACROSS
THE REGION. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DECREASE ONCE AGAIN AS WE HEAD INTO
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. THE MAIN THREAT FROM ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND
STRONG...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
237 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

GAZ019-030-041-011900-
HARALSON GA-POLK GA-FLOYD GA-
237 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN HARALSON...POLK AND
SOUTHERN FLOYD COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...

AT 237 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER CEDARTOWN...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND...UP TO PENNY SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
           CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
CEDARTOWN...ROCKMART...ARAGON...FISH CREEK...FELTON...VAN
WERT...ANTIOCH AND SENEY.

LAT...LON 3400 8537 3414 8523 3402 8498 3382 8520
TIME...MOT...LOC 1837Z 310DEG 5KT 3403 8524

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
248 PM EDT WED JUN 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0234 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNW LA GRANGE         33.05N  85.03W
06/01/2016                   TROUP              GA   PUBLIC

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN LA GRANGE... ALONG GREENWOOD
            STREET. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1600285

DJN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
255 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

GAZ019-011930-
FLOYD GA-
255 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN FLOYD COUNTY UNTIL 330
PM EDT...

AT 255 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR ROME...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND...PEA SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
           GROUND LIGHTNING.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
ROME...CAVE SPRING...COOSA AND LINDALE.

LAT...LON 3441 8520 3418 8504 3417 8505 3410 8531
      3425 8542
TIME...MOT...LOC 1855Z 240DEG 7KT 3422 8529

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
258 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

GAZ001-011930-
DADE GA-
258 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN DADE COUNTY UNTIL 330 PM
EDT...

AT 257 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS OVER TRENTON. THIS STORM
WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND...UP TO PENNY SIZED HAIL...FREQUENT
           CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE
TRENTON...NEW ENGLAND...COLE CITY...CLOUDLAND CANYON STATE PARK AND
STEPHENSVILLE.

LAT...LON 3490 8542 3483 8545 3482 8545 3475 8549
      3479 8557 3498 8560 3498 8556
TIME...MOT...LOC 1857Z 226DEG 2KT 3485 8552

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
300 PM EDT WED JUN 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0255 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N CEDARTOWN           34.02N  85.26W
06/01/2016                   POLK               GA   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN IN VICINITY OF PEEK
            FOREST PARK IN CEDARTOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER FFC1600286

DJN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
301 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

GAZ090-091-011930-
MARION GA-CHATTAHOOCHEE GA-
301 PM EDT WED JUN 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MARION AND EASTERN
CHATTAHOOCHEE COUNTIES UNTIL 330 PM EDT...

AT 301 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS NEAR BUENA VISTA...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

  HAZARD...40 TO 50 MPH WIND...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
           AND HEAVY RAIN.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE OUTDOORS SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. EXPECT
           MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND OF
           LIGHT...UNSECURED OBJECTS. ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES SHOULD
           NOT BE USED UNLESS IN AN EMERGENCY. LOCALIZED FLOODING IN
           LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS IS ALSO LIKELY.
           MOTORISTS SHOULD SLOW DOWN AND BE PREPARED FOR POSSIBLE
           LOSS OF CONTROL DUE TO HYDROPLANING. WHEN WATER COVERS
           THE ROAD...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS STORM INCLUDE BUENA
VISTA...BRANTLEY...MANTA...OAKLAND...ZELLOBEE...MARION ESTATES AND
CHRISTOPHER.

LAT...LON 3224 8474 3250 8472 3253 8453 3232 8441
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 240DEG 7KT 3237 8461