Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 51, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 29, 2016Kendall County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at May 29, 2016, 2:19 AM CDT for Kendall County, Texas. It was in force for 15 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 29, 2016, 2:19 AM CDT (07:19 UTC)
Expired
May 29, 2016, 5:22 PM CDT
In force
15 hr
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Kendall County, TX

The radar

The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Guadalupe River at Comfort (COMT2). The gauge peaked at 27.76 ft at May 29, 2016, 4:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderatemajor102005/2905/30
Action stage
10 ft
Minor stage
21 ft
Moderate stage
26 ft
Major stage
28 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08167000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

150 
WGUS44 KEWX 290719
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
219 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC259-292222-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0051.160529T0719Z-160529T2222Z/
/COMT2.1.ER.160529T0707Z.160529T0800Z.160529T1022Z.NO/
219 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

 The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* until this afternoon...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:45 AM Sunday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight this morning and continue 
  to rise to near 23.6 feet by early this morning.The river will fall below 
  flood stage by early this morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding exceeds the banks into lowest 
  areas of the flood plain with little damage except flooded roads and low 
  bridges. Motorists should enter crossings over the Guadalupe River with care..

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
  Comfort           10   21   19.9   Sun 02 AM  16.8   8.1   6.6   5.8   5.5


&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$
3 follow-up statements
953 
WGUS44 KEWX 290805
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
305 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued 
 a flood warning for the... 

  Guadalupe River 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 
 
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 
 
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 
 
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 
 
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC259-300205-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-160530T0249Z/
/COMT2.3.ER.160529T0651Z.160529T1000Z.160529T1449Z.NO/
305 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity... 
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Major severity... 
The flood warning continues for 
 the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* until this evening...or until the warning is cancelled. 
* At  2:45 AM Sunday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.8 feet by early this 
  morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this morning.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet...Major flooding reaches the lowest residences above 
  Center Point to near Comfort. Numerous secondary and primary roads are flooded
  making low bridges and crossings extremely dangerous. Water approaches a 
  mobile home park in Center Point. As the Guadalupe River backs up Cypress 
  Creek in the west part of Comfort, additional flow in Cypress creek floods 
  homes..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 29.4 feet on May 26 
  1944.

&&


Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:


                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    DAY TIME   Sun   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu
  Comfort           10   21   26.5   Sun 03 AM  26.5   7.9   6.6   5.9   5.5


&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$
810 
WGUS84 KEWX 291356
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
856 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
  Guadalupe River at Hunt Affecting Kerr County
  Guadalupe River At Kerrville Affecting Kerr County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
  Guadalupe River At Comfort Affecting Kendall County
  Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch Affecting Comal County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC265-291426-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0048.000000T0000Z-160530T0140Z/
/HNTT2.1.ER.160529T0353Z.160529T0415Z.160529T0436Z.NO/
856 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Guadalupe River at Hunt.
* At  8:15 AM Sunday the stage was 8.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level may fall slightly or remain around 8.5 feet for the
  next day or so.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet...Water extends into low areas of the flood plain.
* This will be the last forecast for this event.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Hunt               10   10    8.8   Sun 08 AM   8.7   8.3   8.2   8.2   8.1


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9941 3010 9941 3010 9916 3003 9919


$$

TXC265-291426-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-160529T2310Z/
/KRRT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
856 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Guadalupe River At Kerrville.
* At  7:45 AM Sunday the stage was 4.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river crested below flood stage at 8.4 feet. The river will 
  continue falling.
* This will be the last forecast for this event.

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Kerrville           7    9    4.6   Sun 08 AM   2.6   2.2   2.1   2.1   2.1


&&

LAT...LON 3003 9919 3010 9916 2997 9902 3000 9890
      2993 9891 2991 9906             

$$

TXC259-300410-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-160530T0410Z/
/COMT2.2.ER.160529T0651Z.160529T0845Z.160529T1610Z.NO/
856 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* At  7:45 AM Sunday the stage was 24.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is falling rapidly and is expected to go below
  flood stage Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding exceeds the banks into lowest 
  areas of the flood plain. Lowest roads and bridges flood and are dangerous to 
  motorists. As flow backs up Cypress Creek, additional flooding down the creek 
  can flood homes in the west part of Comfort..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Comfort            10   21   24.3   Sun 08 AM   8.3   6.8   6.0   5.6   5.3


&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$

TXC091-300756-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0053.160529T2258Z-160530T2002Z/
/SRGT2.1.ER.160529T2258Z.160530T0300Z.160530T0802Z.NO/
856 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch.
* At  8:00 AM Sunday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise above flood stage by late Sunday
  afternoon and continue to rise crest around 34.4 feet by late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches secondary roads and 
  low bridges in the flood plain. Recreationists should evacuate the river banks
  because of dangerous turbulent flow. Low sections of Guadalupe River State 
  Park have tables, trash cans, and equiment damaged. Lowest homes in Kendall 
  County to Canyon Lake flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Spring Branch      25   30    4.8   Sun 08 AM  20.4   7.5   6.0   5.1   4.7


&&

LAT...LON 2983 9839 2990 9840 2994 9830 2987 9829


$$

sbs
488 
WGUS84 KEWX 291947
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
247 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
  Guadalupe River At Comfort Affecting Kendall County

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
  Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch Affecting Comal County

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

All persons with interests along the river should monitor 
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary 
precautions to protect life and property. 

River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with 
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies 
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary. 

Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches 
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks. 

If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember 
to turn around and do not drown. 

For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at 
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.

&&

TXC259-292017-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-160530T0410Z/
/COMT2.2.ER.160529T0651Z.160529T0845Z.160529T1414Z.NO/
247 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

The flood warning is cancelled for the Guadalupe River At Comfort.
* At  1:45 PM Sunday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level is now well below flood stage and will continue
  falling. It is expected to fall to around 8.5 feet by Monday morning.


&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Comfort            10   21   14.9   Sun 02 PM   8.6   7.2   6.5   5.7   5.4


&&

LAT...LON 2993 9891 3000 9890 2996 9863 2990 9840
      2983 9839 2988 9864             

$$

TXC091-301346-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0053.160530T0144Z-160530T1837Z/
/SRGT2.1.ER.160530T0144Z.160530T0300Z.160530T0637Z.NO/
247 PM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

 The flood warning continues for the Guadalupe River Near Spring Branch.
* At  2:30 PM Sunday the stage was 6.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level will rise above flood stage by Sunday evening and
  continue to rise to near 32.6 feet by late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 36.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches secondary roads and 
  low bridges in the flood plain. Recreationists should evacuate the river banks
  because of dangerous turbulent flow. Low sections of Guadalupe River State 
  Park have tables, trash cans, and equiment damaged. Lowest homes in Kendall 
  County to Canyon Lake flood..

&& 

Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
                    BF  FLD  Observed            Forecast 7AM
Location           STG  STG    STG    Day Time   Mon   Tue   Wed   Thu   Fri
 Spring Branch      25   30    6.2   Sun 02 PM  20.5   7.4   6.3   5.4   4.8


&&

LAT...LON 2983 9839 2990 9840 2994 9830 2987 9829


$$

sbs

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 29, 1:07 AM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 29, 1:07 AM CDT, 1 hour 12 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
107 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

.AVIATION... /06z TAF update/

A small storm complex covering much of the Hill Country and
northern reaches of the Rio Grande Plains will produce some
occasional heavy downpours over SAT through 08z and possibly SSF
through 09z. Lightning and reduced VSBY from torrential downpours
should be the main concern...but a few gusts over 25 knots are
possible at SAT. The lightning extends well to the east in a
stratiform area that is impacting ABIA, but this should decrease
by around 08z. Storms were temporarily pulled from DRT, an outflow
boundary may send convective focus their way between 07z and 09z.
With the complex weakening slightly, will leave this out of the
TAFs for now. There should be a brief period of clearing among the
downdraft air, but IFR CIGS and VSBYS should encroach back into
the TAF sites before daybreak. From there, will follow a mix of
persistence and model guidance in improvements to VFR in the early
afternoon and lowering back to MVFR for most sites in the late
evening.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1109 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

UPDATE...
Complex of storms continues to evolve into a possible overnight
heavy rain threat and continued threat of severe storms. Extended
the severe thunderstorm watch for two hours and added a row of
counties to the east to include Comal and Bexar Counties until
06z.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 937 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

MESOSCALE UPDATE...
Complicated forecast evolution for the overnight period with the
ongoing thunderstorm complex across the northwest CWA. Convection
was kicked off this afternoon with daytime heating in an area of
surface moisture confluence. Some of the storms became severe,
but it appears at the present time that the main threat going
forward will be heavy rainfall. Forecast soundings do show some
de-coupling overnight, but not enough to really increase the
nocturnal cap to help suppress convection. There is little upper
forcing to really support the convection, but since it is now
ongoing, the storms will be able to continue as long as the cold
pools continue to move out from under the convection and help to
sustain and support new updrafts. This seems to be continuing
just fine at the present time as evident by continued cloud tops
on IR of near -75C.

The main question now is how long the storms will continue and
what the overall movement will be. the KEWX VAD wind profile shows
deep south/southeasterly flow of 20 to 30 knots in the lower 7 kft
of the atmosphere with model guidance slightly increasing the
wind speeds. This should help continue to feed the MCC with
moisture and help with some weak lift up the escarpment. The HRRR
has had a tough time with the placement of the current convection
but does show some continued movement of a potential MCC to the
south/southeast. This helps increase confidence of a prolonged
system. Forward propagation vectors do show movement to the east,
but we have not seen that at the present time.

Current thinking is that the system should sustain itself over the
next few hours before some slow weakening should occur. Upped the
pops across the west-central CWA to likely and mentioned locally
heavy rainfall for this area to continue the trend of a slow-
moving system to the SSE. Increased PoPs to the east a bit to
account for any possible eastward movement and to account for
lighter activity forming to the east of the main thunderstorm
core.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 628 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

AVIATION.../00z Update/
Concerns this forecast will be convection this evening and then
the development of MVFR/IFR cigs. Currently isolated showers and
thunderstorms have developed west of I-35. Expecting to see more
development this evening. If the convection does develop and can
last long enough we may see some approach the I-35 sites after
06z. prior to that showers are possible and have included a VCSH
group for KSAT/KSSF. Convection west of KDRT may get close to Del
Rio but timing is not certain and for this reason I did include a
VCTS through 02z. Onset of MVFR cigs likely to be a couple hours
sooner tonight and have all the I-35 terminals seeing the cigs
lower starting 04z- 05z. After 07z-08z should see IFR cigs along
I-35. KDRT will see MVFR cigs starting around 08z with the IFR
cigs expected around 12z. VFR conditions are expected after 17z-
18z. All site have the potential to see fog due to the wet ground.
Lowest visibilities likely at KAUS (2SM) with all other terminals
remaining in the 4sm-6sm range. E/SE winds near 10 knots tonight
then SE 10-15 knots after 15z Sunday. KDRT will see wind gusts to
around 20 knots after 18z through sunset.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/

SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night)...
At 230 PM, South Central Texas surface analysis showed
temperatures ranging from the mid 80s to low 90s with dewpoints in
the low to mid 70s, showing the entire CWA as quite moist and
unstable. North and west of the CWA a dry line was positioned from
just west of Sanderson to Sheffield up to Sweetwater. Latest
RAP/HRRR/LAPS soundings show capping eroding west of a line from
Uvalde to Junction. Weak capping is holding on in SAT/AUS per the
same forecast soundings. Aircraft soundings out of KSAT also show
weakening but still decent cap. With convective temperatures right
around 90-92 degrees and surface temperatures near 90 south of the
Plateau...believe convective initiation will take place in the
next 1-2 hours within the slight risk area SPC has annotated.

With SBCAPE values very high again and DCAPEs AOA 1000 j/kg, very
large hail and wind gusts up to 60 mph will be the main threat.
While the upper level support is lacking currently due to broad
ridging overhead...a shortwave disturbance is progged to enter the
Big Bend region after 7PM. This weak upper level support coupled
with the high instability, decent shear, steep lapse rates, and
theta-e convergence along the dry line, think the slight risk area
is laid out well for this afternoon and evening. Thinking the
tornado threat is rather low but 0-3 km SRH values are in the
150-200 range this evening west of I-35 and LCLs are lowest south
of the escarpment (Winter Garden), so cannot rule out one in this
area.

Thinking storm coverage should wane before midnight as we lose
instability. Tomorrow looks to be a very similar pattern with
afternoon/evening convection along the dry line out west again.
SPC has included the same general area in a slight risk with the
same threats as well for Sunday.

LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)...
A southwest flow regime will set up for the week with weaker
shortwaves impacting the moist air mass over the region through
Tuesday. Included 30-40 PoP values for both Monday and slightly
higher Tuesday as these pass over.

The next significant storm system for South Central Texas looks to
be on Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front. Models are
indicating 1-3 inches of storm total rainfall associated with this
system and with the moist soils from the last few days heavy rain
event, flash flooding would be the main concern Wednesday.
However, the progression of the cold front looks fast enough at
this time that training shouldn't be an issue but due to the
antecedent conditions, the flash flood threat will be possible
regardless.

Late in the week, the cold front should result in a drier and
cooler air mass at least through Saturday. Temperatures should be
below normal, with highs in the 80s for the first week of June.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              71  85  70  84  71 /  20  30  20  40  40
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  71  85  70  85  71 /  20  30  20  40  30
New Braunfels Muni Airport     71  86  71  85  71 /  20  30  30  50  30
Burnet Muni Airport            69  84  69  83  69 /  30  30  30  50  50
Del Rio Intl Airport           73  87  71  88  72 /  40  30  40  40  40
Georgetown Muni Airport        69  84  69  84  70 /  20  30  20  40  40
Hondo Muni Airport             72  87  71  86  71 /  20  30  40  50  40
San Marcos Muni Airport        71  86  69  84  71 /  20  30  20  40  30
La Grange - Fayette Regional   72  86  70  85  72 /  10  20  10  40  20
San Antonio Intl Airport       72  86  72  86  72 /  20  30  30  50  40
Stinson Muni Airport           73  87  73  87  73 /  20  30  30  50  40

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

Mesoscale/Aviation...Oaks
Synoptic/Grids...04
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 10:58 PM CDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1058 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-300400-
LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA-
GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE-
MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA-
FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT-
1058 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 AM FOR AREAS
TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM DEL RIO TO SAN ANTONIO TO
BLANCO. THERE IS A RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING
ACROSS THIS AREA. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY
RAINFALL. SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO 2-4
INCHES OF RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A CONTINUED ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO LATE NEXT
WEEK. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER POTENTIAL OF STORMS
MID-WEEK. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AS IMPACTS FROM
POTENTIAL HAZARDS BECOME MORE CLEAR.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 28, 11:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1142 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1136 PM     HEAVY RAIN       3 N CAMP VERDE          29.93N  99.10W
05/28/2016  M3.00 INCH       KERR               TX   PUBLIC

            3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 1 HOUR

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600477

MCO
Local storm report, May 28, 11:58 PM CDT, 2 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1158 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1156 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 NW KERRVILLE          30.08N  99.18W
05/28/2016                   KERR               TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            EVACUATION OF A HOME ON WEST LANE WITH WATER ENTERING
            HOME

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600478

MCO
Special weather statement, May 29, 12:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 47 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1232 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

TXZ185>187-189-202>204-290615-
BANDERA TX-REAL TX-KINNEY TX-KENDALL TX-MEDINA TX-UVALDE TX-KERR TX-
1232 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN KERR...WESTERN
KENDALL...NORTHERN UVALDE...EAST CENTRAL KINNEY...CENTRAL BANDERA...
NORTHERN MEDINA AND SOUTHERN REAL COUNTIES UNTIL 115 AM CDT...

AT 1232 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WARING TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TARPLEY TO
6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAGUNA. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOERNE...COMFORT...BANDERA...TARPLEY...CAMP WOOD...LAGUNA...GARNER STATE
PARK...MONTELL...LAKEHILLS...RIO FRIO...WARING...CONCAN...PIPE CREEK...
UTOPIA...REAGAN WELLS...WELFARE...NELSON CITY AND BANDERA FALLS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

PERSONS IN CAMPGROUNDS SHOULD CONSIDER SEEKING STURDY SHELTER UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3008 9875 2963 9881 2940 9929 2933 10019
      2962 10007 2963 10001 2967 10003 2972 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 0532Z 017DEG 13KT 2996 9883 2956 9922 2946 10010

ALLEN
Local storm report, May 29, 1:26 AM CDT, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
126 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0118 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BANDERA                 29.72N  99.07W
05/29/2016                   BANDERA            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            2 HIGH WATER RESCUES IN PROGRESS... ONE NEAR MASON
            CREEK AT CHIPMAN LANE AND ANOTHER NEAR RIVER BEND DRIVE

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600479

MCO
Local storm report, May 29, 1:47 AM CDT, 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
147 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0143 AM     HAIL             LAKEHILLS               29.60N  98.94W
05/29/2016  E0.70 INCH       BANDERA            TX   BROADCAST MEDIA

            DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY TV VIEWER

&&

EVENT NUMBER EWX1600480

MCO
Special weather statement, May 29, 2:01 AM CDT, 18 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
201 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

TXZ204-219-290745-
FRIO TX-MEDINA TX-
201 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL FRIO AND CENTRAL
MEDINA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...

AT 201 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES WEST OF MICO TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BIRY TO NEAR YANCEY. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HONDO...MOORE...NEW FOUNTAIN...DUNLAY...BADER...YANCEY...BIRY...QUIHI AND
MICO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

PERSONS IN CAMPGROUNDS SHOULD CONSIDER SEEKING STURDY SHELTER UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.

&&

LAT...LON 2901 9925 2914 9935 2935 9922 2962 9919
      2961 9898 2956 9899 2955 9897 2956 9893
      2961 9888 2961 9884 2897 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0701Z 327DEG 15KT 2953 9907 2928 9909 2914 9918

ALLEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 28, 7:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kerr58 min
May 28, 7:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina40 min
May 28, 7:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXGillespie, Kerr62 min
May 28, 8:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKerr, Real58 min
May 28, 8:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina44 min
May 28, 8:39 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXGillespie, Kerr2 hr
May 28, 9:17 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXReal58 min
May 28, 9:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde56 min
May 28, 9:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Real54 min
May 28, 10:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde57 min
May 28, 10:20 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXReal40 min
May 28, 10:21 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr39 min
May 28, 10:39 PM CDTAreal Flood WarningEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr3 hr
May 28, 10:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal38 min
May 28, 10:53 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXEdwards67 min
May 28, 11:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr55 min
May 28, 11:19 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKerr25 hr
May 28, 11:19 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXKerr17 hr
May 28, 11:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr, Real8 hr
May 28, 11:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde33 min
May 28, 11:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKinney52 min
May 28, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Edwards, Kendall, Kerr, Kinney, Medina and 2 more31 min
May 29, 12:07 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde5 hr
May 29, 12:32 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBandera43 min
May 29, 12:55 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Uvalde65 min
May 29, 1:12 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXEdwards2 hr
May 29, 1:25 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Medina4 hr
May 29, 1:51 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde6 hr
May 29, 2:01 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina44 min
May 29, 2:05 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBandera25 hr
May 29, 2:33 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde42 min
May 29, 2:35 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina40 min
May 29, 2:42 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXKinney, Uvalde2 hr
May 29, 2:50 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde24 hr
May 29, 3:00 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina45 min
May 29, 3:09 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXComal34 hr
May 29, 3:16 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina119 min
May 29, 3:39 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXAtascosa, Bexar, Medina5 hr
May 29, 3:46 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBexar44 min
May 29, 3:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar17 hr
May 29, 3:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar48 hr
May 29, 3:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXBexar, Wilson41 hr
May 29, 4:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXUvalde46 min
May 29, 4:27 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina48 min
May 29, 4:35 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXMedina40 min
May 29, 4:45 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Medina, Uvalde3 hr
May 29, 4:49 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina, Uvalde41 min
May 29, 4:50 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXMedina40 min
May 29, 4:51 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBexar, Comal3 hr
May 29, 4:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde19 hr
May 29, 4:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde16 hr
May 29, 4:51 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde24 hr
May 29, 4:59 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXMedina19 hr
May 29, 5:20 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXMedina17 hr
May 29, 5:20 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXBexar40 min
May 29, 5:58 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXFrio47 min
May 29, 6:38 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFrio3 hr
May 29, 7:18 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa, Frio3 hr
May 29, 7:32 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXBandera, Kendall, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde3 hr
May 29, 8:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa46 min
May 29, 9:14 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXGonzales, Wilson46 min
May 29, 9:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXUvalde26 hr
May 29, 9:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXFrio4 days
May 29, 9:15 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningEWXDimmit4 days
May 29, 9:16 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXKarnes44 min
May 29, 10:03 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Karnes42 min
May 29, 2:36 PM CDTFlash Flood WatchEWXBandera, Blanco, Edwards, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 5 more20 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.