Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 50, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this river flood warning at May 29, 2016, 2:05 AM CDT for Bandera County, Texas. It took effect at May 29, 2016, 3:19 AM CDT. It was in force for 23 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 29, 2016, 2:05 AM CDT (07:05 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 29, 2016, 3:19 AM CDT
- Expired
- May 30, 2016, 2:40 AM CDT
- In force
- 23 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Moderate
County Bandera County, TX
The radar
The Austin/San Antonio radar (KEWX), 95 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Medina River at Bandera (BDAT2). The gauge peaked at 20.44 ft at May 29, 2016, 5:00 AM CDT.
- Action stage
- 10 ft
- Minor stage
- 13 ft
- Moderate stage
- 14 ft
- Major stage
- 24 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08178880, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
562
WGUS44 KEWX 290705
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
205 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued
a flood warning for the...
Medina River
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC019-300105-
/O.NEW.KEWX.FL.W.0050.160529T0837Z-160530T0440Z/
/BDAT2.2.ER.160529T0837Z.160529T1000Z.160529T1640Z.NO/
205 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued a
* Flood Warning for
the Medina River At Bandera.
* until this evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:45 AM Sunday the stage was 11.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early this morning and continue to rise
to near 15.2 feet by early Sunday morning.The river will fall below flood stage
by late Sunday morning. There is a possibility for the river to rise to near
major flooding at 24 feet.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding covers lowest parking sites
at Camp Jellystone in Bandera and is threatening the second level. Residents
in Camp Jellystone should monitor NOAA Weather Radio for developing heavy rain
and flood conditions. Lowest homes at the upper end of Medina Lake are
threatened if the lake is near spillway level..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 14.5 feet on Mar 30
2007.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Bandera 10 13 11.5 Sun 02 AM 14.7 9.8 9.1 8.6 8.3
&&
LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
2954 9898 2967 9900
$$4 follow-up statements
622
WGUS84 KEWX 290820
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
320 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Medina River At Bandera Affecting Bandera County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC019-300220-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0050.160529T0819Z-160530T0940Z/
/BDAT2.2.ER.160529T0711Z.160529T1000Z.160529T2140Z.NO/
320 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
The flood warning continues for
the Medina River At Bandera.
* At 2:45 AM Sunday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 18.2 feet by early this
morning. The river will fall below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding covers lowest parking sites
at Camp Jellystone in Bandera and is threatening the second level. Residents
in Camp Jellystone should monitor NOAA Weather Radio for developing heavy rain
and flood conditions. Lowest homes at the upper end of Medina Lake are
threatened if the lake is near spillway level..
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Bandera 10 13 14.9 Sun 03 AM 18.2 10.5 9.6 9.1 8.7
&&
LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
2954 9898 2967 9900
$$655
WGUS44 KEWX 291008
FLWEWX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
507 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...The National Weather Service in Austin/San Antonio has issued
a flood warning for the...
Medina River
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC019-300407-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-160530T1250Z/
/BDAT2.3.ER.160529T0711Z.160529T1100Z.160530T0050Z.NO/
507 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The flood warning continues for
the Medina River At Bandera.
* until Monday morning...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 4:45 AM Sunday the stage was 20.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.1 feet by this morning.
The river will fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Major flooding reaches all of the RV camp sites at
Camp Jellystone just below Highway 173 in Bandera. Many secondary and primary
roads and bridges near the Medina River are flooded and very dangerous. Lowest
homes at the upper end of Medina Lake flood, with the severity depending on
the Medina Lake level..
* FLOOD HISTORY...THIS CREST COMPARES TO A PREVIOUS CREST OF 24.5 feet on Jun 22
1997.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Bandera 10 13 20.0 Sun 05 AM 24.1 11.2 9.8 9.3 8.9
&&
LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
2954 9898 2967 9900
$$304
WGUS84 KEWX 291443
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
943 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Medina River At Bandera Affecting Bandera County
Leon Creek At I-35 Affecting Bexar County
Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC019-300843-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-160530T1300Z/
/BDAT2.2.ER.160529T0711Z.160529T1000Z.160530T0100Z.NO/
943 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
The flood warning continues for the Medina River At Bandera.
* At 8:45 AM Sunday the stage was 16.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. The river
level will be falling and is expected to go below flood stage by early Sunday
evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding threatens the second level
of trailer spaces at Camp Jellystone at Highway 173 in Bandera and homes at
the upper end of Medina Lake. Lowest trailer sites at Camp Jellystone are
under several feet of water..
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Bandera 10 13 16.1 Sun 09 AM 9.8 8.6 8.2 7.9 7.6
&&
LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
2954 9898 2967 9900
$$
TXC029-300830-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0054.160529T2200Z-160530T0830Z/
/LKST2.1.ER.160529T2200Z.160530T0100Z.160530T0230Z.NO/
943 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
The flood warning continues for the Leon Creek At I-35.
* At 9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 7.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise above flood stage by late Sunday
afternoon and continue to rise to near 15.2 feet by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding reaches secondary and
primary roads and low bridges above Kelly USA to below I-35. Flow approaches
mobile homes at Camargo Park near the Missions Baseball Park..
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
I-35 13 15 7.6 Sun 09 AM 10.6 6.0 4.2 3.7 3.6
&&
LAT...LON 2946 9869 2950 9867 2942 9856 2926 9847
2926 9856 2941 9864
$$
TXC029-300843-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0055.160529T2230Z-160531T1926Z/
/SAAT2.2.ER.160529T2230Z.160530T1200Z.160531T0726Z.NO/
943 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
The flood warning continues for the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At 9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 6.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise above flood stage by late Sunday
afternoon and continue to rise to near 24.4 feet by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding floods secondary roads and
bridges making them dangerous to traffic..
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Hwy 281 16 20 6.6 Sun 09 AM 24.4 17.8 7.9 6.3 6.2
&&
LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838
$$
TXC029-493-300843-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0056.160529T2306Z-160531T1255Z/
/ELMT2.2.ER.160529T2306Z.160530T1200Z.160531T0055Z.NO/
943 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
The flood warning continues for the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At 9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 14.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river level is expected to rise above flood stage by Sunday
evening and continue to rise to near 39.4 feet by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet...Moderate lowland flooding damages crops and floods
pastureland below San Antonio to below Floresville. Secondary roads and low
bridges, irrigation pumps, oil field pump jacks and tank batteries flood.
Livestock are cut off in low areas..
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG Day Time Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Elmendorf 33 35 14.4 Sun 09 AM 39.4 30.0 19.7 16.5 16.1
&&
LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
2894 9813 2915 9825
$$
sbs006
WGUS84 KEWX 300740
FLSEWX
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
240 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016
...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in Texas...
Medina River At Bandera Affecting Bandera County
San Antonio River Near Elmendorf Affecting Bexar and Wilson Counties
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...
Medina River At Hwy 281 Affecting Bexar County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
All persons with interests along the river should monitor
the latest forecasts, and be prepared to take necessary
precautions to protect life and property.
River stage forecasts are based on observed rainfall along with
predicted rain for the next 12 hours. If actual rainfall varies
from forecast values, forecast river stages will vary.
Do not drive automobiles through flooded areas. Remember, 18 inches
of water or less can carry away most vehicles, including trucks.
If you see flood waters or come upon a flooded roadway, remember
to turn around and do not drown.
For the latest river stages and forecasts visit our web page at
www.srh.noaa.gov/ewx.
&&
TXC019-300810-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-160530T1300Z/
/BDAT2.2.ER.160529T0711Z.160529T1000Z.160529T1956Z.NO/
240 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016
The flood warning is cancelled for
the Medina River At Bandera.
* At 1:45 AM Monday the stage was 9.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 9.3 feet by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Water covers lowest areas of the flood plain with no
significant damage. Residents of mobile home parks and the upper end of Medina
Lake should monitor NOAA Weather Radio for developing flood conditions.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Bandera 10 13 9.6 Mon 02 AM 9.2 9.3 8.7 8.3 7.9
&&
LAT...LON 2969 9908 2975 9908 2971 9893 2956 9891
2954 9898 2967 9900
$$
TXC029-310139-
/O.EXT.KEWX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-160531T1213Z/
/SAAT2.1.ER.160530T1730Z.160530T1800Z.160531T0013Z.NO/
240 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016
The flood warning continues for
the Medina River At Hwy 281.
* At 2:15 AM Monday the stage was 14.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to rise to
near 20.2 feet by this afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage by
this evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Minor lowland flooding reaches the Farm to Market 1937
bridge floor.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Hwy 281 16 20 14.7 Mon 02 AM 17.8 13.9 8.6 9.8 14.7
&&
LAT...LON 2922 9857 2929 9857 2926 9835 2919 9838
$$
TXC029-493-300810-
/O.CAN.KEWX.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-160531T1800Z/
/ELMT2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
240 AM CDT MON MAY 30 2016
The flood warning is cancelled for
the San Antonio River Near Elmendorf.
* At 2:30 AM Monday the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest below flood stage at 31.0 feet after midnight
tomorrow.
&&
Below are the latest river stages and forecasts:
BF FLD Observed Forecast 7AM
Location STG STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Elmendorf 33 35 26.5 Mon 02 AM 25.9 30.5 22.2 21.3 25.2
&&
LAT...LON 2919 9838 2926 9835 2920 9817 2899 9804
2894 9813 2915 9825
$$What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 29, 1:07 AM CDT, 58 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 29, 1:07 AM CDT, 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 107 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016 .AVIATION... /06z TAF update/ A small storm complex covering much of the Hill Country and northern reaches of the Rio Grande Plains will produce some occasional heavy downpours over SAT through 08z and possibly SSF through 09z. Lightning and reduced VSBY from torrential downpours should be the main concern...but a few gusts over 25 knots are possible at SAT. The lightning extends well to the east in a stratiform area that is impacting ABIA, but this should decrease by around 08z. Storms were temporarily pulled from DRT, an outflow boundary may send convective focus their way between 07z and 09z. With the complex weakening slightly, will leave this out of the TAFs for now. There should be a brief period of clearing among the downdraft air, but IFR CIGS and VSBYS should encroach back into the TAF sites before daybreak. From there, will follow a mix of persistence and model guidance in improvements to VFR in the early afternoon and lowering back to MVFR for most sites in the late evening. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1109 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/ UPDATE... Complex of storms continues to evolve into a possible overnight heavy rain threat and continued threat of severe storms. Extended the severe thunderstorm watch for two hours and added a row of counties to the east to include Comal and Bexar Counties until 06z. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 937 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/ MESOSCALE UPDATE... Complicated forecast evolution for the overnight period with the ongoing thunderstorm complex across the northwest CWA. Convection was kicked off this afternoon with daytime heating in an area of surface moisture confluence. Some of the storms became severe, but it appears at the present time that the main threat going forward will be heavy rainfall. Forecast soundings do show some de-coupling overnight, but not enough to really increase the nocturnal cap to help suppress convection. There is little upper forcing to really support the convection, but since it is now ongoing, the storms will be able to continue as long as the cold pools continue to move out from under the convection and help to sustain and support new updrafts. This seems to be continuing just fine at the present time as evident by continued cloud tops on IR of near -75C. The main question now is how long the storms will continue and what the overall movement will be. the KEWX VAD wind profile shows deep south/southeasterly flow of 20 to 30 knots in the lower 7 kft of the atmosphere with model guidance slightly increasing the wind speeds. This should help continue to feed the MCC with moisture and help with some weak lift up the escarpment. The HRRR has had a tough time with the placement of the current convection but does show some continued movement of a potential MCC to the south/southeast. This helps increase confidence of a prolonged system. Forward propagation vectors do show movement to the east, but we have not seen that at the present time. Current thinking is that the system should sustain itself over the next few hours before some slow weakening should occur. Upped the pops across the west-central CWA to likely and mentioned locally heavy rainfall for this area to continue the trend of a slow- moving system to the SSE. Increased PoPs to the east a bit to account for any possible eastward movement and to account for lighter activity forming to the east of the main thunderstorm core. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 628 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/ AVIATION.../00z Update/ Concerns this forecast will be convection this evening and then the development of MVFR/IFR cigs. Currently isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed west of I-35. Expecting to see more development this evening. If the convection does develop and can last long enough we may see some approach the I-35 sites after 06z. prior to that showers are possible and have included a VCSH group for KSAT/KSSF. Convection west of KDRT may get close to Del Rio but timing is not certain and for this reason I did include a VCTS through 02z. Onset of MVFR cigs likely to be a couple hours sooner tonight and have all the I-35 terminals seeing the cigs lower starting 04z- 05z. After 07z-08z should see IFR cigs along I-35. KDRT will see MVFR cigs starting around 08z with the IFR cigs expected around 12z. VFR conditions are expected after 17z- 18z. All site have the potential to see fog due to the wet ground. Lowest visibilities likely at KAUS (2SM) with all other terminals remaining in the 4sm-6sm range. E/SE winds near 10 knots tonight then SE 10-15 knots after 15z Sunday. KDRT will see wind gusts to around 20 knots after 18z through sunset. PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 304 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016/ SHORT TERM (Tonight through Sunday Night)... At 230 PM, South Central Texas surface analysis showed temperatures ranging from the mid 80s to low 90s with dewpoints in the low to mid 70s, showing the entire CWA as quite moist and unstable. North and west of the CWA a dry line was positioned from just west of Sanderson to Sheffield up to Sweetwater. Latest RAP/HRRR/LAPS soundings show capping eroding west of a line from Uvalde to Junction. Weak capping is holding on in SAT/AUS per the same forecast soundings. Aircraft soundings out of KSAT also show weakening but still decent cap. With convective temperatures right around 90-92 degrees and surface temperatures near 90 south of the Plateau...believe convective initiation will take place in the next 1-2 hours within the slight risk area SPC has annotated. With SBCAPE values very high again and DCAPEs AOA 1000 j/kg, very large hail and wind gusts up to 60 mph will be the main threat. While the upper level support is lacking currently due to broad ridging overhead...a shortwave disturbance is progged to enter the Big Bend region after 7PM. This weak upper level support coupled with the high instability, decent shear, steep lapse rates, and theta-e convergence along the dry line, think the slight risk area is laid out well for this afternoon and evening. Thinking the tornado threat is rather low but 0-3 km SRH values are in the 150-200 range this evening west of I-35 and LCLs are lowest south of the escarpment (Winter Garden), so cannot rule out one in this area. Thinking storm coverage should wane before midnight as we lose instability. Tomorrow looks to be a very similar pattern with afternoon/evening convection along the dry line out west again. SPC has included the same general area in a slight risk with the same threats as well for Sunday. LONG TERM (Monday through Saturday)... A southwest flow regime will set up for the week with weaker shortwaves impacting the moist air mass over the region through Tuesday. Included 30-40 PoP values for both Monday and slightly higher Tuesday as these pass over. The next significant storm system for South Central Texas looks to be on Wednesday ahead of a strong cold front. Models are indicating 1-3 inches of storm total rainfall associated with this system and with the moist soils from the last few days heavy rain event, flash flooding would be the main concern Wednesday. However, the progression of the cold front looks fast enough at this time that training shouldn't be an issue but due to the antecedent conditions, the flash flood threat will be possible regardless. Late in the week, the cold front should result in a drier and cooler air mass at least through Saturday. Temperatures should be below normal, with highs in the 80s for the first week of June. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Austin Camp Mabry 71 85 70 84 71 / 20 30 20 40 40 Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport 71 85 70 85 71 / 20 30 20 40 30 New Braunfels Muni Airport 71 86 71 85 71 / 20 30 30 50 30 Burnet Muni Airport 69 84 69 83 69 / 30 30 30 50 50 Del Rio Intl Airport 73 87 71 88 72 / 40 30 40 40 40 Georgetown Muni Airport 69 84 69 84 70 / 20 30 20 40 40 Hondo Muni Airport 72 87 71 86 71 / 20 30 40 50 40 San Marcos Muni Airport 71 86 69 84 71 / 20 30 20 40 30 La Grange - Fayette Regional 72 86 70 85 72 / 10 20 10 40 20 San Antonio Intl Airport 72 86 72 86 72 / 20 30 30 50 40 Stinson Muni Airport 73 87 73 87 73 / 20 30 30 50 40 && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && Mesoscale/Aviation...Oaks Synoptic/Grids...04
Hazardous weather outlook, May 28, 10:58 PM CDT, 3 hours 7 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1058 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-300400- LLANO-BURNET-WILLIAMSON-VAL VERDE-EDWARDS-REAL-KERR-BANDERA- GILLESPIE-KENDALL-BLANCO-HAYS-TRAVIS-BASTROP-LEE-KINNEY-UVALDE- MEDINA-BEXAR-COMAL-GUADALUPE-CALDWELL-FAYETTE-MAVERICK-ZAVALA- FRIO-ATASCOSA-WILSON-KARNES-GONZALES-DE WITT-LAVACA-DIMMIT- 1058 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 1 AM FOR AREAS TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF A LINE FROM DEL RIO TO SAN ANTONIO TO BLANCO. THERE IS A RISK OF STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS THIS AREA. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO 2-4 INCHES OF RAINFALL WHICH COULD LEAD TO POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A CONTINUED ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN WILL PERSIST INTO LATE NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHTLY STRONGER POTENTIAL OF STORMS MID-WEEK. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES AS IMPACTS FROM POTENTIAL HAZARDS BECOME MORE CLEAR. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... PLEASE REPORT ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 28, 11:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1142 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1136 PM HEAVY RAIN 3 N CAMP VERDE 29.93N 99.10W
05/28/2016 M3.00 INCH KERR TX PUBLIC
3 INCHES OF RAIN FELL IN 1 HOUR
&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1600477
MCOLocal storm report, May 28, 11:58 PM CDT, 2 hours 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1158 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1156 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 NW KERRVILLE 30.08N 99.18W
05/28/2016 KERR TX BROADCAST MEDIA
EVACUATION OF A HOME ON WEST LANE WITH WATER ENTERING
HOME
&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1600478
MCOSpecial weather statement, May 29, 12:32 AM CDT, 1 hour 33 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1232 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
TXZ185>187-189-202>204-290615-
BANDERA TX-REAL TX-KINNEY TX-KENDALL TX-MEDINA TX-UVALDE TX-KERR TX-
1232 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN KERR...WESTERN
KENDALL...NORTHERN UVALDE...EAST CENTRAL KINNEY...CENTRAL BANDERA...
NORTHERN MEDINA AND SOUTHERN REAL COUNTIES UNTIL 115 AM CDT...
AT 1232 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR WARING TO 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TARPLEY TO
6 MILES NORTHWEST OF LAGUNA. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTH AT 15 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOERNE...COMFORT...BANDERA...TARPLEY...CAMP WOOD...LAGUNA...GARNER STATE
PARK...MONTELL...LAKEHILLS...RIO FRIO...WARING...CONCAN...PIPE CREEK...
UTOPIA...REAGAN WELLS...WELFARE...NELSON CITY AND BANDERA FALLS.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
PERSONS IN CAMPGROUNDS SHOULD CONSIDER SEEKING STURDY SHELTER UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.
&&
A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 AM CDT FOR
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.
LAT...LON 3008 9875 2963 9881 2940 9929 2933 10019
2962 10007 2963 10001 2967 10003 2972 9930
TIME...MOT...LOC 0532Z 017DEG 13KT 2996 9883 2956 9922 2946 10010
ALLENLocal storm report, May 29, 1:26 AM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
126 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0118 AM FLASH FLOOD BANDERA 29.72N 99.07W
05/29/2016 BANDERA TX EMERGENCY MNGR
2 HIGH WATER RESCUES IN PROGRESS... ONE NEAR MASON
CREEK AT CHIPMAN LANE AND ANOTHER NEAR RIVER BEND DRIVE
&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1600479
MCOLocal storm report, May 29, 1:47 AM CDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
147 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0143 AM HAIL LAKEHILLS 29.60N 98.94W
05/29/2016 E0.70 INCH BANDERA TX BROADCAST MEDIA
DIME SIZED HAIL REPORTED BY TV VIEWER
&&
EVENT NUMBER EWX1600480
MCOSpecial weather statement, May 29, 2:01 AM CDT, 4 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
201 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
TXZ204-219-290745-
FRIO TX-MEDINA TX-
201 AM CDT SUN MAY 29 2016
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTH CENTRAL FRIO AND CENTRAL
MEDINA COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM CDT...
AT 201 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES WEST OF MICO TO 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF
BIRY TO NEAR YANCEY. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HONDO...MOORE...NEW FOUNTAIN...DUNLAY...BADER...YANCEY...BIRY...QUIHI AND
MICO.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.
THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
PERSONS IN CAMPGROUNDS SHOULD CONSIDER SEEKING STURDY SHELTER UNTIL
THESE STORMS PASS.
&&
LAT...LON 2901 9925 2914 9935 2935 9922 2962 9919
2961 9898 2956 9899 2955 9897 2956 9893
2961 9888 2961 9884 2897 9904
TIME...MOT...LOC 0701Z 327DEG 15KT 2953 9907 2928 9909 2914 9918
ALLENThe office that day
Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 28, 7:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kerr | 58 min |
| May 28, 7:33 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina | 40 min |
| May 28, 7:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Gillespie, Kerr | 62 min |
| May 28, 8:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Kerr, Real | 58 min |
| May 28, 8:31 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Medina | 44 min |
| May 28, 8:39 PM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Gillespie, Kerr | 2 hr |
| May 28, 9:17 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Real | 58 min |
| May 28, 9:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina, Uvalde | 56 min |
| May 28, 9:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Gillespie, Kerr, Real | 54 min |
| May 28, 10:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 57 min |
| May 28, 10:20 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Real | 40 min |
| May 28, 10:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr | 39 min |
| May 28, 10:39 PM CDT | Areal Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr | 3 hr |
| May 28, 10:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Real | 38 min |
| May 28, 10:53 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Edwards | 67 min |
| May 28, 11:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr | 55 min |
| May 28, 11:19 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Kerr | 25 hr |
| May 28, 11:19 PM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Kerr | 17 hr |
| May 28, 11:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr, Real | 8 hr |
| May 28, 11:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Real, Uvalde | 33 min |
| May 28, 11:38 PM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Kinney | 52 min |
| May 28, 11:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Kendall, Kerr, Kinney, Medina and 2 more | 31 min |
| May 29, 12:07 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 5 hr |
| May 29, 12:32 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Bandera | 43 min |
| May 29, 12:55 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Uvalde | 65 min |
| May 29, 1:12 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Edwards | 2 hr |
| May 29, 1:25 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina | 4 hr |
| May 29, 1:51 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Medina, Uvalde | 6 hr |
| May 29, 2:01 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Medina | 44 min |
| May 29, 2:19 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Kendall | 15 hr |
| May 29, 2:33 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Uvalde | 42 min |
| May 29, 2:35 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Medina | 40 min |
| May 29, 2:42 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Kinney, Uvalde | 2 hr |
| May 29, 2:50 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 24 hr |
| May 29, 3:00 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Medina | 45 min |
| May 29, 3:09 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Comal | 34 hr |
| May 29, 3:16 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Medina | 119 min |
| May 29, 3:39 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Atascosa, Bexar, Medina | 5 hr |
| May 29, 3:46 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Bexar | 44 min |
| May 29, 3:55 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar | 17 hr |
| May 29, 3:55 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar | 48 hr |
| May 29, 3:55 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Bexar, Wilson | 41 hr |
| May 29, 4:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Uvalde | 46 min |
| May 29, 4:27 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Medina | 48 min |
| May 29, 4:35 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Medina | 40 min |
| May 29, 4:45 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| May 29, 4:49 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina, Uvalde | 41 min |
| May 29, 4:50 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Medina | 40 min |
| May 29, 4:51 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bexar, Comal | 3 hr |
| May 29, 4:51 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 19 hr |
| May 29, 4:51 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 16 hr |
| May 29, 4:51 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 24 hr |
| May 29, 4:59 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Medina | 19 hr |
| May 29, 5:20 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Medina | 17 hr |
| May 29, 5:20 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Bexar | 40 min |
| May 29, 5:58 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Frio | 47 min |
| May 29, 6:38 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Frio | 3 hr |
| May 29, 7:18 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Atascosa, Frio | 3 hr |
| May 29, 7:32 AM CDT | Areal Flood Advisory | EWX | Bandera, Kendall, Kerr, Medina, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| May 29, 8:29 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Atascosa | 46 min |
| May 29, 9:14 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Gonzales, Wilson | 46 min |
| May 29, 9:15 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 26 hr |
| May 29, 9:15 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Frio | 4 days |
| May 29, 9:15 AM CDT | River Flood Warning | EWX | Dimmit | 4 days |
| May 29, 9:16 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | Karnes | 44 min |
| May 29, 10:03 AM CDT | Special Weather Statement | EWX | DeWitt, Gonzales, Karnes | 42 min |
| May 29, 2:36 PM CDT | Flash Flood Watch | EWX | Bandera, Blanco, Edwards, Gillespie, Kendall, Kerr and 5 more | 20 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.