Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 559
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 23, 2015, 11:57 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 23, 2015, 11:57 AM CST (17:57 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 23, 2015, 9:00 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Particularly dangerous situation
- Yes
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 73 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN
The radar
The Memphis radar (KNQA), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 90%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 80%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
53 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 12:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Jackson, White, Woodruff | 25 min |
| Dec 23, 12:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Craighead, Cross, Poinsett | 36 min |
| Dec 23, 12:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 40 min |
| Dec 23, 12:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Jefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski | 53 min |
| Dec 23, 1:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 26 min |
| Dec 23, 1:24 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Monroe, Prairie | 36 min |
| Dec 23, 1:37 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross | 38 min |
| Dec 23, 1:45 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Monroe, Prairie, Woodruff | 45 min |
| Dec 23, 1:58 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Poinsett | 47 min |
| Dec 23, 2:04 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, St. Francis | 41 min |
| Dec 23, 2:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Cross, St. Francis | 13 min |
| Dec 23, 2:24 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Cross, Poinsett | 3 hr |
| Dec 23, 2:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Bolivar | 22 min |
| Dec 23, 2:53 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Coahoma | 36 min |
| Dec 23, 2:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Bolivar | 17 min |
| Dec 23, 3:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Coahoma | 23 min |
| Dec 23, 3:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Coahoma, Quitman | 47 min |
| Dec 23, 3:18 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 42 min |
| Dec 23, 3:23 PM CST | Tornado Warning | LZK | Desha, Drew | 37 min |
| Dec 23, 3:27 PM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Chicot | 63 min |
| Dec 23, 3:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Sunflower | 42 min |
| Dec 23, 3:35 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Panola | 40 min |
| Dec 23, 3:41 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Coahoma, Quitman, Tallahatchie | 49 min |
| Dec 23, 3:51 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Shelby, Tipton | 24 min |
| Dec 23, 3:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate | 52 min |
| Dec 23, 4:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Tipton | 35 min |
| Dec 23, 4:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Panola, Tallahatchie | 48 min |
| Dec 23, 4:27 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Carroll, Dyer, Gibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley | 3 hr |
| Dec 23, 4:32 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, Marshall, Tippah | 43 min |
| Dec 23, 4:33 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Henderson, Madison | 42 min |
| Dec 23, 4:34 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Panola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha | 41 min |
| Dec 23, 4:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Marshall | 45 min |
| Dec 23, 4:45 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Gibson, Henry, Weakley | 45 min |
| Dec 23, 4:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Benton, Tippah | 49 min |
| Dec 23, 4:59 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Lafayette, Yalobusha | 46 min |
| Dec 23, 5:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Henry, Weakley | 35 min |
| Dec 23, 5:15 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Sunflower | 15 min |
| Dec 23, 5:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Tippah, Union | 41 min |
| Dec 23, 5:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Quitman, Tallahatchie | 40 min |
| Dec 23, 5:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton, Tippah, Union | 51 min |
| Dec 23, 5:31 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Chester, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, McNairy | 44 min |
| Dec 23, 5:32 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Chester, Henderson, Madison | 3 hr |
| Dec 23, 5:34 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Tippah, Union | 41 min |
| Dec 23, 5:40 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Decatur, Hardin, McNairy | 35 min |
| Dec 23, 5:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Prentiss | 40 min |
| Dec 23, 5:55 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Benton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson | 23 min |
| Dec 23, 6:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Benton | 13 min |
| Dec 23, 6:04 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Decatur, Hardin | 116 min |
| Dec 23, 6:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Prentiss, Tippah | 37 min |
| Dec 23, 6:20 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Tishomingo | 40 min |
| Dec 23, 6:24 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Prentiss, Tishomingo | 3 hr |
| Dec 23, 6:37 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Alcorn, Tishomingo | 23 min |
| Dec 23, 7:02 PM CST | Tornado Warning | MEG | Hardin | 11 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 44 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 343 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -24 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 568 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 58 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 331 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 353 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.1
- Supercell composite
- 0.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
584
WWUS20 KWNS 231755
SEL9
SPC WW 231755
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-240200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 559
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL
800 PM CST.
...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...ONGOING SEVERE STORMS EAST OF LITTLE ROCK SHOULD INTENSIFY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS FORMING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE ARK-LA-MISS REGION. ENVIRONMENT IS CONDUCIVE TO
LONG-TRACK SUPERCELLS WITH SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS
AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES EAST OF MONROE LOUISIANA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 557...WW 558...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.
...GRAMSSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 10:17 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Columbia, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 12:06 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 10 more | 7 hr |
| Dec 23, 4:39 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 37 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 6:13 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Greene, Randolph | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 6:20 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Arkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark and 50 more | 7 hr |
| Dec 23, 9:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Craighead and 28 more | 85 min |
| Dec 23, 9:13 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Clay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett and 1 more | 8 hr |
| Dec 23, 10:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 10 more | 93 min |
| Dec 23, 10:29 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay | 91 min |
| Dec 23, 10:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Crittenden and 11 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 12:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 16 more | 57 min |
| Dec 23, 2:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Mississippi and 2 more | 86 min |
| Dec 22, 11:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Plaquemines, St. Mary, Terrebonne | 115 min |
| Dec 23, 2:34 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Caldwell and 38 more | 86 min |
| Dec 23, 1:33 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Saint Helena, Washington | 57 min |
| Dec 23, 2:17 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Attala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Copiah, Covington and 29 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 23, 5:12 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene, Jasper and 19 more | 63 min |
| Dec 23, 4:26 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 38 more | 64 min |
| Dec 23, 4:49 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Coffee, Davidson, Dickson and 23 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.