Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 559

December 23, 20154 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 23, 2015, 11:57 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2015, 11:57 AM CST (17:57 UTC)
Expired
Dec 23, 2015, 9:00 PM CST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Particularly dangerous situation
Yes
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 73 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Ashley County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Chicot County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Prairie County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, East Carroll Parish, LA, Franklin Parish, LA, Madison Parish, LA, Morehouse Parish, LA, Richland Parish, LA, West Carroll Parish, LA, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Bolivar County, MS, Calhoun County, MS, Carroll County, MS, Chickasaw County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Grenada County, MS, Holmes County, MS, Humphreys County, MS, Issaquena County, MS, Itawamba County, MS, Lafayette County, MS, Lee County, MS, Leflore County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Monroe County, MS, Montgomery County, MS, Panola County, MS, Pontotoc County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Quitman County, MS, Sharkey County, MS, Sunflower County, MS, Tallahatchie County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Union County, MS, Warren County, MS, Washington County, MS, Yalobusha County, MS, Yazoo County, MS, Benton County, TN, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Henry County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN

The radar

The Memphis radar (KNQA), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
90%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
80%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

53 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 12:20 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKJackson, White, Woodruff25 min
Dec 23, 12:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Cross, Poinsett36 min
Dec 23, 12:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff40 min
Dec 23, 12:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJefferson, Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski53 min
Dec 23, 1:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff26 min
Dec 23, 1:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Monroe, Prairie36 min
Dec 23, 1:37 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross38 min
Dec 23, 1:45 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKMonroe, Prairie, Woodruff45 min
Dec 23, 1:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Poinsett47 min
Dec 23, 2:04 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, St. Francis41 min
Dec 23, 2:07 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCross, St. Francis13 min
Dec 23, 2:24 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCross, Poinsett3 hr
Dec 23, 2:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANBolivar22 min
Dec 23, 2:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCoahoma36 min
Dec 23, 2:58 PM CSTTornado WarningJANBolivar17 min
Dec 23, 3:00 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCoahoma23 min
Dec 23, 3:13 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGCoahoma, Quitman47 min
Dec 23, 3:18 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKDesha, Drew42 min
Dec 23, 3:23 PM CSTTornado WarningLZKDesha, Drew37 min
Dec 23, 3:27 PM CSTTornado WarningJANChicot63 min
Dec 23, 3:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSunflower42 min
Dec 23, 3:35 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGPanola40 min
Dec 23, 3:41 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGCoahoma, Quitman, Tallahatchie49 min
Dec 23, 3:51 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Shelby, Tipton24 min
Dec 23, 3:53 PM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGLafayette, Marshall, Panola, Tate52 min
Dec 23, 4:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Tipton35 min
Dec 23, 4:12 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGPanola, Tallahatchie48 min
Dec 23, 4:27 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGCarroll, Dyer, Gibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley3 hr
Dec 23, 4:32 PM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedCatastrophic damage threatMEGBenton, Marshall, Tippah43 min
Dec 23, 4:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Henderson, Madison42 min
Dec 23, 4:34 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGPanola, Tallahatchie, Yalobusha41 min
Dec 23, 4:45 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGLafayette, Marshall45 min
Dec 23, 4:45 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGGibson, Henry, Weakley45 min
Dec 23, 4:56 PM CSTTornado Warning EmergencyTornado observedCatastrophic damage threatMEGAlcorn, Benton, Tippah49 min
Dec 23, 4:59 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatMEGLafayette, Yalobusha46 min
Dec 23, 5:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Henry, Weakley35 min
Dec 23, 5:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANSunflower15 min
Dec 23, 5:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Tippah, Union41 min
Dec 23, 5:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGQuitman, Tallahatchie40 min
Dec 23, 5:24 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGBenton, Tippah, Union51 min
Dec 23, 5:31 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGChester, Decatur, Hardin, Henderson, McNairy44 min
Dec 23, 5:32 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGChester, Henderson, Madison3 hr
Dec 23, 5:34 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGTippah, Union41 min
Dec 23, 5:40 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGDecatur, Hardin, McNairy35 min
Dec 23, 5:50 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss40 min
Dec 23, 5:55 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGBenton, Carroll, Decatur, Henderson23 min
Dec 23, 6:01 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGBenton13 min
Dec 23, 6:04 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGDecatur, Hardin116 min
Dec 23, 6:09 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tippah37 min
Dec 23, 6:20 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Tishomingo40 min
Dec 23, 6:24 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMEGAlcorn, Prentiss, Tishomingo3 hr
Dec 23, 6:37 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGAlcorn, Tishomingo23 min
Dec 23, 7:02 PM CSTTornado WarningMEGHardin11 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KBYH), launched 12:00Z, 6.0 hours before the alert went out and 44 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 343 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 331 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
343 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-24 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
568 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
331 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

584 
WWUS20 KWNS 231755
SEL9  
SPC WW 231755
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-240200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 559
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1155 AM CST WED DEC 23 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS
  FAR NORTHEAST LOUISIANA
  NORTHERN AND WESTERN MISSISSIPPI
  WESTERN TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EVENING FROM 1155 AM UNTIL
  800 PM CST.

...THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION...

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES AND A FEW INTENSE TORNADOES LIKELY
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS LIKELY WITH ISOLATED SIGNIFICANT GUSTS
    TO 75 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...ONGOING SEVERE STORMS EAST OF LITTLE ROCK SHOULD INTENSIFY
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS FORMING SOUTHWARD
ACROSS THE ARK-LA-MISS REGION. ENVIRONMENT IS CONDUCIVE TO
LONG-TRACK SUPERCELLS WITH SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES AND DAMAGING WINDS
AS THE PRIMARY HAZARDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF
DYERSBURG TENNESSEE TO 50 MILES EAST OF MONROE LOUISIANA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 557...WW 558...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22045.


...GRAMS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 22, 10:17 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Columbia, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 9 more2 hr
Dec 23, 12:06 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 10 more7 hr
Dec 23, 4:39 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 37 more2 hr
Dec 23, 6:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Greene, Randolph2 hr
Dec 23, 6:20 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCArkansas, Baxter, Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark and 50 more7 hr
Dec 23, 9:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Craighead and 28 more85 min
Dec 23, 9:13 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCClay, Craighead, Greene, Lawrence, Mississippi, Poinsett and 1 more8 hr
Dec 23, 10:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland, Columbia, Dallas and 10 more93 min
Dec 23, 10:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay91 min
Dec 23, 10:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Chicot, Cleveland, Crittenden and 11 more2 hr
Dec 23, 12:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Chicot, Cleveland and 16 more57 min
Dec 23, 2:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChicot, Crittenden, Cross, Desha, Lee, Mississippi and 2 more86 min
Dec 22, 11:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJefferson, Lafourche, Plaquemines, St. Mary, Terrebonne115 min
Dec 23, 2:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Caldwell and 38 more86 min
Dec 23, 1:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Saint Helena, Washington57 min
Dec 23, 2:17 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAttala, Choctaw, Clarke, Clay, Copiah, Covington and 29 more6 hr
Dec 23, 5:12 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClarke, Covington, Forrest, George, Greene, Jasper and 19 more63 min
Dec 23, 4:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBedford, Bledsoe, Cannon, Cheatham, Clay, Coffee and 38 more64 min
Dec 23, 4:49 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBedford, Cannon, Cheatham, Coffee, Davidson, Dickson and 23 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.