Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 564
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 23, 2015, 4:49 PM CST for 8 counties in Alabama; 29 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 23, 2015, 4:49 PM CST (22:49 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 23, 2015, 10:47 PM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 37 counties
Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Bedford County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Moore County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN
The radar
The Nashville radar (KOHX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 80%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 50%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 50%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 20%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 5:08 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Stewart | 37 min |
| Dec 23, 5:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Perry, Wayne | 23 min |
| Dec 23, 6:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Humphreys | 23 min |
| Dec 23, 6:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Hickman, Lewis, Perry | 32 min |
| Dec 23, 6:30 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Dickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery | 30 min |
| Dec 23, 6:35 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Hickman, Maury | 25 min |
| Dec 23, 6:44 PM CST | Tornado Warning | HUN | Lauderdale | 31 min |
| Dec 23, 6:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Wayne | 27 min |
| Dec 23, 6:50 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Montgomery, Robertson | 25 min |
| Dec 23, 6:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Dickson, Montgomery, Robertson | 34 min |
| Dec 23, 6:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Hickman, Williamson | 32 min |
| Dec 23, 7:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Lawrence, Lewis, Wayne | 37 min |
| Dec 23, 7:08 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Williamson | 37 min |
| Dec 23, 7:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Wayne | 33 min |
| Dec 23, 7:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Franklin | 26 min |
| Dec 23, 7:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Davidson, Sumner, Wilson | 30 min |
| Dec 23, 7:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Lawrence, Lewis, Maury | 30 min |
| Dec 23, 7:33 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Lawrence, Wayne | 27 min |
| Dec 23, 7:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Giles, Lawrence, Maury | 32 min |
| Dec 23, 8:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Maury, Williamson | 36 min |
| Dec 23, 8:12 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson | 21 min |
| Dec 23, 8:17 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Cheatham, Davidson, Dickson | 11 min |
| Dec 23, 8:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Marshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson | 36 min |
| Dec 23, 8:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OHX | Lawrence, Lewis, Wayne | 17 min |
| Dec 23, 8:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | Rutherford | 25 min |
| Dec 23, 9:15 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OHX | Lawrence, Lewis, Maury, Wayne | 3 hr |
| Dec 23, 10:10 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Limestone, Madison | 35 min |
| Dec 23, 10:23 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | HUN | Lawrence, Morgan | 37 min |
| Dec 23, 10:24 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OHX | DeKalb, Jackson, Putnam, Smith | 36 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 596 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 194 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 164 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
351
WWUS20 KWNS 232247
SEL4
SPC WW 232247
ALZ000-TNZ000-240500-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 564
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
MIDDLE TENNESSEE
* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM
UNTIL 1100 PM CST.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES
POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS IN A BROKEN BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEASTWARD FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO
NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE THROUGH LATE EVENING.
TORNADOES...A COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 558...WW 559...WW
560...WW 561...WW 562...WW 563...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.
...THOMPSONSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 11:42 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barbour, Bullock, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 4 more | 93 min |
| Dec 23, 1:33 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas, Greene and 7 more | 57 min |
| Dec 23, 2:17 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas and 11 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 23, 2:49 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lauderdale | 86 min |
| Dec 23, 4:26 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blount, Colbert, Cullman, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 7 more | 64 min |
| Dec 23, 5:12 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Autauga, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke and 12 more | 63 min |
| Dec 23, 2:34 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adams, Amite, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Franklin and 20 more | 86 min |
| Dec 23, 10:58 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 20 more | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 11:57 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 29 more | 9 hr |
| Dec 23, 12:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Bolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Grenada, Humphreys and 13 more | 57 min |
| Dec 23, 6:13 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lake, Obion | 2 hr |
| Dec 23, 9:05 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dyer, Lake, Lauderdale, Obion, Shelby, Tipton and 1 more | 85 min |
| Dec 23, 9:13 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Crockett, Dyer, Gibson, Lake, Lauderdale, Obion and 1 more | 8 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2015Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.