Alert archive / Tennessee / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 564

December 23, 20158 counties in Alabama; 29 counties in Tennessee

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 23, 2015, 4:49 PM CST for 8 counties in Alabama; 29 counties in Tennessee. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2015, 4:49 PM CST (22:49 UTC)
Expired
Dec 23, 2015, 10:47 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 37 counties

Colbert County, AL, Cullman County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Lauderdale County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Limestone County, AL, Madison County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Bedford County, TN, Cannon County, TN, Cheatham County, TN, Coffee County, TN, Davidson County, TN, Dickson County, TN, Franklin County, TN, Giles County, TN, Hickman County, TN, Houston County, TN, Humphreys County, TN, Lawrence County, TN, Lewis County, TN, Lincoln County, TN, Macon County, TN, Marshall County, TN, Maury County, TN, Montgomery County, TN, Moore County, TN, Perry County, TN, Robertson County, TN, Rutherford County, TN, Smith County, TN, Stewart County, TN, Sumner County, TN, Trousdale County, TN, Wayne County, TN, Williamson County, TN, Wilson County, TN

The radar

The Nashville radar (KOHX), 74 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
50%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

29 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 5:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXStewart37 min
Dec 23, 5:52 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXPerry, Wayne23 min
Dec 23, 6:07 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXHumphreys23 min
Dec 23, 6:13 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXHickman, Lewis, Perry32 min
Dec 23, 6:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXDickson, Houston, Humphreys, Montgomery30 min
Dec 23, 6:35 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatOHXHickman, Maury25 min
Dec 23, 6:44 PM CSTTornado WarningHUNLauderdale31 min
Dec 23, 6:48 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXWayne27 min
Dec 23, 6:50 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Montgomery, Robertson25 min
Dec 23, 6:56 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXCheatham, Dickson, Montgomery, Robertson34 min
Dec 23, 6:58 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXHickman, Williamson32 min
Dec 23, 7:08 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatOHXLawrence, Lewis, Wayne37 min
Dec 23, 7:08 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Williamson37 min
Dec 23, 7:12 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXWayne33 min
Dec 23, 7:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNFranklin26 min
Dec 23, 7:30 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXDavidson, Sumner, Wilson30 min
Dec 23, 7:30 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXLawrence, Lewis, Maury30 min
Dec 23, 7:33 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXLawrence, Wayne27 min
Dec 23, 7:58 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXGiles, Lawrence, Maury32 min
Dec 23, 8:09 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXMaury, Williamson36 min
Dec 23, 8:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson21 min
Dec 23, 8:17 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXCheatham, Davidson, Dickson11 min
Dec 23, 8:24 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXMarshall, Maury, Rutherford, Williamson36 min
Dec 23, 8:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOHXLawrence, Lewis, Wayne17 min
Dec 23, 8:50 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXRutherford25 min
Dec 23, 9:15 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningOHXLawrence, Lewis, Maury, Wayne3 hr
Dec 23, 10:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLimestone, Madison35 min
Dec 23, 10:23 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNLawrence, Morgan37 min
Dec 23, 10:24 PM CSTTornado WarningOHXDeKalb, Jackson, Putnam, Smith36 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 194 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
596 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
194 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
164 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

351 
WWUS20 KWNS 232247
SEL4  
SPC WW 232247
ALZ000-TNZ000-240500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 564
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL ALABAMA
  MIDDLE TENNESSEE

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 450 PM
  UNTIL 1100 PM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  SEVERAL TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES
    POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...SUPERCELLS IN A BROKEN BAND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE QUICKLY
NORTHEASTWARD FROM NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI AND WESTERN TENNESSEE INTO
NORTHWEST ALABAMA AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE THROUGH LATE EVENING. 
TORNADOES...A COUPLE OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS...AND
LARGE HAIL WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
NASHVILLE TENNESSEE TO 30 MILES SOUTH OF MUSCLE SHOALS ALABAMA. 
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 558...WW 559...WW
560...WW 561...WW 562...WW 563...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24050.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 11:42 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 4 more93 min
Dec 23, 1:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas, Greene and 7 more57 min
Dec 23, 2:17 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Bibb, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas and 11 more6 hr
Dec 23, 2:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLauderdale86 min
Dec 23, 4:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Colbert, Cullman, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 7 more64 min
Dec 23, 5:12 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke and 12 more63 min
Dec 23, 2:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Franklin and 20 more86 min
Dec 23, 10:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 20 more2 hr
Dec 23, 11:57 AM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCAlcorn, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 29 more9 hr
Dec 23, 12:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Bolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Grenada, Humphreys and 13 more57 min
Dec 23, 6:13 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLake, Obion2 hr
Dec 23, 9:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDyer, Lake, Lauderdale, Obion, Shelby, Tipton and 1 more85 min
Dec 23, 9:13 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCCrockett, Dyer, Gibson, Lake, Lauderdale, Obion and 1 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2015Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.