Tornado Warning 25, NWS Nashville, TN

095 
WWUS54 KOHX 240224
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
824 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

TNC043-240233-
/O.CAN.KOHX.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-151224T0245Z/
DICKSON TN-
824 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL DICKSON COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
TENNESSEE.

LAT...LON 3638 8678 3612 8663 3606 8713 3620 8715
      3636 8683 3635 8682 3636 8679 3637 8679
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 246DEG 49KT 3613 8705 

$$

TNC021-037-240245-
/O.CON.KOHX.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-151224T0245Z/
DAVIDSON TN-CHEATHAM TN-
824 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 845 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
DAVIDSON AND SOUTHEASTERN CHEATHAM COUNTIES...
    
AT 823 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED OVER PEGRAM...OR 10 MILES SOUTH OF ASHLAND CITY...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS 
         LIKELY. 

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BELLE MEADE AROUND 835 PM CST.
  NASHVILLE...OAK HILL AND JOELTON AROUND 840 PM CST.
  MADISON AROUND 845 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE BEAMAN
PARK...WHITES CREEK...BELLS BEND AND BERRY HILL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...IN A
MOBILE HOME...OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3638 8678 3612 8663 3606 8713 3620 8715
      3636 8683 3635 8682 3636 8679 3637 8679
TIME...MOT...LOC 0223Z 246DEG 49KT 3613 8705 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...<.75IN

$$

13

544 
WWUS54 KOHX 240228
SVSOHX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
828 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

TNC021-037-240237-
/O.CAN.KOHX.TO.W.0025.000000T0000Z-151224T0245Z/
DAVIDSON TN-CHEATHAM TN-
828 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR CENTRAL DAVIDSON AND SOUTHEASTERN CHEATHAM
COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER APPEARS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO.
THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS ARE
STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
TENNESSEE.

LAT...LON 3638 8678 3612 8663 3606 8713 3620 8715
      3636 8683 3635 8682 3636 8679 3637 8679
TIME...MOT...LOC 0226Z 246DEG 49KT 3616 8697 

$$

13

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
549 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

MAIN LINE OF POTENTIALLY SEVERE TSTMS EXTENDS FROM MO BOOTHEEL
SOUTHWARD THROUGH EASTERN AR. SO FAR...SOME HALF INCH TO INCH HAIL
AND SOME WIND DAMAGE HAS OCCURRED ACROSS AR. OUT AHEAD OF THIS
LINE...SOME CONVECTIVE SHOWER DEVELOPMENT IS ONGOING. A FEW LTG
STRIKES HAVE JUST OCCURRED IN NW TN AND WESTERN KY. THIS INCREASE
IN DESTABILIZATION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AS THE AFTERNOON WEARS
ON.

EARLIER THIS MORNING...SPC UPGRADED PART OF OUR AREA TO A MDT RISK.
SO...OVER ROUGHLY THE NW 2/3 OF THE MID STATE...WE HAVE A MDT RISK
IN EFFECT. TO OUR WEST...A TOR WATCH IS CURRENTLY IN EFFECT OVER
WESTERN TN UNTIL 8 PM. ADDITIONALLY...IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT THE
WATCH IS A PDS...OR PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. HELICITY
VALUES ARE QUITE HIGH WITH THIS EVENT AND THESE HIGHER VALUES
CORRESPOND WELL WITH THE BEST FORCING AND INSTABILITY. THUS...ITS
JUST A MATTER OF TIME BEFORE THE WATCH IS EXTENDED EASTWARD TO
COVER THE MID STATE.

GOING FORWARD...I WILL INCLUDE CATEGORICAL POPS FOR TONIGHT AND
INCLUDE SVR WORDING WITH TORNADOS...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
ALL BEING A VIABLE THREAT. THE TIMEFRAME STILL LOOKS LIKE THE 4PM
TO MIDNIGHT PERIOD. SOME RESIDUAL SHOWER AND NON SEVERE TSTM
ACTIVITY WILL PERSIST BEHIND THE SEVERE THREAT SO LOW POPS WILL
CONTINUE INTO THU MORNING.

BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...WE ARE STILL LOOKING AT A VERY MILD PATTERN.
THE SFC LOW LIFTS OFF WELL TO THE NORTH AND PREVENTS THE INTRUSION
OF ANY SEASONAL AIR.

ON FRIDAY...POPS WILL INCREASE AGAIN AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTHWARD. THE WARM FRONT WILL BE RATHER STRONG. IN FACT...AFTER A
HIGH ON FRIDAY IN THE MID 60S...LOW TEMPS WILL ONLY FALL TO THE
LOWER TO MID 60S. STILL CAN'T RULE OUT THE POTENTIAL FOR ONE OR TWO
STRONG STORMS WITH THE WARM FRONT BY FRI NT AS 850 MB FLOW WILL
REACH 30 KTS.

IN THE EXT FCST...STILL LOOKING AT A POWERFUL SYSTEM WHICH WILL
DEVELOP OVER TX ON SATURDAY. THIS FEATURE WILL LIFT OFF TO THE
NORTHEAST. EVENTUALLY...IT WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA
BY TUESDAY. THE SFC LOW CONFIGURATION DOES FEATURE SOME W-E
ELONGATION AND THUS...THE SEVERE THREAT WILL BE REDUCED. STILL
THOUGH...NEG SHOWALTER VALUES WILL ATTEMPT TO MOVE INTO THE MID
STATE ALONG WITH 50 KTS OF WIND AT THE 850 MB LEVEL. SO...CANNOT
RULE OUT STRONG STORMS ON MON AND MON NT.

TEMPS THOUGH THE EXTENDED WILL CONTINUE TO BE RATHER MILD AND COULD
SET RECORDS. RECORDS FOR THE DATE MAY BE SET ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NT
FOR BOTH MAX TEMPS AND MIN TEMPS. BEHIND THE FROPA...THE PREVAILING
AIRMASS LOOKS TO BE OF PACIFIC ORIGIN. FURTHERMORE...UPPER LEVEL
PATTERN GANGS ON TO THE DOMINANCE OF ELEVATED HEIGHT FIELDS. WE ARE
CERTAINLY ON OUR WAY TO THE 2ND WARMEST DECEMBER ON RECORD FOR
NASHVILLE.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

MAIN CONCERN DURING THE TAF PERIOD IS THE LINE OF STORMS MOVING
INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE CURRENTLY. TIMED OUT THE STORMS BASED ON
RADAR AND HRRR AND INCLUDED TEMPO LINE AT CKV AND BNA FOR STRONG
WINDS WHICH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. FRONT WILL
PUSH THROUGH BUT LOW CLOUDS MAY STICK AROUND PARTICULARLY FARTHER
EAST FOR BNA AND CSV. CSV WILL STAY SOCKED IN WITH IFR AND MVFR
THROUGHOUT THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL RELAX AND SHIFT WEST BEHIND
THE LINE OF STORMS BEFORE RETURNING TO THE SOUTH TOMORROW.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SHORT TERM/AVIATION........10/REAGAN
LONG TERM..................21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
455 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-242300-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
455 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE
UNTIL 11 PM CENTRAL...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
MIDDLE TN THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT FOR ALL OF MIDDLE TENNESSEE. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE
HAIL AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COULD
ALSO RESULT IN ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS. THE MAIN
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 3PM AND 8PM ALONG AND
WEST OF THE I-65 CORRIDOR...AND BETWEEN 8PM AND 12AM EAST OF I-65.

SOME OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE DURING HOURS
OF DARKNESS. PLEASE REMAIN WEATHER AWARE AS WE MOVE INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ON CHRISTMAS DAY INTO
CHRISTMAS NIGHT...AND A FEW OF THESE STORMS MAY ALSO BE STRONG
WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL.

AN INTENSE COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE MID STATE ON MONDAY INTO
MONDAY NIGHT WILL BRING YET ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND LOCALIZED
FLOODING POSSIBLE.

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH TUESDAY DECEMBER 29 ARE EXPECTED
TO REACH 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS MIDDLE TENNESSEE. THESE RAINFALL
AMOUNTS MAY CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL RISES ON AREA RIVERS AND LAKES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT.

SPOTTER THUNDERSTORM REPORTING CRITERIA...
TORNADO
FUNNEL CLOUD
FLOODING
HAIL >= 1/2 INCH
WINDS > 50 MPH
STRUCTURAL DAMAGE
TREES OR POWER LINES DOWN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
733 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0634 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 N HOHENWALD           35.67N  87.56W
12/23/2015                   HICKMAN            TN   TWITTER

            TREES DOWN. REPORT RECEIVED VIA TWITTER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500813

MR3

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
745 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

TNZ008-028-029-240230-
TROUSDALE TN-SUMNER TN-WILSON TN-
745 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SUMNER...NORTHWESTERN
WILSON AND SOUTHWESTERN TROUSDALE COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CST...

AT 744 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
HERMITAGE...OR 7 MILES EAST OF NASHVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GALLATIN...HENDERSONVILLE...MOUNT JULIET AND BLEDSOE CREEK STATE
PARK.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
TENNESSEE.

LAT...LON 3633 8618 3619 8657 3624 8659 3625 8661
      3626 8664 3629 8664 3630 8667 3631 8667
      3656 8641
TIME...MOT...LOC 0144Z 234DEG 38KT 3620 8666

WHITEHEAD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
749 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     12 NW LAWRENCEBURG      35.37N  87.49W
12/23/2015                   LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO HOME ON NAPIER RD. FIRE AND RESCUE
            RESPONDING. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500814

MR3

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
753 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

TNZ007-025>027-240230-
DAVIDSON TN-DICKSON TN-ROBERTSON TN-CHEATHAM TN-
753 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN ROBERTSON...NORTHWESTERN
DAVIDSON...CHEATHAM AND CENTRAL DICKSON COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM CST...

AT 752 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHITE
BLUFF TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF HURRICANE MILLS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 80 MPH.

HALF INCH HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SPRINGFIELD...DICKSON...ASHLAND CITY...WHITE HOUSE...MILLERSVILLE...
GREENBRIER...COOPERTOWN...WHITE BLUFF...KINGSTON SPRINGS...PEGRAM...
RIDGETOP...CROSS PLAINS...BURNS...JOELTON...PLEASANT VIEW...
CHARLOTTE...BEAMAN PARK AND CHEATHAM DAM.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
TENNESSEE.

LAT...LON 3652 8664 3607 8706 3605 8718 3603 8719
      3598 8739 3600 8754 3635 8722 3656 8662
TIME...MOT...LOC 0152Z 235DEG 68KT 3621 8733 3588 8769

13

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
803 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0738 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 N ETHRIDGE            35.44N  87.30W
12/23/2015                   LAWRENCE           TN   EMERGENCY MNGR

            HOME RECEIVED DAMAGE ON HWY 20 FROM LIKELY TORNADO.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500815

MR3

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
813 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0625 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 ESE LINDEN            35.57N  87.71W
12/23/2015                   PERRY              TN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            *** 2 FATAL *** 2 DEATHS IN HOUSE BETWEEN LINDEN AND
            HOHENWALD

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1500816

MDAVIS