Alert archive / Mississippi / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 562

December 23, 201517 counties in Alabama; 35 counties in Mississippi

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 23, 2015, 2:17 PM CST for 17 counties in Alabama; 35 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2015, 2:17 PM CST (20:17 UTC)
Expired
Dec 23, 2015, 8:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Autauga County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Attala County, MS, Choctaw County, MS, Clarke County, MS, Clay County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hinds County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Leake County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Lowndes County, MS, Madison County, MS, Marion County, MS, Neshoba County, MS, Newton County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Oktibbeha County, MS, Perry County, MS, Rankin County, MS, Scott County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Smith County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS, Webster County, MS, Winston County, MS

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
20%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
40%

Warnings issued inside it

9 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 2:17 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Lawrence, Simpson43 min
Dec 23, 2:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBChoctaw49 min
Dec 23, 2:30 PM CSTTornado WarningJANSimpson, Smith60 min
Dec 23, 3:38 PM CSTTornado WarningJANNewton16 min
Dec 23, 3:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJones67 min
Dec 23, 4:04 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANJones3 hr
Dec 23, 5:09 PM CSTTornado WarningJANClarke24 min
Dec 23, 5:29 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningJANClarke3 hr
Dec 23, 7:58 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANJefferson Davis, Simpson28 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 112 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 57 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jackson, MS at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 298 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
57 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-183 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
670 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
298 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
382 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

243 
WWUS20 KWNS 232015
SEL2  
SPC WW 232015
ALZ000-MSZ000-240200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 562
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
215 PM CST WED DEC 23 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
  SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI

* EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 215 PM
  UNTIL 800 PM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES LIKELY WITH A COUPLE INTENSE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...A FEW SUPERCELLS WITHIN A WEST/EAST-ORIENTED CONVECTIVE
BAND ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI TO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA MAY PERSIST
AND INTENSIFY INTO EARLY EVENING AS THEY EVOLVE TO THE
EAST-NORTHEAST. ADDITIONAL STORMS OVER THE ARK-LA-MISS SHOULD
INTENSIFY AND AFFECT PARTS OF CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI IN THE EARLY
EVENING.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTHWEST OF JACKSON
MISSISSIPPI TO 10 MILES NORTH OF MONTGOMERY ALABAMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 558...WW 559...WW
560...WW 561...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...GRAMS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 11:42 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Coffee, Covington, Crenshaw, Dale and 4 more93 min
Dec 23, 1:33 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas, Greene and 7 more57 min
Dec 23, 2:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLauderdale86 min
Dec 23, 4:26 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBlount, Colbert, Cullman, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale and 7 more64 min
Dec 23, 4:49 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColbert, Cullman, Franklin, Lauderdale, Lawrence, Limestone and 2 more6 hr
Dec 23, 5:12 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw, Clarke and 12 more63 min
Dec 23, 2:34 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Amite, Claiborne, Copiah, Covington, Franklin and 20 more86 min
Dec 23, 10:58 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 20 more2 hr
Dec 23, 11:57 AM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCAlcorn, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll, Chickasaw and 29 more9 hr
Dec 23, 12:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Bolivar, Coahoma, DeSoto, Grenada, Humphreys and 13 more57 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2015Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.