Tornado Watch 538

Issued

Nov 16, 2015, 3:34 PM CST (21:34 UTC)

Expired

Nov 16, 2015, 10:00 PM CST

In force

6 hr

Issued by

the Storm Prediction Center

Largest hail expected

1 in

Strongest gust expected

60 kt

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 55 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Two or more tornadoes

40%

One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes

20%

Ten or more severe wind reports

30%

One or more gusts of 65 knots or more

10%

Ten or more severe hail reports

30%

One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more

10%

Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports

60%

• Mesoscale Discussion 1947Nov 16, 12:44 PM CST
• Mesoscale Discussion 1948Nov 16, 1:58 PM CST
• Mesoscale Discussion 1951Nov 16, 5:20 PM CST
• Mesoscale Discussion 1954Nov 16, 6:50 PM CST
• Mesoscale Discussion 1955Nov 16, 7:43 PM CST

495 
WWUS20 KWNS 162132
SEL8  
SPC WW 162132
KSZ000-NEZ000-170400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 538
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
335 PM CST MON NOV 16 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  NORTHWEST KANSAS
  SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 335 PM UNTIL
  1000 PM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY FROM
SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE WATCH AREA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EVENING.
THE MOST INTENSE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF A COUPLE OF
TORNADOES...LOCALLY DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS AND SEVERE HAIL.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 90 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF
GOODLAND KANSAS TO 35 MILES NORTH OF MCCOOK NEBRASKA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 537...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 400.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22040.


...MEAD

Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2015Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.