Alert archive / Kansas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1948

November 16, 201514 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 16, 2015, 1:58 PM CST for 14 counties in Kansas; 10 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 3 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 16, 2015, 1:58 PM CST (19:58 UTC)
Expired
Nov 16, 2015, 4:30 PM CST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
60%
All 24 counties

Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Gove County, KS, Graham County, KS, Greeley County, KS, Logan County, KS, Norton County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Trego County, KS, Wallace County, KS, Dawson County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Gosper County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Phelps County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 177 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-11-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2015-11-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 104 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
883 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
104 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 16, 12:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFinney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton, Haskell and 9 more3 hr
Nov 16, 1:00 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Clark, Comanche, Edwards, Ellis, Finney and 21 more8 hr
Nov 16, 3:34 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Logan and 9 more6 hr
Nov 16, 3:51 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Finney, Ford, Grant, Gray, Hamilton and 11 more114 min
Nov 16, 5:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCheyenne, Decatur, Gove, Graham, Greeley, Logan and 8 more115 min
Nov 16, 5:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Comanche, Meade, Seward94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.