Alert archive / Indiana / Tornado Watches in 2014

Tornado Watch 541

October 13, 201453 counties in Indiana; 26 counties in Kentucky

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 13, 2014, 4:54 PM EDT for 53 counties in Indiana; 26 counties in Kentucky. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 13, 2014, 4:54 PM EDT (20:54 UTC)
Expired
Oct 14, 2014, 12:30 AM EDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 79 counties

Bartholomew County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Clark County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Crawford County, IN, Daviess County, IN, Decatur County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Dubois County, IN, Floyd County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Gibson County, IN, Greene County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Harrison County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Jackson County, IN, Jennings County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Knox County, IN, Lawrence County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Martin County, IN, Monroe County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Orange County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Perry County, IN, Pike County, IN, Posey County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Rush County, IN, Scott County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Spencer County, IN, Sullivan County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Vanderburgh County, IN, Vermillion County, IN, Vigo County, IN, Warren County, IN, Warrick County, IN, Washington County, IN, Allen County, KY, Barren County, KY, Breckinridge County, KY, Bullitt County, KY, Butler County, KY, Christian County, KY, Daviess County, KY, Edmonson County, KY, Grayson County, KY, Hancock County, KY, Hardin County, KY, Hart County, KY, Henderson County, KY, Hopkins County, KY, Jefferson County, KY, Larue County, KY, Logan County, KY, McLean County, KY, Meade County, KY, Muhlenberg County, KY, Ohio County, KY, Simpson County, KY, Todd County, KY, Union County, KY, Warren County, KY, Webster County, KY

The radar

The Evansville,IN radar (KVWX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
5%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
90%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 5:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCrittenden, Union51 min
Oct 13, 6:02 PM EDTTornado WarningPAHPosey28 min
Oct 13, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHHenderson, Union30 min
Oct 13, 6:31 PM EDTTornado WarningPAHGibson, Posey44 min
Oct 13, 6:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHGibson, Pike, Posey, Vanderburgh, Warrick47 min
Oct 13, 6:53 PM EDTTornado WarningPAHTodd52 min
Oct 13, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDDaviess, Knox60 min
Oct 13, 7:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPike, Vanderburgh, Warrick44 min
Oct 13, 7:05 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHSpencer, Warrick40 min
Oct 13, 7:12 PM EDTTornado WarningPAHWarrick33 min
Oct 13, 7:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHPike21 min
Oct 13, 7:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKDubois46 min
Oct 13, 7:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLogan30 min
Oct 13, 7:52 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHTodd26 min
Oct 13, 7:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDDaviess, Martin51 min
Oct 13, 7:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKHancock30 min
Oct 13, 8:02 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKButler, Logan23 min
Oct 13, 8:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCrawford, Dubois, Perry28 min
Oct 13, 8:21 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKOhio29 min
Oct 13, 8:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDGreene, Lawrence, Monroe40 min
Oct 13, 8:36 PM EDTTornado WarningLMKOhio29 min
Oct 13, 9:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningINDBartholomew, Brown, Jackson, Monroe50 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2014-10-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 21 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2014-10-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 130 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
21 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
453 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

799 
WWUS20 KWNS 132058
SEL1  
SPC WW 132058
ILZ000-INZ000-KYZ000-140500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 541
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
455 PM EDT MON OCT 13 2014

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS
  SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL INDIANA
  WESTERN AND CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 455 PM
  UNTIL 100 AM EDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 70 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
INDIANAPOLIS INDIANA TO FORT CAMPBELL KENTUCKY.  FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 535...WW 536...WW
537...WW 538...WW 539...WW 540...

DISCUSSION...STRENGTHENING ASCENT AND SSWLY DEEP SHEAR...COUPLED
WITH PERSISTENT...MOIST SLY LOW-LVL MOISTURE RETURN...EXPECTED TO
MAINTAIN A RISK FOR LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND OCCASIONAL TORNADOES ALONG
AND AHEAD OF SRN IL/WRN KY SQLN. A MORE LIMITED/CONDITIONAL SVR
THREAT ALSO WILL EXIST WITH MORE ISOLD STORMS THAT COULD FORM LATER
THIS EVE AHEAD OF SQLN IN CNTRL KY. WHILE WEAK MID-LVL LAPSE RATES
WILL LIMIT COVERAGE/VIGOR OF SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS...THOSE LONGER-LIVED
STORMS THAT DO FORM WILL BE PRONE TO LEWPS/SMALL BOWS WITH A RISK
FOR BOTH DMGG WIND AND TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 20045.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 9:05 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Edwards, Franklin, Gallatin, Hamilton, Hardin and 13 more115 min
Oct 13, 11:29 AM EDTTornado WatchSPCAlexander, Bond, Clinton, Edwards, Fayette, Franklin and 26 more8 hr
Oct 13, 2:08 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChampaign, Clark, Coles, Crawford, Cumberland, DeWitt and 12 more2 hr
Oct 13, 2:33 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Bond, Clinton, Jackson, Perry, Pulaski and 3 more57 min
Oct 13, 3:24 PM EDTTornado WatchSPCChampaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford and 22 more7 hr
Oct 13, 4:19 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Clay, Clinton, Fayette, Franklin, Gallatin and 16 more86 min
Oct 13, 4:42 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Champaign, Christian, Clark, Coles, Crawford and 21 more93 min
Oct 13, 6:47 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Edgar, Edwards, Lawrence, Wabash88 min
Oct 13, 3:54 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 23 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Indiana, 2014Tornado Watches in Kentucky, 2014Every tornado watch in 2014

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.