Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Topeka, KS

544 
WGUS73 KTOP 021503
FFSTOP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
1003 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2011

KSC149-161-021945-
/O.CON.KTOP.FF.W.0014.000000T0000Z-110602T1945Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
RILEY-POTTAWATOMIE-
1003 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 245 PM CDT FOR
SOUTHERN POTTAWATOMIE AND SOUTH CENTRAL RILEY COUNTIES...

AT 952 AM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED FLASH 
FLOODING OVER THE WARNED AREA. FLASH FLOODING ALONG AREAS ADJACENT 
TO THE WILDCAT CREEK IN AND AROUND MANHATTAN WILL CONTINUE TODAY DUE 
TO THE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINS UPSTREAM OVERNIGHT. IN 
ADDITION...ROCK CREEK WAS ALSO OUT OF ITS BANKS IN POTTAWATOMIE 
COUNTY FLOODING RESIDENCES ALONG THE WEST SIDE OF HIGHWAY 99 IN 
LOUISVILLE. 

AS MENTIONED...WATERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE IN MANY LOCATIONS THIS 
MORNING DUE TO THE VERY HEAVY RAINS THAT FELL ACROSS CLAY...RILEY 
AND POTTAWATOMIE COUNTIES OVERNIGHT. THE RISE ON AREA CREEKS AND 
STREAMS IN THE WARNED AREA WILL ALSO BE EXACERBATED BY THE ALREADY 
SWOLLEN KANSAS RIVER. WE EXPECT WATERS ON AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS TO 
BEGIN TO FALL LATER THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MANHATTAN...BELVUE...EMMETT...LOUISVILLE...OGDEN...ST. GEORGE...ST.
MARYS AND WAMEGO.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT UNDERESTIMATE THE POWER OF FLOOD WATERS. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF
RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER CAN QUICKLY CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE.

&&

LAT...LON 3915 9604 3915 9609 3916 9606 3919 9608
      3920 9611 3919 9617 3921 9618 3920 9622
      3921 9624 3918 9627 3919 9632 3915 9635
      3917 9636 3917 9639 3912 9639 3909 9675
      3933 9667 3935 9603

$$

OMITT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
713 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2011

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.DISCUSSION...

CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH A MCV MOVING THROUGH KANSAS WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK NORTHEAST AS THE LOW LEVEL JET VEERS. STRONGER
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN PRODUCING HOURLY RAINFALL RATES NEAR AN
INCH AND A HALF TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR. FLASH FLOODING...AERIAL
FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CONCERN WHERE
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN...ADDITIONAL RAIN FALLS OVER PREVIOUSLY
SATURATED BASINS AND RUNOFF ELEVATES WATER LEVELS IN CREEKS AND
RIVERS. PLEASE SEE CURRENT TOPFLWTOP...TOPFFWTOP AND TOPFLSTOP
PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER DETAILS. CLOUD TOPS HAVE BEEN WARMING OVER
THE LAST COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THUNDERSTORMS WEAKENING AS A MORE
STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER IS ENCOUNTERED. THUS WILL CANCEL SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH 418 WITH FORECAST ISSUANCE.

THE HIGHLIGHT OF THE REST OF THE FORECAST INCLUDES ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH MUGGY...WINDY AND GENERALLY DRY WEATHER.
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE PLAINS AND THE OZARKS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL ADVECT A MUCH
WARMER AIRMASS INTO THE PLAINS WITH 850MB TEMPS PROGGED NEAR 25
DEGREES CELSIUS. MIXING WILL AID IN HIGHS REACHING THE 90S ALONG
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE 70S. NEAR WIND ADVISORY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS TODAY AND WIND ADVISORY
CONDITIONS ARE MORE PROBABLE ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS FRIDAY WITH
A 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET AXIS POSITIONED THROUGH NORTHEAST KANSAS.
SLIGHT CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED IN THE
FORECAST FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT IN FAR NORTHERN KANSAS
AND ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WEDNESDAY. A WEAK FRONT COULD
APPROACH NORTHERN KANSAS FRIDAY NIGHT TRIGGERING A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS. FORECAST MODELS PROG A SHORTWAVE ROUNDING THE
UPPER RIDGE SATURDAY NIGHT IN NORTHERN KANSAS WHICH COULD ALSO
PRODUCE A FEW THUNDERSTORMS IN FAR NORTHERN KANSAS. BETTER
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION ARE ANTICIPATED FOR THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK WITH THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE SHIFTING EAST AND AN UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH APPROACHING THE PLAINS.

ANGLE

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. CEILINGS WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE WITH SOUTH WINDS INCREASING ABOVE 10 KNOTS AND
GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS BY 15Z. SOUTH WINDS WILL REMAIN ABOVE 10
KNOTS AFTER 00Z.

ANGLE

&&

.TOP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
448 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2011

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-031000-
REPUBLIC-WASHINGTON-MARSHALL-NEMAHA-BROWN-CLOUD-CLAY-RILEY-
POTTAWATOMIE-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-OTTAWA-DICKINSON-GEARY-MORRIS-
WABAUNSEE-SHAWNEE-DOUGLAS-LYON-OSAGE-FRANKLIN-COFFEY-ANDERSON-
448 AM CDT THU JUN 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL...NORTH
CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN WILL END BY 8 AM. RUNOFF FROM
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING... AERIAL
FLOODING AND RIVER FLOODING. SEE TOPFFWTOP..TOPFLWTOP...
TOPFLSTOP AND TOPFFSTOP PRODUCTS FOR CURRENT FLOOD INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND
LATE SATURDAY NIGHT NORTH OF INTERSTATE 70.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
812 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0812 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CUBA                    39.80N 97.46W
06/02/2011  M5.19 INCH       REPUBLIC           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL

&&

ANDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
816 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W WAKEFIELD           39.22N 97.09W
06/02/2011  M8.62 INCH       CLAY               KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

ANDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
834 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CLAY CENTER             39.38N 97.12W
06/02/2011  E6.60 INCH       CLAY               KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL

&&

ANDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
840 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0834 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N MANHATTAN           39.21N 96.57W
06/02/2011  M5.76 INCH       RILEY              KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HR TOTAL

&&

ANDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
844 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0844 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CUBA                    39.80N 97.46W
06/02/2011  M5.19 INCH       REPUBLIC           KS   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR RAINFALL TOTAL

&&

ANDERSON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
858 AM CDT THU JUN 02 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0842 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OGDEN                   39.11N 96.71W
06/02/2011                   RILEY              KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER OVER K-114 AND K-18 IN OGDEN HAS SHUT DOWN ACCESS
            TO THE CITY. PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OGDEN ARE BEING
            EVACUATED NEAR K-18 AND WALNUT ROAD.

&&

JL