Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 873

November 7, 201142 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 7, 2011, 8:28 PM CST for 42 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 7, 2011, 8:28 PM CST (02:28 UTC)
Expired
Nov 8, 2011, 4:00 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 50 counties

Adair County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Norman radar (KTLX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
80%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 7, 8:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACreek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa63 min
Nov 7, 8:44 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJackson, Kiowa, Tillman46 min
Nov 7, 9:13 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Grady47 min
Nov 7, 9:46 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSANowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington59 min
Nov 7, 10:10 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningOUNCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, Lincoln, Logan and 4 more3 hr
Nov 7, 10:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCanadian, Cleveland, Grady, Oklahoma45 min
Nov 7, 10:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, McClain, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie61 min
Nov 7, 10:59 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSACreek3 hr
Nov 7, 11:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole55 min
Nov 7, 11:37 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSACreek, Osage, Tulsa, Washington3 hr
Nov 8, 3:51 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Baylor69 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 33 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2011-11-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1647 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2011-11-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 316 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1647 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
574 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
316 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
325 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
3.0
Supercell composite
12.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

152 
WWUS20 KWNS 080231
SEL3
SPC WW 080231
OKZ000-TXZ000-081000-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 873
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
825 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
       NORTHWEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 825 PM UNTIL
400 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 870...WW 871...WW 872...

DISCUSSION...EXISTING SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED INTO AN EXTENSIVE
BROKEN SW-NE SQLN...WITH EMBEDDED LEWPS AND ROTATING STRUCTURES.
BOTH LOW LVL AND DEEP SHEAR EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT LATER
TNGT AS NM UPR VORT AND ASSOCIATED SPEED MAX CONTINUE NEWD.
CONTINUED INFLOW OF LOW LVL MOISTURE...COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING
SHEAR/ASCENT...MAY SUFFICIENTLY OFFSET DIURNAL INCREASE IN SBCIN TO
MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR ISOLD TORNADOES WITH THE STORMS...IN ADDITION
TO SWATHS OF DMGG WIND AND SVR HAIL.  SETUP ALSO MAY SUPPORT A FEW
CORRIDORS WITH PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 7, 7:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Creek and 22 more62 min
Nov 7, 11:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Cotton, Craig, Creek and 22 more85 min
Nov 8, 1:17 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Atoka, Cherokee, Coal, Haskell, Hughes and 7 more118 min
Nov 8, 2:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Jefferson, Johnston and 4 more93 min
Nov 8, 9:38 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHaskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah67 min
Nov 8, 10:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMcCurtain29 min
Nov 8, 10:49 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCChoctaw, LeFlore, McCurtain, Pushmataha7 hr
Nov 8, 1:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCChoctaw, McCurtain57 min
Nov 8, 3:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMcCurtain87 min
Nov 7, 6:44 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBosque, Camp, Collin, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 24 more2 hr
Nov 7, 8:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Coke, Fisher, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 9 more2 hr
Nov 7, 9:16 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBorden, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane and 31 more8 hr
Nov 8, 1:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Chambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more61 min
Nov 8, 1:59 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCChambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Houston, Jasper and 12 more6 hr
Nov 8, 3:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper, Liberty and 7 more2 hr
Nov 8, 5:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Newton, Orange, Sabine, San Augustine and 2 more66 min
Nov 8, 5:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches, Newton and 6 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.