Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 873
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 7, 2011, 8:28 PM CST for 42 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 7, 2011, 8:28 PM CST (02:28 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 8, 2011, 4:00 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 65 kt
All 50 counties
Adair County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Carter County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Craig County, OK, Creek County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Grady County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Lincoln County, OK, Logan County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McClain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Noble County, OK, Nowata County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Osage County, OK, Ottawa County, OK, Pawnee County, OK, Payne County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pottawatomie County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Washington County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX
The radar
The Norman radar (KTLX), 23 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 80%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 50%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 20%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
11 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 8:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Pawnee, Tulsa | 63 min |
| Nov 7, 8:44 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman | 46 min |
| Nov 7, 9:13 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Grady | 47 min |
| Nov 7, 9:46 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Nowata, Osage, Rogers, Tulsa, Washington | 59 min |
| Nov 7, 10:10 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, Lincoln, Logan and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Nov 7, 10:47 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Canadian, Cleveland, Grady, Oklahoma | 45 min |
| Nov 7, 10:59 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, McClain, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie | 61 min |
| Nov 7, 10:59 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Creek | 3 hr |
| Nov 7, 11:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cleveland, Lincoln, Oklahoma, Pottawatomie, Seminole | 55 min |
| Nov 7, 11:37 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Creek, Osage, Tulsa, Washington | 3 hr |
| Nov 8, 3:51 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Baylor | 69 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 2.5 hours before the alert went out and 33 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1647 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 574 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 44 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 316 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 325 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.0
- Supercell composite
- 12.9
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
152
WWUS20 KWNS 080231
SEL3
SPC WW 080231
OKZ000-TXZ000-081000-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 873
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
825 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST THROUGH CENTRAL TO NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
NORTHWEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 825 PM UNTIL
400 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 75 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BARTLESVILLE OKLAHOMA TO 70 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WICHITA FALLS
TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 870...WW 871...WW 872...
DISCUSSION...EXISTING SUPERCELLS HAVE EVOLVED INTO AN EXTENSIVE
BROKEN SW-NE SQLN...WITH EMBEDDED LEWPS AND ROTATING STRUCTURES.
BOTH LOW LVL AND DEEP SHEAR EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN SOMEWHAT LATER
TNGT AS NM UPR VORT AND ASSOCIATED SPEED MAX CONTINUE NEWD.
CONTINUED INFLOW OF LOW LVL MOISTURE...COUPLED WITH STRENGTHENING
SHEAR/ASCENT...MAY SUFFICIENTLY OFFSET DIURNAL INCREASE IN SBCIN TO
MAINTAIN A THREAT FOR ISOLD TORNADOES WITH THE STORMS...IN ADDITION
TO SWATHS OF DMGG WIND AND SVR HAIL. SETUP ALSO MAY SUPPORT A FEW
CORRIDORS WITH PROLONGED HEAVY RAIN.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 7:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Comanche, Cotton, Creek and 22 more | 62 min |
| Nov 7, 11:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Cherokee, Cleveland, Cotton, Craig, Creek and 22 more | 85 min |
| Nov 8, 1:17 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Atoka, Cherokee, Coal, Haskell, Hughes and 7 more | 118 min |
| Nov 8, 2:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Jefferson, Johnston and 4 more | 93 min |
| Nov 8, 9:38 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Haskell, LeFlore, Sequoyah | 67 min |
| Nov 8, 10:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | McCurtain | 29 min |
| Nov 8, 10:49 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Choctaw, LeFlore, McCurtain, Pushmataha | 7 hr |
| Nov 8, 1:03 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Choctaw, McCurtain | 57 min |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | McCurtain | 87 min |
| Nov 7, 6:44 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bosque, Camp, Collin, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 7, 8:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Coke, Fisher, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 7, 9:16 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Borden, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane and 31 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 8, 1:44 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Chambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more | 61 min |
| Nov 8, 1:59 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Chambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Houston, Jasper and 12 more | 6 hr |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper, Liberty and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 8, 5:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hardin, Jasper, Newton, Orange, Sabine, San Augustine and 2 more | 66 min |
| Nov 8, 5:30 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches, Newton and 6 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2011Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.