Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 874

November 7, 201137 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 7, 2011, 9:16 PM CST for 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 7, 2011, 9:16 PM CST (03:16 UTC)
Expired
Nov 8, 2011, 5:00 AM CST
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 37 counties

Borden County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Martin County, TX, Menard County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 7, 10:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBCrosby, Garza24 min
Nov 7, 11:03 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Ector, Martin, Midland42 min
Nov 7, 11:19 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin56 min
Nov 7, 11:41 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFAndrews, Ector, Martin, Midland64 min
Nov 8, 12:17 AM CSTTornado WarningMAFHoward, Martin28 min
Nov 8, 12:38 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBorden, Howard, Martin, Mitchell, Scurry67 min
Nov 8, 12:49 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Reagan, Upton56 min
Nov 8, 1:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFGlasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland, Mitchell59 min
Nov 8, 1:10 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBGarza, Kent50 min
Nov 8, 1:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLUBKent, Stonewall62 min
Nov 8, 2:31 AM CSTTornado WarningSJTIrion, Tom Green29 min
Nov 8, 3:04 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTIrion, Tom Green41 min
Nov 8, 3:06 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell, Jones, Shackelford, Throckmorton39 min
Nov 8, 3:41 AM CSTTornado WarningSJTConcho, Runnels, Tom Green34 min
Nov 8, 3:58 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTConcho, Tom Green47 min
Nov 8, 4:14 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTColeman, Concho, Runnels46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 110 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-11-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-11-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 44 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4235 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
44 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
93 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

245 
WWUS20 KWNS 080320
SEL4  
SPC WW 080320
TXZ000-081100-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 874
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       WEST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 920 PM UNTIL
500 AM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ABILENE TEXAS TO 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 871...WW 873...

DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORMING ALONG N-S DRY LINE
IN W TX IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT
LIKELY AS PACIFIC COLD FRONT NOW PASSING INK CONTINUES EWD AND
OVERTAKES THE BOUNDARY.  OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP SW ALONG STALLING
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE NW TX SQLN. STORMS THROUGHOUT
THE REGION WILL BE ASSOCIATED BY INCREASING UPR DIVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH GRAZING INFLUENCE OF NM UPR TROUGH.  STRENGTHENING
WIND FIELD AND LOW LVL MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THE TROUGH MAY
SUPPORT A FEW SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS POSING A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL
AND TORNADOES BEFORE ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO A SQLN.  EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS/LEWPS IN THE LINE MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR SVR
WIND...HAIL...AND PERHAPS SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES THROUGH EARLY TUE
MORNING.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...CORFIDI

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 7, 6:44 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBosque, Camp, Collin, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 24 more2 hr
Nov 7, 7:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Haskell, Knox and 3 more62 min
Nov 7, 8:28 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more8 hr
Nov 7, 8:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Coke, Fisher, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 9 more2 hr
Nov 7, 11:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Knox, Wichita85 min
Nov 8, 2:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 28 more93 min
Nov 8, 10:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Gregg, Harrison and 12 more29 min
Nov 8, 10:49 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 30 more7 hr
Nov 8, 1:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 24 more57 min
Nov 8, 1:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Chambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more61 min
Nov 8, 1:59 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCChambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Houston, Jasper and 12 more6 hr
Nov 8, 3:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Gregg and 11 more87 min
Nov 8, 3:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper, Liberty and 7 more2 hr
Nov 8, 5:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Newton, Orange, Sabine, San Augustine and 2 more66 min
Nov 8, 5:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches, Newton and 6 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.