Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 874
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 7, 2011, 9:16 PM CST for 37 counties in Texas. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 7, 2011, 9:16 PM CST (03:16 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 8, 2011, 5:00 AM CST
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 37 counties
Borden County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Ector County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Martin County, TX, Menard County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Runnels County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX
The radar
The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 70%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 70%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 10:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Crosby, Garza | 24 min |
| Nov 7, 11:03 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland | 42 min |
| Nov 7, 11:19 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin | 56 min |
| Nov 7, 11:41 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland | 64 min |
| Nov 8, 12:17 AM CST | Tornado Warning | MAF | Howard, Martin | 28 min |
| Nov 8, 12:38 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Borden, Howard, Martin, Mitchell, Scurry | 67 min |
| Nov 8, 12:49 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Reagan, Upton | 56 min |
| Nov 8, 1:01 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Glasscock, Howard, Martin, Midland, Mitchell | 59 min |
| Nov 8, 1:10 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Garza, Kent | 50 min |
| Nov 8, 1:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Kent, Stonewall | 62 min |
| Nov 8, 2:31 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SJT | Irion, Tom Green | 29 min |
| Nov 8, 3:04 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Irion, Tom Green | 41 min |
| Nov 8, 3:06 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Haskell, Jones, Shackelford, Throckmorton | 39 min |
| Nov 8, 3:41 AM CST | Tornado Warning | SJT | Concho, Runnels, Tom Green | 34 min |
| Nov 8, 3:58 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Concho, Tom Green | 47 min |
| Nov 8, 4:14 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Coleman, Concho, Runnels | 46 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 3.3 hours before the alert went out and 110 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 4235 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 93 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
245
WWUS20 KWNS 080320
SEL4
SPC WW 080320
TXZ000-081100-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 874
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
920 PM CST MON NOV 7 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
WEST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 920 PM UNTIL
500 AM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 75 MILES NORTH NORTHWEST OF
ABILENE TEXAS TO 105 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SAN ANGELO TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 871...WW 873...
DISCUSSION...TSTMS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FORMING ALONG N-S DRY LINE
IN W TX IN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD DEVELOPMENT
LIKELY AS PACIFIC COLD FRONT NOW PASSING INK CONTINUES EWD AND
OVERTAKES THE BOUNDARY. OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP SW ALONG STALLING
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH THE NW TX SQLN. STORMS THROUGHOUT
THE REGION WILL BE ASSOCIATED BY INCREASING UPR DIVERGENCE
ASSOCIATED WITH GRAZING INFLUENCE OF NM UPR TROUGH. STRENGTHENING
WIND FIELD AND LOW LVL MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THE TROUGH MAY
SUPPORT A FEW SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS POSING A RISK FOR LARGE HAIL
AND TORNADOES BEFORE ACTIVITY EVOLVES INTO A SQLN. EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS/LEWPS IN THE LINE MAY CONTINUE TO POSE A RISK FOR SVR
WIND...HAIL...AND PERHAPS SHORT-LIVED TORNADOES THROUGH EARLY TUE
MORNING.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 6:44 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bosque, Camp, Collin, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 24 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 7, 7:43 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Haskell, Knox and 3 more | 62 min |
| Nov 7, 8:28 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 7, 8:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Borden, Coke, Fisher, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 9 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 7, 11:20 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Clay, Knox, Wichita | 85 min |
| Nov 8, 2:12 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 28 more | 93 min |
| Nov 8, 10:31 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Gregg, Harrison and 12 more | 29 min |
| Nov 8, 10:49 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 30 more | 7 hr |
| Nov 8, 1:03 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Anderson, Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 24 more | 57 min |
| Nov 8, 1:44 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Chambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more | 61 min |
| Nov 8, 1:59 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Chambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Houston, Jasper and 12 more | 6 hr |
| Nov 8, 3:48 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Gregg and 11 more | 87 min |
| Nov 8, 3:53 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Angelina, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper, Liberty and 7 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 8, 5:09 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hardin, Jasper, Newton, Orange, Sabine, San Augustine and 2 more | 66 min |
| Nov 8, 5:30 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Angelina, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches, Newton and 6 more | 7 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.