Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 876

November 8, 201118 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 8, 2011, 1:59 PM CST for 18 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 8, 2011, 1:59 PM CST (19:59 UTC)
Expired
Nov 8, 2011, 8:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Chambers County, TX, Grimes County, TX, Hardin County, TX, Harris County, TX, Houston County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Jefferson County, TX, Liberty County, TX, Madison County, TX, Montgomery County, TX, Newton County, TX, Orange County, TX, Polk County, TX, San Jacinto County, TX, Trinity County, TX, Tyler County, TX, Walker County, TX, Waller County, TX

The radar

The Houston radar (KHGX), 133 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
10%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
10%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 8, 2:01 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXHarris, Liberty44 min
Nov 8, 2:43 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXLiberty47 min
Nov 8, 2:44 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHHardin46 min
Nov 8, 4:29 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXLiberty, Montgomery, San Jacinto46 min
Nov 8, 4:35 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXLiberty40 min
Nov 8, 5:11 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXLiberty, Montgomery64 min
Nov 8, 6:43 PM CSTTornado WarningHGXChambers, Galveston62 min
Nov 8, 7:06 PM CSTTornado WarningLCHJasper, Tyler27 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 196 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-11-08Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 403 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-11-08The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 139 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
403 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-94 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
438 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

507 
WWUS20 KWNS 081959
SEL6
SPC WW 081959
TXZ000-CWZ000-090200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 876
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
200 PM CST TUE NOV 8 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       SOUTHEAST TEXAS
       COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 200 PM UNTIL
800 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
HUNTSVILLE TEXAS TO 45 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF PORT ARTHUR
TEXAS.  FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED
WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 875...

DISCUSSION...PRE-FRONTAL CONVECTION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON...WHILE ADDITIONAL STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM ALONG THE
COLD FRONT LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING AS IT MOVES ACROSS SE TX.
THE PRE-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT REMAINS QUITE MOIST AND MODERATELY
UNSTABLE...WHILE LOCAL VWP/S REVEAL SUFFICIENT VERTICAL SHEAR TO
MAINTAIN A RISK FOR ISOLATED SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT RISK FOR A
TORNADO OR TWO.  A FEW DAMAGING GUSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.


...THOMPSON

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 7, 6:44 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBosque, Camp, Collin, Cooke, Coryell, Dallas and 24 more2 hr
Nov 7, 7:43 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Haskell, Knox and 3 more62 min
Nov 7, 8:28 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more8 hr
Nov 7, 8:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Coke, Fisher, Glasscock, Haskell, Howard and 9 more2 hr
Nov 7, 9:16 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCBorden, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho, Crane and 31 more8 hr
Nov 7, 11:20 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Knox, Wichita85 min
Nov 8, 2:12 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 28 more93 min
Nov 8, 10:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Franklin, Gregg, Harrison and 12 more29 min
Nov 8, 10:49 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 30 more7 hr
Nov 8, 1:03 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Angelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee and 24 more57 min
Nov 8, 1:44 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Chambers, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper and 10 more61 min
Nov 8, 3:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Gregg and 11 more87 min
Nov 8, 3:53 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAngelina, Grimes, Hardin, Harris, Jasper, Liberty and 7 more2 hr
Nov 8, 5:09 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Newton, Orange, Sabine, San Augustine and 2 more66 min
Nov 8, 5:30 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAngelina, Hardin, Jasper, Jefferson, Nacogdoches, Newton and 6 more7 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.