Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011

Tornado Watch 262

May 1, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 1, 2011, 12:47 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 1, 2011, 12:47 PM CDT (17:47 UTC)
Expired
May 1, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
3 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 75 counties

Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Anderson County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 1, 12:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff32 min
May 1, 1:05 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline30 min
May 1, 1:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKPrairie, Woodruff36 min
May 1, 1:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCross, Lee, St. Francis49 min
May 1, 1:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKArkansas, Monroe, Prairie36 min
May 1, 1:41 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis6 hr
May 1, 2:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, St. Francis60 min
May 1, 2:17 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLee, St. Francis43 min
May 1, 2:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFaulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline27 min
May 1, 2:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett51 min
May 1, 2:42 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi48 min
May 1, 2:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi52 min
May 1, 2:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, St. Francis46 min
May 1, 3:10 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGCrittenden41 min
May 1, 3:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Pulaski, Saline30 min
May 1, 3:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale and 2 more53 min
May 1, 3:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKGarland, Hot Spring, Saline49 min
May 1, 3:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKLonoke, Prairie, Pulaski38 min
May 1, 3:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGDyer, Gibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley38 min
May 1, 3:54 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison34 min
May 1, 3:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCarroll, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Henderson, Madison and 1 more49 min
May 1, 3:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningMEGCrittenden, Mississippi3 hr
May 1, 4:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKHot Spring3 hr
May 1, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden50 min
May 1, 5:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison, Shelby, Tipton49 min
May 1, 5:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Smith, Upshur, Wood62 min
May 1, 5:48 PM CDTTornado WarningMEGFayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison33 min
May 1, 6:19 PM CDTTornado WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur41 min
May 1, 6:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike53 min
May 1, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike44 min
May 1, 7:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Cass, Morris, Upshur41 min
May 1, 7:55 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Logan, Montgomery, Perry and 5 more3 hr
May 1, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKClark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Saline44 min
May 1, 8:24 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKHot Spring21 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2344 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 277 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2344 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
499 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
277 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
370 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
4.9
Supercell composite
18.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

952 
WWUS20 KWNS 011749
SEL2
SPC WW 011749
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-020200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
       PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
       PARTS OF NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
       PARTS OF WESTERN TENNESSEE
       PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
TYLER TEXAS TO 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 261...

DISCUSSION...WELL DEFINED FRONTAL ZONE EXPECTED TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON.  WITH STRONG SHEAR
PROFILES IN PLACE COUPLED WITH A VERY MOIST AND MDTLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS...SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY.  TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...PARTICULARLY WITH ANY BOWING SEGMENT THAT DEVELOPS.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.


...HALES

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 30, 7:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Greene, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp and 1 more56 min
Apr 30, 8:47 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Grant and 12 more58 min
Apr 30, 9:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier64 min
Apr 30, 11:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross and 31 more66 min
May 1, 1:16 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 37 more59 min
May 1, 3:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLee, Monroe, Phillips2 hr
May 1, 8:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard and 9 more30 min
May 1, 8:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClark, Columbia, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 10 more6 hr
May 1, 12:12 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 34 more93 min
May 1, 3:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 37 more87 min
May 1, 5:42 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 14 more3 hr
May 1, 5:43 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 37 more92 min
May 1, 1:14 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 28 more2 hr
May 1, 1:40 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 31 more7 hr
May 1, 3:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Collin, Comanche and 38 more86 min
May 1, 4:45 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Delta and 21 more4 hr
May 1, 7:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 34 more91 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.