Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2011
Tornado Watch 262
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 1, 2011, 12:47 PM CDT for 4 states. It was in force for 8 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 1, 2011, 12:47 PM CDT (17:47 UTC)
- Expired
- May 1, 2011, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 8 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 3 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 70 kt
All 75 counties
Arkansas County, AR, Bradley County, AR, Calhoun County, AR, Clark County, AR, Cleveland County, AR, Columbia County, AR, Crittenden County, AR, Cross County, AR, Dallas County, AR, Desha County, AR, Drew County, AR, Grant County, AR, Hempstead County, AR, Hot Spring County, AR, Jefferson County, AR, Lafayette County, AR, Lee County, AR, Lincoln County, AR, Little River County, AR, Lonoke County, AR, Miller County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Monroe County, AR, Nevada County, AR, Ouachita County, AR, Phillips County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Prairie County, AR, Pulaski County, AR, Saline County, AR, St. Francis County, AR, Union County, AR, Woodruff County, AR, Alcorn County, MS, Benton County, MS, Coahoma County, MS, DeSoto County, MS, Marshall County, MS, Prentiss County, MS, Tate County, MS, Tippah County, MS, Tishomingo County, MS, Tunica County, MS, Carroll County, TN, Chester County, TN, Crockett County, TN, Decatur County, TN, Fayette County, TN, Gibson County, TN, Hardeman County, TN, Hardin County, TN, Haywood County, TN, Henderson County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Madison County, TN, McNairy County, TN, Shelby County, TN, Tipton County, TN, Anderson County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Marion County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Panola County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Wood County, TX
The radar
The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 30%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 50%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
34 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 12:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, White, Woodruff | 32 min |
| May 1, 1:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 30 min |
| May 1, 1:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Prairie, Woodruff | 36 min |
| May 1, 1:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Cross, Lee, St. Francis | 49 min |
| May 1, 1:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Arkansas, Monroe, Prairie | 36 min |
| May 1, 1:41 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Poinsett, St. Francis | 6 hr |
| May 1, 2:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, St. Francis | 60 min |
| May 1, 2:17 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Lee, St. Francis | 43 min |
| May 1, 2:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Faulkner, Perry, Pulaski, Saline | 27 min |
| May 1, 2:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Cross, Mississippi, Poinsett | 51 min |
| May 1, 2:42 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi | 48 min |
| May 1, 2:53 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi | 52 min |
| May 1, 2:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden, St. Francis | 46 min |
| May 1, 3:10 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 41 min |
| May 1, 3:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Pulaski, Saline | 30 min |
| May 1, 3:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crockett, Dyer, Fayette, Gibson, Haywood, Lauderdale and 2 more | 53 min |
| May 1, 3:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Garland, Hot Spring, Saline | 49 min |
| May 1, 3:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Lonoke, Prairie, Pulaski | 38 min |
| May 1, 3:37 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Dyer, Gibson, Henry, Obion, Weakley | 38 min |
| May 1, 3:54 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison | 34 min |
| May 1, 3:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Carroll, Crockett, Gibson, Haywood, Henderson, Madison and 1 more | 49 min |
| May 1, 3:59 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MEG | Crittenden, Mississippi | 3 hr |
| May 1, 4:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Hot Spring | 3 hr |
| May 1, 4:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Crittenden | 50 min |
| May 1, 5:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison, Shelby, Tipton | 49 min |
| May 1, 5:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Gregg, Smith, Upshur, Wood | 62 min |
| May 1, 5:48 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MEG | Fayette, Hardeman, Haywood, Madison | 33 min |
| May 1, 6:19 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SHV | Gregg, Harrison, Marion, Upshur | 41 min |
| May 1, 6:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike | 53 min |
| May 1, 7:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Pike | 44 min |
| May 1, 7:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SHV | Camp, Cass, Morris, Upshur | 41 min |
| May 1, 7:55 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Logan, Montgomery, Perry and 5 more | 3 hr |
| May 1, 8:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Clark, Garland, Hot Spring, Montgomery, Saline | 44 min |
| May 1, 8:24 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Hot Spring | 21 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Shreveport, LA (KSHV), launched 12:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2344 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 499 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 52 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 277 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 370 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 4.9
- Supercell composite
- 18.4
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
952
WWUS20 KWNS 011749
SEL2
SPC WW 011749
ARZ000-LAZ000-MSZ000-TNZ000-TXZ000-020200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 262
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1250 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
LARGE PART OF SOUTHERN AND EASTERN ARKANSAS
PARTS OF NORTHWEST LOUISIANA
PARTS OF NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI
PARTS OF WESTERN TENNESSEE
PARTS OF NORTHEAST TEXAS
EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1250 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 3 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 40 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF
TYLER TEXAS TO 55 MILES NORTHEAST OF MEMPHIS TENNESSEE. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 261...
DISCUSSION...WELL DEFINED FRONTAL ZONE EXPECTED TO BE THE FOCUS FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON. WITH STRONG SHEAR
PROFILES IN PLACE COUPLED WITH A VERY MOIST AND MDTLY UNSTABLE AIR
MASS...SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY. TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
SUPERCELL ALONG WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS...PARTICULARLY WITH ANY BOWING SEGMENT THAT DEVELOPS.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 3 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24035.
...HALESSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 30, 7:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clay, Greene, Izard, Lawrence, Randolph, Sharp and 1 more | 56 min |
| Apr 30, 8:47 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Conway, Faulkner, Garland, Grant and 12 more | 58 min |
| Apr 30, 9:26 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Miller, Sevier | 64 min |
| Apr 30, 11:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross and 31 more | 66 min |
| May 1, 1:16 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Clark, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Crittenden and 37 more | 59 min |
| May 1, 3:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Lee, Monroe, Phillips | 2 hr |
| May 1, 8:30 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring, Howard and 9 more | 30 min |
| May 1, 8:45 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Clark, Columbia, Dallas, Garland, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 10 more | 6 hr |
| May 1, 12:12 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 34 more | 93 min |
| May 1, 3:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 37 more | 87 min |
| May 1, 5:42 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Dallas, Garland, Grant, Hempstead, Hot Spring and 14 more | 3 hr |
| May 1, 5:43 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Ashley, Bradley, Calhoun, Clark, Cleveland and 37 more | 92 min |
| May 1, 1:14 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 28 more | 2 hr |
| May 1, 1:40 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 31 more | 7 hr |
| May 1, 3:19 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Collin, Comanche and 38 more | 86 min |
| May 1, 4:45 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Anderson, Bowie, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Delta and 21 more | 4 hr |
| May 1, 7:29 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coleman and 34 more | 91 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2011Tornado Watches in Texas, 2011Tornado Watches in Tennessee, 2011Every tornado watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.