Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2008
Tornado Watch 149
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 31, 2008, 3:45 PM CDT for 22 counties in Arkansas; 16 counties in Missouri; 14 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 31, 2008, 3:45 PM CDT (20:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Mar 31, 2008, 10:42 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 52 counties
Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK
The radar
The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 60%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 40%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 50%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 80%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 3:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Coal, Hughes, Pontotoc | 40 min |
| Mar 31, 3:51 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Adair | 29 min |
| Mar 31, 4:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Pittsburg | 28 min |
| Mar 31, 4:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Dent, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas | 72 min |
| Mar 31, 4:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Pittsburg | 53 min |
| Mar 31, 4:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Douglas | 80 min |
| Mar 31, 4:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, Muskogee, Sequoyah | 64 min |
| Mar 31, 4:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Boone | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 4:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Boone, Newton | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 4:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Ozark | 78 min |
| Mar 31, 4:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Coal | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 4:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Texas | 66 min |
| Mar 31, 4:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 46 min |
| Mar 31, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha | 87 min |
| Mar 31, 4:59 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Ozark | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 5:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Coal, Johnston | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Howell | 81 min |
| Mar 31, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 5:18 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 87 min |
| Mar 31, 5:34 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Howell | 52 min |
| Mar 31, 5:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Fulton | 40 min |
| Mar 31, 5:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Pushmataha | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGF | Oregon, Shannon | 76 min |
| Mar 31, 5:45 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGF | Maries, Phelps, Pulaski | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 5:48 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Crawford, Franklin, Sebastian | 117 min |
| Mar 31, 5:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Coal, Johnston, Pontotoc | 38 min |
| Mar 31, 5:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Johnson, Logan, Pope, Scott, Yell | 65 min |
| Mar 31, 5:57 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | SGF | Oregon, Shannon | 63 min |
| Mar 31, 5:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:00 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 6:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Searcy | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 61 min |
| Mar 31, 6:19 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Fulton, Sharp | 56 min |
| Mar 31, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Atoka, Coal, Johnston | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 6:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Baxter, Marion, Searcy | 45 min |
| Mar 31, 6:32 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Fulton | 4 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:49 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Logan, Yell | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 47 min |
| Mar 31, 7:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LZK | Cleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Logan, Newton, Perry and 7 more | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 7:02 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Pushmataha | 58 min |
| Mar 31, 7:12 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 63 min |
| Mar 31, 7:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Izard, Stone | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 7:37 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Pushmataha | 113 min |
| Mar 31, 7:42 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | LeFlore | 103 min |
| Mar 31, 8:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TSA | Choctaw, Pushmataha | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 8:52 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | LZK | Sharp | 113 min |
| Mar 31, 8:53 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Choctaw | 2 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 640 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -126 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 596 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 48 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 336 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 354 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.6
- Supercell composite
- 10.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000
WWUS20 KWNS 312045
SEL9
SPC WW 312045
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-010400-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI
EASTERN OKLAHOMA
EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 146...WW 147...WW 148...
DISCUSSION...LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES...IS DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO
SOUTHERN MO/NORTHWEST AR/EASTERN OK. MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VERY
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. PARAMETERS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A RISK OF ISOLATED STRONG
TORNADOES OVER WESTERN AR AND EASTERN OK.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 8:44 AM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Benton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 7 hr |
| Mar 31, 10:30 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington | 60 min |
| Mar 31, 3:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 13 more | 26 min |
| Mar 31, 5:28 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross and 34 more | 62 min |
| Mar 31, 6:12 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Calhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 34 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:31 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass and 23 more | 59 min |
| Mar 31, 4:09 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess and 9 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 31, 5:59 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clinton and 14 more | 91 min |
| Mar 31, 7:50 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barton, Bates, Cedar, Dade, Jasper, Newton and 1 more | 85 min |
| Mar 31, 1:09 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Adair, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clark, Clay and 22 more | 2 hr |
| Mar 31, 1:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Dent, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron, Jefferson and 16 more | 35 min |
| Mar 31, 1:45 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Audrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 17 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 30, 8:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Canadian, Custer, Garfield, Grant and 4 more | 55 min |
| Mar 30, 10:52 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Creek and 16 more | 6 hr |
| Mar 31, 1:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Creek and 16 more | 88 min |
| Mar 31, 2:52 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Garfield, Grant, Kay, Logan, Noble, Osage and 2 more | 53 min |
| Mar 31, 4:00 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Pawnee | 90 min |
| Mar 31, 4:29 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craig, Creek, Kay, Mayes, Nowata, Osage and 5 more | 91 min |
| Mar 31, 5:05 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Craig, Mayes, Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers and 2 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 31, 6:17 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Craig, Delaware, Kay, Mayes, Nowata, Osage and 6 more | 88 min |
| Mar 31, 12:20 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cotton, Jefferson and 4 more | 55 min |
| Mar 31, 2:00 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston and 3 more | 7 hr |
| Mar 31, 3:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston and 3 more | 56 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2008Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2008Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.