Alert archive / Arkansas / Tornado Watches in 2008

Tornado Watch 149

March 31, 200822 counties in Arkansas; 16 counties in Missouri; 14 counties in Oklahoma

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Mar 31, 2008, 3:45 PM CDT for 22 counties in Arkansas; 16 counties in Missouri; 14 counties in Oklahoma. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 31, 2008, 3:45 PM CDT (20:45 UTC)
Expired
Mar 31, 2008, 10:42 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 52 counties

Baxter County, AR, Benton County, AR, Boone County, AR, Carroll County, AR, Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Fulton County, AR, Izard County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Madison County, AR, Marion County, AR, Newton County, AR, Pope County, AR, Scott County, AR, Searcy County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Sharp County, AR, Stone County, AR, Van Buren County, AR, Washington County, AR, Yell County, AR, Barry County, MO, Christian County, MO, Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Phelps County, MO, Pulaski County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Stone County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO, Webster County, MO, Wright County, MO, Adair County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
60%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
40%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
50%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
40%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

48 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Hughes, Pontotoc40 min
Mar 31, 3:51 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Haskell, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg and 1 more3 hr
Mar 31, 3:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAAdair29 min
Mar 31, 4:02 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg28 min
Mar 31, 4:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDent, Phelps, Pulaski, Texas72 min
Mar 31, 4:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAPittsburg53 min
Mar 31, 4:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFDouglas80 min
Mar 31, 4:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, Muskogee, Sequoyah64 min
Mar 31, 4:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBoone47 min
Mar 31, 4:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBoone, Newton4 hr
Mar 31, 4:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOzark78 min
Mar 31, 4:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal46 min
Mar 31, 4:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFTexas66 min
Mar 31, 4:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion46 min
Mar 31, 4:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, LeFlore, Pittsburg, Pushmataha87 min
Mar 31, 4:59 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFOzark47 min
Mar 31, 5:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal, Johnston52 min
Mar 31, 5:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHowell81 min
Mar 31, 5:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Madison, Washington60 min
Mar 31, 5:18 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian87 min
Mar 31, 5:34 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFHowell52 min
Mar 31, 5:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Fulton40 min
Mar 31, 5:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha2 hr
Mar 31, 5:44 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFOregon, Shannon76 min
Mar 31, 5:45 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFMaries, Phelps, Pulaski3 hr
Mar 31, 5:48 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSACrawford, Franklin, Sebastian117 min
Mar 31, 5:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCoal, Johnston, Pontotoc38 min
Mar 31, 5:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKJohnson, Logan, Pope, Scott, Yell65 min
Mar 31, 5:57 PM CDTTornado WarningSGFOregon, Shannon63 min
Mar 31, 5:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKBaxter, Marion3 hr
Mar 31, 6:00 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAChoctaw60 min
Mar 31, 6:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKSearcy4 hr
Mar 31, 6:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSALeFlore61 min
Mar 31, 6:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKFulton, Sharp56 min
Mar 31, 6:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNAtoka, Coal, Johnston47 min
Mar 31, 6:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKBaxter, Marion, Searcy45 min
Mar 31, 6:32 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKFulton4 hr
Mar 31, 6:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKLogan, Yell3 hr
Mar 31, 6:58 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAChoctaw47 min
Mar 31, 7:00 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLZKCleburne, Conway, Faulkner, Logan, Newton, Perry and 7 more60 min
Mar 31, 7:02 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAPushmataha58 min
Mar 31, 7:12 PM CDTTornado WarningTSAChoctaw63 min
Mar 31, 7:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKIzard, Stone3 hr
Mar 31, 7:37 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAPushmataha113 min
Mar 31, 7:42 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSALeFlore103 min
Mar 31, 8:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha2 hr
Mar 31, 8:52 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLZKSharp113 min
Mar 31, 8:53 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTSAChoctaw2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 130 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2008-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 640 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Springfield, MO at 12:00Z on 2008-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 336 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
640 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-126 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
596 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
336 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
354 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
10.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000
WWUS20 KWNS 312045
SEL9  
SPC WW 312045
ARZ000-MOZ000-OKZ000-010400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 149
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
345 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 

       NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS
       SOUTHERN MISSOURI
       EASTERN OKLAHOMA

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 345 PM UNTIL
1100 PM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
MCALESTER OKLAHOMA TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF WEST PLAINS MISSOURI.
 FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 146...WW 147...WW 148...

DISCUSSION...LINE OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS...INCLUDING EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS AND BOW ECHOES...IS DEVELOPING SOUTHEASTWARD INTO
SOUTHERN MO/NORTHWEST AR/EASTERN OK.  MODERATE INSTABILITY AND VERY
STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES WILL MAINTAIN A RISK OF LARGE
HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND A FEW TORNADOES THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS.  PARAMETERS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR A RISK OF ISOLATED STRONG
TORNADOES OVER WESTERN AR AND EASTERN OK.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 31, 8:44 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington7 hr
Mar 31, 10:30 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington60 min
Mar 31, 3:04 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Crawford, Franklin and 13 more26 min
Mar 31, 5:28 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Clay, Cleburne, Conway, Craighead, Cross and 34 more62 min
Mar 31, 6:12 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCCalhoun, Clark, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia and 34 more7 hr
Mar 31, 3:31 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Bates, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Cass and 23 more59 min
Mar 31, 4:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clinton, Daviess and 9 more3 hr
Mar 31, 5:59 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Atchison, Buchanan, Caldwell, Carroll, Clinton and 14 more91 min
Mar 31, 7:50 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarton, Bates, Cedar, Dade, Jasper, Newton and 1 more85 min
Mar 31, 1:09 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Caldwell, Carroll, Chariton, Clark, Clay and 22 more2 hr
Mar 31, 1:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Dent, Franklin, Gasconade, Iron, Jefferson and 16 more35 min
Mar 31, 1:45 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAudrain, Boone, Callaway, Cole, Crawford, Franklin and 17 more6 hr
Mar 30, 8:50 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Canadian, Custer, Garfield, Grant and 4 more55 min
Mar 30, 10:52 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Creek and 16 more6 hr
Mar 31, 1:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Creek and 16 more88 min
Mar 31, 2:52 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGarfield, Grant, Kay, Logan, Noble, Osage and 2 more53 min
Mar 31, 4:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPawnee90 min
Mar 31, 4:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Creek, Kay, Mayes, Nowata, Osage and 5 more91 min
Mar 31, 5:05 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCraig, Mayes, Nowata, Osage, Pawnee, Rogers and 2 more7 hr
Mar 31, 6:17 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Delaware, Kay, Mayes, Nowata, Osage and 6 more88 min
Mar 31, 12:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Cotton, Jefferson and 4 more55 min
Mar 31, 2:00 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston and 3 more7 hr
Mar 31, 3:49 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Jefferson, Johnston and 3 more56 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2008Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2008Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2008Every tornado watch in 2008

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.