River Flood Warning 25, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281053
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT AVON
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-281653-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T0600Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1000Z.081229T0000Z.NO/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 530 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-281653-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0300Z.081230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 530 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CREST 
  NEAR 15.5 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC051-055-281653-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0024.081228T1912Z-081229T1800Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.081228T1912Z.081229T0600Z.081229T1200Z.NO/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT AVON
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 34.4 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...RIVER OVERFLOWS 
  AT MANY AREAS FROM GENESEO TO SCOTTSVILLE...BUT MAINLY IN 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS WITH LITTLE DAMAGE. 

$$

NYC029-037-281653-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.081228T1039Z-081228T1900Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.081228T0949Z.081228T1200Z.081228T1300Z.NO/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 530 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL SHOULD BE NEARING CREST. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281409
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
909 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-282009-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T0459Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.081228T0949Z.081228T1800Z.081228T2259Z.NO/
909 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 9 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281536
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1036 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ELLICOTT CREEK FROM BOWMANSVILLE TO BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-282136-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T0459Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.081228T0949Z.081228T1800Z.081228T2259Z.NO/
1036 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 10 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.5 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED AROUND
  BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL WITH SOME FLOODING OF HOMES IN THE AREA.
  AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281625
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT AVON

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK FROM BOWMANSVILLE TO WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-282225-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1800Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.8 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-282225-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T1227Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T1227Z.081230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.3 FEET
  ON TUESDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

NYC029-037-282225-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1232Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.081228T0949Z.081228T1800Z.081229T0632Z.NR/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED AROUND
  BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL WITH SOME FLOODING OF HOMES ALREADY REPORTED.
  AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC051-055-281655-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081229T1800Z/
/AVON6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT AVON.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 32.8 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 28.4 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...RIVER OVERFLOWS 
  AT MANY AREAS FROM GENESEO TO SCOTTSVILLE...BUT MAINLY IN 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS WITH LITTLE DAMAGE. 

$$

000 
WGUS41 KBUF 281829
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
129 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290029-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
129 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 1 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281934
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE AT WILLIAMSVILLE WAS 10.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T1227Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T1227Z.081230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

NYC037-055-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081229T1800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0000Z.081229T1200Z.UU/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.2 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282219
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0000Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.7 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.081228T2215Z-081229T2200Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T1600Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.5 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282340
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290540-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL SLOWLY RECEDE THIS                                        
EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T0224Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T2024Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290346
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-290946-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290945-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC029-037-290945-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1624Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1024Z.NR/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
  FOR LATE TONIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290945-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290516
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVERNIGHT AND IS
  EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND WILL CREST NEAR 16.8
  FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T1223Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0623Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND WILL CREST NEAR 7.6
  FEET BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.  
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1624Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1024Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
  FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED SUNDAY EVEING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.0 FEET 
  BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291007
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T1800Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.9 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC037-055-291606-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FALLING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC029-037-291606-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2116Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1516Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE AT WILLIAMSVILLE WAS 9.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

000 
WGUS41 KBUF 291636
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-292236-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS FALLNE FROM ITS CREST AND WILL CONTINUE TO
  DROP THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-292236-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1124Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.081231T0524Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.0 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-292236-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC029-037-292035-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2035Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1435Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291735
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1235 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-291805-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2035Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1516Z.NR/
1235 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE.
* AT 12:30 THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 4.6 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
405 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A STORM SYSTEM NORTH OF GEORGIAN BAY WILL MOVE TO NORTHERN QUEBEC BY
THIS EVENING. A POWERFUL COLD FRONT TRAILING THE LOW WILL CROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK BY MID MORNING AND CENTRAL NEW YORK EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND BRING TUMBLING TEMPERATURES AND HIGH WINDS TODAY. A
WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. A
CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO TO SOUTHERN
QUEBEC WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION LATER
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA
TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
*** FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SEVERAL AREA CREEKS. SEE
HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS***

SHOWERS LIKELY WILL PRECEDE A COLD FRONT TODAY...THEN STRONG WINDS
AND PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE FRONT.
THE PATH OF A DEEPENING LOW IS NOT PERFECT FOR A HIGH WIND EVENT...A
BIT TOO FAR NORTH AND WEST...BUT THE LOW LEVEL JET IS A BIT STRONGER
THAN LAST EVENT...60 KTS AT 3K FT...AND CONDITIONS WILL BE OPTIMUM
FOR MIXING THIS DOWN WITH TREMENDOUS COLD ADVECTION (850MB
TEMPERATURES AT BUFFALO DROP FROM 11C AT 12Z TO -9C BY 21Z) THE
ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT IS BETTER POSITIONED ON THE 06Z NAM THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS, WITH A 9MB 3 HOUR RISE OVER CENTRAL LAKE ERIE AT 15Z
AND 6MB BETWEEN BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER AT 18Z. ALSO SHOULD SEE SOME
CLEARING IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SOME SUNSHINE HELPING THE
MIXING. THUS WE HAVE CONTINUED THE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE WITH THE FRONT...FROM 60 TO 45 IN AN HOUR
OR TWO...BUT UNLIKE USUAL CASES THIS TIME OF YEAR...NO POST FRONTAL
SNOW IS EXPECTED.

WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING AND THE COLD AIR WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF SOME LAKE SNOW TO THE EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES. THE NAM
BUFKIT SHOWS SUBSIDENCE (IN THE POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT AND UNDER
THE APPROACHING RIDGE) CAPPING CONVECTION BELOW 5 THOUSAND FEET, SO
THERE IS ONLY A CHANCE OF SNOW DEVELOPING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...WILL ONLY GO WITH CHC POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS EAST
OF THE LAKE MIANLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS CAP IS DOWN TO ARND 4
THSD FT AND TEMPS MARGINAL ARND -8C TO -9C AND THERE IS A LACK OF
CRYSTL GROWTH IN CLOUD LYR. WILL KEEP ANY ACCUMS ON THE LIGHT SIDE
UNDER AN INCH. ELSEWHERE SKIES SHLD START OUT PTLY SUNNY WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE AREA BUT EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE IN THE
AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS
THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO AND BRINGS A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHWR
TO MUCH OF THE REGION LATER MONDAY. THE NAM IS STILL MUCH DRIER THAN
THE GFS...AND AGREE WITH EARLIER FCSTR THAT IT TENDS TO STRUGGLE
WITH WAA PRECIP. WILL CONTINUE TREND TOWARD WETTER SOLUTION OF
THE GFS AND SREF MEAN WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS ACROSS WESTERN NY AND
LIKELY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CLOSER TO THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW.

LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO INCREASE THESE POPS FURTHER. TEMPS ALOFT
AND IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL COOL ENOUGH OVERNIGHT TO SUPPORT ALL
SNOW...AND WE MAY SEE A GENERAL VERY LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA...WITH THE GREATER AMOUNTS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AT THE
PRESENT TIME CURRENT THINKING IS AMNTS SHLD BE UNDER AN INCH BUT
WILL GO WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE AMNTS THERE MAY
HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED WITH LTR FCSTS. ALSO EXPECT RATHER BRISK W-NW
WINDS WITH THIS NEXT SYS AS IT GOES BY.

ON TUESDAY THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF MAINE. THE AIRMASS WILL
BECOME MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH AGAIN IN ITS WAKE TO SUPPORT SOME
LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE FOR A FEW HOURS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...
BUT AGAIN THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT. OFF LK
ERIE TEMPS AGAIN ARENT QUITE COLD ENOUGH ALOFT TO SUPPORT ANY LK
ACTIVITY AND LOW LVL MOISTURE IS LIMITED. ANY LAKE ACTIVITY OFF LK
ONTARIO WILL SHUT OFF AGAIN BY THE END OF THE DAY WITH THE PASSAGE
OF ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE AND THE START OF WAA ALOFT ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FAST ZONAL FLOW WILL ALLOW A DECENT CLIPPER SYSTEM TO SLIDE
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE
LATEST 12Z/27 GFS HAS COME IN LINE WITH THE 00Z/27 ECMWF AND
CANADIAN GEM IN HAVING A MORE WELL DEFINED SURFACE LOW WITH THE
CLIPPER SHORTWAVE. MOST OF THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS CAPTURE THIS
FEATURE AS WELL. THIS SHOULD BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME WILL STAY
WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS BUT IT MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD IN LTR
FORECASTS. AIRMASS IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SOME LIMITED LAKE
EFFECT ACTIVITY ON NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE CLIPPER FROM WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MOST OF THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE BUILDS A SURFACE HIGH
OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A MAINLY DRY DAY WITH A
DECENT AMOUNT OF SUN FOR THURSDAY...A RARITY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK MODEL UNCERTAINTY INCREASES DRAMATICALLY. THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NOAM SECTOR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS SOMEWHERE IN THE NORTHEAST
QUARTER OF THE NATION AS THE NAO/AO BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE IN
RESPONSE TO HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING RETROGRADING BACK TOWARDS
GREENLAND.

EXTENDED MODELS ARE HAVING A HARD TIME RESOLVING THE DETAILS OF THE
PATTERN AMPLIFICATION AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE CANADIAN GEM HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN CUTTING A MAJOR LOW INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.
THIS WOULD BRING ANOTHER BIG WARM UP FOLLOWED BY A HIGH WIND EVENT
NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE TRENDING IN THAT
DIRECTION...ALTHOUGH BOTH STILL TRY TO DEVELOP SOME SEMBLANCE OF
MILLER TYPE B CYCLOGENESIS WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING ON THE
COAST. FOR NOW WILL JUST GO WITH CHANCE POPS AT THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH TEMPS NEAR CLIMO UNTIL BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT CAN BE ACHIEVED.
STAY TUNED AS THIS COULD BE A MAJOR SYSTEM FOR SOMEWHERE IN THE
NORTHEAST OR GREAT LAKES BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE BALANCE OF THE NIGHT IN THE
WARM SECTOR OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES. THAT SAID...A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
WIND SHEAR ISSUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AND INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 2 KFT REMAINING
IN THE 50-60 KNOT RANGE THROUGH THAT TIME.

DURING SUNDAY...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN
13Z AND 18Z...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BAND OF MODERATE
SHOWERS THAT SHOULD BRIEFLY REDUCE FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO MVFR FOR A
FEW HOURS. IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL SHOWERS...A WEDGE OF
DRIER AIR SHOULD THEN RESULT IN CIGS/VSBYS BRIEFLY IMPROVING TO
VFR FOR A FEW HOURS LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS LATER ON AND
DROPS CIGS BACK TO MVFR FOR LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OF GREATER CONCERN TO AVIATION INTERESTS ON SUNDAY WILL BE THE VERY
STRONG WINDS THAT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AS STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION HELPS TO MIX DOWN THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN SURFACE WINDS INCREASING TO THE 25 TO
40 KNOT RANGE FOLLOWING THE FROPA...ALONG WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
50 KNOTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO WHERE FUNNELLING EFFECTS WILL HELP TO LOCALLY ENHANCE
THE STRONG WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN
AN HOUR OR TWO OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THEN PERSIST FOR MOST OF
THE DAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS WILL BE CONTINUED FOR LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. A
POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO
EAST...REACHING EASTERN LAKE ERIE AROUND MID MORNING THEN EXITING
THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO BY EARLY AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO HIGH END
GALES WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 KNOTS AND A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS
TO 50 KNOTS LIKELY. WE WILL HOLD THE FORECAST TO HIGH END GALES
GIVEN THE EXPECTED LOW CHANCE OF SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS...BUT
MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE OF A FEW GUSTS OVER 50 KNOTS.

THE GALES WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT. A FAST MOVING CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OTTAWA VALLEY
MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WITH THIS FEATURE AND MAY
BRIEFLY APPROACH GALE FORCE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY ON
LAKE ONTARIO.

WITH THE ROUTINE EVENING FORECAST UPDATE...HAVE ALSO CONTINUED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FOR TODAY AND MUCH OF
TONIGHT. WHILE WINDS IN THIS AREA WONT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS WILL
BE OBSERVED ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...THEY WILL STILL BE PLENTY STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH INTO THE
UPPER PORTIONS OF THE SCA RANGE...WITH GUSTS TO LOW END GALE FORCE
/35-40 KTS/ LIKELY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A SOLID 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL YESTERDAY ACROSS THE BUFFALO
AREA HEADWATERS. THIS COMBINED WITH A TOTAL SNOWMELT (SNOW WATER
EQUIVALENT  OF 1 TO 2 INCHES) RESULTED IN FLOODING ON ALL THE
BUFFALO AREA CREEKS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF ELLICOTT CREEK, THE FLOOD WATERS ARE NOW RECEDING ON
THESE CREEKS WITH THE END OF THE RAINFALL AND DIMINISHING
SNOWMELT...AND LEVELS ARE NOW BELOW FLOOD STAGE. A WARNING MAY NEED
TO BE ISSUED FOR ELLICOTT CREEK IF IT CONTINUES TO RISE.

FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA AND RAPIDS AS
WELL AS FOR THE GENESEE RIVER AT AVON. THE RAINFALL FROM SATURDAY IN
COMBINATION WITH A CONTINUATION OF THE IMPRESSIVE MELT DOWN OF THE
SNOWPACK HAS RESULTED IN MAJOR RISES ON THESE WATERWAYS.

OATKA CREEK IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE AT GARBUTT, AND A
WARNING MAY BE ISSUED TODAY IF IT RISES MORE THAN FORECAST.

EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BLACK RIVER IN LEWIS
COUNTY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING.
THIS FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. CONDITIONS ARE MORE
FAVORABLE FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING THAN THE LAST HIGH WIND EVENT
CHRISTMAS EVE. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE
FOLLOWING THE SURFACE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH A QUICK SHIFT
FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE FAST SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND
INCREASE IN SPEED MAY PRODUCE A SEICHE...WITH THE LAKE WATERS
SLOSHING EASTWARD AND PRODUCING A STORM SURGE AT THE NORTHEAST END
OF THE LAKE. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GLERL LAKE ERIE WATER LEVEL
FORECAST GUIDANCE TAKES THE LEVEL TO ABOUT 7 FEET...AND THIS MODEL
OFTEN UNDER-FORECASTS THE SURGE.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT AS WITH PAST EVENTS...THE LAKESHORE
FLOODING RISK IS IN THE FIRST FEW HOURS FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE. THE FIRST RISE IS ALWAYS THE HIGHEST...WITH SUCCESSIVE
SLOSHES ALWAYS LOWER THAN THE FIRST. THUS...EXPECT THE GREATEST
RISK FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING TO BE ALONG THE ERIE COUNTY SHORELINE
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM EST
     THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ010-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST THIS
     EVENING FOR NYZ006>008.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST THIS EVENING
     FOR NYZ004-005-014.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NYZ008.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ013-020-021.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM EST THIS EVENING
         FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS
         EVENING FOR LOZ042-043-062-063.
         GALE WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST MONDAY
         FOR LOZ044-045-064-065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 AM
         EST MONDAY FOR SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJP
NEAR TERM...APB/JJR/SFM
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJP
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJP
AVIATION...JJR/SFM
MARINE...JJP/JJR
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

NYZ010-085-282045-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ON THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS
AND ALSO CATTARAUGUS CREEK. IN ADDITION TO THE RIVER FLOODING...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINFALL AND RAPID SNOWMELT HAS
RESULTED IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEE
THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLOODING...AND ALSO WIND GUSTS
OR DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-282045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OR DAMAGE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-014-282045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-011-012-019-282045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OR DAMAGE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-020-021-282045-
LIVINGSTON-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-282045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-282045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT CROSSES THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-043-062-063-282045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-282045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK