River Flood Warning 22, NWS Buffalo, NY

048 
WGUS41 KBUF 280727
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
226 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FORECAST FLOODING CHANGED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY FOR THE 
FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW YORK...
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN!

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-281326-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T0600Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T0700Z.081229T0000Z.NO/
226 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FORECAST FLOODING INCREASED FROM MINOR TO MODERATE SEVERITY...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 2 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND NEAR THE CREST.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS SUNDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281053
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT AVON
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-281653-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T0600Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1000Z.081229T0000Z.NO/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 530 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-281653-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0300Z.081230T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM THIS EVENING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 530 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND CREST 
  NEAR 15.5 FEET MONDAY EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC051-055-281653-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0024.081228T1912Z-081229T1800Z/
/AVON6.1.ER.081228T1912Z.081229T0600Z.081229T1200Z.NO/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT AVON
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 32.4 FEET AND STEADY.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS 
  AFTERNOON AND CREST NEAR 34.4 FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...RIVER OVERFLOWS 
  AT MANY AREAS FROM GENESEO TO SCOTTSVILLE...BUT MAINLY IN 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS WITH LITTLE DAMAGE. 

$$

NYC029-037-281653-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.081228T1039Z-081228T1900Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.081228T0949Z.081228T1200Z.081228T1300Z.NO/
553 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 530 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL SHOULD BE NEARING CREST. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281625
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  GENESEE RIVER AT AVON

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK FROM BOWMANSVILLE TO WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-282225-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1800Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.8 FEET
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-282225-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T1227Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T1227Z.081230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.3 FEET
  ON TUESDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

NYC029-037-282225-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1232Z/
/WILN6.1.ER.081228T0949Z.081228T1800Z.081229T0632Z.NR/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 9.8 FEET 
  THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED AROUND
  BOWMANSVILLE FIRE HALL WITH SOME FLOODING OF HOMES ALREADY REPORTED.
  AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC051-055-281655-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-081229T1800Z/
/AVON6.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1125 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE GENESEE RIVER AT AVON.
* AT 11 AM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 31.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 33.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AT 32.8 FEET.  THE 
  RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 28.4 FEET BY MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 33.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...RIVER OVERFLOWS 
  AT MANY AREAS FROM GENESEO TO SCOTTSVILLE...BUT MAINLY IN 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS WITH LITTLE DAMAGE. 

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281934
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE AT WILLIAMSVILLE WAS 10.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T1227Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T1227Z.081230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

NYC037-055-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081229T1800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0000Z.081229T1200Z.UU/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.2 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282219
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0000Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.7 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.081228T2215Z-081229T2200Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T1600Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.5 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282340
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290540-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL SLOWLY RECEDE THIS                                        
EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T0224Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T2024Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290346
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-290946-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290945-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC029-037-290945-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1624Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1024Z.NR/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
  FOR LATE TONIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290945-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290516
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVERNIGHT AND IS
  EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND WILL CREST NEAR 16.8
  FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T1223Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0623Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND WILL CREST NEAR 7.6
  FEET BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.  
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1624Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1024Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
  FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED SUNDAY EVEING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.0 FEET 
  BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291007
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T1800Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.9 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC037-055-291606-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FALLING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC029-037-291606-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2116Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1516Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE AT WILLIAMSVILLE WAS 9.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291349
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
849 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291419-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1151Z.NO/
849 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA.
* AT 8 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS MORNING AND
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 5.7 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291949-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1630Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.081231T1030Z.NR/
849 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 830 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 13.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.6 FEET
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1134 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A STORM SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES WILL STRENGTHEN AND LIFT
NORTHEAST ACROSS QUEBEC OVERNIGHT AND SUNDAY. A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW
AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP SPRINGLIKE TEMPERATURES IN PLACE
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE A POWERFUL COLD FRONT BRINGS TUMBLING
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH WINDS FOR SUNDAY. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING A RELATIVELY QUIET DAY MONDAY BEFORE A CLIPPER
SYSTEM BRINGS A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
*** FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SEVERAL BUFFALO AREA
 CREEKS. SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS***

MOSTLY CLOUDY AND DRY CONDITIONS...ALONG WITH UNSEASONABLY MILD
TEMPERATURES...WILL BE THE RULE THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT WITH
THE AREA FIRMLY ENTRENCHED IN THE WARM SECTOR OF A DEEPENING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE UPPER GREAT LAKES. AFTER DROPPING A FEW
DEGREES ACROSS WESTERN SECTIONS EARLIER THIS EVENING...
TEMPERATURES HAVE REBOUNDED INTO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S WITH
INCREASING DOWNSLOPE SOUTHERLY WINDS THE PAST FEW HOURS. EXPECT THIS
SAME GENERAL TREND TO ALSO OCCUR FURTHER EAST AS THE STRONGER
SOUTH WINDS SPREAD EASTWARD WITH TIME OVERNIGHT...WITH MOST AREAS
REACHING THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S BY DAYBREAK. SUCH READINGS WILL
BE ROUGHLY 40 DEGREES ABOVE THOSE NORMALLY SEEN LATE AT NIGHT IN
LATE DECEMBER

MAIN STORY IN THE NEAR TERM WILL BE THE TIMING OF THE POWERFUL
COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY. THIS FRONT WILL ONLY HAVE LIMITED
MOISTURE...PERHAPS AN HOUR OF SHOWERS...THEN BE FOLLOWED BY VERY
STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. PATH OF DEEPENING LOW IS NOT
PERFECT FOR A HIGH WIND EVENT IN WNY...A BIT TOO FAR NORTH AND
WEST...AND RISE/FALL COUPLET BEST OVER ONTARIO TOO...BUT LL JET IS
A BIT STRONGER THAN LAST EVENT...60 KTS AT 3K FT...AND CONDITIONS
WILL BE OPTIMUM FOR MIXING THIS DOWN WITH TREMENDOUS COLD
ADVECTION (850S AT BUF DROP FROM 11C AT 12Z TO -9C BY 21Z) ALSO
SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SOME
SUNSHINE HELPING THE MIXING. SO...DECIDED TO CHANGE WATCH TO
WARNINGS ACROSS THE FAVORED COUNTIES...CHAUT AND THEN LAKE PLAIN
DOWNWIND OF LK ERIE FROM BUF OVER TO ROC...AND ALSO A FEW HOURS
LATER E OF LK ONTARIO FROM NRN OSWEGO TO JEFF/LEWIS. ADVISORIES
ELSEWHERE. BROKE IT INTO TWO TIMES PERIODS...STARTING AT 14Z WEST
AND 16Z EAST. TEMPS WILL PLUNGE WITH FROPA...FROM 60 TO 40 IN AN
HOUR OR TWO...AND DROP TO M30S BY SUNSET IN WEST...BUT UNLIKE
USUAL CASES THIS TIME OF YEAR...NO POST FRONTAL SNOW IS EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS LINGERING HIGH WINDS SUNDAY EVENING. SEE NEAR
TERM SECTION FOR DETAILS ON THE HIGH WINDS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FROM
WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS FROM NORTH CENTRAL
QUEBEC AT 00Z MON INTO LABRADOR BY 12Z MON.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS BACK TO THE MESOSCALE BRIEFLY...WITH A
MARGINAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT POSSIBLE. 850MB TEMPS ARE FORECAST
TO DROP TO AROUND -9C BEHIND THE FRONT SUNDAY EVENING...JUST COLD
ENOUGH TO TRIGGER A LAKE RESPONSE.

OFF LAKE ERIE...DRY AIR AND VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP
ACTIVITY TO A MINIMUM...WITH JUST SCATTERED FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE SOUTHERN TIER THE FIRST HALF OF
THE NIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY CLIP THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR
AWHILE SUNDAY EVENING. OVERALL THIS LOOKS VERY LIMITED...WITH ANY
ACCUMS LESS THAN AN INCH.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...CONDITIONS WILL BE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE WITH A
LITTLE DEEPER SYNOPTIC SCALE MOISTURE AND A SLIGHTLY WARMER LAKE
YIELDING BETTER INSTABILITY. LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISE TO
AROUND 4000 FEET DURING THE EVENING. THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY
COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE WESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PRODUCE SOME
LIMITED LAKE SNOWS ACROSS THE TUG HILL. EXPECT ACCUMULATION IN THE
2-4 INCH RANGE ACROSS THE TUG...LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. THIS BAND MAY TEND TO SINK SOUTH MORE INTO OSWEGO COUNTY
OVERNIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS VEER MORE TO THE NORTHWEST.
ANY LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW MONDAY MORNING SHOULD BREAK APART
INTO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND END BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE CRESTS OVER LAKE ONTARIO AND DISRUPTS THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW.

FOLLOWING THE MAJOR SYNOPTIC SYSTEM IN THE NEAR TERM...THE LONGWAVE
PATTERN WILL BECOME MUCH MORE ZONAL ACROSS THE CONUS EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL SUPPORT A FEW FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEMS MOVING
ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER. THE FIRST IS FORECAST BY SHORT TERM
MODEL GUIDANCE TO PASS BY JUST TO OUR NORTH MONDAY NIGHT. THE NAM IS
MUCH DRIER THAN THE GFS...AND TENDS TO STRUGGLE WITH WAA PRECIP.
WILL FOLLOW THE WETTER SOLUTION OF THE GFS AND SREF MEAN WITH HIGH
CHANCE POPS ACROSS WESTERN NY AND LIKELY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CLOSER
TO THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW. LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO INCREASE
THESE POPS FURTHER. TEMPS ALOFT AND IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL COOL
ENOUGH OVERNIGHT TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW...AND WE MAY SEE A GENERAL VERY
LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE GREATER AMOUNTS
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

ON TUESDAY THIS SYSTEM RAPIDLY MOVES OFF THE NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST AND LOOSES ITS IDENTITY. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME MARGINALLY
COLD ENOUGH AGAIN IN ITS WAKE TO SUPPORT SOME LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE
FOR A FEW HOURS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...BUT AGAIN THIS DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT. ANY LAKE ACTIVITY WILL SHUT OFF
AGAIN BY THE END OF THE DAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE
AND THE START OF WAA ALOFT ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NOT MUCH TIME FOR THE LONG TERM TODAY WITH LOTS OF HIGH IMPACT
WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM. LONGWAVE PATTERN DEAMPLIFICATION IS
UNDERWAY ACROSS NOAM...AND A GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE
AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE FAST ZONAL FLOW WILL ALLOW
A DECENT CLIPPER SYSTEM TO SLIDE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AT THE START
OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE LATEST 12Z/27 GFS HAS COME IN LINE WITH
THE 00Z/27 ECMWF AND CANADIAN GEM IN HAVING A MORE WELL DEFINED
SURFACE LOW WITH THE CLIPPER SHORTWAVE. MOST OF THE GEFS ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS CAPTURE THIS FEATURE AS WELL. THIS SHOULD BRING A GENERAL
LIGHT SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AIRMASS IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SOME LIMITED LAKE
EFFECT ACTIVITY ON NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE CLIPPER FROM WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MOST OF THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE BUILDS A SURFACE HIGH
OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A MAINLY DRY DAY WITH A
DECENT AMOUNT OF SUN FOR THURSDAY...A RARITY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK MODEL UNCERTAINTY INCREASES DRAMATICALLY. THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NOAM SECTOR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS SOMEWHERE IN THE NORTHEAST
QUARTER OF THE NATION AS THE NAO/AO BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE IN
RESPONSE TO HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING RETROGRADING BACK TOWARDS
GREENLAND.

EXTENDED MODELS ARE HAVING A HARD TIME RESOLVING THE DETAILS OF THE
PATTERN AMPLIFICATION AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE CANADIAN GEM HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN CUTTING A MAJOR LOW INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.
THIS WOULD BRING ANOTHER BIG WARM UP FOLLOWED BY A HIGH WIND EVENT
NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE TRENDING IN THAT
DIRECTION...ALTHOUGH BOTH STILL TRY TO DEVELOP SOME SEMBLANCE OF
MILLER TYPE B CYCLOGENESIS WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING ON THE
COAST. FOR NOW WILL JUST GO WITH CHANCE POPS AT THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH TEMPS NEAR CLIMO UNTIL BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT CAN BE ACHIEVED.
STAY TUNED AS THIS COULD BE A MAJOR SYSTEM FOR SOMEWHERE IN THE
NORTHEAST OR GREAT LAKES BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE BALANCE OF THE NIGHT IN THE
WARM SECTOR OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES. THAT SAID...A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
WIND SHEAR ISSUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AND INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 2 KFT REMAINING
IN THE 50-60 KNOT RANGE THROUGH THAT TIME.

DURING SUNDAY...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN
13Z AND 18Z...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BAND OF MODERATE
SHOWERS THAT SHOULD BRIEFLY REDUCE FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO MVFR FOR A
FEW HOURS. IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL SHOWERS...A WEDGE OF
DRIER AIR SHOULD THEN RESULT IN CIGS/VSBYS BRIEFLY IMPROVING TO
VFR FOR A FEW HOURS LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS LATER ON AND
DROPS CIGS BACK TO MVFR FOR LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OF GREATER CONCERN TO AVIATION INTERESTS ON SUNDAY WILL BE THE VERY
STRONG WINDS THAT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AS STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION HELPS TO MIX DOWN THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN SURFACE WINDS INCREASING TO THE 25 TO
40 KNOT RANGE FOLLOWING THE FROPA...ALONG WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
50 KNOTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO WHERE FUNNELLING EFFECTS WILL HELP TO LOCALLY ENHANCE
THE STRONG WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN
AN HOUR OR TWO OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THEN PERSIST FOR MOST OF
THE DAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH THIS
FORECAST ISSUANCE. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25
KNOT RANGE TONIGHT AS A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET PROPAGATES INTO THE
AREA. EXPECT SOME 30 KNOT WINDS LOCALLY ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE
WHERE DOWNSLOPING WILL ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS. ON SUNDAY A POWERFUL
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST...REACHING EASTERN
LAKE ERIE AROUND MID MORNING THEN EXITING THE EAST END OF LAKE
ONTARIO BY EARLY AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO HIGH END GALES WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 40 KNOTS AND A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS LIKELY. WE
WILL HOLD THE FORECAST TO HIGH END GALES GIVEN THE EXPECTED LOW
CHANCE OF SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE
OF A FEW GUSTS OVER 50 KNOTS.

THE GALES WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT. A FAST MOVING CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OTTAWA VALLEY
MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WITH THIS FEATURE AND MAY
BRIEFLY APPROACH GALE FORCE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY ON
LAKE ONTARIO.

WITH THE ROUTINE EVENING FORECAST UPDATE...HAVE ALSO POSTED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FOR SUNDAY AND MUCH
OF SUNDAY NIGHT. WHILE WINDS IN THIS AREA WONT BE QUITE AS STRONG
AS WILL BE OBSERVED ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...THEY WILL STILL BE PLENTY STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH INTO THE
UPPER PORTIONS OF THE SCA RANGE...WITH GUSTS TO LOW END GALE FORCE
/35-40 KTS/ LIKELY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A SOLID 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z ACROSS THE
BUFFALO AREA HEADWATERS. THIS COMBINED WITH A TOTAL SNOWMELT (SWE
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES) RESULTED IN FLOODING ON ALL THE BUFFALO AREA
CREEKS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THIS EVENING. THE FLOOD WATERS ARE
NOW RECEDING ON THESE CREEKS WITH THE END OF THE RAINFALL AND
DIMINISHING SNOWMELT...THOUGH LEVELS STILL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD
STAGE ON THE CAZENOVIA...BUFFALO...AND CAYUGA CREEKS AS OF THIS
WRITING. THESE THREE CREEKS ARE CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW
FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. OVER THE COURSE OF THE NEXT
DAY OR TWO...WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON SOME OF THE
SLOWER RESPONDING CREEKS IN WESTERN NY SUCH AS THE TONAWANDA AND
OATKA CREEKS...WHICH MAY APPROACH FLOOD STAGE LATER SUNDAY INTO
MONDAY.

ELSEWHERE...HAVE DROPPED ALL OTHER URBAN/SMALL STREAM FLOOD
ADVISORIES...WITH CONDITIONS IMPROVING NOTICEABLY DURING THE
COURSE OF THE PAST 3-4 HOURS.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WE WILL ISSUE A LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH FOR SUNDAY. THIS SITUATION
APPEARS MORE FAVORABLE FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING THAN THE LAST HIGH
WIND EVENT CHRISTMAS EVE. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY
INCREASE FOLLOWING THE SURFACE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH A QUICK
SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE FAST SHIFT IN DIRECTION
AND INCREASE IN SPEED MAY PRODUCE A SEICHE...WITH THE LAKE WATERS
SLOSHING EASTWARD AND PRODUCING A STORM SURGE AT THE NORTHEAST END
OF THE LAKE. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GLERL LAKE ERIE WATER LEVEL
FORECAST GUIDANCE TAKES THE LEVEL TO ABOUT 7 FEET...AND THIS MODEL
OFTEN UNDER-FORECASTS THE SURGE.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT AS WITH PAST EVENTS...THE LAKESHORE
FLOODING RISK IS IN THE FIRST FEW HOURS FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE. THE FIRST RISE IS ALWAYS THE HIGHEST...WITH SUCCESSIVE
SLOSHES ALWAYS LOWER THAN THE FIRST. THUS...EXPECT THE GREATEST
RISK FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING TO BE ALONG THE ERIE COUNTY SHORELINE
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CLIMATE...
A RECORD BREAKING DAY HERE IN BUFFALO. NOT ONLY HAS A NEW DAILY
RAINFALL RECORD OF 1.21 INCHES BEEN SET...BUT THE RECORD HIGH TEMP
OF 58 (1971) HAS BEEN SOUNDLY BEATEN...WITH THE AIRPORT REACHING
63 DEGREES AS OF 10 PM THIS EVENING. AMAZINGLY...OUR TWO FEET PLUS
OF SNOWFALL OF LAST FRI-SUN HAS COMPLETELY VANISHED...WITH THE
GROUND NOW BARE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ001>003-
     010>012-019-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH FROM 9 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ010-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ004-005-014.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ013-020-021.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042-
         043-062-063.
         GALE WARNING FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR
         LOZ044-045-064-065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 9 AM SUNDAY TO 4 AM EST
         MONDAY FOR SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK/JJR
NEAR TERM...JJR/SFM
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...JJR/SFM
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/JJR/SFM
HYDROLOGY...JJR/SFM
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...HITCHCOCK
CLIMATE...JJR/SFM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

NYZ010-085-282045-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ON THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS
AND ALSO CATTARAUGUS CREEK. IN ADDITION TO THE RIVER FLOODING...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINFALL AND RAPID SNOWMELT HAS
RESULTED IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEE
THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLOODING...AND ALSO WIND GUSTS
OR DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-282045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OR DAMAGE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-014-282045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-011-012-019-282045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OR DAMAGE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-020-021-282045-
LIVINGSTON-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-282045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-282045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT CROSSES THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-043-062-063-282045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-282045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK