Small Craft Advisory 106, NWS Buffalo, NY

243 
WHUS71 KBUF 280951
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
451 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

LEZ020-040-041-281800-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.081228T1300Z-081229T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
451 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

A PERIOD OF SOUTHWEST GALES ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING THROUGH THIS
EVENING BEHIND A POWERFUL COLD FRONT. SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KNOT GALES DURING
THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A
FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS TO AROUND 50 KNOTS. GALES ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TO MID EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-062-063-281800-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.081228T1400Z-081229T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
451 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
EST THIS EVENING. 

A PERIOD OF SOUTHWEST GALES ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH
THIS EVENING BEHIND A POWERFUL COLD FRONT. SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT TO
THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 35 TO 40 KNOT GALES DURING
THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS ON SUNDAY. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A
FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS TO AROUND 50 KNOTS. GALES ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE THROUGH MID TO LATE EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-064-065-281800-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.081228T1600Z-081229T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
451 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM
EST MONDAY. 

A PERIOD OF SOUTHWEST GALES ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING
THROUGH THIS EVENING BEHIND A POWERFUL COLD FRONT. SOUTH WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 40 KNOT GALES
DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS ON SUNDAY. THERE
WILL LIKELY BE A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS TO AROUND 50 KNOTS. GALES
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT BEFORE
DIMINISHING BY DAYBREAK MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

SLZ022-024-281800-
/O.CON.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.081228T1400Z-081229T0900Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
451 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST MONDAY...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING
TO 4 AM EST MONDAY. 

A PERIOD OF WINDS ABOVE SMALL CRAFT CRITERIA ARE EXPECTED FROM
LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT BEHIND A POWERFUL COLD FRONT.
SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 30
KNOTS DURING THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS. THERE
WILL LIKELY EVEN BE SOME GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40
KNOT RANGE. THE STRONG WINDS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT HOURS...BEFORE DIMINISHING BY DAYBREAK
MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MEANS THAT WIND SPEEDS OF 18 TO 33 KNOTS
ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HAZARDOUS WAVE CONDITIONS TO SMALL CRAFT.
INEXPERIENCED MARINERS... ESPECIALLY THOSE OPERATING SMALLER
VESSELS... SHOULD AVOID NAVIGATING IN THESE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

569 
WHUS71 KBUF 281500
MWWBUF

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

SLZ022-024-282300-
/O.UPG.KBUF.SC.Y.0106.000000T0000Z-081229T0900Z/
/O.EXA.KBUF.GL.W.0032.081228T1600Z-081229T0600Z/
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO HAS ISSUED A GALE
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. THIS UPGRADES
THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WHICH WAS PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO GALE FORCE BY
MIDDAY. GALE FORCE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF
TONIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BY MONDAY MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LEZ020-040-041-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-081229T0200Z/
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST GALES TO 40 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY
EVENING. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS TO AROUND
50 KNOTS. GALES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY TO MID
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ042-043-062-063-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.000000T0000Z-081229T0300Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN
BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING. 

SOUTHWEST GALES TO 40 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THERE WILL LIKELY BE A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS TO AROUND 50 KNOTS.
GALES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID TO LATE EVENING BEFORE
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

LOZ044-045-064-065-282300-
/O.CON.KBUF.GL.W.0032.081228T1600Z-081229T0600Z/
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
1000 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY. 

SOUTH WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO 40
KNOT GALES BY LATE MORNING. THERE WILL LIKELY BE A FEW STORM
FORCE GUSTS TO AROUND 50 KNOTS. GALES ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE EARLY OVERNIGHT BEFORE DIMINISHING BY DAYBREAK MONDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A GALE WARNING MEANS WINDS OF 34 TO 47 KNOTS ARE IMMINENT OR
OCCURRING. OPERATING A VESSEL IN GALE CONDITIONS REQUIRES
EXPERIENCE AND PROPERLY EQUIPPED VESSELS. IT IS HIGHLY
RECOMMENDED THAT MARINERS WITHOUT THE PROPER EXPERIENCE SEEK SAFE
HARBOR PRIOR TO THE ONSET OF GALE CONDITIONS.

&&

$$

HITCHCOCK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
704 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE NATION
WILL LIFT INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES BY SUNDAY MORNING THEN
CONTINUE INTO QUEBEC SUNDAY AFTERNOON. A DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW AHEAD
OF THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP SPRINGLIKE TEMPERATURES IN PLACE THROUGH
SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE A POWERFUL COLD FRONT BRINGS TUMBLING
TEMPERATURES AND HIGH WINDS FOR SUNDAY. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BRING A RELATIVELY QUIET DAY MONDAY BEFORE A CLIPPER
SYSTEM BRINGS A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
*** WARM FRONTAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCED 1 TO 1.5
 INCHES AND COMBINED WITH RAPID SNOWMELT TO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT
 HYDRO ISSUES...WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR ALL BUFFALO AREA
 CREEKS. SEE HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS***

704 PM UPDATE...WARM FRONT AND ASSOCIATED PRECIP HAS LIFTED NORTH
OF THE AREA...TAKING ALL PRECIP WITH IT. THIS WILL RESULT IN
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS THE REST OF THE NIGHT...AND AS SUCH UPDATED
OUR FORECASTS A LITTLE EARLIER TO REMOVE ANY MENTION OF WARM
FRONTAL SHOWERS. AS FOR TEMPS...THOSE STILL LOOK VERY
REASONABLE...WITH COUPLE DEGREE DROP POSSIBLE EARLY THIS EVENING
BEFORE THESE RISE AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT AS THE SOUTHERLY DOWNSLOPE
FLOW INCREASES. WE SHOULD BE INTO THE L60S ON THE LAKE PLAIN AND
NR LK ERIE OVERNIGHT AND UPPER 50S OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS AS 850
MB TEMPS RISE TO 13-14C.

MAIN STORY WILL BE THE TIMING OF THE POWERFUL COLD FRONT ON SUNDAY.
THIS FRONT WILL ONLY HAVE LIMITED MOISTURE...PERHAPS AN HOUR OF
SHOWERS...THEN BE FOLLOWED BY VERY STRONG WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS.
PATH OF DEEPENING LOW IS NOT PERFECT FOR A HIGH WIND EVENT IN
WNY...A BIT TOO FAR NORTH AND WEST...AND RISE/FALL COUPLET BEST OVER
ONTARIO TOO...BUT LL JET IS A BIT STRONGER THAN LAST EVENT...60 KTS
AT 3K FT...AND CONDITIONS WILL BE OPTIMUM FOR MIXING THIS DOWN WITH
TREMENDOUS COLD ADVECTION (850S AT BUF DROP FROM 11C AT 12Z TO -9C
BY 21Z) ALSO SHOULD SEE SOME CLEARING IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH SOME SUNSHINE HELPING THE MIXING. SO...DECIDED TO CHANGE WATCH TO
WARNINGS ACROSS THE FAVORED COUNTIES...CHAUT AND THEN LAKE PLAIN
DOWNWIND OF LK ERIE FROM BUF OVER TO ROC...AND ALSO A FEW HOURS
LATER E OF LK ONTARIO FROM NRN OSWEGO TO JEFF/LEWIS. ADVISORIES
ELSEWHERE. BROKE IT INTO TWO TIMES PERIODS...STARTING AT 14Z WEST
AND 16Z EAST.  TEMPS WILL PLUNGE WITH FROPA...FROM 60 TO 40 IN AN
HOUR OR TWO...AND DROP TO M30S BY SUNSET IN WEST...BUT UNLIKE USUAL
CASES THIS TIME OF YEAR...NO POST FRONTAL SNOW IS EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
IMMEDIATE CONCERN IS LINGERING HIGH WINDS SUNDAY EVENING. SEE NEAR
TERM SECTION FOR DETAILS ON THE HIGH WINDS. WINDS WILL DIMINISH FROM
WEST TO EAST OVERNIGHT AS THE SURFACE LOW PULLS FROM NORTH CENTRAL
QUEBEC AT 00Z MON INTO LABRADOR BY 12Z MON.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS BACK TO THE MESOSCALE BRIEFLY...WITH A
MARGINAL LAKE EFFECT SNOW EVENT POSSIBLE. 850MB TEMPS ARE FORECAST
TO DROP TO AROUND -9C BEHIND THE FRONT SUNDAY EVENING...JUST COLD
ENOUGH TO TRIGGER A LAKE RESPONSE.

OFF LAKE ERIE...DRY AIR AND VERY MARGINAL INSTABILITY SHOULD KEEP
ACTIVITY TO A MINIMUM...WITH JUST SCATTERED FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS SKI COUNTRY AND THE SOUTHERN TIER THE FIRST HALF OF
THE NIGHT. SOME OF THIS ACTIVITY MAY CLIP THE BUFFALO SOUTHTOWNS FOR
AWHILE SUNDAY EVENING. OVERALL THIS LOOKS VERY LIMITED...WITH ANY
ACCUMS LESS THAN AN INCH.

OFF LAKE ONTARIO...CONDITIONS WILL BE SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE WITH A
LITTLE DEEPER SYNOPTIC SCALE MOISTURE AND A SLIGHTLY WARMER LAKE
YIELDING BETTER INSTABILITY. LAKE INDUCED EQUILIBRIUM LEVELS RISE TO
AROUND 4000 FEET DURING THE EVENING. THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY
COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE WESTERLY UPSLOPE FLOW WILL PRODUCE SOME
LIMITED LAKE SNOWS ACROSS THE TUG HILL. EXPECT ACCUMULATION IN THE
2-4 INCH RANGE ACROSS THE TUG...LESSER AMOUNTS ACROSS THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. THIS BAND MAY TEND TO SINK SOUTH MORE INTO OSWEGO COUNTY
OVERNIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS VEER MORE TO THE NORTHWEST.
ANY LINGERING LAKE EFFECT SNOW MONDAY MORNING SHOULD BREAK APART
INTO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS AND END BY EARLY AFTERNOON AS THE
SURFACE RIDGE CRESTS OVER LAKE ONTARIO AND DISRUPTS THE LOW LEVEL
FLOW.

FOLLOWING THE MAJOR SYNOPTIC SYSTEM IN THE NEAR TERM...THE LONGWAVE
PATTERN WILL BECOME MUCH MORE ZONAL ACROSS THE CONUS EARLY NEXT
WEEK. THIS WILL SUPPORT A FEW FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEMS MOVING
ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER. THE FIRST IS FORECAST BY SHORT TERM
MODEL GUIDANCE TO PASS BY JUST TO OUR NORTH MONDAY NIGHT. THE NAM IS
MUCH DRIER THAN THE GFS...AND TENDS TO STRUGGLE WITH WAA PRECIP.
WILL FOLLOW THE WETTER SOLUTION OF THE GFS AND SREF MEAN WITH HIGH
CHANCE POPS ACROSS WESTERN NY AND LIKELY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CLOSER
TO THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW. LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO INCREASE
THESE POPS FURTHER. TEMPS ALOFT AND IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL COOL
ENOUGH OVERNIGHT TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW...AND WE MAY SEE A GENERAL VERY
LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...WITH THE GREATER AMOUNTS
EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO.

ON TUESDAY THIS SYSTEM RAPIDLY MOVES OFF THE NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND
COAST AND LOOSES ITS IDENTITY. THE AIRMASS WILL BECOME MARGINALLY
COLD ENOUGH AGAIN IN ITS WAKE TO SUPPORT SOME LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE
FOR A FEW HOURS SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...BUT AGAIN THIS DOES NOT
APPEAR TO BE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT. ANY LAKE ACTIVITY WILL SHUT OFF
AGAIN BY THE END OF THE DAY WITH THE PASSAGE OF ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE
AND THE START OF WAA ALOFT ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NOT MUCH TIME FOR THE LONG TERM TODAY WITH LOTS OF HIGH IMPACT
WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM. LONGWAVE PATTERN DEAMPLIFICATION IS
UNDERWAY ACROSS NOAM...AND A GENERALLY ZONAL FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE
AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE FAST ZONAL FLOW WILL ALLOW
A DECENT CLIPPER SYSTEM TO SLIDE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AT THE START
OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE LATEST 12Z/27 GFS HAS COME IN LINE WITH
THE 00Z/27 ECMWF AND CANADIAN GEM IN HAVING A MORE WELL DEFINED
SURFACE LOW WITH THE CLIPPER SHORTWAVE. MOST OF THE GEFS ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS CAPTURE THIS FEATURE AS WELL. THIS SHOULD BRING A GENERAL
LIGHT SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY
MORNING. AIRMASS IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SOME LIMITED LAKE
EFFECT ACTIVITY ON NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE CLIPPER FROM WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MOST OF THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE BUILDS A SURFACE HIGH
OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A MAINLY DRY DAY WITH A
DECENT AMOUNT OF SUN FOR THURSDAY...A RARITY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK MODEL UNCERTAINTY INCREASES DRAMATICALLY. THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NOAM SECTOR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS SOMEWHERE IN THE NORTHEAST
QUARTER OF THE NATION AS THE NAO/AO BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE IN
RESPONSE TO HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING RETROGRADING BACK TOWARDS
GREENLAND.

EXTENDED MODELS ARE HAVING A HARD TIME RESOLVING THE DETAILS OF THE
PATTERN AMPLIFICATION AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE CANADIAN GEM HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN CUTTING A MAJOR LOW INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.
THIS WOULD BRING ANOTHER BIG WARM UP FOLLOWED BY A HIGH WIND EVENT
NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE TRENDING IN THAT
DIRECTION...ALTHOUGH BOTH STILL TRY TO DEVELOP SOME SEMBLANCE OF
MILLER TYPE B CYCLOGENESIS WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING ON THE
COAST. FOR NOW WILL JUST GO WITH CHANCE POPS AT THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH TEMPS NEAR CLIMO UNTIL BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT CAN BE ACHIEVED.
STAY TUNED AS THIS COULD BE A MAJOR SYSTEM FOR SOMEWHERE IN THE
NORTHEAST OR GREAT LAKES BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE SURFACE WARM FRONT HAS LIFTED NORTH OF THE AREA AS OF
00Z...TAKING ALL OF ITS ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH IT. ANY
LINGERING MVFR CIGS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY WILL CLEAR THE AREA
WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR...LEAVING BEHIND GENERAL VFR CONDITIONS FOR
THE BALANCE OF THE NIGHT. THE ABOVE SAID...A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET
WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE WIND SHEAR ISSUES THROUGH THE NIGHT AND
INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 2 KFT
REMAINING IN THE 50-60 KNOT RANGE THROUGH THAT TIME.

DURING SUNDAY...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN
13Z AND 19Z...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BAND OF MODERATE
SHOWERS THAT SHOULD BRIEFLY REDUCE FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO MVFR FOR
A FEW HOURS. IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL SHOWERS...A WEDGE
OF DRIER AIR SHOULD THEN RESULT IN CIGS/VSBYS BRIEFLY IMPROVING TO
VFR FOR A FEW HOURS LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE
DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS LATER ON AND DROPS CIGS BACK TO
MVFR.

OF GREATER CONCERN TO AVIATION INTERESTS ON SUNDAY WILL BE THE VERY
STRONG WINDS THAT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AS STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION HELPS TO MIX DOWN THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN SURFACE WINDS INCREASING TO THE 25 TO
40 KNOT RANGE FOLLOWING THE FROPA...ALONG WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
50 KNOTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO WHERE FUNNELLING EFFECTS WILL HELP TO LOCALLY ENHANCE
THE STRONG WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN
AN HOUR OR TWO OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THEN PERSIST FOR MOST OF
THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
SUNDAY NIGHT...MVFR TO VFR.
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS WILL BE ISSUED FOR LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO WITH THIS
FORECAST ISSUANCE. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE INTO THE 15 TO 25
KNOT RANGE TONIGHT AS A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET PROPAGATES INTO THE
AREA. EXPECT SOME 30 KNOT WINDS LOCALLY ALONG THE LAKE ERIE SHORE
WHERE DOWNSLOPING WILL ENHANCE WIND SPEEDS. ON SUNDAY A POWERFUL
COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST...REACHING EASTERN
LAKE ERIE AROUND MID MORNING THEN EXITING THE EAST END OF LAKE
ONTARIO BY EARLY AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO HIGH END GALES WITH SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 40 KNOTS AND A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS TO 50 KNOTS LIKELY. WE
WILL HOLD THE FORECAST TO HIGH END GALES GIVEN THE EXPECTED LOW
CHANCE OF SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS...BUT MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE
OF A FEW GUSTS OVER 50 KNOTS.

THE GALES WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT. A FAST MOVING CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OTTAWA VALLEY
MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WITH THIS FEATURE AND MAY
BRIEFLY APPROACH GALE FORCE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY ON
LAKE ONTARIO.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A SOLID 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL BETWEEN 06Z AND 18Z ACROSS THE
BUFFALO AREA HEADWATERS. ANOTHER BATCH OF HEAVIER SHOWERS WAS JUST
EXITING THE AREA ATTM. THIS COMBINED WITH A TOTAL SNOWMELT (SWE OF 1
TO 2 INCHES) HAS RESULTED IN FLOODING ON ALL BUF AREA CREEKS...WARNINGS
HAVE BEEN ISSUED. FIELD REPORTS INDICATE THAT ICE IS NO LONGER A
FACTOR AND HAS BEEN FLUSHED OUT. PONDING OF WATER DUE TO RAIN AND
SNOWMELT HAS BEEN AN ISSUE EVERYWHERE ELSE WITH SOME LOCAL ROAD
CLOSURES POSSIBLE...FLS ADVISORIES HAVE BEEN ISSUED TO COVER THAT.
CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE THIS EVENING....LATER E OF LK
ONTARIO. FLOOD STATEMENTS ON THE BUFFALO AREA CREEK FLOODING WILL
BE ISSUED FREQUENTLY THIS EVENING.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WE WILL ISSUE A LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH FOR SUNDAY. THIS SITUATION
APPEARS MORE FAVORABLE FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING THAN THE LAST HIGH
WIND EVENT CHRISTMAS EVE. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY
INCREASE FOLLOWING THE SURFACE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH A QUICK
SHIFT FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE FAST SHIFT IN DIRECTION
AND INCREASE IN SPEED MAY PRODUCE A SEICHE...WITH THE LAKE WATERS
SLOSHING EASTWARD AND PRODUCING A STORM SURGE AT THE NORTHEAST END
OF THE LAKE. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GLERL LAKE ERIE WATER LEVEL
FORECAST GUIDANCE TAKES THE LEVEL TO ABOUT 7 FEET...AND THIS MODEL
OFTEN UNDER-FORECASTS THE SURGE.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT AS WITH PAST EVENTS...THE LAKESHORE
FLOODING RISK IS IN THE FIRST FEW HOURS FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE. THE FIRST RISE IS ALWAYS THE HIGHEST...WITH SUCCESSIVE
SLOSHES ALWAYS LOWER THAN THE FIRST. THUS...EXPECT THE GREATEST
RISK FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING TO BE ALONG THE ERIE COUNTY SHORELINE
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.CLIMATE...
A RECORD BREAKING DAY HERE IN BUFFALO...NOT ONLY A NEW DAILY
RAINFALL RECORD OF 1.21 INCHES...BUT THE RECORD HIGH TEMP OF 58
(1971) HAS ALREADY BEEN MATCHED AND WILL BE LIKELY BE EXCEEDED LATER
THIS AFTERNOON. AND...AMAZINGLY...OUR TWO FEET PLUS OF SNOWFALL
WHICH FELL LAST FRI-SUN HAS VANISHED AND GROUND IS NOW BARE.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ001>003-
     010>012-019-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ010-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ006>008.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ004-005-014.
     WIND ADVISORY FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY FOR NYZ013-020-021.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY FOR LOZ042-
         043-062-063.
         GALE WARNING FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR
         LOZ044-045-064-065.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...JJR/SFM
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...JJR/SFM
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/SFM
HYDROLOGY...SFM/JJR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...HITCHCOCK
CLIMATE...SFM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

NYZ010-085-282045-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT ON THE BUFFALO AREA CREEKS
AND ALSO CATTARAUGUS CREEK. IN ADDITION TO THE RIVER FLOODING...
EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM EARLIER RAINFALL AND RAPID SNOWMELT HAS
RESULTED IN FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SEE
THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT FLOODING...AND ALSO WIND GUSTS
OR DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006>008-282045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OR DAMAGE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-014-282045-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-011-012-019-282045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS OR DAMAGE TO THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-020-021-282045-
LIVINGSTON-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 6 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT WIND GUSTS TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-282045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM TO 9 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-282045-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT CROSSES THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-043-062-063-282045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM TO 10 PM EST SUNDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-282045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
339 PM EST SAT DEC 27 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK