River Flood Warning 27, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282219
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0000Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.7 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.081228T2215Z-081229T2200Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T1600Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.5 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282340
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290540-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL SLOWLY RECEDE THIS                                        
EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T0224Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T2024Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290342
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1042 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-290942-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T1048Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0448Z.NO/
1042 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND WILL CREST NEAR 7.3
  FEET BETWEEN MIDNIGHT AND DAYBREAK MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290516
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVERNIGHT AND IS
  EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND WILL CREST NEAR 16.8
  FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T1223Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0623Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND WILL CREST NEAR 7.6
  FEET BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.  
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1624Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1024Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
  FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED SUNDAY EVEING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.0 FEET 
  BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290737
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
237 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-291337-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T1800Z.NR/
237 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 2 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.9 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291007
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T1800Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.9 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC037-055-291606-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FALLING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC029-037-291606-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2116Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1516Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE AT WILLIAMSVILLE WAS 9.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

000 
WGUS41 KBUF 291636
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-292236-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS FALLNE FROM ITS CREST AND WILL CONTINUE TO
  DROP THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-292236-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1124Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.081231T0524Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.0 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-292236-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC029-037-292035-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2035Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1435Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291905
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-300105-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 2 PM THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL NOW DROP THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-300105-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1124Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.081231T0524Z.NR/
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.0 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-300105-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 292208
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-300408-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 PM THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TONIGHT
  THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. IT WILL DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-300408-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1810Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T1200Z.081231T1210Z.NO/
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 PM THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.7 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. AMONG THOSE WILL BE
  ROUTE 93 WHICH WILL BE CLOSED BETWEEN FISK ROAD AND KOEPSEL ROAD.
  BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH
  AS RANSOM, BLACK, BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO 
  CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND FLOODING.  

$$

NYC037-055-300408-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0000Z.UU/
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 5 PM THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 300107
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
807 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-300707-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
807 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 7 PM THIS EVENING THE STAGE WAS 7.3 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO DROP THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT
  INTO TUESDAY. IT SHOULD DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY 
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

NYC029-037-063-300707-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1810Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T1200Z.081231T1210Z.NO/
807 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 8 PM THIS EVENING THE STAGE WAS 14.0 FEET AND NEARLY STEADY. 
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO VERY SLOWLY RISE AND SHOULD
  CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. AMONG THE ROADS CLOSED
  INCLUDE ROUTE 93 BETWEEN FISK ROAD AND KOEPSEL ROAD, WOLCOTTSVILLE
  ROAD, AND PORTIONS OF STATE ROUTES 98, AND 77. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 300318
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1018 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-300918-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
1018 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 10 PM THE STAGE WAS 7.1 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

NYC029-037-063-300918-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1810Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T1200Z.081231T1210Z.NO/
1018 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 PM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD, ROUTE 93 BETWEEN FISK
  ROAD AND KOEPSEL ROAD, WOLCOTTSVILLE ROAD, AND PORTIONS OF STATE
  ROUTES 98 AND 77. BACKWATER FLOODING   BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON
  SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE
  IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 300503
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1203 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-301103-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1800Z.NR/
1203 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 7.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVERNIGHT...AND IS
  EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

NYC029-037-063-301103-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1648Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T1200Z.081231T1048Z.NO/
1203 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 14.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET
  AT MID MORNING TUESDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD, ROUTE 93 BETWEEN FISK
  ROAD AND KOEPSEL ROAD, WOLCOTTSVILLE ROAD, AND PORTIONS OF STATE
  ROUTES 98 AND 77. BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON
  SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE
  IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND FLOODING.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 301038
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
537 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-301637-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1648Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T1200Z.081231T1048Z.NO/
537 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE SLOWLY. IT IS NEAR ITS
  CREST OF 14.5 FEET WHICH IS EXPECTED THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD, ROUTE 93 BETWEEN FISK
  ROAD AND KOEPSEL ROAD, WOLCOTTSVILLE ROAD, AND PORTIONS OF STATE
  ROUTES 98 AND 77. BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON
  SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE
  IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND FLOODING.

$$

NYC037-055-301636-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1800Z.NR/
537 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL THIS EVENING.
* AT 5 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL AND AND SHOULD BE BELOW
  FLOOD STAGE BY MID AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 301554
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1054 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-302154-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1702Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T1800Z.081231T1102Z.NO/
1054 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 9 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CREST NEAR 14.6 FEET THIS AFTERNOON. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, GOODRICH, WOLCOTT, AND RAPIDS ROAD.
  BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH
  AS RANSOM, BLACK, BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO
  CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND FLOODING.

$$

NYC037-055-301624-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1435Z.NR/
1054 AM EST TUE DEC 30 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE.
* AT 10 AM TUESDAY THE STAGE WAS 5.9 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER FELL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING AND 
  WILL CONTINUE TO FALL TO AROUND 4.8 FEET BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
323 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A POWERFUL STORM SYSTEM OVER QUEBEC THIS AFTERNOON WILL RAPIDLY PULL
AWAY INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES TONIGHT WITH STRONG WINDS GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT. A WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING A
RELATIVELY TRANQUIL DAY MONDAY BEFORE ANOTHER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
BRINGS GUSTY WINDS AND SOME LIGHT SNOW TO THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY. A FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM MAY BRING A GENERAL LIGHT
SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY WITH
MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES ARRIVING FOR NEW YEARS EVE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
POWERFUL COLD FRONT WHIPPED ACROSS THE REGION BETWEEN 13Z AND 17Z
TODAY. WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE AND POWER OUTAGES THROUGHOUT THE
AREA WITH 50 TO 75 MPH WINDS WITH THE FRONT. SEE LSR FOR REPORTS.
WINDS STILL WELL UP IN THE 30 TO 50 MPH RANGE WITH 60 MPH GUSTS AT
MID AFTERNOON. ON LAKE PLAIN DOWNWIND OF LK ERIE. THESE WILL FINALLY
BEGIN TO DIMINISH IN THE 5 TO 7 PM TIME FRAME...BUT EXTENDED WIND
WARNING UNTIL 8 PM ACROSS THE WEST (ADVISORY FOR CATT/ALLEG
COS)...AND 10 PM E OF LK ONTARIO.

WINDS WILL SUBSIDE LATER THIS EVENING BUT LAKE EFFECT PARAMETERS NOT
VERY IMPRESSIVE...ONLY MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH WITH -8C AIR...HELD
HIGH CHC POPS E AND SE OF LK ONTARIO LATE TONIGHT INTO MON AM...AND
LOW CHC SE OF LK ERIE. LITTLE/NO ACCUMS

ON MONDAY WE GET A WELL DESERVED BREAK FROM ALL THE EXTREME AND WILD
WX OF LATE. RIDGE SCOOTS BY JUST TO OUR SOUTH WHICH WOULD ALLOW FOR
SOME SUNSHINE ALTHOUGH LOW LEVEL CLOUDS MAY HANG TOUGH WITH
STRENGTHENING INVERSION LATER IN THE DAY AS DECENT WARM ADVECTION
BEGINS AGAIN. ANY MINOR LAKE SNOWS E OF LK ONTARIO END BY MIDDAY.
850 MB TEMPS OF -7C MODERATE TO -3C OR SO...WHICH WOULD SUPPORT NEAR
40...FOLLOWED NAM TEMPS. IT WILL BECOME BREEZY FROM SSW AGAIN LATER
IN THE AFTERNOON AS NEXT CLIPPER APPROACHES.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE LONGWAVE PATTERN WILL BECOME ZONAL DURING THE EARLY TO MIDWEEK
WITH AN ACTIVE AND FAST MOVING STORM TRACK ALONG THE US/CANADIAN
BORDER. MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY SHOWING A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE
MOVING ACROSS MONTANA THIS AFTERNOON. SHORT TERM MODEL GUIDANCE
TAKES THE INCIPIENT SURFACE LOW INTO THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES MONDAY
THEN ACROSS THE OTTAWA VALLEY MONDAY NIGHT. THE NAM IS DRY MONDAY
NIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...AND WILL BE DISCOUNTED AS THE NAM
SEEMS TO HAVE A VERY DIFFICULT TIME PROPERLY RESOLVING LIGHT WAA
PRECIP IN ADVANCE OF A CLIPPER SYSTEM.

WILL INSTEAD FOLLOW THE IDEA OF THE WETTER GFS SOLUTION AND BRING
MID TO HIGH CHANCE POPS INTO WESTERN NY MONDAY EVENING...INCREASING
TO LIKELY EAST OF ROCHESTER OVERNIGHT WHERE DEEPER LIFT WILL DEVELOP
IN CLOSER PROXIMITY TO THE LOW. ALSO PLACED AN AREA OF LIKELY ACROSS
THE CHAUTAUQUA RIDGE GIVEN FAVORED UPSLOPE FLOW. PRECIP TYPE MAY BE
TRICKY AT THE ONSET WITH A WARM BOUNDARY LAYER SUPPORTING A RAIN/WET
SNOW MIX IN THE EVENING ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. AFTER MIDNIGHT
THE COLUMN COOLS ENOUGH TO SUPPORT ALL SNOW. ANY ACCUMULATION WILL
BE LIGHT...BUT MAY SEE A FEW INCHES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...
ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE TUG HILL REGION. IT WILL ALSO BECOME QUITE
WINDY AGAIN AS THIS LOW PASSES BY TO OUR NORTH. WINDS MAY APPROACH
ADVISORY CRITERIA MONDAY NIGHT...ESPECIALLY EAST AND NORTHEAST OF
LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.

TEMPERATURES BECOME MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH FOR SOME LIMITED LAKE
RESPONSE BY TUESDAY MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THIS SYSTEM...MAINLY OFF
LAKE ONTARIO. 850MB TEMPS BRIEFLY DIP TO AROUND -12C DURING THE
MORNING ON ABOUT A 290-300 VECTOR. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT SOME LAKE
EFFECT SNOW TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO WITH A FEW INCHES
POSSIBLE FROM SODUS BAY OVER TO SOUTHERN OSWEGO COUNTY. IF THE
LATEST NAM IDEA OF AN UPSTREAM CONNECTION TO GEORGIAN BAY AND LAKE
HURON VERIFIES...HEADLINES MAY EVENTUALLY BE NEEDED SOUTHEAST OF THE
LAKE. EXPECT ACTIVITY OFF LAKE ERIE TO BE MUCH MORE LIMITED GIVEN
THE SHORT FETCH AND LESSER SYNOPTIC SCALE MOISTURE. OUTSIDE OF LAKE
EFFECT AREAS TUESDAY SHOULD BE MAINLY DRY. LAKE EFFECT ACTIVITY WILL
QUICKLY SHUT DOWN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES AND WAA BEGINS ALOFT.

OUR ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE NEXT PACIFIC SYSTEM. ANOTHER RATHER
POTENT MID LEVEL SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE LOW IS FORECAST TO TRACK
ALONG THE US/CANADIAN BORDER TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. MODELS
ARE STILL AT ODDS WITH THE TRACK OF THIS LOW. THE GFS HAS BEEN
CONSISTENT IN TAKING THE SURFACE LOW DIRECTLY OVER WESTERN NY...
WHICH WOULD PLACE THE SWATH OF HEAVIEST SNOW FROM TORONTO INTO THE
EASTERN LAKE ONTARIO REGION. THE ECMWF AND NAM ARE FARTHER SOUTH...
TAKING THE SURFACE LOW ALONG THE NY/PA BORDER. IF THIS TRACK WERE TO
VERIFY...THE SWATH OF HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WOULD BE A LITTLE FURTHER
SOUTH AND IMPACT MUCH OF THE CWA. THE DIFFERENCE IS VERY SUBTLE...
BUT HAS BIG IMPLICATIONS ON HOW MUCH SNOW WE CAN EXPECT. GIVEN THIS
IS STILL 3 DAYS OFF AND THE SHORTWAVE IN QUESTION IS STILL OVER THE
EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN AND OUT OF THE NOAM UPPER AIR NETWORK...DONT
HAVE ANY PREFERENCE YET AS TO WHICH MODEL SOLUTION MAY BE CORRECT.
FOR NOW WILL JUST CONTINUE TO RAMP POPS UP INTO THE LIKELY CATEGORY
AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR. IN ANY CASE...THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BRING AT
LEAST A LIGHT GENERAL SNOWFALL TO THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
BEHIND THE CLIPPER MENTIONED IN THE SHORT TERM...MUCH COLDER AIR IS
FORECAST TO FLOOD INTO THE LOWER GREAT LAKES FOR NEW YEARS EVE. LAST
FEW RUNS OF THE MEDIUM RANGE MODEL GUIDANCE HAVE TRENDED COLDER AND
COLDER...WITH THE LATEST GFS DOWN TO -21C AT 850MB BY 00Z THURSDAY.
THE ECMWF IS NOT AS COLD...WITH ABOUT -18C. IN EITHER CASE...IT WILL
BE A VERY COLD AND BLUSTERY NEW YEARS EVE. NORTHWEST FLOW AND THE
COLD AIRMASS WILL SUPPORT LAKE EFFECT SNOW SOUTHEAST OF THE LAKES...
INCLUDING THE SOUTH SHORE OF LAKE ONTARIO AND THE GREATER ROCHESTER.
LAKE SNOWS WILL SHUT DOWN BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS OVER THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND FORECAST CONFIDENCE
DECREASES CONSIDERABLY. THE LONG TERM MODELS HAVE BEEN HAVING
DIFFICULTLY RESOLVING THE SYNOPTIC SCALE DETAILS WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR MAJOR CYCLOGENESIS SOMEWHERE IN THE NORTHEAST QUARTER OF THE
NATION. IN A LONGWAVE SENSE...THE PATTERN BECOMES FAVORABLE FOR A
MAJOR SYSTEM IN THE NORTHEAST CONUS AS HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING
RETROGRADES WESTWARD TOWARDS GREENLAND...WHILE AT THE SAME TIME
HEIGHTS BEGIN TO RISE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS. THE LATEST 12Z/28 GFS
AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THE POTENTIAL FOR MILLER TYPE B
CYCLOGENESIS WITH A PRIMARY LOW MOVING EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES
AND EVENTUALLY GIVING WAY TO BOMBOGENESIS ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST. THE CANADIAN GEM CONTINUES TO INSIST ON A SLOWER EVOLUTION
WITH A MUCH STRONGER PRIMARY LOW OVER THE WESTERN LAKES AND VERY
LITTLE SECONDARY COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS. THE 12Z/28 GEFS ENSEMBLE
MEMBERS ARE CLUSTERING RATHER CLOSELY AROUND THE GFS/ECMWF IDEA OF
MAJOR SECONDARY BOMBOGENESIS ALONG THE NEW ENGLAND COAST. GIVEN THE
HIGH DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN MODEL GUIDANCE AND INHERENT
UNCERTAINTY AT THIS TIME RANGE...WILL SIMPLY CALL IT A CHANCE OF
SNOW FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. LOTS OF TIME TO WATCH THIS SYSTEM...BUT
THIS CERTAINTY HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A MAJOR EVENT FOR SOMEWHERE
IN THE NORTHEAST QUARTER OF THE NATION. STAY TUNED.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A POWERFUL COLD FRONT CROSSED THE AREA BETWEEN 13Z AND 17Z WITH
DAMAGING WINDS. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN IN THE 25 TO 40 KNOT
RANGE FOLLOWING THE FROPA...ALONG WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS.
THE WINDS WILL SLOWLY DIMINISH FROM WEST TO EAST THIS EVENING...AND
FASTER OVERNIGHT. CIGS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MVFR
RANGE...BUT NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.

&&

.MARINE...
AS OF 20Z...STRONG GALES CONTINUE ON ALL LAKE WATERS. THESE SHOULD
NOW BEGIN TO DIMINISH AS CYCLONIC FLOW RELAXES...FIRST ON ERIE AND
EVENTUALLY ON ONTARIO. REPLACED STORMS WITH GALES AND WILL CONTINUE
THEM UNTIL 03Z ON ERIE AND 07Z ON ONTARIO.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS APPEARS LIKELY MONDAY NIGHT AS A
FAST MOVING AND POTENT CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE OTTAWA
VALLEY. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL QUICKLY INCREASE TO GALES MONDAY
EVENING THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST OVERNIGHT. GALES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING BEFORE SLOWLY DIMINISHING THROUGH THE
DAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 3 PM...FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE ON TONAWANDA AND ELLICOTT
CREEKS WITH THE WORST OVERALL FLOODING IN YEARS. TONA CRK JUST
CRESTING AT BATAVIA AND WILL SLOWLY RECEDE THERE...BUT THERE WILL BE
AN INCREASING PROBLEM DOWNSTREAM IN CLARENCE AND AMHERST UNTIL IT
CRESTS AT RAPIDS SOMETIME TUESDAY. ELLICOTT CREEK IS CRESTING THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...WILL FINALLY START TO RECEDE TONIGHT.
ALL OTHER FASTER BUFFALO AREA CREEKS WERE SAFELY BELOW FLOOD STAGE.
WARNING ALSO UP ON OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT FOR VERY MARGINAL
FLOODING...WILL KEEP AN EYE ON BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE TOO.

EAST OF LK ONTARIO...BLACK RIVER IS HIGH...BUT NO ICE PROBLEMS
REPORTED AND FORECAST CREST IS BELOW FLOOD STAGE...SO WILL DROP
WATCH AT THIS TIME.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WE EXPERIENCED A CLASSIC SEICHE ON LAKE ERIE THIS MORNING AS
FORECAST. THE LEVEL ON LAKE ERIE PEAKED AT 8.1 FEET ABOVE LOW
WATER DATUM AT 1048 AM THIS MORNING...JUST OVER THE 8 FOOT FLOOD
STAGE. THE LEVEL HAS SINCE DROPPED BACK AND STABILIZED AROUND 7
FEET. THIS IS TECHNICALLY BELOW FLOOD STAGE...BUT THE NYSDOT HAS
CLOSED ROUTE 5 IN HAMBURG DUE TO OVERWASH FROM HIGH WATER AND WAVE
ACTION FROM LAKE ERIE. BECAUSE OF THE CONTINUED IMPACT ON THE
PUBLIC WITH A MAJOR HIGHWAY CLOSED...WE HAVE EXTENDED THE
LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING INTO EARLY EVENING. EXPECT THE LAKE LEVEL
TO BEGIN TO DROP QUICKLY AFTER ABOUT 6 PM AS THE SUSTAINED WINDS
DIMINISH AND ALLOW THE WATER TO SLOSH BACK TO THE SOUTHWEST.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ001>005-
     010>014-019-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ010-
     085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ006>008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ020-021.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ042>045-
         062>065.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 2 AM EST MONDAY FOR SLZ022-024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HITCHCOCK
NEAR TERM...SFM
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK
AVIATION...SFM
MARINE...HITCHCOCK/SFM
HYDROLOGY...SFM/JJR
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...HITCHCOCK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
342 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NYZ006>008-292045-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RECORDED WIND GUSTS AND ANY WIND
DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO NEW YORK.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>005-011>014-019-292045-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-GENESEE-WYOMING-
LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-CHAUTAUQUA-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RECORDED WIND GUSTS AND ANY WIND
DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO NEW YORK.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ020-021-292045-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ010-085-292045-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT RECORDED WIND GUSTS AND ANY WIND
DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BUFFALO NEW YORK.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-292045-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY MONDAY EVENING AND
MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042>045-062>065-SLZ022-024-292045-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
342 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EST MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO AND
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

ANOTHER PERIOD OF GALE FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY MONDAY EVENING
THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

HITCHCOCK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1139 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NYZ001>003-010>012-085-281945-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-
SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...ROCHESTER...
BUFFALO...BATAVIA...WARSAW...ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
1139 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...DAMAGING WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION...

VERY STRONG WINDS GUSTING IN EXCESS OF 50MPH WILL CONTINUE ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IMMEDIATELY DOWNWIND OF LAKE
ERIE THOSE WINDS COULD EXCEED 60 MPH AT TIMES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

ADDITIONAL DAMAGE TO TREES...POWER LINES...AND PROPERTY ARE
POSSIBLE WITH WIND OF THIS MAGNITUDE. IF YOU HAVE A HIGH PROFILE
VEHICLES BE EXTRA CAREFUL UNTIL THE WIND SUBSIDES. DO NOT APPROACH
DOWNED POWER LINES. HOLIDAY DECORATIONS SHOULD BE FIRMLY SECURED
OR BROUGHT INDOORS. STAY TUNED TO WEATHER RADIO OR OTHER RADIO AND
TV STATIONS FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES.

NIZIOL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1142 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1130 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WATERTOWN               43.97N 75.91W
12/28/2008                   JEFFERSON          NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES, WIRES, POLES DOWN COUNTY WIDE

&&

MPUKAJLO

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1154 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1054 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WATERTOWN               43.97N 75.91W
12/28/2008  M63.00 MPH       JEFFERSON          NY   ASOS

&&

LEVAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
118 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NYZ006>008-282130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...OSWEGO...WATERTOWN...LOWVILLE
118 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...STRONG WINDS WILL BUFFET THE REGION...

AS THE TEMPERATURE FALLS FROM A POWERFUL COLD FRONT MOVING OVER THE
AREA WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO HOWL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH ARE LIKELY. THE WIND WILL STAY STRONG
THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH SUSTAINED SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH AND
GUSTS FROM 50 TO 60.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
345 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0112 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG AMHERST                 43.03N 78.72W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TRANSIT ROAD CLOSED FROM SHERIDAN TO MAPLE DUE TO
            POWERLINES DOWN.

0233 PM     SEICHE           HAMBURG                 42.72N 78.83W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ROUTE 5 CLOSED IN HAMBURG DUE TO OVER WASH FROM LAKE
            ERIE.

&&

HITCHCOCK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
347 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0815 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG RIPLEY                  42.27N 79.71W
12/28/2008                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWERLINES DOWN ALONG THE NEW YORK STATE THRUWAY.
            EASTBOUND LANES CLOSED.

0815 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG RIPLEY                  42.27N 79.71W
12/28/2008                   CHAUTAUQUA         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POLE AND WIRES DOWN

0820 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ORCHARD PARK            42.76N 78.75W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            PORTION OF THE ROOF TORN OFF AT THE BUFFALO BILLS FIELD
            HOUSE. CONCESSION TRAILER BLOWN OVER WITH SEVERAL MINOR
            INJURIES.

0821 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO GREATER INTL AR 42.92N 78.72W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            NUMEROUS JETWAYS WERE BLOWN INTO THE TERMINAL BUILDING.

0821 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO GREATER INTL AR 42.92N 78.72W
12/28/2008  M75.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   ASOS

0821 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO GREATER INTL AR 42.92N 78.72W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            CHIMNEY KNOCKED DOWN ON A HOME

0831 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST KENMORE                 42.96N 78.87W
12/28/2008  M64.00 MPH       ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

0831 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG KENMORE                 42.96N 78.87W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            LARGE SIGN BLOWN OVER. TREE LIMBS DOWN.

0902 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG LANCASTER               42.90N 78.67W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ROUTE 33 CLOSED BETWEEN HARRIS HILL AND GUNVILLE ROAD DUE
            TO POWERLINES DOWN.

0910 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BENNINGTON              42.84N 78.39W
12/28/2008                   WYOMING            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN

0915 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ALBION                  43.25N 78.19W
12/28/2008                   ORLEANS            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES, WIRES, AND POLES DOWN COUNTY WIDE

0915 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BATAVIA                 43.00N 78.18W
12/28/2008                   GENESEE            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES, WIRES, POLES DOWN COUNTY WIDE

0917 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST ROCHESTER               43.17N 77.62W
12/28/2008  M63.00 MPH       MONROE             NY   ASOS

            ROCHESTER AIRPORT

0920 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ROCHESTER               43.17N 77.62W
12/28/2008                   MONROE             NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            POWERLINES DOWN COUNTYWIDE IN MONROE COUNTY.

0930 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ATTICA                  42.87N 78.28W
12/28/2008                   WYOMING            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN

0950 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 2 N NORTH TONAWANDA     43.07N 78.87W
12/28/2008                   NIAGARA            NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TREE DOWN ON RIVER ROAD

0954 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG YORK                    42.88N 77.87W
12/28/2008                   LIVINGSTON         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

1024 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG NUNDA                   42.58N 77.94W
12/28/2008                   LIVINGSTON         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN

1025 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG PORTER CENTER           43.23N 78.96W
12/28/2008                   NIAGARA            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

1030 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MOUNT MORRIS            42.72N 77.88W
12/28/2008                   LIVINGSTON         NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN

1040 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ONTARIO                 43.22N 77.28W
12/28/2008                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN

1040 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 5 N MACEDON             43.14N 77.30W
12/28/2008                   WAYNE              NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

1048 AM     SEICHE           1 SW BUFFALO            42.88N 78.87W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            WATER LEVEL ON LAKE ERIE CRESTED AT 8.1 FEET ABOVE LOW
            WATER DATUM AT THE BUFFALO COAST GUARD STATION. FLOOD
            STAGE IS 8 FEET.

1050 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG CANANDAIGUA             42.89N 77.28W
12/28/2008                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIRES DOWN

1050 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG MANCHESTER              42.97N 77.23W
12/28/2008                   ONTARIO            NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES DOWN

1054 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST WATERTOWN               43.97N 75.91W
12/28/2008  M63.00 MPH       JEFFERSON          NY   ASOS

1130 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG WATERTOWN               43.97N 75.91W
12/28/2008                   JEFFERSON          NY   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREES, WIRES, POLES DOWN COUNTY WIDE

0112 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG AMHERST                 43.03N 78.72W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            TRANSIT ROAD CLOSED FROM SHERIDAN TO MAPLE DUE TO
            POWERLINES DOWN.

0233 PM     SEICHE           HAMBURG                 42.72N 78.83W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            ROUTE 5 CLOSED IN HAMBURG DUE TO OVER WASH FROM LAKE
            ERIE.

&&

HITCHCOCK