River Flood Warning 26, NWS Buffalo, NY

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 281934
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE AT WILLIAMSVILLE WAS 10.1 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS NEAR CREST NOW AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T1227Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T1227Z.081230T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM MONDAY MORNING UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE MONDAY 
  MORNING AND CONTINUE TO RISE TO NEAR 14.3 FEET BY TUESDAY MORNING. 
  ADDITIONAL RISES ARE POSSIBLE.
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. BACKWATER FLOODING 
  BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH AS RANSOM, BLACK, 
  BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND 
  FLOODING.

$$

NYC037-055-290134-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081229T1800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0000Z.081229T1200Z.UU/
234 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 2 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.2 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282219
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.4 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290419-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 11.5 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 3 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0000Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.7 FEET 
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC037-055-290419-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.081228T2215Z-081229T2200Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T1600Z.NO/
519 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.5 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...MORE WIDESPREAD 
  AGRICULTURAL LAND FLOODING, SOME BACKYARD AND BASEMENT FLOODING 
  CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI BUT MINIMAL DAMAGES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 282340
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-290540-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1551Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0000Z.081229T0951Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK 
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 10.6 FEET
  THIS EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC029-037-063-121-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081230T0000Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1800Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL SLOWLY RECEDE THIS                                        
EVENING. 
* IMPACT...AT 12.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL AND 
  COMMERCIAL FLOODING ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO 
  TONAWANDA. 1 TO 2 FEET OF WATER THROUGH MUCH OF NORTHERN CLARENCE 
  AND AMHERST. SOME NORTH SOUTH ROADS CLOSED SUCH AS MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND NIAGARA FALLS BLVD. CONSIDERABLE RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  WEST OF MAIN STREET IN BATAVIA.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.081229T0636Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081229T0636Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* FROM LATE TONIGHT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 11.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* THE RIVER IS FORECAST TO RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY MIDNIGHT 
  MONDAY AND CREST NEAR 15.3 FEET EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0800Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0200Z.UU/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE MONDAY NIGHT.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.5 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC037-055-290539-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T0224Z/
/CHRN6.1.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T0600Z.081229T2024Z.NO/
640 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY EVENING.
* AT 6 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD AGRICULTURAL 
  FLOODING ALONG ENTIRE LENGTH OF CREEK. SOME RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  BEGINS CHURCHVILLE TO CHILI AREA. POSSIBLE ROAD CLOSURES.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290346
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-290946-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL MONDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-290945-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.3 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC029-037-290945-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1624Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1024Z.NR/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL MONDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL MONDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 10.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
  FOR LATE TONIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY MONDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-290945-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1046 PM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 10 PM SUNDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.7 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 6.9 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT MONDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 290516
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL OVERNIGHT AND IS
  EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 12.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING BUT MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND WILL CREST NEAR 16.8
  FEET AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081230T1223Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T0623Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 7.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND WILL CREST NEAR 7.6
  FEET BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.  
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T1624Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1024Z.NR/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 10.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST
  FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER CRESTED SUNDAY EVEING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AROUND DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291116-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0600Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1216 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT MIDNIGHT THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.0 FEET 
  BY DAYBREAK MONDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291007
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC029-037-063-121-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0022.000000T0000Z-081229T2043Z/
/BTVN6.2.ER.081228T0417Z.081228T1545Z.081229T1443Z.NO/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 9.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 9.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING 
  ALONG THE ENTIRE REACH FROM BATAVIA TO TONAWANDA...MOST FOCUSED IN 
  ALABAMA SWAMPS, RAPIDS, AND NORTHERN CLARENCE AND AMHERST...AND 
  ALSO IN CITY OF BATAVIA WEST OF MAIN STREET.

$$

NYC029-037-063-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RAPN6.3.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 12.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MAJOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE RISING AND CREST NEAR 16.8 FEET 
  AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-291607-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0000Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1200Z.081230T1800Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND RISING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 7.9 FEET 
  THIS MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC037-055-291606-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 6.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER IS FALLING AND IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY.
* IMPACT...AT 7.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...WIDESPREAD FLOODING OF 
  AGRICULTURAL LANDS BELOW LEROY. SIGNIFICANT RESIDENTIAL FLOODING 
  ALONG CREEK, ESPECIALLY IN MUMFORD, WHEATLAND, AND SCOTTSVILLE. 
  ROADWAY FLOODING BEGINS. SOME BACKWATER EFFECTS POSSIBLE FROM 
  GENESEE RIVER NEAR SCOTTSVILLE.

$$

NYC029-037-291606-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2116Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1516Z.NR/
507 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 4 AM MONDAY THE STAGE AT WILLIAMSVILLE WAS 9.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE THIS MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 10.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOOD...EXTENSIVE FLOODING IN 
  ELLICOTT CREEK PARK AND MINOR FLOODING IN SURROUNDING NEIGHBORHOODS
  IN TONAWANDA. UB BIKE PATH FLOODED AND CLOSED. AERO DRIVE HOLTZ TO 
  TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA CLOSED. FLOODING AROUND BOWMANSVILLE FIRE 
  HALL. AREAS EAST OF NORTH FOREST FROM MAPLE TO FRENCH SUBJECT TO 
  SEWER BACKUPS.

$$

000 
WGUS41 KBUF 291636
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-292236-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 7.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS FALLNE FROM ITS CREST AND WILL CONTINUE TO
  DROP THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL BE BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY
  AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-292236-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1124Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.081231T0524Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 13.4 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.0 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING.
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-292236-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 11 AM THIS AFTERNOON THE STAGE WAS 6.4 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

NYC029-037-292035-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-081229T2035Z/
/WILN6.2.ER.081228T0949Z.081229T0101Z.081229T1435Z.NR/
1136 AM EST MON DEC 29 2008


THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR 
  THE ELLICOTT CREEK BELOW WILLIAMSVILLE
* UNTIL THIS AFTERNOON.
* AT 11 AM MONDAY THE STAGE WAS 8.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 8.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE BY EARLY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE, MINOR FLOODING  SOME FLOODING 
  BEGINS ALONG AERO DRIVE FROM HOLTZ TO TRANSIT IN CHEEKTOWAGA. ALSO 
  SOME FLOODING ALONG THE FLOOD CONTROL PROJECT AREA IN AMHERST SUCH 
  AS THE BIKE PATH AND GOLF COURSE. MINOR FLOODING IN ELLICOTT CREEK 
  PARK. LITTLE OR NO OVERALL DAMAGE.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 291905
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-300105-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 2 PM THE STAGE WAS 7.7 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL NOW DROP THROUGH THE
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO DROP 
  BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-300105-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1124Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T0600Z.081231T0524Z.NR/
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM THE STAGE WAS 13.6 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 15.0 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 16.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOODING OCCURS. THERE IS WIDESPREAD 
  FLOODING IN MOST OF NORTH CLARENCE AND NORTH AMHERST, ROYALTON, 
  NEWSTEAD ALONG WITH MANY ROAD CLOSURES INCLUDING MILLERSPORT 
  HIGHWAY AND TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD. RANSOM OAKS AREA IN EAST AMHERST 
  IS INUNDATED WITH BACKWATER INTO RANSOM, MUD, BEEMAN AND OTHER 
  SMALL CREEKS. THERE IS SERIOUS FLOODING UPSTREAM INTO THE ALABAMA 
  SWAMPS.

$$

NYC037-055-300105-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T1200Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0600Z.UU/
205 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING.
* AT 2 PM THE STAGE WAS 6.2 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO FALL...AND IS EXPECTED TO 
  DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE AFTER LATE TONIGHT.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

000 
WGUS81 KBUF 292208
FLSBUF
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...


  OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
  TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN NEW 
YORK...

  BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE


SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-300408-
/O.CON.KBUF.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-081231T0112Z/
/CHRN6.2.ER.081228T2155Z.081229T1245Z.081230T1912Z.NR/
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE BLACK CREEK AT CHURCHVILLE
* UNTIL TUESDAY EVENING.
* AT 4 PM THE STAGE WAS 7.6 FEET AND FALLING.
* MODERATE FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER HAS CRESTED AND WILL CONTINUE TO DROP TONIGHT
  THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. IT WILL DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE EARLY
  TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 8.0 FEET...MAJOR FLOOD...EXTENSIVE LOWLAND FLOODING 
  ALONG ENTIRE REACH OF CREEK IN GENESEE AND MONROE COUNTIES. SERIOUS
  RESIDENTIAL FLOODING CHURCHVILLE, CHILI, TO VICINITY OF ROCHESTER 
  AIRPORT. SOME BACKWATER AGGRAVATION FROM GENESEE EAST OF CHILI.

$$

NYC029-037-063-300408-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-081231T1810Z/
/RAPN6.2.ER.081228T2348Z.081230T1200Z.081231T1210Z.NO/
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

...FLOOD WARNING EXTENDED UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS
* UNTIL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
* AT 5 PM THE STAGE WAS 13.9 FEET AND RISING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND MODERATE FLOODING IS FORECAST. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 12.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AND CREST NEAR 14.7 FEET
  TUESDAY MORNING. 
* IMPACT...AT 14.0 FEET...MODERATE FLOODING OCCURS. THERE ARE MANY 
  ROAD CLOSURES FROM NORTH CLARENCE EAST INTO NEWSTEAD AND ROYALTON 
  INCLUDING TONAWANDA CREEK ROAD, RAPIDS ROAD. AMONG THOSE WILL BE
  ROUTE 93 WHICH WILL BE CLOSED BETWEEN FISK ROAD AND KOEPSEL ROAD.
  BACKWATER FLOODING BEGINS INTO NORTH AMHERST ON SMALLER CREEKS SUCH
  AS RANSOM, BLACK, BEEMAN, AND MUD CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO 
  CONSIDERABLE FARMLAND FLOODING.  

$$

NYC037-055-300408-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081230T0000Z.UU/
508 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE OATKA CREEK AT GARBUTT
* UNTIL LATE TONIGHT.
* AT 5 PM THE STAGE WAS 6.0 FEET AND FALLING.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE CREEK WILL DROP BELOW FLOOD STAGE THIS EVENING.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

000 
WGUS41 KBUF 300033
FLWBUF
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
733 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

SAFETY MESSAGE...NEVER DRIVE YOUR CAR THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. THE 
WATER MAY BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS.  TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER 
DETAILS AND UPDATES.


NYC037-055-300103-
/O.CAN.KBUF.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-081230T0600Z/
/GRBN6.1.ER.081228T1135Z.081229T0645Z.081229T2145Z.UU/
733 PM EST MON DEC 29 2008

* AT 7 PM THE STAGE WAS 5.8 FEET AND FALLING.
* NO FLOODING IS CURRENTLY FORECAST.
* FLOOD STAGE IS 6.0 FEET.
* IMPACT...AT 6.0 FEET...FLOOD STAGE...MINOR FLOOD...GENERAL FLOODING 
  OF AGRICULTURAL LAND BEGINS, SOME BASEMENT FLOODING IN SCOTTSVILLE 
  AND GARBUTT.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
846 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
A STORM SYSTEM NORTH OF GEORGIAN BAY WILL MOVE TO NORTHERN QUEBEC BY
THIS EVENING. A POWERFUL COLD FRONT TRAILING THE LOW WILL CROSS
WESTERN NEW YORK BY MID MORNING AND CENTRAL NEW YORK EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON AND BRING TUMBLING TEMPERATURES AND HIGH WINDS TODAY. A
WEAK RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW TONIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY. A
CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO TO SOUTHERN
QUEBEC WILL BRING A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO MUCH OF THE REGION LATER
MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE AREA
TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

*** EXPANDED HIGH WIND WARNING TO COVER WAYNE CAYUGA ONTARIO AND LIVINGSTON
    COUNTIES AND MOVED UP START TYIME TO ACCOUNT FOR CURRENT
    CONDITIONS ***

*** FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR SEVERAL AREA CREEKS. SEE
HYDRO SECTION BELOW FOR MORE DETAILS***

SHOWERS LIKELY WILL PRECEDE A COLD FRONT TODAY...THEN STRONG WINDS
AND PLUMMETING TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY FOLLOW THE FRONT.
THE PATH OF A DEEPENING LOW IS NOT PERFECT FOR A HIGH WIND EVENT...A
BIT TOO FAR NORTH AND WEST...BUT THE LOW LEVEL JET IS A BIT STRONGER
THAN LAST EVENT...60 KTS AT 3K FT...AND CONDITIONS WILL BE OPTIMUM
FOR MIXING THIS DOWN WITH TREMENDOUS COLD ADVECTION (850MB
TEMPERATURES AT BUFFALO DROP FROM 11C AT 12Z TO -9C BY 21Z) THE
ISALLOBARIC COMPONENT IS BETTER POSITIONED ON THE 06Z NAM THAN
PREVIOUS RUNS, WITH A 9MB 3 HOUR RISE OVER CENTRAL LAKE ERIE AT 15Z
AND 6MB BETWEEN BUFFALO AND ROCHESTER AT 18Z. ALSO SHOULD SEE SOME
CLEARING IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH SOME SUNSHINE HELPING THE
MIXING. THUS WE HAVE CONTINUED THE WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUNGE WITH THE FRONT...FROM 60 TO 45 IN AN HOUR
OR TWO...BUT UNLIKE USUAL CASES THIS TIME OF YEAR...NO POST FRONTAL
SNOW IS EXPECTED.

WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN THE EVENING AND THE COLD AIR WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF SOME LAKE SNOW TO THE EAST OF THE GREAT LAKES. THE NAM
BUFKIT SHOWS SUBSIDENCE (IN THE POST FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT AND UNDER
THE APPROACHING RIDGE) CAPPING CONVECTION BELOW 5 THOUSAND FEET, SO
THERE IS ONLY A CHANCE OF SNOW DEVELOPING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
OFF LAKE ONTARIO...WILL ONLY GO WITH CHC POPS FOR SNOW SHOWERS EAST
OF THE LAKE MIANLY THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON AS CAP IS DOWN TO ARND 4
THSD FT AND TEMPS MARGINAL ARND -8C TO -9C AND THERE IS A LACK OF
CRYSTL GROWTH IN CLOUD LYR. WILL KEEP ANY ACCUMS ON THE LIGHT SIDE
UNDER AN INCH. ELSEWHERE SKIES SHLD START OUT PTLY SUNNY WITH HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE AREA BUT EXPECT CLOUDS TO INCREASE IN THE
AFTERNOON AS ANOTHER FAST MOVING CLIPPER SYSTEM MOVES EAST ACROSS
THE PROVINCE OF ONTARIO AND BRINGS A CHANCE OF A RAIN OR SNOW SHWR
TO MUCH OF THE REGION LATER MONDAY. THE NAM IS STILL MUCH DRIER THAN
THE GFS...AND AGREE WITH EARLIER FCSTR THAT IT TENDS TO STRUGGLE
WITH WAA PRECIP. WILL CONTINUE TREND TOWARD WETTER SOLUTION OF
THE GFS AND SREF MEAN WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS ACROSS WESTERN NY AND
LIKELY EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO CLOSER TO THE TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW.

LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO INCREASE THESE POPS FURTHER. TEMPS ALOFT
AND IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER WILL COOL ENOUGH OVERNIGHT TO SUPPORT ALL
SNOW...AND WE MAY SEE A GENERAL VERY LIGHT SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF
THE AREA...WITH THE GREATER AMOUNTS EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. AT THE
PRESENT TIME CURRENT THINKING IS AMNTS SHLD BE UNDER AN INCH BUT
WILL GO WITH 1 TO 2 INCHES EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO. THE AMNTS THERE MAY
HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED WITH LTR FCSTS. ALSO EXPECT RATHER BRISK W-NW
WINDS WITH THIS NEXT SYS AS IT GOES BY.

ON TUESDAY THIS SYSTEM MOVES EAST OF MAINE. THE AIRMASS WILL
BECOME MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH AGAIN IN ITS WAKE TO SUPPORT SOME
LIMITED LAKE RESPONSE FOR A FEW HOURS SOUTHEAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...
BUT AGAIN THIS DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A SIGNIFICANT EVENT. OFF LK
ERIE TEMPS AGAIN ARENT QUITE COLD ENOUGH ALOFT TO SUPPORT ANY LK
ACTIVITY AND LOW LVL MOISTURE IS LIMITED. ANY LAKE ACTIVITY OFF LK
ONTARIO WILL SHUT OFF AGAIN BY THE END OF THE DAY WITH THE PASSAGE
OF ANOTHER WEAK RIDGE AND THE START OF WAA ALOFT ONCE AGAIN.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FAST ZONAL FLOW WILL ALLOW A DECENT CLIPPER SYSTEM TO SLIDE
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. THE
LATEST 12Z/27 GFS HAS COME IN LINE WITH THE 00Z/27 ECMWF AND
CANADIAN GEM IN HAVING A MORE WELL DEFINED SURFACE LOW WITH THE
CLIPPER SHORTWAVE. MOST OF THE GEFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS CAPTURE THIS
FEATURE AS WELL. THIS SHOULD BRING A GENERAL SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF THE
AREA TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME WILL STAY
WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS BUT IT MAY HAVE TO BE ADJUSTED UPWARD IN LTR
FORECASTS. AIRMASS IS MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF SOME LIMITED LAKE
EFFECT ACTIVITY ON NORTHWEST FLOW BEHIND THE CLIPPER FROM WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

BY THURSDAY MOST OF THE OPERATIONAL GUIDANCE BUILDS A SURFACE HIGH
OVER THE GREAT LAKES. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE A MAINLY DRY DAY WITH A
DECENT AMOUNT OF SUN FOR THURSDAY...A RARITY FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.
BY THE END OF THE WEEK MODEL UNCERTAINTY INCREASES DRAMATICALLY. THE
LONGWAVE PATTERN ACROSS THE NOAM SECTOR WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT CYCLOGENESIS SOMEWHERE IN THE NORTHEAST
QUARTER OF THE NATION AS THE NAO/AO BECOME INCREASINGLY NEGATIVE IN
RESPONSE TO HIGH LATITUDE BLOCKING RETROGRADING BACK TOWARDS
GREENLAND.

EXTENDED MODELS ARE HAVING A HARD TIME RESOLVING THE DETAILS OF THE
PATTERN AMPLIFICATION AT THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE CANADIAN GEM HAS
BEEN CONSISTENT IN CUTTING A MAJOR LOW INTO THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES.
THIS WOULD BRING ANOTHER BIG WARM UP FOLLOWED BY A HIGH WIND EVENT
NEXT WEEKEND. THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE TRENDING IN THAT
DIRECTION...ALTHOUGH BOTH STILL TRY TO DEVELOP SOME SEMBLANCE OF
MILLER TYPE B CYCLOGENESIS WITH A SECONDARY LOW DEVELOPING ON THE
COAST. FOR NOW WILL JUST GO WITH CHANCE POPS AT THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH TEMPS NEAR CLIMO UNTIL BETTER MODEL AGREEMENT CAN BE ACHIEVED.
STAY TUNED AS THIS COULD BE A MAJOR SYSTEM FOR SOMEWHERE IN THE
NORTHEAST OR GREAT LAKES BY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.AVIATION /14Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR THE BALANCE OF THE NIGHT IN THE
WARM SECTOR OF DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE LOCATED OVER THE UPPER GREAT
LAKES. THAT SAID...A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE
WIND SHEAR ISSUES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE NIGHT AND INTO
EARLY SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 2 KFT REMAINING
IN THE 50-60 KNOT RANGE THROUGH THAT TIME.

DURING SUNDAY...A POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA BETWEEN
13Z AND 18Z...AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A BAND OF MODERATE
SHOWERS THAT SHOULD BRIEFLY REDUCE FLIGHT CONDITIONS TO MVFR FOR A
FEW HOURS. IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL SHOWERS...A WEDGE OF
DRIER AIR SHOULD THEN RESULT IN CIGS/VSBYS BRIEFLY IMPROVING TO
VFR FOR A FEW HOURS LATE SUNDAY MORNING AND SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...BEFORE DEEPER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE RETURNS LATER ON AND
DROPS CIGS BACK TO MVFR FOR LATER SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OF GREATER CONCERN TO AVIATION INTERESTS ON SUNDAY WILL BE THE VERY
STRONG WINDS THAT WILL FOLLOW IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...AS STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION HELPS TO MIX DOWN THE STRONGER WINDS FROM
ALOFT. THIS WILL RESULT IN SURFACE WINDS INCREASING TO THE 25 TO
40 KNOT RANGE FOLLOWING THE FROPA...ALONG WITH GUSTS IN EXCESS OF
50 KNOTS. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOUND DOWNWIND OF LAKES ERIE
AND ONTARIO WHERE FUNNELLING EFFECTS WILL HELP TO LOCALLY ENHANCE
THE STRONG WINDS. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN
AN HOUR OR TWO OF THE FRONTAL PASSAGE...THEN PERSIST FOR MOST OF
THE DAY BEFORE GRADUALLY DIMINISHING FROM WEST TO EAST LATER IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
MONDAY...VFR.
TUESDAY...VFR.
WEDNESDAY...MVFR IN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.

&&

.MARINE...
GALE WARNINGS WILL BE CONTINUED FOR LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO. A
POWERFUL COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA FROM WEST TO
EAST...REACHING EASTERN LAKE ERIE AROUND MID MORNING THEN EXITING
THE EAST END OF LAKE ONTARIO BY EARLY AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE FRONT
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST AND RAPIDLY INCREASE TO HIGH END
GALES WITH SUSTAINED WINDS OF 40 KNOTS AND A FEW STORM FORCE GUSTS
TO 50 KNOTS LIKELY. WE WILL HOLD THE FORECAST TO HIGH END GALES
GIVEN THE EXPECTED LOW CHANCE OF SUSTAINED STORM FORCE WINDS...BUT
MARINERS SHOULD BE AWARE OF A FEW GUSTS OVER 50 KNOTS.

THE GALES WILL CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT. A FAST MOVING CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE OTTAWA VALLEY
MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL INCREASE AGAIN WITH THIS FEATURE AND MAY
BRIEFLY APPROACH GALE FORCE LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY ON
LAKE ONTARIO.

WITH THE ROUTINE EVENING FORECAST UPDATE...HAVE ALSO CONTINUED SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORIES FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FOR TODAY AND MUCH OF
TONIGHT. WHILE WINDS IN THIS AREA WONT BE QUITE AS STRONG AS WILL
BE OBSERVED ACROSS LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO DURING THIS TIME
FRAME...THEY WILL STILL BE PLENTY STRONG ENOUGH TO REACH INTO THE
UPPER PORTIONS OF THE SCA RANGE...WITH GUSTS TO LOW END GALE FORCE
/35-40 KTS/ LIKELY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A SOLID 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL YESTERDAY ACROSS THE BUFFALO
AREA HEADWATERS. THIS COMBINED WITH A TOTAL SNOWMELT (SNOW WATER
EQUIVALENT  OF 1 TO 2 INCHES) RESULTED IN FLOODING ON ALL THE
BUFFALO AREA CREEKS DURING THE DAY AND INTO THE NIGHT. WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF ELLICOTT CREEK, THE FLOOD WATERS ARE NOW RECEDING ON
THESE CREEKS WITH THE END OF THE RAINFALL AND DIMINISHING
SNOWMELT...AND LEVELS ARE NOW BELOW FLOOD STAGE. A WARNING HAS
BEEN ISSUED FOR ELLICOTT CREEK WHICH IS EXPECTED TO CREST JUST
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THIS MORNING.

FLOOD WARNINGS CONTINUE FOR TONAWANDA CREEK AT BATAVIA AND RAPIDS AS
WELL AS FOR THE GENESEE RIVER AT AVON. THE RAINFALL FROM SATURDAY IN
COMBINATION WITH A CONTINUATION OF THE IMPRESSIVE MELT DOWN OF THE
SNOWPACK HAS RESULTED IN MAJOR RISES ON THESE WATERWAYS.

OATKA CREEK IS FORECAST TO CREST NEAR FLOOD STAGE AT GARBUTT, AND A
WARNING MAY BE ISSUED TODAY IF IT RISES MORE THAN FORECAST.

EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...A FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BLACK RIVER IN LEWIS
COUNTY HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR ICE JAM FLOODING.
THIS FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
A LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED. CONDITIONS ARE MORE
FAVORABLE FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING THAN THE LAST HIGH WIND EVENT
CHRISTMAS EVE. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE
FOLLOWING THE SURFACE COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE...WITH A QUICK SHIFT
FROM THE SOUTH TO THE SOUTHWEST. THE FAST SHIFT IN DIRECTION AND
INCREASE IN SPEED MAY PRODUCE A SEICHE...WITH THE LAKE WATERS
SLOSHING EASTWARD AND PRODUCING A STORM SURGE AT THE NORTHEAST END
OF THE LAKE. THE LATEST RUN OF THE GLERL LAKE ERIE WATER LEVEL
FORECAST GUIDANCE TAKES THE LEVEL TO ABOUT 7 FEET...AND THIS MODEL
OFTEN UNDER-FORECASTS THE SURGE.

IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT AS WITH PAST EVENTS...THE LAKESHORE
FLOODING RISK IS IN THE FIRST FEW HOURS FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE. THE FIRST RISE IS ALWAYS THE HIGHEST...WITH SUCCESSIVE
SLOSHES ALWAYS LOWER THAN THE FIRST. THUS...EXPECT THE GREATEST
RISK FOR LAKESHORE FLOODING TO BE ALONG THE ERIE COUNTY SHORELINE
FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.

&&

.BUF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ001>003-
     010>012-019-085.
     LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     NYZ010-085.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ006>008.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ004-005-
     013-014.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NYZ008.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ020-021.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LEZ020-040-041.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR LOZ042-
         043-062-063.
         GALE WARNING UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY FOR LOZ044-045-064-065.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY FOR SLZ022-
         024.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JJP
NEAR TERM...APB/SFM
SHORT TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJP
LONG TERM...HITCHCOCK/JJP
AVIATION...JJR/SFM
MARINE...JJP/JJR
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NYZ010-085-291030-
NORTHERN ERIE-SOUTHERN ERIE-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.
   LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING.

FLOODING WILL CONTINUE TODAY ON ELLICOTT CREEK AND IS EXPECTED TO
OCCUR TONIGHT ON TONAWANDA CREEK AT RAPIDS. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD
WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. SOME FLOODING ALONG THE LAKE
ERIE SHORE IS ALSO POSSIBLE AROUND MID DAY AND INTO EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON DUE TO STRONG SOUTHWEST WINDS CAUSING THE LAKE ERIE
WATER LEVEL TO RISE AT THE EAST END OF THE LAKE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ006-007-291030-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ004-005-014-291030-
WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-ONTARIO-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ001>003-011-012-019-291030-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-MONROE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST
THIS AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ008-291030-
LEWIS-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   HIGH WIND WARNING.

THERE IS A THREAT OF ICE JAM FLOODING ON THE BLACK RIVER LATER
TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

NYZ013-020-021-291030-
LIVINGSTON-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 6 PM EST THIS
AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LEZ020-040-041-291030-
UPPER NIAGARA RIVER AND BUFFALO HARBOR-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM RIPLEY TO DUNKIRK-
LAKE ERIE NEARSHORE WATERS FROM DUNKIRK TO BUFFALO-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ERIE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SLZ022-024-291030-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM CAPE VINCENT TO OGDENSBURG-
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER FROM OGDENSBURG TO SAINT REGIS-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE NEW YORK WATERS OF THE
SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALE FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE FROM EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING AS A POWERFUL COLD FRONT CROSSES THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ042-043-062-063-291030-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM THE NIAGARA RIVER TO HAMLIN BEACH-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM HAMLIN BEACH TO SODUS BAY-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

LOZ044-045-064-065-291030-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO NEARSHORE WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE
RIVER-LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM SODUS BAY TO MEXICO BAY-
LAKE ONTARIO OPEN WATERS FROM MEXICO BAY TO THE SAINT LAWRENCE RIVER-
525 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF LAKE ONTARIO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
BUFFALO CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BUF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
723 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-281430-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
723 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...STRONG WINDS TO MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK BETWEEN 8 AND 9 AM...

A STRONG COLD FRONT JUST TO THE WEST OF BUFFALO WILL MOVE INTO
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AROUND 8 AM. SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 55 TO 60 MPH WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD REACH THE BUFFALO AND
NIAGARA FALLS METRO AREA BETWEEN 815 AM AND 830 AM AND ALBION...
BATAVIA AND OLEAN BY 845 AM.

THE STRONG WINDS COULD KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE SCATTERED
POWER OUTAGES. IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE ON
ELEVATED ROADS SUCH AS THE SKYWAY AND THE GRAND ISLAND BRIDGES YOU
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE STRONG WINDS.

JJP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
823 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-281430-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-
CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NIAGARA FALLS...MEDINA...BUFFALO...
BATAVIA...WARSAW...JAMESTOWN...OLEAN...WELLSVILLE...
ORCHARD PARK...SPRINGVILLE
823 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...STRONG WINDS TO MOVE INTO WESTERN NEW YORK BETWEEN 8 AND 9 AM...

A STRONG COLD FRONT JUST TO THE WEST OF BUFFALO WILL MOVE INTO
CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY AROUND 8 AM. SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
INCREASE TO 30 TO 45 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 65 TO 70 MPH WITH THE
PASSAGE OF THE FRONT. THE FRONT SHOULD REACH THE BUFFALO AND
NIAGARA FALLS METRO AREA BETWEEN 815 AM AND 830 AM AND ALBION...
BATAVIA AND OLEAN BY 845 AM.

THE STRONG WINDS COULD KNOCK DOWN TREE LIMBS AND CAUSE SCATTERED
POWER OUTAGES. IF YOU WILL BE DRIVING A HIGH PROFILE VEHICLE ON
ELEVATED ROADS SUCH AS THE SKYWAY AND THE GRAND ISLAND BRIDGES YOU
SHOULD BE ALERT FOR THE STRONG WINDS.

MRP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
834 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

NYZ003>005-013-014-281445-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROCHESTER...NEWARK...FAIR HAVEN...
GENESEO...CANANDAIGUA
834 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

...DAMAGING WINDS TO MOVE INTO THE FINGER LAKES REGION...

AT 830 AM THE LEADING EDGE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT WAS JUST
ENTERING WESTERN ORLEANS, GENESEE AND WYOMING COUNTIES. WINDS
ALONG THIS FRONT WILL GUST IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH AS IT PASSES.
WINDS OF THIS MAGNATUDE WILL BE ENOUGH TO CAUSE DAMAGE TO TREES,
POWERLINES, AND SOME STRUCTURES. THE WINDS WILL REACH MONORE AND
LIVINGSTON COUNTIES BY 845 AM, ROCHESTER AND DANNSVILLE BY 9 AM,
AND SODUS, NEWARK, AND GENEVA BY 920 AM. WINDS BEHIND THIS INITIAL
GUST FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO EXCEED 50 MPH FOR SEVERAL HOURS.

MRP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
859 AM EST SUN DEC 28 2008

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0820 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG ORCHARD PARK            42.76N 78.75W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            PORTION OF THE ROOF TORN OFF AT THE BUFFALO BILLS FIELD
            HOUSE. CONCESSION TRAILER BLOWN OVER WITH SEVERAL MINOR
            INJURIES.

0821 AM     NON-TSTM WND GST BUFFALO GREATER INTL AR 42.92N 78.72W
12/28/2008  M75 MPH          ERIE               NY   ASOS

0821 AM     NON-TSTM WND DMG BUFFALO GREATER INTL AR 42.92N 78.72W
12/28/2008                   ERIE               NY   NWS EMPLOYEE

            CHIMNEY KNOCKED DOWN ON A HOME

&&

HITCHCOCK