Rivers in New York
Ellicott Creek below Williamsville
Below flood stage
1.83ftStage
Observed Thu, Sep 24, 5:15 AM EDT
- Flood stage
- 8.00 ft
- Forecast crest
- 1.80 ftThu, Sep 24, 8:00 AM EDT
- Record crest
- 11.59 ft1960
Flood stages and impacts
| Category | Stage |
|---|---|
| Major flood | 12.00 ft |
| Moderate flood | 10.00 ft |
| Minor flood | 8.00 ft |
| Action | 6.00 ft |
- 12.00 ftMajor flood, widespread residential flooding. In Amherst, North Forest to Hopkins, Maple to French including Getzville. In Williamsville, Lehn Springs Drive. In Tonawanda, Ellicott Creek Road to Interstate 290, Colvin to Niagara Falls Blvd. In Cheektowaga and Lancaster, Aero Drive area, Bowmansville Fire Station area. UB bike path flooded.
- 10.00 ftModerate flood, extensive flooding in Ellicott Creek Park and minor flooding in surrounding neighborhoods in Tonawanda. UB bike path flooded and closed. Aero Drive, Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga closed. Flooding around Bowmansville Fire Hall. Areas east of North Forest from Maple to French Roads subject to sewer backups.
- 8.00 ftFlood stage, some flooding begins along Aero Drive from Holtz to Transit Roads in Cheektowaga. Also some flooding along the flood control project area in Amherst such as the bike path and golf course. Minor flooding in Ellicott Creek Park. Little or no overall damage.
- 6.00 ftAction stage, high flows. No flooding.
Flood outlook
Chance of flooding, September to November
| Category | Chance |
|---|---|
| Minor flooding | Under 5% |
| Moderate flooding | Under 5% |
| Major flooding | Under 5% |
The three-month chances are the River Forecast Centers’ long-range flood outlook, issued September 21, 2026.
Crest history
23 crests on NOAA’s list since 1960.
| # | Date | Stage |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | March 31, 1960 | 11.59 ft |
| 2 | February 25, 1985 | 11.19 ft |
| 3 | December 29, 2008 | 10.35 ft |
| 4 | January 9, 1998 | 10.10 ft |
| 5 | January 25, 1999 | 9.94 ft |
| 6 | September 10, 2004 | 9.87 ft |
| 7 | December 23, 2013 | 9.68 ft |
| 8 | September 26, 1977 | 9.23 ft |
| 9 | March 5, 1979 | 9.16 ft |
| 10 | November 26, 2014 | 9.07 ft |
| 11 | January 19, 1996 | 9.04 ft |
| 12 | April 22, 2017 | 8.75 ft |
| 13 | April 2, 2026 | 8.64 ft |
| 14 | March 5, 1976 | 8.62 ft |
| 15 | February 14, 1984 | 8.50 ft |
| 16 | February 19, 2022 | 8.36 ft |
| 17 | February 13, 2009 | 8.30 ft |
| 18 | February 6, 2008 | 8.16 ft |
| 19 | September 15, 1979 | 8.11 ft |
| 20 | March 15, 2007 | 8.10 ft |
| 21 | October 15, 2006 | 8.04 ft |
| 22 | March 9, 2009 | 8.04 ft |
| 23 | December 31, 1990 | 8.02 ft |
Most recent crests
- April 2, 2026: 8.64 ft
- February 19, 2022: 8.36 ft
- April 22, 2017: 8.75 ft
- November 26, 2014: 9.07 ft
- December 23, 2013: 9.68 ft
- March 9, 2009: 8.04 ft
- February 13, 2009: 8.30 ft
- December 29, 2008: 10.35 ft
- February 6, 2008: 8.16 ft
- March 15, 2007: 8.10 ft
Nearby
Upstream, downstream and the gauges around this one.
What this means
Forecasts by the Northeast River Forecast Center. Forecasts are issued routinely year-round. Impact statements listed below may not be representative during times of ice jam flooding. Stage may be affected by ice during winter months.
Sources
Stage, flood stages, impacts and crest history from NOAA’s National Water Prediction Service. Streamflow and the daily record from the U.S. Geological Survey.