Alert archive / Alabama / Tornado Watches in 2006

Tornado Watch 858

November 15, 20064 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 15, 2006, 9:54 AM CST for 4 states. It was in force for 11 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2006, 9:54 AM CST (15:54 UTC)
Expired
Nov 15, 2006, 9:00 PM CST
In force
11 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
70 kt
All 74 counties

Autauga County, AL, Baldwin County, AL, Barbour County, AL, Bibb County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Butler County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Chilton County, AL, Choctaw County, AL, Clarke County, AL, Coffee County, AL, Conecuh County, AL, Covington County, AL, Crenshaw County, AL, Dale County, AL, Dallas County, AL, Elmore County, AL, Escambia County, AL, Geneva County, AL, Greene County, AL, Hale County, AL, Henry County, AL, Houston County, AL, Lee County, AL, Lowndes County, AL, Macon County, AL, Marengo County, AL, Mobile County, AL, Monroe County, AL, Montgomery County, AL, Perry County, AL, Pickens County, AL, Pike County, AL, Russell County, AL, Sumter County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Tuscaloosa County, AL, Washington County, AL, Wilcox County, AL, Bay County, FL, Calhoun County, FL, Escambia County, FL, Gulf County, FL, Holmes County, FL, Jackson County, FL, Okaloosa County, FL, Santa Rosa County, FL, Walton County, FL, Washington County, FL, Jefferson Parish, LA, Lafourche Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Plaquemines Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Charles Parish, LA, Terrebonne Parish, LA, Clarke County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, George County, MS, Greene County, MS, Hancock County, MS, Harrison County, MS, Jackson County, MS, Jasper County, MS, Jones County, MS, Kemper County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lauderdale County, MS, Noxubee County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Perry County, MS, Stone County, MS, Wayne County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
80%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
80%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

47 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 9:57 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBMobile3 hr
Nov 15, 10:01 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANLowndes, Noxubee44 min
Nov 15, 10:05 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJANKemper, Neshoba55 min
Nov 15, 10:13 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXLowndes, Montgomery3 hr
Nov 15, 10:18 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBBaldwin27 min
Nov 15, 10:20 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXAutauga, Dallas, Hale, Marengo, Perry3 hr
Nov 15, 10:22 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBMXPickens38 min
Nov 15, 10:35 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXElmore40 min
Nov 15, 10:48 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBBaldwin, Escambia, Monroe3 hr
Nov 15, 10:49 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBBaldwin26 min
Nov 15, 11:06 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXTallapoosa54 min
Nov 15, 11:09 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXChambers, Clay, Coosa, Elmore, Lee, Macon and 2 more4 hr
Nov 15, 11:23 AM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXJackson97 min
Nov 15, 11:28 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLIXJackson32 min
Nov 15, 11:31 AM CSTTornado WarningTAECoffee44 min
Nov 15, 11:32 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXLee28 min
Nov 15, 11:40 AM CSTTornado WarningBMXChambers65 min
Nov 15, 11:53 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBCovington, Crenshaw37 min
Nov 15, 11:58 AM CSTTornado WarningMOBConecuh, Covington, Escambia32 min
Nov 15, 12:06 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBEscambia, Santa Rosa24 min
Nov 15, 12:08 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXPike37 min
Nov 15, 12:11 PM CSTTornado WarningTAECoffee, Dale19 min
Nov 15, 12:13 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEWalton47 min
Nov 15, 12:25 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBOkaloosa25 min
Nov 15, 12:29 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXBarbour61 min
Nov 15, 12:41 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXBullock37 min
Nov 15, 12:41 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXMacon34 min
Nov 15, 12:42 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEHolmes, Walton48 min
Nov 15, 12:58 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXJackson2 hr
Nov 15, 1:03 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEGeneva27 min
Nov 15, 1:05 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXLee55 min
Nov 15, 1:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMOBOkaloosa54 min
Nov 15, 1:12 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXRussell48 min
Nov 15, 1:14 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXLowndes, Montgomery3 hr
Nov 15, 1:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEWalton29 min
Nov 15, 1:26 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEDale, Houston34 min
Nov 15, 1:28 PM CSTTornado WarningMOBOkaloosa62 min
Nov 15, 1:32 PM CSTTornado WarningBMXBarbour28 min
Nov 15, 1:42 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEGeneva48 min
Nov 15, 1:49 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEHenry41 min
Nov 15, 2:03 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningMOBOkaloosa117 min
Nov 15, 2:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEWalton49 min
Nov 15, 2:40 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEHenry, Houston35 min
Nov 15, 2:40 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEHenry35 min
Nov 15, 3:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTAEWashington39 min
Nov 15, 3:18 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningBMXChambers, Lee, Macon, Tallapoosa3 hr
Nov 15, 4:07 PM CSTTornado WarningTAEBay38 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 3.9 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2006-11-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 150 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2006-11-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 102 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
150 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-81 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
651 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
50 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
102 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 15, 1:30 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCMobile, Washington2 hr
Nov 15, 4:00 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Baldwin, Bibb, Butler, Chilton, Choctaw and 20 more6 hr
Nov 15, 5:55 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Butler, Clarke, Conecuh, Covington, Crenshaw and 7 more95 min
Nov 15, 9:01 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBlount, Calhoun, Cherokee, Clay, Cleburne, Colbert and 22 more6 hr
Nov 15, 9:30 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaldwin, Choctaw, Clarke, Dallas, Greene, Hale and 8 more60 min
Nov 15, 12:48 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Coffee, Dale, Geneva, Henry, Houston and 1 more57 min
Nov 15, 3:28 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHouston92 min
Nov 15, 12:15 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCDixie, Franklin, Gadsden, Jefferson, Lafayette, Leon and 4 more9 hr
Nov 15, 11:31 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaker, Bibb, Brooks, Butts, Calhoun, Carroll and 45 more59 min
Nov 14, 6:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClaiborne, Lincoln, Morehouse, Union, Webster, West Carroll119 min
Nov 14, 9:20 PM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne and 16 more9 hr
Nov 14, 10:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Evangeline and 7 more83 min
Nov 14, 11:25 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Ascension, Assumption, Avoyelles, Beauregard and 22 more6 hr
Nov 14, 11:32 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Avoyelles, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo and 36 more58 min
Nov 15, 1:59 AM CSTTornado Watch PDSSPCAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 16 more8 hr
Nov 15, 2:16 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne and 16 more119 min
Nov 15, 3:25 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 14 more2 hr
Nov 15, 5:31 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAcadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 19 more4 hr
Nov 15, 7:14 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAcadia, Ascension, Avoyelles, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana and 14 more2 hr
Nov 14, 9:15 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll and 30 more2 hr
Nov 15, 2:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Coahoma, DeSoto, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall and 6 more2 hr
Nov 15, 4:30 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCAlcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Coahoma, DeSoto and 16 more5 hr
Nov 15, 12:46 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlcorn, Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more119 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Alabama, 2006Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2006Tornado Watches in Florida, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.