Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Birmingham, AL

000 
WGUS74 KBMX 151840
FFSBMX

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1240 PM CST WED NOV 15 2006

ALC017-027-037-051-081-087-111-123-152115-
MACON AL-LEE AL-ELMORE AL-COOSA AL-TALLAPOOSA AL-CHAMBERS AL-CLAY AL-
RANDOLPH AL-
1240 PM CST WED NOV 15 2006

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CST FOR
RANDOLPH...CLAY...CHAMBERS...TALLAPOOSA...COOSA...ELMORE...LEE AND
MACON COUNTIES...

AT 1226 PM CST...HEAVY RAIN CONTINUED TO SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA.  
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES WITH LOCALLY GREATER AMOUNTS HAVE 
ALREADY OCCURRED...AND AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED 
THROUGH 3 PM.  THIS WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE FLASH 
FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ALONG SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND IN LOW 
LYING FLOOD PRONE AREAS.  SOME STREET FLOODING WAS REPORTED LATE 
THIS MORNING IN ROANOKE IN RANDOLPH COUNTY...AND FIRST STREET IN 
SHORTER IN MACON COUNTY WAS FLOODED EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO WEDOWEE...
VALLEY...ROANOKE...NEW SITE...LINEVILLE...LANETT...LAFAYETTE...
JACKSONS GAP...HUGULEY...GOODWATER...DADEVILLE...CAMP HILL...
ASHLAND...ALEXANDER CITY...WIND CREEK STATE PARK...WEOGUFKA...
STROUD...PYRITON...NEWELL...MILLERVILLE...KELLYTON AND CUSSETA

LAT...LON 3249 8639 3255 8622 3245 8594 3228 8582
      3227 8547 3248 8547 3253 8505 3311 8527
      3349 8531 3345 8585 3309 8618 3308 8644

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
644 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

.UPDATE...WEATHER AND AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.UPDATE...

GOING TO CHANGE MY TUNE A LITTLE. WARM FRONT HAS ALREADY MOVED
INTO THE SOUTHWESTERN CWA WITH THOSE MAGICAL DEWPOINTS. ALSO OF
NOTE IS THE SQUALL-LINE FILLING IN NICELY WITH A HUGE DRY SLOT
PUSHING IT. FOR THE LINE...ITS HAULING. NEED TO ADJUST ARRIVAL
TIMES SOME. THINKING THE STATE LINE BETWEEN 9 AND 10 AM...I-65
CORRIDOR AROUND NOON...AND EAST AL BY 2 TO 3 PM. ALSO HAD TO
ADJUST THE THREAT AREA. WILL INCLUDE ENTIRE CWA EXCEPT
ETOWAH...CALHOUN...CHEROKEE...AND CLEBURNE FOR TORNADO THREAT. FEEL
THE MAGIC LINE WILL NOT REACH THESE COUNTIES.

&&

.PREVIOUS...

HELLO WEATHER FANS. THE STARS ARE ALIGNING FOR TODAYS EVENT. DEEP SFC
LOW THAT DEVELOPED IN RESPONSE TO THE POWERFUL UPPER-LEVEL LOW IS
QUICKLY MOVING EASTWARD...NOW INTO SOUTHWESTERN AR. CONVECTION IS
NOW BEGINNING TO BUILD JUST AHEAD OF THE ACTUAL FRONT ACROSS
AROUND SHV. ALSO SEE CONVECTION BUILDING IN CENTRAL AR ON THE
NORTHERN TRIPLE POINT. NOTE I SAID NORTHERN. I THINK THIS IS MORE
OF A MODIFIED AIRMASS/SFC TROF. THE BONAFIED WARM FRONT IS INTO
SOUTHERN AR/MS AND A LITTLE BIT OF SOUTHWESTERN AL. THE BIG PUSH
HAS BEGUN FROM THE SOUTH. FOR US THERE IS ONGOING ELEVATED
CONVECTION AND WERE WATCHING THE FRONT.

NOW FOR TODAY. GOING TO SET THE MAGIC REALIZED SFC BASED
INSTABILITY TODAY ON DEWPOINTS. DRUM-ROLL PLEASE...63 TO 65
DEWPOINTS SHOULD DO THE TRICK. WITH THAT IN MIND...TODAYS
FORECASTED MAGIC LINE REMAINS ROUGHLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE I-20
CORRIDOR. OF COURSE WE COULD SEE SOME STUFF NORTH OF THIS
LINE. PARDON THE INTERRUPTION...SPC JUST ISSUED THE FIRST TORNADO
WATCH OF THE DAY FOR US. CHECK THE USUAL OUTLETS. BACK TO THE
STORY...EXPECTING TWO ROUNDS TODAY ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN ZONES...
THIS MORNINGS AND THEN WITH THE FRONT. FOR THE FRONT...ITS
HAULING. GOT IT TIMED FOR WESTERN AL AT AROUND 1130 AM...I-65 CORRIDOR
AROUND 200 PM...AND EASTERN AROUND 500 PM. ALL TALK OF DAMAGING
WINDS...HAIL...AND ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE STILL ON THE TABLE.

AFTER THE FRONT THERE WILL BE PLENTY OF WRAP AROUND MOISTURE TO
DEAL WITH...PROBABLY THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. KEPT LIGHT
RAIN/DRIZZLE IN. SHOULD FINALLY CLEAR OUT TOTALLY BY MID-DAY
FRIDAY SETTING US UP FOR A NICE SEASONAL WEEKEND. WILL SEE ANOTHER
WEAK REINFORCING COLD FRONT ON MONDAY.

THANKS TO THE SURROUNDING OFFICES FOR THE MORNING COORDINATION.

JONES/90

&&

.AVIATION...DISCUSSION FOR 12Z TAFS.

MVFR TO IFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE DAY ACROSS CENTRAL
ALABAMA WITH CEILINGS MAINLY BETWEEN 600 TO 1500 FEET. FIRST ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AT ALL TAF LOCATIONS
THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. MAIN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON LOWERING VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS
FOR MUCH OF THE DAY...SUSTAINED SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS
WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 25 KNOTS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. ONCE THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING...WESTERLY WINDS WILL DEVELOP WITH GUSTS AS
HIGH AS 30 KNOTS POSSIBLE.

99

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
825 PM CST TUE NOV 14 2006

ALZ011>015-017>050-160230-
AUTAUGA-BARBOUR-BIBB-BLOUNT-BULLOCK-CALHOUN-CHAMBERS-CHEROKEE-
CHILTON-CLAY-CLEBURNE-COOSA-DALLAS-ELMORE-ETOWAH-FAYETTE-GREENE-HALE-
JEFFERSON-LAMAR-LEE-LOWNDES-MACON-MARENGO-MARION-MONTGOMERY-PERRY-
PICKENS-PIKE-RANDOLPH-RUSSELL-SHELBY-ST CLAIR-SUMTER-TALLADEGA-
TALLAPOOSA-TUSCALOOSA-WALKER-WINSTON-
825 PM CST TUE NOV 14 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

ON WEDNESDAY...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
INCLUDING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES.
A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT...AND ARRIVE IN WEST CENTRAL ALABAMA BY 8 AM. THIS
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE INTERSTATE 65 CORRIDOR
BETWEEN 10 AM AND 1 PM AND EXIT THE STATE BY 6 PM.  HOWEVER...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE MAIN
LINE ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT.

WHILE THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO HOW UNSTABLE THE AIRMASS WILL
BECOME OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA...SEVERE STORMS WITH WINDS NEAR 70 MPH
AND A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE FROM 8 AM THROUGH 6 PM. AT THIS
TIME...THE BEST CHANCE FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL BE FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
A LINE FROM CARROLLTON TO BIRMINGHAM...TO HEFLIN.  HOWEVER...STRONG
TO SEVERE STORMS MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE FARTHER TO THE NORTH.

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF SEVERE STORMS...CONDITIONS WILL BECOME
BREEZY WEDNESDAY MORNING. SUSTAINED WIND SPEEDS OF 15 TO 25 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE A THREAT WITH THIS SYSTEM. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE. ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD FLOODING IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME...LOCALIZED FLOODING MAY BECOME PROBLEMATIC DUE TO CLOGGED
DRAINAGE AREAS FROM FALLING LEAVES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
LIKELY BE NECESSARY ON WEDNESDAY.

12/SIRMON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1025 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

ALZ030-151730-
SUMTER-
1025 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR SUMTER COUNTY UNTIL 1130
AM CST...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM...

...A LINE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS APPROACHING FROM THE WEST...

AT 1021 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 7 MILES WEST OF GEIGER TO 42 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CUBA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR
GEIGER...EMELLE...GAINESVILLE...YORK...EPES...CUBA...LIVINGSTON AND
BELLAMY THROUGH 1130 AM CST.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SEVERE WEATHER. NOW IS THE
TIME TO PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE WEATHER. LISTEN FOR
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO
PROTECT YOURSELF IF WARNINGS ARE ISSUED FOR YOUR LOCATION.

JD/81

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1026 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1003 AM     TSTM WND DMG     PINTLALA                32.18N 86.37W
11/15/2006                   MONTGOMERY         AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN...DAMAGE TO PINTLALA ELEMENTARY
            SCHOOL. TWO OTHER STRUCTURES DAMAGED...ONE COMPLETELY
            DEMOLISHED. POSSIBLE TORNADO.

&&

DCW

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1044 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N BEAVERTON           33.95N 88.02W
11/15/2006                   LAMAR              AL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES DOWN...BLOCKING COUNTY ROAD 29 JUST NORTH OF
            BEAVERTON.

&&

DCW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1055 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

ALZ023-031-151730-
GREENE-TUSCALOOSA-
1055 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR NORTHERN GREENE AND
TUSCALOOSA COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM CST...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM...

...WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORMS...

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE FROM APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 1051 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 19 MILES NORTHWEST OF SAMANTHA TO 22 MILES
WEST OF UNION...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR
UNION...MANTUA...ELROD...KNOXVILLE...LAKE LURLEEN STATE PARK...
SAMANTHA...TUSCALOOSA AND NORTHPORT THROUGH 1130 AM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH AND MINOR
FLOODING. STRONG WINDS WILL BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS.
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...RISING
WATER ALONG CREEKS AND FLOODED UNDERPASSES ARE POSSIBLE. REMEMBER.
TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF. SEEK SHELTER IN A SUBSTANTIAL
ENCLOSED BUILDING ON HIGH GROUND. IF OUTDOORS AND NO SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER IS AVAILABLE.... TAKE SHELTER IN AN AUTOMOBILE...AVOID LOW
LYING AREAS. NEVER DRIVE ACROSS ROADWAYS WITH WATER FLOWING OVER THEM
OR...COVERED WITH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.

JD/81

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1103 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 AM     FLASH FLOOD      MONTGOMERY              32.35N 86.28W
11/15/2006                   MONTGOMERY         AL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PERRY ROAD BETWEEN FELDER AND I-85 IN MONTGOMERY
            COMPLETELY FLOODED...CARS FLOATING WITH ONE CAR
            UNDERWATER.

&&

DCW

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1107 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

ALZ013>015-151730-
FAYETTE-WALKER-WINSTON-
1107 AM CST WED NOV 15 2006

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT IN EFFECT FOR FAYETTE...WALKER AND
WINSTON COUNTIES UNTIL 1130 AM CST...

...WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORMS...

AT 1106 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM ADDISON TO 5 MILES EAST OF BERRY...MOVING
EAST AT 45 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR
BERRY...ARLEY...ADDISON...OAKMAN...JASPER...CURRY...PARRISH AND
TUTWILER THROUGH 1130 AM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREATS ARE STRONG GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH AND MINOR
FLOODING. STRONG WINDS WILL BREAK OFF SMALL TREE LIMBS AND BLOW
AROUND UNSECURED OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN FURNITURE AND TRASH CANS.
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...FLOODING OF LOW-LYING AREAS...RISING
WATER ALONG CREEKS AND FLOODED UNDERPASSES ARE POSSIBLE. REMEMBER.
TAKE ACTION TO PROTECT YOURSELF. SEEK SHELTER IN A SUBSTANTIAL
ENCLOSED BUILDING ON HIGH GROUND. IF OUTDOORS AND NO SUBSTANTIAL
SHELTER IS AVAILABLE.... TAKE SHELTER IN AN AUTOMOBILE...AVOID LOW
LYING AREAS. NEVER DRIVE ACROSS ROADWAYS WITH WATER FLOWING OVER THEM
OR...COVERED WITH WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.

JD/81