Alert archive / Louisiana / Tornado Watches in 2006
Tornado Watch 852
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Nov 14, 2006, 11:25 PM CST for 28 parishes in Louisiana; 18 counties in Mississippi. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 14, 2006, 11:25 PM CST (05:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 15, 2006, 5:31 AM CST
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 1.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 46 counties
Acadia Parish, LA, Allen Parish, LA, Ascension Parish, LA, Assumption Parish, LA, Avoyelles Parish, LA, Beauregard Parish, LA, Calcasieu Parish, LA, Cameron Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Evangeline Parish, LA, Iberia Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Jefferson Davis Parish, LA, Lafayette Parish, LA, Livingston Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Rapides Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint Landry Parish, LA, Saint Martin Parish, LA, St. Mary Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Vermilion Parish, LA, Vernon Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Adams County, MS, Amite County, MS, Claiborne County, MS, Copiah County, MS, Covington County, MS, Forrest County, MS, Franklin County, MS, Jefferson County, MS, Jefferson Davis County, MS, Jones County, MS, Lamar County, MS, Lawrence County, MS, Lincoln County, MS, Marion County, MS, Pike County, MS, Simpson County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 40%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 30%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 40%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
25 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 12:17 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Lafayette, Vermilion | 28 min |
| Nov 15, 12:26 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Helena, Tangipahoa | 34 min |
| Nov 15, 12:40 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Iberia, Saint Martin | 50 min |
| Nov 15, 12:42 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Amite, Pike | 33 min |
| Nov 15, 12:59 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington, Jefferson Davis | 46 min |
| Nov 15, 1:07 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Pike, Walthall | 23 min |
| Nov 15, 1:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Iberia | 33 min |
| Nov 15, 1:12 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LCH | Vermilion | 33 min |
| Nov 15, 1:27 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Jones | 63 min |
| Nov 15, 1:28 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Walthall | 17 min |
| Nov 15, 1:34 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Amite | 26 min |
| Nov 15, 1:42 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Saint Helena | 33 min |
| Nov 15, 1:51 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Marion | 39 min |
| Nov 15, 1:57 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Amite, Pike | 33 min |
| Nov 15, 1:59 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Marion | 31 min |
| Nov 15, 2:06 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Tangipahoa | 24 min |
| Nov 15, 2:14 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Lamar | 46 min |
| Nov 15, 2:23 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Tangipahoa, Washington | 37 min |
| Nov 15, 2:38 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Covington, Forrest, Jones | 67 min |
| Nov 15, 2:45 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Assumption | 30 min |
| Nov 15, 2:54 AM CST | Tornado Warning | LIX | Washington | 36 min |
| Nov 15, 3:02 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Lamar, Marion | 58 min |
| Nov 15, 3:18 AM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | JAN | Covington | 27 min |
| Nov 15, 3:43 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Jones | 17 min |
| Nov 15, 3:55 AM CST | Tornado Warning | JAN | Forrest | 35 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 5.4 hours before the alert went out and 168 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 2154 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -1 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 485 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 50 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 194 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 287 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.3
- Supercell composite
- 10.6
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 6:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Claiborne, Lincoln, Morehouse, Union, Webster, West Carroll | 119 min |
| Nov 14, 9:20 PM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne and 16 more | 9 hr |
| Nov 14, 10:07 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Evangeline and 7 more | 83 min |
| Nov 14, 11:32 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Ascension, Avoyelles, Bienville, Bossier, Caddo and 36 more | 58 min |
| Nov 15, 1:30 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles and 2 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 1:59 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 16 more | 8 hr |
| Nov 15, 2:16 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bienville, Bossier, Caddo, Caldwell, Catahoula, Claiborne and 16 more | 119 min |
| Nov 15, 3:25 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 5:31 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Acadia, Allen, Avoyelles, Beauregard, Calcasieu, Cameron and 19 more | 4 hr |
| Nov 15, 5:55 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Ascension, Assumption, Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston, Orleans and 10 more | 95 min |
| Nov 15, 7:14 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Acadia, Ascension, Avoyelles, Concordia, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana and 14 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 9:30 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Orleans, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington | 60 min |
| Nov 15, 9:54 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans, Plaquemines, Saint Bernard, Saint Charles and 1 more | 11 hr |
| Nov 14, 9:15 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Attala, Benton, Bolivar, Calhoun, Carroll and 30 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 2:29 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Benton, Coahoma, DeSoto, Lafayette, Lee, Marshall and 6 more | 2 hr |
| Nov 15, 4:30 AM CST | Tornado Watch | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Calhoun, Chickasaw, Coahoma, DeSoto and 16 more | 5 hr |
| Nov 15, 12:46 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Alcorn, Benton, Lafayette, Marshall, Prentiss, Tippah and 2 more | 119 min |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Louisiana, 2006Tornado Watches in Mississippi, 2006Every tornado watch in 2006
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.