Oregon, 2025Heavy Snow in Oregon, February 15 to 17, 2025
February 15 to 17, 2025 · NWS PDT · 2 events in 2 counties and zones
A broad, parent low centered off the BC coast circulated a series of shortwaves into the Pacific Northwest from February 15th to the 18th, leading to persistent mountain snow over the period.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
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- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A broad, parent low centered off the BC coast circulated a series of shortwaves into the Pacific Northwest from February 15th to the 18th, leading to persistent mountain snow over the period.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Pendleton, OR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 15, 3:09 PM PST, 51 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 15, 3:09 PM PST, 51 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pendleton OR
309 PM PST Sat Feb 15 2025
.SHORT TERM...This afternoon through Monday night...Active winter
weather is forecast to continue through the forecast period as a
robust low-pressure system impacts the region.
The main challenge has been forecasting precipitation type for
the lower elevations tonight through Sunday morning as a weak warm
front lifts across the Pacific Northwest. CAMs suggest many
sheltered valleys will stay below freezing (or drop below freezing
again tonight), and surface observations show temperatures have
been near or below freezing in much of the Columbia Basin and
adjoining valleys this afternoon. Light snow has been observed in
the Yakima and Kittitas valleys, where mostly snow is forecast to
transition to rain (Yakima) and a rain/snow mix (Kittitas) through
Sunday. Farther south, freezing rain is most likely in far
southern Washington and northern Oregon in the lower Columbia
Basin, Walla Walla Valley, and portions of the adjoining foothills
of the Blue Mountains where forecast soundings from the HREF show
a warm nose aloft of 1-3 degrees Celsius. Up to one-tenth of an
inch of ice accumulation is forecast for the Walla Walla Valley
and portions of the lower Columbia Basin, so have expanded the
Winter Weather Advisory to include the foothills of the northern
Blue Mountains, mainly targeting the Walla Walla Valley.
Confidence in at least measurable (0.01") freezing rain is
generally 50-80%. Will note that light freezing rain is forecast
elsewhere in sheltered valley locations, but confidence in
significant ice is too low (30% or less) to issue any advisories.
In the wake of the warm frontal passage, a persistent, moist
westerly then northwesterly aloft will keep precipitation chances
"likely" (75% or greater) across the mountains into Monday night.
The lower elevations will see periods of mostly rain Sunday
afternoon and Monday. Plunkett/86
.LONG TERM...Tuesday will see a transitory ridge over
the Pacific Northwest, before the next weather system moves over
the region Wednesday into Wednesday night. This system will
bring another round of mixed precipitation to many parts of the
region and mainly snow in the mountains. Any precipitation
beginning overnight will be snow or mixed precipitation. However,
during the daylight hours, temperatures should rise above freezing
in most not mountain areas. However, there is still some
uncertainty as to how warm temperatures get on Wednesday.
Precipitation chances will decrease by THursday morning, outside
of the mountains but temperatures will fall to around or just
below freezing, so any lingering precipitation would be of the
mixed variety once again. The ECMWF EFI does key in on a QPF
anomaly of 0.7 to 0.8 centered on the Gorge and Basin on
Wednesday, and an anomaly for snow around 0.6 to 0.7 centered more
on the Washington Basin.
It will be breezy withe the Wednesday system, with wind gusts
generally upwards of 20 to possibly 25 mph. The NBM probabilities
of wind gusts >=25 mph ranges from 30 to 80% across the region.
However, the NBM probabilities of wind gusts >=39 mph is <20%.
QPF values look to range from around 0.10 inches in central Oregon
and the Yakima and Kittitas Valleys to around 0.25 inches in most
other lower elevation locations to around 0.25 to 0.50 inches in
the mountains. Some moderate snow amounts of 5 inches plus are
possible especially along the crests of the Cascades and Blue
Mountains. But confidence in these amounts at this time is only 40
to 60%.
After Thursday, precipitation chances are greatly decreased with
both the GFS and ECMWF deterministic basically dry outside of
possibly the Cascades, while the NBM has some low pops in some
areas and seems overdone due to the ridging, again outside of
the Cascades.
High temperatures are expected to warm up after Wednesday and by
Saturday, highs are forecast to be a few degrees above normal.
Normal highs by the end of the week are generally in the upper 40s
to around 50 degrees.
&&
.AVIATION...00Z TAFs...Another system will bring deteriorating
conditions to the entire region during the TAF period, with SN,
FZRA and RA possible at the TAF sites. The most likely sites to
see FZRA are PSC, followed by PDT, ALW and BDN/RDM overnight into
Sunday morning. Probabilities are high (>70%) for FZRA at PSC,
~50% for PDT and ALW and 30% for BDN and RDM. After sunrise on
Sunday, temperatures will begin to rise and temperatures will
warm, but will likely remain below freezing through the period at
PSC and ALW, but should rise above freezing at PDT and BDN/RDM. In
these areas, all rain should result. There is a bit more of a
question at DLS and YKM where currently just -SN or -SN and -RA
are being forecast. Conditions are expected to be MVFR, but IFR
can not be ruled out, especially during any heavier precip/snow.
Winds will generally be 10 kts or less through the period.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
PDT 30 40 34 42 / 70 70 80 80
ALW 30 37 33 39 / 80 80 90 90
PSC 26 39 31 42 / 70 60 60 40
YKM 26 38 29 43 / 70 30 40 20
HRI 27 39 32 45 / 60 60 70 60
ELN 26 38 28 42 / 80 50 30 30
RDM 26 44 30 45 / 30 50 50 40
LGD 28 39 33 42 / 80 90 100 90
GCD 28 43 33 42 / 60 80 80 80
DLS 33 43 36 47 / 80 80 80 60
&&
.PDT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OR...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST Sunday for ORZ044-507.
Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM PST Monday for ORZ502.
Winter Storm Warning from 10 PM this evening to 4 PM PST Monday
for ORZ509.
WA...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST Sunday for WAZ028-029.
Winter Storm Warning until 4 PM PST Monday for WAZ030-522.
Winter Weather Advisory until 10 AM PST Sunday for WAZ026.
Winter Weather Advisory until 4 AM PST Monday for WAZ523.
&&
SHORT TERM...86
LONG TERM....77
AVIATION...77Heavy Snow, Northern Blue Mountains
- When
- February 15, 4:00 PM PST to February 17, 4:00 PM PST
- Where
- Northern Blue Mountains forecast zone
- Reported by
- SNOTEL
- Coordinates
- 45.494, -117.976 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Milkshakes Snotel reported 12 inches, and the Tollgate Store reported 18 inches on Facebook from Feb 15-17.
Heavy Snow, East Slopes of the Oregon Cascades
- When
- February 15, 10:00 PM PST to February 17, 4:00 PM PST
- Where
- East Slopes of the Oregon Cascades forecast zone
- Reported by
- Department of Highways
- Coordinates
- 44.568, -121.190 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
ODOT reported 14 inches of snow at Santiam Pass Summit from the 15th through the 17th.
- Heavy Snow
- Snowfall reaching the local warning threshold without the other hazards of a winter storm.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Kentucky, February 15 to 17, 20256 deaths · $130,000 · EF1 · 33 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in West Virginia, February 15 to 19, 20253 deaths · $15 million · 50 kt wind · 73 events
- Flash Flooding and Debris Flow in Kentucky, February 15 to 17, 20252 deaths · 1 injured · $4.3 million · 71 events
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Montana, February 15 to 18, 20253 deaths · 8 events
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Alabama, February 15 to 16, 20251 injured · $450,000 · EF2 · 96 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Tennessee, February 15 to 17, 2025$5.5 million · EF2 · 44 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Virginia, February 15 to 17, 20251 death · $225,000 · 34 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Tennessee, February 15 to 18, 2025$2.1 million · 1 in hail · 51 events
- Cold in Illinois, February 15, 20251 death · 1 event
- Cold in Arizona, February 15, 20251 death · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Virginia, February 15 to 16, 2025$11 million · 10 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in West Virginia, February 15 to 17, 2025$2.2 million · 18 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1235984, 1235983.