A closed upper level low pressure system shifted east from Southeast Colorado into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles into Western Oklahoma on January 30th, with an increased southerly low level flow allowing warm, humid, and very moist air to return back north across Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and Southwest Arkansas with the passage of a warm front. Strong forcing near and north of the…
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SHV wrote it up.
A closed upper level low pressure system shifted east from Southeast Colorado into the Oklahoma/Texas Panhandles into Western Oklahoma on January 30th, with an increased southerly low level flow allowing warm, humid, and very moist air to return back north across Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and Southwest Arkansas with the passage of a warm front. Strong forcing near and north of the warm front ahead of this upper low pressure system resulted in areas of widespread showers and embedded thunderstorms over portions of extreme Northeast Texas, Southeast Oklahoma, and adjacent sections of Southwest Arkansas, where rainfall amounts of 2-6+ inches was observed.
These excessive totals resulted in areas of flash flooding over the hillier terrain of McCurtain County Oklahoma, where multiple roads were closed due to flooding.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Shreveport, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 30, 5:25 AM CST, 4 hours 36 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 525 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Thursday through Friday) Issued at 324 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025 As of the 08Z hour, a broad area of showers is advancing north and west across extreme southeast Oklahoma, northeast Texas and southwest Arkansas. Embedded areas of convection within are beginning to show signatures of thunder, but remain below advisory criteria as of this writing. Isolated showers drift due north ahead and south of this complex. As a cold front pushes north across the ArkLaTex this morning, elevated south winds will advect a modified Gulf airmass into the region, allowing our east Texas and Louisiana zones to climb into the low to middle 70s by midday. Meanwhile, a surface cold front propagates eastward across central Texas at this hour. Based on the latest high resolution short range guidance, this front will swing a line of more potent convection into the ArkLaTex late this morning and into the afternoon hours. As this complex moves into the destabilized airmass, storms are expected to become strong to severe. The primary mode of severe weather is anticipated to be gusty winds, but hail and tornadoes cannot be ruled out. Meanwhile, as heavy rain trains across our northwestern zones, areas of flash flooding are possible, particularly north of I-20 in east Texas and into Oklahoma and Arkansas. Impacted zones are included in a Flood Watch which remains in effect through 00Z this evening. Short range guidance is fairly progressive with the timing of this system, with the front pushing rainfall east of I-49 by sundown, and out of the ArkLaTex altogether by midnight. Winds will become westerly in the wake of the front, and overcast skies will begin to clear through the night, while temperatures drop into the 40s. Under partly cloudy to mostly clear skies, highs Friday will climb into the 60s areawide. SP && .LONG TERM... (Friday Night through Thursday) Issued at 324 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025 By Friday evening, the upper level trough responsible for Thursday's storms will have lifted north and east into the Ohio Valley, making way for pseudo-zonal flow to dominate through the weekend and into early next week. Long range guidance is somewhat split on the nature of a series of weak disturbances, but as of this writing, these features do not look sufficiently amplified to make a dent in the ArkLaTex's period of quiet conditions until next Wednesday. As a weak shortwave pushes east, slight chances of showers and storms will impact our northern zones Wednesday morning, continuing through to the end of this extended forecast period. After a slightly milder end to January on Friday and start to February on Saturday, temperatures will rebound quickly and noticeably, with the rest of the first week of February seeing very warm conditions for much of the region, with highs climbing into the upper 60s to lower 70s northwest and mid to upper 70s southeast 70s late this weekend and continuing into next week. Aside from a few 30s returning Saturday morning, lows will sit squarely in the 40s and 50s throughout. SP && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 512 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025 For the 30/12z TAF update...Radar imagery is showing areas of moderate rainfall across east Texas, southeast Oklahoma and western Arkansas this morning. Expecting showers and thunderstorms to increase in coverage through the morning and into the afternoon. As such, there will be a wide variety of MVFR to IFR and LIFR at times throughout this period due to limited visibility from any heavier rainfall, lower ceilings and some BR scattered in. I don't really see any improvement coming to these flight conditions throughout this TAF period. /33/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 324 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025 Spotter activation may be needed today for flash flood and severe weather reports. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 72 48 66 42 / 80 10 0 0 MLU 75 50 67 42 / 60 80 0 0 DEQ 66 40 62 34 / 90 0 0 0 TXK 68 47 64 39 / 90 0 0 0 ELD 71 46 65 39 / 80 30 0 0 TYR 66 46 64 41 / 80 0 0 0 GGG 69 44 65 39 / 70 0 0 0 LFK 71 46 66 42 / 70 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...Flood Watch through this afternoon for ARZ050-051-059. LA...None. OK...Flood Watch through this afternoon for OKZ077. TX...Flood Watch through this afternoon for TXZ096. && SHORT TERM...26 LONG TERM....26 AVIATION...33
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
956 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025
TXZ124>126-136>138-149-150-301700-
Harrison TX-Marion TX-Smith TX-Cherokee TX-Gregg TX-Wood TX-Rusk
TX-Upshur TX-
956 AM CST Thu Jan 30 2025
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN CHEROKEE...
GREGG...WESTERN HARRISON...WESTERN MARION...EASTERN SMITH...
NORTHWESTERN RUSK...UPSHUR AND SOUTHEASTERN WOOD COUNTIES UNTIL 11
AM CST...
At 956 AM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from over Rosewood to 6 miles northeast of
Maydelle, or extending from 6 miles west of Gilmer to 6 miles south
of Jacksonville, moving northeast at 40 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Tyler, Longview, Jacksonville, Henderson, Kilgore, Whitehouse,
White Oak, Gladewater, Gilmer, Hallsville, Overton, Bullard,
Troup, Big Sandy, Hawkins, Ore City, New London, Arp, Clarksville
City and East Mountain.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
&&
LAT...LON 3175 9536 3176 9539 3278 9516 3290 9496
3289 9471 3288 9471 3288 9444 3263 9450
3205 9470 3173 9537 3174 9537 3174 9536
TIME...MOT...LOC 1556Z 238DEG 32KT 3273 9506 3237 9509 3187 9525
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
50The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 144 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 16:03 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Craig, Clouse, Dog Pound, Peavy, and Shiloh Roads just east of Broken Bow were all closed due to flooding.
Significant flooding occurred on Pickleberry Trail northwest of Hochatown.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, January 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1234288, 1234294.