Heavy rainfall was observed with a complex of showers and storms that moved across the state. While a few storms may be been strong over southeast Arkansas, a few flooding reports were noted over central into north-central Arkansas.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS LZK wrote it up.
Heavy rainfall was observed with a complex of showers and storms that moved across the state. While a few storms may be been strong over southeast Arkansas, a few flooding reports were noted over central into north-central Arkansas.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Little Rock, AR wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 15, 2:48 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Little Rock AR 248 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 ...New DISCUSSION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 226 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 To begin the period, unsettled weather will continue into this evening as showers and thunderstorms track across a good portion of the state. This rain is mostly light to moderate with heavy showers embedded within the line. This line, currently situated to the northwest of the I30 and US 67 corridor, will begin to push towards the east and south through this afternoon and evening. Along and ahead of this line severe thunderstorms will be possible with damaging winds and tornadoes no being ruled out. The greatest area of concern will be for southeastern Arkansas as this is the area with the highest amount of instability. Looking at 20Z observations across the state...southeastern Arkansas is observing the highest temperatures/dewpoints with LLQ sitting at 78/64, PBF sitting at 78/63, and CDH sitting at 77/64. Compare this to LIT sitting at 49/48 and HOT sitting at 50/48...it is clear where the most unstable air is located. As mentioned above, showers and storms continue push east across the state this afternoon and evening...much colder air will move in behind the cold front. As this happens, a short window for some brief snowfall will be possible across northern locations as the system begins to push away from the state. Accumulations across northern locations are expected to remain on the low end and will likely stay below an inch. High pressure will move into the region behind this cold front promoting calm and dry conditions. Sunday through Monday night will be nice across the state with mostly sunny skies and winds out of the north/northwest. A pattern change will occur Monday night into Tuesday as the next weather system begins to impact the state as a low pressure system tracks across the state. This next system could get messy across the state bringing the chance for wintry precip across all locations. Rather than getting mostly snow like in mid-January, this system is likely to have a "warm air aloft" problem. This means freezing rain and sleet could be the prominent precip types across central and southern locations beginning Tuesday morning through the afternoon hours. Mostly snow is expected across northern locations where the coldest air is likely to remain. By Tuesday evening into Wednesday morning, most locations are likely to change over to snow...at least briefly...before the system pushes out of the state by Wednesday morning. Now what most people wanted to know...How much am I going to get? Confidence in snowfall and freezing rain amounts are low at this time as models continue to merge on a solution. As of this forecast package, the highest snowfall totals will be across northern Arkansas where three to six inches will be possible. As you move into central and southern Arkansas, confidence decreases as it is unsure how long the warm air aloft could remain in place. The reason this is so important is because the more warm air aloft means the more freezing rain and less snow for these areas. Central Arkansas could see one to two inches of snow/sleet and southern locations could see up to an inch of snow/sleet. With that said, central and southern Arkansas could see up to a tenth of an inch...possibly more in ice accumulations. Please continue to check back in for the latest on snowfall and freezing rain amounts as these amounts are likely to adjust up and down as model data continues to resolve this event. High pressure moves back into the region Wednesday promoting calm and dry conditions through the rest of the period. With that said, well-below average temperatures and dangerous cold are likely to move into the state by the middle of the week. Unlike the previous system, dangerous cold and wind chills are expected Wednesday through Friday as overnight low temperatures drop into the single digits and teens across much of the state with northern locations even getting close to that zero degree mark. Wind chill values will likely make it feel much colder. Cold Weather Advisories will likely be needed across northern and some central locations. Additionally, high temperatures likely will not feel much warmer during this period with highs in the teens to lower 30s and wind chills feeling slightly colder. High temperatures are expected to be in the lower 30s to lower 40s Sunday and Monday afternoons before dropping into the teens to mid 30s Tuesday through Thursday afternoons. Overnight low temperatures are expected to drop into the teens to lower 30s early in the forecast before getting into the single digits to teens by Thursday and Friday. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1114 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 SHRA/TSRA are expected to continue through the evening hours as a weather system tracks through the state. Widespread convection will continue along and ahead of the main line of storms. Strong gusty winds are possible with storms. LLWS is also possible across most terminals beginning early in the period and ending as the front clears the area. Mostly LIFR/IFR conditions are expected through the period. Additionally, some light snow showers will be possible on the back side of this system late tonight. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 28 39 20 39 / 40 0 0 0 Camden AR 33 47 26 50 / 50 0 0 0 Harrison AR 21 32 18 40 / 60 0 0 0 Hot Springs AR 29 44 23 46 / 10 0 0 0 Little Rock AR 31 44 24 43 / 40 0 0 0 Monticello AR 36 48 27 48 / 90 0 0 0 Mount Ida AR 26 43 23 48 / 10 0 0 0 Mountain Home AR 23 34 18 39 / 50 0 0 0 Newport AR 29 39 23 38 / 80 0 0 0 Pine Bluff AR 34 45 26 45 / 90 0 0 0 Russellville AR 28 43 23 45 / 20 0 0 0 Searcy AR 30 42 22 41 / 50 0 0 0 Stuttgart AR 33 43 26 44 / 90 0 0 0 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Flood Watch until midnight CST tonight for ARZ008-016-017-024- 025-032>034-042>047-054>057-062>064. && DISCUSSION...73 AVIATION...73
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Little Rock AR 455 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 ARZ004>008-014>017-024-025-031>034-039-042>047-052>057-062>069- 103-112-113-121>123-130-137-138-140-141-203-212-213-221>223-230- 237-238-240-241-313-340-341-161100- Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Stone-Izard-Independence- Lawrence-Cleburne-Jackson-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Perry- Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-Clark- Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln- Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-Boone County Except Southwest- Newton County Higher Elevations-Searcy County Lower Elevations- Southern Johnson County-Southern Pope County- Southeast Van Buren County-Western and Northern Logan County- Northern Scott County-Northwest Yell County- Polk County Lower Elevations- Central and Eastern Montgomery County- Boone County Higher Elevations-Newton County Lower Elevations- Northwest Searcy County Higher Elevations- Johnson County Higher Elevations-Pope County Higher Elevations- Van Buren County Higher Elevations- Southern and Eastern Logan County- Central and Southern Scott County-Yell Excluding Northwest- Northern Polk County Higher Elevations- Northern Montgomery County Higher Elevations- Eastern, Central, and Southern Searcy County Higher Elevations- Southeast Polk County Higher Elevations- Southwest Montgomery County Higher Elevations- 455 AM CST Sat Feb 15 2025 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight Some strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible later today and early tonight, mainly across the southeast portion of the state. Damaging winds, large hail and tornadoes will all be possible with the strongest storms in this region of the state. Some areas of heavy rainfall may also be seen today, which could lead to flash flooding and river flooding. Much colder air will move into the state tonight through Sunday morning, with some light wintry weather possible across northern portions of the area. Minor accumulations are possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Another storm system is forecast to bring more wintry weather to the state during the Tuesday through Wednesday timeframe. Uncertainties remain, however, most of Northern Arkansas could see snow accumulations up to two to four inches, with lesser amounts towards central to southern Arkansas. Some light freezing rain could also lead to light ice glazing over central to southern Arkansas as well. Wednesday and through the end of next week, significantly colder air is forecast across the state, with hazardous cold expected Wednesday through Friday mornings. .Spotter Information Statement... Spotter activation may be needed this afternoon and early tonight across southeast Arkansas. && Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk. 44/72
The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 30 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:00 UTC.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Multiple roads were impassable with road closures taking place.
Water was covering a portion of Highway 394 near Batesville.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Arkansas in 2025Every state in 2025This day in weather historyWarnings in Arkansas, February 2025
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1249956, 1249954.