On the 16th a low pressure system moved over the Rockies bringing strong to high winds to Wichita County, Kansas during the early morning hours.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS GLD wrote it up.
On the 16th a low pressure system moved over the Rockies bringing strong to high winds to Wichita County, Kansas during the early morning hours.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 16, 3:27 AM CST, 18 minutes earlier.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Goodland KS 327 AM MDT Thu Mar 16 2023 .SHORT TERM...(Today and Friday) Issued at 253 AM MDT Thu Mar 16 2023 Latest upper air analysis shows a trough over the Inter-Mountain West. Ahead of the trough water vapor imagery showed disorganized areas of saturated air moving northward in the flow over the Plains. At the surface a strong cold front had moved through the forecast area. Behind the front the temperatures had not dropped as quickly as thought. A corridor of strong wind gusts accompanied the front through the forecast area. There was one gust just over 60 MPH as the front moved through. North wind gusts varied from 40-55 MPH behind the front. Precipitation was mostly rain over the forecast area at this time. However the cooler air moving in to the northwest had caused the rain to change to snow. Today the cold front will be southeast of the forecast area. This is earlier than what was shown yesterday. Behind the front weak, disorganized frontogenesis moves through the forecast area. This should generate precipitation across the forecast area ahead of the trough axis. The CAA behind the front will cause the rain to change to snow through the morning. The snow should end from west to east by the afternoon, if not sooner. Meanwhile north winds will remain fairly consistent in intensity through the morning, then gradually decline during the afternoon as the stronger low level winds shift east of the forecast area. The current forecast may have the wind gusts too high for the late morning. Latest model probability has the greatest potential for gusts of 60 MPH over the southwest part of the forecast area. Temperatures may warm a few degrees mid day. However the wind chills will remain in the teens. Due to the precipitation shifting more into Nebraska, am not as concerned about the threat for blowing snow. Tonight north winds will rapidly decline as the temperatures cool and a surface high pressure moves in. Lows will fall into the teens as clouds clear, which will allow for good radiational cooling. Friday will be dry as subsidence in the northwest flow continue over the forecast area as the closed low continues eastward. Northwest winds become breezy as temperatures warm, allowing the breezy low level winds to reach the ground. The cloud cover and reduced CAA will allow temperatures to warm more than today. Friday night north winds will lighten. Lows will be similar to last night. .LONG TERM...(Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 326 AM MDT Thu Mar 16 2023 As we begin the weekend, the Tri-State area is expected to be dry as we sit under northwest flow loft. Guidance has slowed down some on the progression of an upper ridge as the upper low over Manitoba strengthens causing the ridge to amplify along the West Coast. Saturday is currently expected to have temperatures in the mid 30s to lower 40s for highs and overnight lows in the low to mid teens. Sunday looks to be a bit warmer with highs in the mid 40s and overnight lows in the 20s. Guidance is struggling to resolve the upper level pattern Sunday through the remainder of the period. The lower level pattern is in better agreement with a lee surface trough deepening along the Front Range on Sunday. The surface trough looks to stick around for majority of the week as it broadens over the Tri-State area with weak disturbances. There is potential for more precipitation beginning Monday evening as one of the aforementioned disturbances moves over the area. The precipitation chances look to stick around through the end of the period. With daytime heating, we could see some rain before it transitions back to a wintry mix or even light snow during the evening to overnight hours. Little to no accumulation is currently expected. Temperatures look to gradually improve early next week. Monday highs in the 50s are possible with overnight lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s. Tuesday is currently expected to be in the 50s to lower 60s for highs and in the 30s to lower 40s overnight. On Wednesday, temperatures look to continue warming during the day with highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Overnight lows could be a little cooler Wednesday night with temperatures in the upper 20s to 30s. && .AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night) Issued at 1015 PM MDT Wed Mar 15 2023 KGLD...VFR conditions are expected from taf issuance through 07z. Northerly winds gusting to 35kts are expected. From 08z-18z, sub VFR conditions are expected as light rain mixes with then changes to light snow, producing some reduced visibilities in the 12z-14z timeframe. Winds during the 09z-18z timeframe will remain from the north, gusting up to 45kts. After 19z, VFR conditions return. Northerly winds continue to gust in the 35 to 45kt range through 00z, quickly decreasing below 11kts after 03z. KMCK...VFR conditions are expected from taf issuance through 08z. Northerly winds gusting up to 30kts are expected. From 09z-17z, sub VFR conditions are expected as light rain mixes with then changes to light snow, producing some reduced visibilities in the 11z-14z timeframe. Winds from 09z-17z remain from the north, gusting up to 40kts or so. After 18z, VFR conditions return. Northerly winds continue to gust in the 25 to 40kt range through 04z, quickly decreasing below 11kts after 05z. && .GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KS...NONE. CO...NONE. NE...NONE. && SHORT TERM...JTL LONG TERM...KMK AVIATION...99
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Goodland KS 258 AM MDT Thu Mar 16 2023 COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-170900- Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas- Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock- Red Willow- 258 AM MDT Thu Mar 16 2023 /358 AM CDT Thu Mar 16 2023/ This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska... northwest Kansas and east central Colorado. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... Strong northerly winds will persist through the day. Sustained winds ranging from 25 to 40 mph and gusts up to 55 mph are expected. Wind of this magnitude may create difficult travel conditions for high profile vehicles, especially on west-east routes such as Interstate 70, where cross winds will be strongest. Locally hazardous travel conditions associated with blowing snow are also possible, mainly along and north of Interstate 70. Light snow will end from west to east late Thursday morning and early Thursday afternoon. Little in the way of snow accumulation is anticipated. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... Wind chill readings will fall into the single digits during the early morning hours on Friday, Saturday, and Sunday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation will not be needed. JTL
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1203 AM MDT THU MAR 16 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1203 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 5 S BURLINGTON 39.24N 102.28W
03/16/2023 M60 MPH KIT CARSON CO ASOS
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1215 AM MDT THU MAR 16 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1215 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE GOODLAND 39.37N 101.70W
03/16/2023 M51 MPH SHERMAN KS ASOS
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
226 AM MDT THU MAR 16 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0226 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 NNE GOODLAND 39.37N 101.70W
03/16/2023 M56 MPH SHERMAN KS ASOS
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
248 AM MDT THU MAR 16 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0235 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 3 N COLBY 39.43N 101.05W
03/16/2023 M50 MPH THOMAS KS AWOS
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
337 AM MDT THU MAR 16 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0207 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 9 WSW WINONA 39.00N 101.39W
03/16/2023 M60 MPH LOGAN KS MESONET
MESONET STATION UP840 9.0 W WINONA (UPR).
&&PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
338 AM MDT THU MAR 16 2023
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0227 AM NON-TSTM WND GST 2 E ARAPAHOE 38.85N 102.13W
03/16/2023 M63 MPH CHEYENNE CO MESONET
MESONET STATION UP694 2.2 E ARAPAHOE (UPR).
&&The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 high wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Strong winds were observed during the morning hours with a brief period of high winds gusting to 60 mph observed via a mesonet station in Leoti, Kansas.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2023Every state in 2023This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, March 2023
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1087933.