California, 2021Strong Wind in California, October 10 to 11, 2021
October 10 to 11, 2021 · NWS STO · 5 events in 5 counties and zones
Strong north winds impacted portions of interior northern California late Sunday the 10th through Monday the 11th. CHP reported numerous down trees, tree limbs and powerlines across the region.
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 5
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
Strong north winds impacted portions of interior northern California late Sunday the 10th through Monday the 11th. CHP reported numerous down trees, tree limbs and powerlines across the region.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Sacramento, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Oct 10, 1:28 PM PST, 9 hours 32 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 10, 1:28 PM PST, 9 hours 32 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
228 PM PDT Sun Oct 10 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
Critical fire weather conditions late tonight through Tuesday
evening due to strong north winds and low humidities. Lighter
winds and a warming trend mid to late next week, except for
locally breezy north winds Thursday. Light showers possible over
the Sierra Monday.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions, seasonal temperatures and light winds prevail
this afternoon. Afternoon temperatures are running 5 to 10 degrees
warmer compared to 24 hours ago. Highs will generally be in the
upper 60s to low 80s in the Valley and foothills.
Forecast is on track for strong north winds to develop late
tonight through Tuesday as ensembles depict an anomalous closed
upper low digging from the PacNW into the Great Basin. The
strongest winds are expected late tonight into Monday evening
where a Wind Advisory is already in effect across much of the
Valley, the Delta and the Coastal Range foothills. North wind
gusts ranging from 35 to near 50 mph are possible, locally higher
up to 55 mph. The ECMWF Extreme Forecast Index highlights the
strongest anomalous winds occurring in the Valley, particularly
over the southern Sacramento and northern San Joaquin valleys.
Gusty winds will continue on Tuesday, though not as strong as
Monday and will likely remain below advisory criteria. Gusts on
Tuesday will generally be more in the 25 to 35 mph range, locally
higher in some areas. For the Sierra, the strongest winds are
expected Monday morning through Tuesday morning with gusts from 30
to 40 mph, locally higher up to 45 mph near favored gaps and
canyons.
These winds combined with low humidity and dry fuels will lead to
critical fire weather conditions late tonight into Tuesday
evening. A Red Flag Warning remains in effect for the Delta,
Coastal Range, and the Valley from late Sunday night into Tuesday
evening and for the foothills and the northern Sierra late Monday
morning into Tuesday evening.
There is a brief period from Monday morning into the afternoon
that a few light rain/snow showers may develop over the northern
Sierra Nevada and southern Cascades as the upper low drops into
the Great Basin. Generally less than an inch of snow is expected,
mainly over high peaks south of I-80. Elsewhere, dry weather is
expected.
Lighter winds are expected by mid-week as the deep upper low
moves over the Central US. Dry conditions will prevail by mid-week,
except for a few light showers across portions of Shasta County
Tuesday evening into early Wednesday morning as a weak system
clips the area.
Regarding temperatures, daytime temperatures will be several
degrees below normal through the short term period with Valley
highs in the mid 60s to low 70s. Overnight lows will be below
average.
&&
.EXTENDED DISCUSSION (Thursday THROUGH Sunday)...
Ensembles and cluster analysis indicate a gradual warming trend
is likely later in the week as ridging from the eastern Pacific
moves over NorCal. Ensembles suggest another round of north winds
on Thursday as a short-wave moves through the ridge. Ensemble mean
gusts range from the 20 to 30 mph in the Central Valley (a few
members are indicating gusts in the mid 30s to low 40s). This
could result in a brief period of elevated fire weather concerns
Thursday. Nevertheless, it is still looking less impactful than
the upcoming early-week event. With a dry airmass and relatively
clear skies, high temperatures will warm to a little above average
while overnight lows will be a little below average.
&&
.AVIATION...
VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. Northerly surface wind
gusts 10-15 kts develop across the northern Sacramento Valley
after 00Z Monday. Northerly surface wind gusts of 25-50 kts
develop across the Sacramento Valley and surrounding terrain after
06Z Monday.
&&
.STO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Red Flag Warning from 11 PM this evening to 7 PM PDT Tuesday for
Carquinez Strait and Delta-Central Sacramento Valley in Glenn,
Colusa, Yuba, Northern Sutter, and Butte County Below 1000 Ft-
Eastern Mendocino NF-Northern Motherlode From 1000 to 3000 Ft.
Includes portions of Nevada-Yuba-Placer-Amador and ElDorado
Units-Northern Sacramento Valley to Southern Tehama County Line
Below 1000 Ft-Northern San Joaquin Valley in San Joaquin and
Stanislaus Counties Below 1000 ft-Northern Sierra Foothills from
1000 to 3000 Ft. Includes portions of Shasta-Trinity and Butte
Units-Northern Sierra Including Lassen NP and Plumas and Lassen
NF/S West of the Sierra Crest (West of Evans Peak-Grizzly Peak-
Beckworth Peak)-Southeast Edge Shasta-Trinity NF and Western
Portions of Tehama-Glenn Unit-Southern Motherlode From 1000 to
3000 Ft. Includes portions of Calaveras-Tuolumne Unit-Southern
Sacramento Valley in Yolo-Sacramento Far Western Placer,
southern Sutter and Solano County Below 1000 Ft.
Wind Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 11 PM PDT Monday for
Carquinez Strait and Delta-Central Sacramento Valley-Mountains
Southwestern Shasta County to Western Colusa County-Northern
Sacramento Valley-Northern San Joaquin Valley-Southern
Sacramento Valley.
&&
Strong Wind, Central Sacramento Valley
- When
- October 10, 11:00 PM PST to October 11, 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Central Sacramento Valley forecast zone
- Measured
- 48 kt (55 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
A wind gust of 55 mph was recorded at Jarbo Gap in Butte County on October 11th.
Strong Wind, Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Western Colusa County
- When
- October 10, 11:00 PM PST to October 11, 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Mountains Southwestern Shasta County to Western Colusa County forecast zone
- Measured
- 46 kt (53 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
A wind gust of 53 mph was recorded in Calaveras County on October 11th.
Strong Wind, Southern Sacramento Valley
- When
- October 10, 11:00 PM PST to October 11, 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Southern Sacramento Valley forecast zone
- Measured
- 43 kt (49 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
A wind gust of 50 mph was recorded in Sacramento County on October 11th.
Strong Wind, Northern San Joaquin Valley
- When
- October 10, 11:00 PM PST to October 11, 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Northern San Joaquin Valley forecast zone
- Measured
- 46 kt (53 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
A wind gust of 53 mph was recorded in Livermore in San Joaquin County on October 11th.
Strong Wind, Carquinez Strait and Delta
- When
- October 10, 11:00 PM PST to October 11, 11:00 PM PST
- Where
- Carquinez Strait and Delta forecast zone
- Measured
- 46 kt (53 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
A wind gusts of 53 to 57 mph were recorded in the Fairfield area in Solano County on October 11th.
- Strong Wind
- Non-thunderstorm winds below high wind criteria that nonetheless caused damage or casualties.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Oklahoma, October 10, 2021$475,000 · EF2 · 56 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Oklahoma, October 10, 2021$3.3 million · EF1 · 17 events
- Tornado and Hail in Minnesota, October 10, 2021$5,000 · EF2 · 5 events
- Damaging Winds in Texas, October 10, 2021$173,000 · 65 kt wind · 17 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, October 10, 2021$25,000 · 1 in hail · 3 events
- Heavy Rain in Kansas, October 10 to 11, 20217 events
- Damaging Wind and High Wind in Texas, October 10, 202163 kt wind · 7 events
- Damaging Winds in Texas, October 10, 202161 kt wind · 4 events
- Damaging Winds in Texas, October 10, 202152 kt wind · 4 events
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Illinois, October 10 to 11, 202160 kt wind · 3 events
- Coastal Flood in Virginia, October 10 to 11, 20213 events
- Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, October 10, 202152 kt wind · 3 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 990749, 990750, 990751, 990752, 990753.