Alert archive / Virginia / Northumberland County
Weather alerts in Northumberland County, Virginia, 2015
114 weather alerts in 2015, from the National Weather Service and the Storm Prediction Center. An alert counts here when it covered this county.
Northumberland County and its neighbors
Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2015. Tap one for its archive.
- Alerts
- 114
- Warnings
- 9
- Watches
- 10
- Advisories
- 31
- Busiest month
- June33 alerts
- Busiest day
- June 21, 20157 alerts
Over time
By month
Warning verification
How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.
0 of 1 tornado warnings covering Northumberland County in 2015 had a tornado report inside them.
Northumberland County, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tornado warnings | 1 | 0 | 100% | 0 | ||
| Severe thunderstorm warnings | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0 | ||
| Flash flood warnings | 0 | 0 |
Each office's whole area, 2015
| Warnings | With a report | False alarm ratio | Reports | Inside a warning | Mean lead time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NWS Wakefield, VA: tornado warnings | 21 | 4 | 81% | 9 | 67% | 11 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: severe thunderstorm warnings | 113 | 77 | 32% | 208 | 87% | 23 min |
| NWS Wakefield, VA: flash flood warnings | 3 | 3 | 0% | 7 | 100% | 44 min |
An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.
Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.
The alerts
Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Eastern Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 3:29 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Jan 13, 3:26 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 37 hr |
| Jan 14, 12:31 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Jan 26, 4:26 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 30 hr |
| Feb 2, 3:49 AM EST | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 18 hr |
| Feb 2, 10:54 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 51 min |
| Feb 10, 1:18 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 9 hr |
| Feb 12, 4:50 PM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 16 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:09 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 55 hr |
| Feb 14, 3:38 AM EST | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 36 hr |
| Feb 14, 7:52 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 53 min |
| Feb 14, 8:45 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 60 min |
| Feb 15, 4:40 PM EST | Winter Storm Watch | AKQ | 11 hr |
| Feb 15, 9:52 PM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 38 hr |
| Feb 18, 3:44 AM EST | Wind Chill Advisory | AKQ | 59 hr |
| Feb 18, 7:04 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Feb 18, 8:09 PM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 66 min |
| Feb 20, 2:49 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 33 hr |
| Feb 22, 8:17 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 103 min |
| Feb 25, 4:30 AM EST | Winter Storm Warning | AKQ | 34 hr |
| Feb 25, 4:30 AM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 32 hr |
| Feb 26, 12:56 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Feb 26, 10:14 PM EST | Freezing Fog Advisory | AKQ | 3 hr |
| Feb 28, 3:17 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 31 hr |
| Mar 1, 8:43 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 4 hr |
| Mar 2, 3:13 AM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 6 hr |
| Mar 4, 2:33 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | AKQ | 34 hr |
| Mar 5, 11:55 AM EST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 6 hr |
| Mar 14, 2:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 50 min |
| Mar 14, 3:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 54 min |
| Apr 10, 2:36 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 54 min |
| Apr 10, 6:12 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 4 hr |
| Apr 10, 6:45 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 45 min |
| Apr 20, 2:55 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| May 12, 1:52 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| May 18, 2:25 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 2 hr |
| Jun 1, 2:38 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 37 min |
| Jun 1, 5:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 41 min |
| Jun 15, 4:41 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 34 min |
| Jun 15, 4:52 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 23 min |
| Jun 15, 7:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 29 min |
| Jun 15, 7:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 31 min |
| Jun 15, 8:42 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 33 min |
| Jun 16, 12:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 18, 5:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 55 min |
| Jun 18, 7:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 46 min |
| Jun 20, 3:26 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 10 hr |
| Jun 20, 6:24 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jun 20, 8:37 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 53 min |
| Jun 20, 8:38 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 52 min |
| Jun 20, 9:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 35 min |
| Jun 20, 9:58 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AKQ | 47 min |
| Jun 20, 10:14 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 61 min |
| Jun 20, 10:55 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 35 min |
| Jun 20, 11:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 32 min |
| Jun 23, 1:45 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 23, 4:09 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 7 hr |
| Jun 23, 5:47 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 88 min |
| Jun 23, 7:41 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 94 min |
| Jun 23, 10:32 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 28 min |
| Jun 25, 4:50 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 9 hr |
| Jun 25, 7:53 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 97 min |
| Jun 27, 11:49 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 15 hr |
| Jun 27, 12:56 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Jun 27, 1:54 PM EDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 27, 4:39 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 96 min |
| Jun 27, 6:23 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jun 30, 3:34 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
| Jun 30, 4:15 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Jul 9, 7:04 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 86 min |
| Jul 11, 8:17 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 43 min |
| Jul 14, 1:54 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 51 min |
| Jul 18, 3:05 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Jul 19, 7:54 PM EDT | Heat Advisory | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Jul 21, 3:01 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 119 min |
| Jul 28, 1:40 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 35 min |
| Jul 30, 6:12 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 33 min |
| Jul 30, 6:49 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 26 min |
| Jul 30, 10:46 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 44 min |
| Jul 30, 11:31 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 44 min |
| Aug 4, 3:48 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 3 hr |
| Aug 6, 3:46 AM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 59 min |
| Aug 6, 10:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 34 min |
| Aug 6, 10:43 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 47 min |
| Aug 10, 5:06 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 8 hr |
| Aug 18, 2:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 31 min |
| Aug 18, 2:59 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 31 min |
| Sep 2, 3:35 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 85 min |
| Sep 5, 1:14 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 13 hr |
| Sep 12, 6:33 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 117 min |
| Sep 12, 10:02 AM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 118 min |
| Sep 12, 10:26 AM EDT | Tornado Warning | AKQ | 34 min |
| Sep 12, 2:28 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 2 hr |
| Sep 22, 5:29 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 5 hr |
| Sep 22, 10:55 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 24 hr |
| Sep 22, 10:55 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 10 hr |
| Sep 25, 5:04 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 10 hr |
| Sep 25, 5:53 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Watch | AKQ | 12 hr |
| Sep 25, 5:53 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 22 hr |
| Sep 26, 5:34 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | AKQ | 33 hr |
| Sep 26, 6:56 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 60 hr |
| Sep 28, 1:29 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 17 hr |
| Sep 30, 10:17 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 9 hr |
| Sep 30, 11:59 PM EDT | Flood Watch | AKQ | 51 hr |
| Oct 1, 4:52 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Warning | AKQ | 5 days |
| Oct 3, 9:20 PM EDT | Wind Advisory | AKQ | 8 hr |
| Oct 4, 5:59 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 56 hr |
| Oct 9, 7:40 PM EDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | 95 min |
| Oct 18, 4:03 AM EDT | Frost Advisory | AKQ | 29 hr |
| Oct 27, 4:59 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 11 hr |
| Oct 27, 5:32 PM EDT | Coastal Flood Statement | AKQ | 17 hr |
| Oct 28, 11:01 AM EDT | Coastal Flood Advisory | AKQ | 9 hr |
| Dec 22, 10:22 AM EST | Special Weather Statement | AKQ | 53 min |
| Dec 29, 11:19 PM EST | Dense Fog Advisory | AKQ | 10 hr |
By product
Every kind of product issued here, grouped by hazard. Each opens the same place narrowed to that product.
| Product | Alerts |
|---|---|
| Severe storms | |
| Severe Thunderstorm Warning | 4 |
| Tornado Warning | 1 |
| Severe Thunderstorm Watch | 6 |
| Tornado Watch | 1 |
| Mesoscale Discussion | 28 |
| Special Weather Statement | 30 |
| Flooding | |
| Flood Watch | 1 |
| Areal Flood Advisory | 1 |
| Winter | |
| Winter Storm Warning | 2 |
| Winter Storm Watch | 1 |
| Winter Weather Advisory | 7 |
| Heat | |
| Heat Advisory | 2 |
| Cold | |
| Frost Advisory | 1 |
| Wind Chill Advisory | 4 |
| Wind and dust | |
| Wind Advisory | 3 |
| Fog and smoke | |
| Dense Fog Advisory | 3 |
| Freezing Fog Advisory | 1 |
| Coast and beach | |
| Coastal Flood Warning | 2 |
| Coastal Flood Watch | 1 |
| Coastal Flood Advisory | 9 |
| Coastal Flood Statement | 6 |
The busiest days
Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.
Nearby
Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20142016
Sources
National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.