Alert archive / New Jersey / Mesoscale Discussions in 2015

Mesoscale Discussion 1092

June 20, 20155 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jun 20, 2015, 8:37 PM EDT for 5 states. It was in force for 53 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 20, 2015, 8:37 PM EDT (00:37 UTC)
Expired
Jun 20, 2015, 9:30 PM EDT
In force
53 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Chance of a watch
80%
All 29 counties

Kent County, DE, New Castle County, DE, Sussex County, DE, Caroline County, MD, Cecil County, MD, Dorchester County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Atlantic County, NJ, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Cape May County, NJ, Cumberland County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Hunterdon County, NJ, Mercer County, NJ, Middlesex County, NJ, Monmouth County, NJ, Ocean County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Somerset County, NJ, Bucks County, PA, Chester County, PA, Delaware County, PA, Montgomery County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA, Accomack County, VA, Northumberland County, VA

The radar

The Dover AFB radar (KDOX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:40 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 00:00Z, 0.6 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-06-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 261 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 00:00Z on 2015-06-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
261 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-134 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1179 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
75 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

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SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 20, 8:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKent, New Castle, Sussex4 hr
Jun 20, 10:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCKent, Sussex61 min
Jun 21, 2:52 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBuchanan, Dickenson, Lee, Russell, Tazewell, Wise and 1 more113 min
Jun 21, 3:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlleghany, Bath, Bedford, Bland, Botetourt, Buchanan and 36 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in New Jersey, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2015Mesoscale Discussions in Pennsylvania, 2015Every mesoscale discussion in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.